底部推荐焦煤板块深度报告 20260128 摘要 当前黑色产业链价格处于历史低位，焦煤价格下行压缩产业链利润，国 内钢铁产能过剩，铁矿石供应宽松，若铁矿石价格下行，将打开焦煤价 格上涨空间。 焦煤企业吨焦市值处于低位，预计 2026 年一季度业绩将显著改善，均 价上涨接近 19%，成本逐渐下行，优质企业吨净利润远低于动力煤龙头 企业，具备良好弹性。 全球冶金煤供需情况如何？ 根据相关数据统计，从 2025 年至 2030 年全球冶金煤产量年均增速为负 0.7%，即未来五年内供应每年都在下降。主要产地如中国、俄罗斯、澳大利亚 和蒙古国均面临不同程度的供应下滑。其中，中国因资源枯竭和部分产能退出 影响，整体产量呈下滑趋势；俄罗斯因严重亏损及运输能力有限，其供应预计 也将减少；澳大利亚高成本矿山逐步退出，加之极端天气频发影响生产运输； 蒙古国则因资源变化及基础设施建设进度限制，其出口增速放缓甚至可能下降。 焦煤需求方面有哪些变化？ 全球冶金用钢需求预计温和复苏，其中发展中国家贡献显著。例如，经合组织 预测 2025 年至 2030 年全球粗钢产量复合增长率为 0.9%。印度、东盟、中 东和非洲等地区是主要增长来源， ...

✈长江金属&煤炭丨"步量黑金"系列调研【第五站：河南】 #【平煤股份】现场调研 晚餐：2月2日（周一）18:00 调研：2月3日（周二）08:30 出席：公司领导 地点：河南省平顶山市新华区矿工中路21号 #【神火股份】现场调研 时间：2月3日（周二）14:30 出席：公司领导 地点：河南省商丘市永城市东城区东环路北段369号 ———————————— ———————————— 11月份开始，我们持续开展主产地+重点上市公司系列调研，前期已走访陕西/北京/山西/安徽地区煤炭产业 链，2.2-2.3我们将开启河南站，欢迎#找对口销售或我们团队报名！名额有限先到先得！ #【兰花科创】现场调研 时间：2月2日（周一）09:00 出席：公司领导 地点：山西省晋城市城区凤台东街2288号兰 ✈长江金属&煤炭丨"步量黑金"系列调研【第五站：河南】 11月份开始，我们持续开展主产地+重点上市公司系列调研，前期已走访陕西/北京/山西/安徽地区煤炭产业 链，2.2-2.3我们将开启河南站，欢迎#找对口销售或我们团队报名！名额有限先到先得！ #【兰花科创】现场调研 时间：2月2日（周一）09:00 出席：公司领导 地点：山西省晋 ...

1月28日，平煤股份涨5.05%，截至发稿，报8.53元/股，成交3.30亿元，换手率1.60%，总市值210.64亿 元。 资料显示，平顶山天安煤业股份有限公司位于河南省平顶山市矿工路21号，成立日期1998年3月17日， 上市日期2006年11月23日，公司主营业务涉及煤炭开采、煤炭洗选加工和煤炭销售。主营业务收入构成 为：洗煤分部66.88%，混煤分部35.49%，其他分部28.19%，勘探工程分部1.18%。 从平煤股份十大流通股东角度 南方中证500ETF（510500）基金经理为罗文杰。 截至发稿，罗文杰累计任职时间12年285天，现任基金资产总规模1713.58亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 192.55%， 任职期间最差基金回报-47.6%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但 不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。受限于第三方数据库质量等问题，我们无法对数据的真实性及完整性进行分辨或核验，因此本文内 容可能出现不准确、不完整、误导性的内容或信息，具体以公司公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 ...

根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年12月中国原煤产量为4.4亿吨，同比下降1%；2025年中国原煤累计产 量为48.3亿吨，累计增长1.2%。 上市企业：中国神华（601088）,中煤能源（601898）,山西焦煤（000983）,潞安环能（601699）,淮北矿 业（600985）,平煤股份（601666）,山煤国际（600546）,冀中能源（000937）,陕西煤业（601225）,华 阳股份（600348） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《中国煤炭产业全景调研及未来发展趋势研判报告（2026版）》 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 2020-2025年中国原煤产量统计图 ...

证券研究报告 | 浙商早知道 报告日期：2026 年 01 月 28 日 浙商早知道 2026 年 01 月 28 日 ：王禾 执业证书编号：S1230512110001 ：021-80105901 ：wanghe@stocke.com.cn 市场总览 资金：1 月 27 日全 A 总成交额为 29215 亿元，南下资金净流出 6.35 亿港元。 重要推荐 【浙商机械 邱世梁/王华君/姬新悦】咸亨国际（605056）公司深度：领先 MRO 集约化服务龙头，具身智能应用 打开成长空间——20260126 重要观点 【浙商宏观 李超/林成炜/费瑾】宏观深度报告：从"有钱"到"有闲"：中国假日经济变革影响几何？——20260126 重要点评 【浙商煤炭 樊金璐】煤炭 行业深度：黑金破晓，焦煤崛起——20260127 http://www.stocke.com.cn 1/4 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 大势：1 月 27 日上证指数上涨 0.18%，沪深 300 下跌 0.03%，科创 50 上涨 1.51%，中证 1000 上涨 0.2%，创业板 指上涨 0.71%，恒生指数上涨 1.35%。 行业：1 月 ...

写在文章前的声明：在本文之前的说明：本文中所列的投资信息，只是一个对基金资产净值进行排行的客观描述，并无主观倾向性，也不是投资建议，纯属 娱乐性质。 一顿操作猛如虎，基金净值已更新，谁是基金中的王者，谁又垫底，请看数据： | 基金简称 PK | | | 最新净体 !! = 2 N = 2 x = 2 = | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 方正富邦核 ... C | 1.4854 | 6.62% | 8 | | | 018816 | 2026-1-27 | | | | 2 | 方正富邦核...A | 1.5055 | 6.61% | 8 | | | 018815 | 2026-1-27 | | | | 3 | 广发远见智 ... A | 1.3800 | 5.68% | 7 | | | 016873 | 2026-1-27 | | | | 4 | 广发远见智 ... C | 1.3586 | 5.68% | 7 | | | 016874 | 2026-1-27 | | | | 5 | 华夏磐晟混...F) | 2.2141 | 5.19% | 8 | | | 1 ...

Meeting Details - The shareholders' meeting was held on January 26, 2026, at Ping An Building, No. 2 Minzhu Road, Pingdingshan City, Henan Province [1] - The meeting was convened by the board of directors and chaired by Chairman Jiao Zhenying, complying with the Company Law and Articles of Association [1] Attendance and Voting - All 15 current directors attended the meeting, along with the board secretary Liu Jinxiang [1] - The voting method and procedures adhered to legal and regulatory requirements, ensuring the legitimacy of the meeting [3] Resolutions - The proposal regarding the execution of daily related transactions in 2025 and the expected amount for 2026 was approved [1] - All resolutions presented at the meeting were passed [1] Legal Verification - The meeting was witnessed by Guohao Law Firm (Shanghai), with lawyers Liu Tianyi and Ji Ye providing legal opinions confirming the legality and validity of the meeting and its resolutions [2][3]

证券之星消息，1月27日河南国企改革板块较上一交易日下跌0.82%，大有能源领跌。当日上证指数报收 于4139.9，上涨0.18%。深证成指报收于14329.91，上涨0.09%。河南国企改革板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入(元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入(元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000949 | 新乡化纤 | 2356.71万 | 3.47% | 1165.07万 | 1.72% | -3521.78万 | -5.18% | | 000719 | 中原传媒 | 1041.58万 | 11.49% | -174.92万 | -1.93% | -866.66万 | -9.56% | | 600020 | 中原高速 | 265.00万 | 3.86% | 375.28万 | 5.47% | -640.28万 | -9.33% | | 002431 | 棕榈股份 | -314.48万 | -2.15% | -312.66万 | -2.14% | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Optimistic" rating for the coking coal industry, highlighting its strategic importance due to scarcity and irreplaceability [3][4]. Core Insights - Coking coal is recognized as a strategic resource, with its global value underscored by the U.S. Department of Energy listing metallurgical coal as a critical material. Despite recent price declines due to increased imports from Mongolia and reduced domestic steel demand, the report anticipates a reversal in supply-demand dynamics, leading to a potential price increase in the future [4][5]. - The report forecasts a significant improvement in the performance of coking coal companies as supply tightens and demand rises, particularly from developing countries. It suggests that the price of coking coal could stabilize around 2000 RMB/ton, with a range of 1500-2500 RMB/ton expected [4][5]. Global Supply - Global coking coal supply is projected to decline, with key producing countries experiencing reduced output. The report estimates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -0.7% for coking coal production from 2025 to 2030 [4][5]. - In China, coking coal production is expected to decrease due to resource depletion and potential capacity exits, with a forecasted production of 59.47 million tons in 2025 [13][22]. - Russia's coking coal supply is also anticipated to decline, with production expected to drop due to severe losses in coal companies and limited domestic transport capacity [27][29]. - Australia is facing a reduction in coking coal supply as high-cost mines exit the market due to low prices and increased operational costs [34][39]. Global Demand - Global demand for coking coal is expected to rise, particularly driven by developing countries. The report predicts a CAGR of 0.9% for crude steel production from 2025 to 2030, with significant contributions from India and ASEAN countries [4][5][58]. - India's crude steel production is projected to grow at a CAGR of 6.3% from 2025 to 2030, leading to increased consumption and imports of metallurgical coal [58][59]. - The report highlights that while China's steel demand is expected to decline slightly, the overall global steel demand is anticipated to stabilize and rebound, particularly in emerging markets [55][58]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on coking coal companies with low market capitalization per ton of coal, such as Pingmei Shenma Energy, Hengyuan Coal Power, Shanxi Coking Coal, Jizhong Energy, Lu'an Environmental Energy, and Huaibei Mining [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - The coal market is expected to see a recovery in performance in Q4 2025, driven by rising coal prices and a favorable supply-demand balance, with potential for a spring rally in Q1 2026 [1][7]. Price Trends - The average price of Qinhuangdao 5500 kcal thermal coal increased from 672 CNY/ton in Q3 2025 to 765 CNY/ton in Q4 2025, marking a 13.8% increase [3]. - In Q4 2025, the price fluctuated significantly, peaking at 834 CNY/ton before dropping to a low of 670 CNY/ton, yet still achieving a notable average increase [2]. Profitability Outlook - The profitability of coal companies is expected to improve, with thermal coal prices rising and coking coal prices also showing significant increases, particularly in long-term contracts [4]. - The average price for coking coal at Jing Tang Port rose to 1726 CNY/ton in Q4 2025, a 10.5% increase from Q3 [4]. Production Dynamics - The "overproduction check" policy has led to a mixed production performance among listed coal companies, with some reporting declines while others saw increases in output [5]. - Major coal producers like China Shenhua and China Coal Energy reported production decreases of 5.0% and 2.1% respectively, while Shaanxi Coal and Yanzhou Coal Energy reported increases of 3.6% and 1.0% [5]. Cost Management - Cost control remains a priority for coal companies, with strategies shifting from volume-driven to cost-focused approaches due to previous low coal prices [6]. - Despite a slight increase in costs expected in Q4 due to rising coal prices and year-end expense settlements, companies have managed to maintain a focus on cost efficiency [6]. Future Supply and Demand - The exit of certain coal supply capacities is anticipated to significantly improve the coal supply-demand balance, with a potential reduction of around 100 million tons if implemented nationwide [8]. - This policy aligns with previous market predictions and is expected to lead to a notable reduction in coal inventories, enhancing price elasticity in 2026 [8]. Investment Recommendations - Companies to watch include stable large-cap thermal coal firms such as China Shenhua, China Coal Energy, and Shaanxi Coal, as well as high-elasticity coal firms like Yanzhou Coal Energy and Jin Coal Industry [9].