Weakness may be an opportunity for Spotify (SPOT). Since peaking in September, shares of the streaming and media services company are down about 43%. But that’ll happen with weaker-than-expected guidance and news: it will part ways with its longtime CEO, who will still remain involved as executive chairman. www.barchart.com With Earnings, the Third Quarter Looked Impressive Spotify's EPS of 3.28 euros crushed estimates of 1.97 euros. That was also higher than the 1.45 euros posted year over year. Revenu ...

Economic Data Releases - The upcoming week will feature significant US economic data releases, including the January employment report and the January CPI report, which are typically not released in the same week [1] - December retail sales and the Q4 employment cost index will also be released, alongside global inflation updates from China and several European economies [1] Employment Report Expectations - DB economists project a rise in headline and private payrolls by 75k, with the unemployment rate expected to remain at 4.4% [2] - Average hourly earnings are anticipated to increase by 0.3%, with hours worked remaining unchanged at 34.2, leading to a year-over-year growth rate of payroll-based nominal compensation rising to 4.5% from 4.3% [2] Inflation Report Expectations - The headline CPI is expected to increase by 0.26%, influenced by a projected 2.4% drop in motor fuel prices, while core CPI is anticipated to rise by 0.35% [4] - This would result in a year-over-year headline CPI slowing to 2.46% from 2.68%, and core CPI to approximately 2.55% [4] Corporate Earnings - Corporate earnings reports are ongoing, with six of the Magnificent Seven having reported, which may reduce volatility until Nvidia's report on February 25th [1] - The week will also see earnings from major tech companies and consumer firms, including Cisco, Coca-Cola, and McDonald's [8] Fed Communications - Fed officials will be actively communicating throughout the week, discussing regulatory topics and the balance sheet outlook, particularly in light of the nomination of Kevin Warsh for Fed Chair [6] - Discussions will include perspectives on the labor market and inflation, with various Fed governors scheduled to speak [6][20] Global Economic Indicators - In Europe, key indicators include the UK's Q4 GDP and CPI reports from Denmark, Norway, and Switzerland [7] - In Asia, China's January inflation report is due, with forecasts indicating a slowdown in CPI inflation to 0.4% year-over-year [8]

Group 1 - The S&P 500 is projected to achieve a 13% increase in earnings per share for the fourth quarter, marking the 10th consecutive quarter of annual earnings growth and the fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth [1] - Prior to the reporting period, analysts had anticipated an 8.3% increase in earnings per share, which was a decrease from the third quarter's 13.6% growth rate [3] - Recent increases in earnings expectations have been particularly notable for technology companies, which have been significant contributors to earnings growth in recent quarters [3] Group 2 - Major capital expenditures by Big Tech are influencing the AI trade, alongside ongoing themes such as the Trump administration's tariff and economic policies and a K-shaped consumer economy [4] - Upcoming earnings reports will include results from companies such as Coca-Cola, Spotify, Robinhood, Lyft, Ford, Rivian, Moderna, Airbnb, and Coinbase [4]

Core Insights - The technology sector experienced significant stock sell-offs related to artificial intelligence, but market sentiment may stabilize in the coming days [2] - The Super Bowl featured notable advertisements from tech companies, with Amazon's Alexa and Anthropic receiving praise, while Google's Gemini was criticized [2] Company Earnings Focus - This week, several mid-sized companies are set to report earnings, including Spotify, Lyft, Shopify, Coinbase, Pinterest, Instacart, and Airbnb, each with noteworthy highlights [2][3] - Spotify's advertising revenue has been declining, impacting overall revenue growth, despite management's previous optimism about accelerating ad business growth by 2025 [2][3] - Lyft's stock rose significantly last year, with a 50% increase, but has since dropped 15% this year, raising concerns about the impact of autonomous vehicles on the ride-hailing industry [3][9] - Pinterest has maintained a revenue growth rate of 16% to 17%, outperforming Snap, which has stagnated at around 10% [10] Earnings Expectations - Spotify is expected to report Q4 revenue of €4.522 billion, a 6.6% year-over-year increase, with earnings per share (EPS) of €2.77, up 57% [11] - Lyft is projected to report Q4 revenue of $1.754 billion, a 13% increase, but with EPS of $0.12, down 25% [11] - Instacart's expected Q4 revenue is $969.95 million, a 9.7% increase, with EPS of $0.51, down 3.7% [11] - Airbnb anticipates Q4 revenue of $2.71 billion, a 9.3% increase, with EPS of $0.66, down 9.6% [11] - Pinterest is expected to report Q4 revenue of $1.33 billion, a 15% increase, but with EPS of $0.43, down 84% [11]

Earnings Reports - A significant week for earnings with major companies such as Robinhood Markets, Coinbase, Cisco Systems, Applovin, Shopify, Arista Networks, Cloudflare, Spotify, Airbnb, and McDonald's scheduled to report [1] Implied Volatility - Implied volatility tends to be high before earnings reports due to market uncertainty, leading to increased demand for options [2] - After earnings announcements, implied volatility typically decreases to normal levels [3] Expected Price Movements - The expected price range for stocks can be estimated by adding the prices of at-the-money put and call options from the option chain [3] Daily Earnings Expectations - Tuesday: HOOD (11.7%), F (6.5%), KO (2.9%), NET (13.4%), SPOT (10.4%), GILD (5.5%) [4] - Wednesday: CSCO (5.5%), VRT (10.5%), APP (15.5%), SHOP (12.8%), MCD (3.3%) [5] - Thursday: COIN (11.1%), ANET (10.7%), ABNB (8.6%), AEM (6.9%) [5] Trading Strategies - Traders can utilize expected moves to structure trades, with bearish traders selling bear call spreads and bullish traders selling bull put spreads or looking at naked puts [6] - Neutral traders may consider iron condors, ideally keeping short strikes outside the expected range [6] Risk Management - It is advisable to use risk-defined strategies and maintain small position sizes when trading options over earnings [7] - A full loss from a trade should ideally not impact the portfolio by more than 1-3% [7] High Implied Volatility Stocks - Barchart's Stock Screener can identify stocks with high implied volatility, using filters such as total call volume greater than 5,000, market cap greater than 40 billion, and IV Rank greater than 50% [8]

Economic Data Insights - The January employment report on Wednesday at 8:30am will analyze nonfarm payrolls, unemployment rate, and average hourly earnings to assess labor market conditions and their impact on Fed policy [1][3] - The mid-week timing of the employment report creates unique dynamics, compressing the time for market adjustments before Friday's CPI release [3] Retail Sales and Consumer Spending - December retail sales data on Tuesday at 8:30am will provide insights into holiday shopping performance and consumer spending trends as 2026 begins [2][4] - The report will help determine if strong labor markets are translating into sustained consumer spending or if households are retrenching due to inflation pressures [4] Technology Sector Analysis - Earnings from Cisco (CSCO) on Wednesday and Arista Networks (ANET) on Thursday will provide insights into enterprise networking demand and data center investment amid questions about AI spending sustainability [5] - Cisco's results will focus on corporate IT budgets and cybersecurity product adoption, while Arista's earnings will assess trends in hyperscaler capital expenditures [5] Digital Platforms and Financial Technology - Earnings from Robinhood (HOOD) on Tuesday will provide insights into retail trading activity and cryptocurrency transaction volumes [6] - Results from Shopify (SHOP) and AppLovin (APP) will test the health of e-commerce platforms and mobile gaming advertising, respectively [7] Inflation and Market Reactions - The January CPI report on Friday at 8:30am will be critical for assessing inflation trends, particularly in energy prices, housing costs, and services inflation [8] - The timing of the CPI report following the employment data could lead to significant market volatility, especially in rate-sensitive sectors [8]

RT New York Post (@nypost)World Jewish Congress President Ronald Lauder calls for Apple, Spotify to remove Kanye's music https://t.co/BWAlNHTAEM https://t.co/c51UFgXC0k ...

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones increasing by 2.50%, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 decreased by 1.84% and 0.10% respectively [10] - European stock indices rose, with the FTSE 100 up by 1.43%, DAX 30 up by 0.74%, and CAC 40 up by 1.81% [10] Economic Data and Forecasts - The U.S. will release delayed employment and inflation data, which are critical for market focus [10] - The upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll data is expected to show an increase of 90,000 jobs, with a significant uncertainty due to statistical adjustments [11] - The U.S. core Consumer Price Index (CPI) is anticipated to remain at a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, while the overall CPI is expected to drop from 2.7% to 2.5% [12] Corporate Earnings - Several major companies, including Coca-Cola, Cisco, McDonald's, and Applied Materials, are set to report earnings next week, which are of particular interest due to their relevance to the AI sector [12] Oil and Gold Market - International oil prices weakened, with WTI crude oil down by 2.55% to $63.05 per barrel and Brent crude down by 1.83% to $68.05 per barrel [13] - Gold futures for February delivery increased by 5.03% to $4951.20 per ounce, while silver futures decreased by 1.99% to $76.73 per ounce [13] Central Bank Policies - The European Central Bank (ECB) maintained its key interest rate, indicating no immediate plans for adjustment [14] - The Bank of England voted 5-4 to keep its base rate at 3.75%, with upcoming GDP data potentially influencing future rate decisions [15]

本周国际市场风云变幻，软件板块和加密货币市场巨震，人工智能发展溢出效应引发关注。 市场方面，美股涨跌互现，道指周涨2.50%，纳指周跌1.84%，标普500指数周跌0.10%。欧洲三大股指 全线走高，英国富时100指数周涨1.43%，德国DAX 30指数周涨0.74%，法国CAC 40指数周涨1.81%。 本周看点颇多，美国延迟发布的就业与通胀数据将成为市场核心关注点。欧洲市场需关注欧元区及英国 的国内生产总值数据（GDP），在亚洲，投资者密切关注2月8日日本众议院选举结果将如何重塑日本的 财政与货币政策，市场同时也在寻找日本央行下一次加息时点的线索。美股财报季进入后半期，应用材 料等与AI领域高相关的明星个股业绩值得留意。 美联储降息前景如何 美国1月非农就业数据将于当地时间11日发布，该数据因美国联邦政府部分停摆已由2月6日推迟至今。 作为核心经济数据，结果将引导投资者对美联储再度降息时点的判断。 近期数据显示，美国经济整体表现强劲，但劳动力市场走弱、通胀增速放缓。若此次数据表现疲软，推 升市场的降息预期。伦敦证券交易所集团（LSEG）数据显示，货币市场目前已完全定价美联储将于7月 实施25个基点的降息。 ...

This is a bit of a racy book. So, uh, we're going to stop here. I was just telling the team before that I'm in a book club and my book club date is today.I have two and a half hours left of a book to read and I'm not going to be able to find time to read it. So, what this does for me, if the book is actually in the the catalog, is I can then go to the page I'm in on my ebook reader or on a physical book and start reading from there. If you're at a point in the book on your audio book and you want to go to t ...