Q&A 2026 年稀土板块的投资机会和价格走势如何？ 2026 年稀土板块的投资机会非常值得关注。首先，供给端方面，稀土供应整 体偏紧。自去年 12 月底到今年 2 月中旬，稀土现货价格从 60 万元涨至 86 万 元，涨幅接近 50%；期货价格则突破 92 万元，上涨超过 50%。这一趋势类似 于 2011 年和 2021 年的情况。央企主导的两大稀土集团在新的一年里并未放 开指标，而独立于央企之外的民营企业也因没有配额而减产甚至停产。因此， 我们预计未来三个月月度供给将环比减少 800 吨至 1,000 吨，同比下降约 10%。 需求端来看，今年市场普遍预期稀土出口需求会较好，尤其是与美国关 系改善后，出口需求可能逐月上涨。而国内新能源车需求虽前期偏悲观，但目 前磁材厂订单情况超预期。如果 3 月份订单节奏加快，下游磁材厂将开启一轮 补库。目前库存处于中低水平，这将进一步推动需求。 综合以上因素，我们认 为今年上半年稀土价格有望突破 2021 年的历史高点（氧化钕曾达到 110 万元/ 战略金属（稀土钽钨）更新 20260223 摘要 稀土价格飙升：氧化钕期货价格已突破 92 万元，涨幅超 50%，与 ...

眼下正是A股上市公司年报和ESG报告的编制期，随着钢铁行业正式纳入全国碳市场，部分钢企开启了ESG碳排放信披的"双重监管"。 约232家钢企作为重点排放单位，须在3月31日前向省级生态环境部门报送2025年度温室气体排放报告。紧随其后的4月30日，A股ESG强信披上市公司中有6 家钢企需要按交易所规定披露2025年ESG报告。 这6家上市钢企分别是宝钢股份、包钢股份、鞍钢股份、马钢股份、重庆钢铁、中信特钢。截至2月24日，6家钢企的2024年ESG报告已全部披露，就待2025 年ESG报告出炉。21世纪经济报道记者根据2024年ESG报告和年报整理后发现，6家钢企中鞍钢股份、包钢股份仍未披露2024年度碳排放总量。 距离我国实现2030年前碳达峰还有不到4年的时间，钢企纷纷冲刺减排技术改造。然而21世纪经济报道记者统计后发现，6家上市钢企2024年环保总投入同比 下降约16%，总计为246.54亿元，除马钢股份外的5家钢企均缩减资金投入，降幅从7%到40%不等。 鞍钢、包钢未披露2024年碳排放 温室气体排放是ESG环境维度的重要议题之一，碳排放总量、范围1和范围2排放量是沪深北交易所《上市公司可持续发展报告 ...

关联内容 全国碳市场首次扩围的三大行业碳排"家底"几何？ 眼下正是A股上市公司年报和ESG报告的编制期，随着钢铁行业正式纳入全国碳市场，部分钢企开启了ESG碳排放信披的"双重监管"。 约232家钢企作为重点排放单位，须在3月31日前向省级生态环境部门报送2025年度温室气体排放报告。紧随其后的4月30日，A股ESG强信披上市公司中有6 家钢企需要按交易所规定披露2025年ESG报告。 这6家上市钢企分别是宝钢股份（600019）、包钢股份（600010）、鞍钢股份（000898）、马钢股份（600808）、重庆钢铁（601005）、中信特钢 （000708）。截至2月24日，6家钢企的2024年ESG报告已全部披露，就待2025年ESG报告出炉。21世纪经济报道记者根据2024年ESG报告和年报整理后发 现，6家钢企中鞍钢股份、包钢股份仍未披露2024年度碳排放总量。 距离我国实现2030年前碳达峰还有不到4年的时间，钢企纷纷冲刺减排技术改造。然而21世纪经济报道记者统计后发现，6家上市钢企2024年环保总投入同比 下降约16%，总计为246.54亿元，除马钢股份外的5家钢企均缩减资金投入，降幅从7%到40% ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent price increases in rare earth metals are attributed to ongoing supply-side reforms and upcoming policy documents for 2024-2025, indicating a bullish outlook for the industry [1][3]. Rare Earth Metals - The price of praseodymium-neodymium oxide is 849,800 CNY/ton, up 13.51% month-on-month - The price of dysprosium oxide is 1,450,000 CNY/ton, up 9.02% month-on-month - The price of terbium oxide is 6,460,000 CNY/ton, up 5.90% month-on-month - December saw a 3% month-on-month decrease but a 7% year-on-year increase in China's rare earth permanent magnet exports, reaching a historical high for the month [1][3]. - The processing fee for yttrium-rich europium ore has risen to 41,000 CNY/ton, indicating ongoing optimization in the smelting sector [3]. - Key stocks to watch include China Rare Earth (000831), Zhong Rare Metals (600259), Northern Rare Earth (600111), and Baotou Steel (600010) [3]. Tin - The price of tin ingots is 378,200 CNY/ton, down 10.74% month-on-month - Indonesia is considering a ban on tin raw material exports, which may create significant replenishment demand for tin processing companies [4]. - Long-term demand is expected to benefit from AI and automotive smart technology, leading to a favorable supply-demand balance for tin [4]. - Recommended stocks include Huaxi Nonferrous (600301) and others [4]. Tungsten - The price of tungsten concentrate is 696,700 CNY/ton, up 15.99% month-on-month - The price of ammonium paratungstate is 1,025,200 CNY/ton, up 15.11% month-on-month - The U.S. is increasing its strategic reserves, which may elevate tungsten's priority in the market [4]. - Recommended stocks include China Tungsten High-Tech (000657) and Xiamen Tungsten (600549) [4]. Antimony - The price of antimony ingots is 165,100 CNY/ton, up 0.62% month-on-month - The price of antimony concentrate is 144,000 CNY/ton, up 2.13% month-on-month - December saw a 4% month-on-month increase but a 71% year-on-year decrease in antimony exports [5]. - The outlook remains positive due to potential recovery in exports and stable demand, particularly in the photovoltaic glass sector [5]. - Recommended stocks include Huaxi Nonferrous and Hunan Gold (002155) [5]. Molybdenum - The price of molybdenum concentrate is 4,165 CNY/ton, up 2.97% month-on-month - The price of ferromolybdenum is 267,100 CNY/ton, up 3.33% month-on-month - The domestic molybdenum price is stabilizing due to high tungsten prices and increased defense spending [5]. - Recommended stocks include Jinduicheng Molybdenum (601958) and Guocheng Mining (000688) [5].

Group 1 - The company is actively monitoring the development of green and sustainable energy industries, including thorium-based molten salt reactors [1] - The company is continuing to promote the resource development and utilization of Baiyun Obo, focusing on resource protection, standardized management, and high-quality utilization [1]

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯 2月24日，包钢股份在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，截至2026年2月10日，公司股东 总户数为789764户。 ...

2026年2月24日早盘，稀土永磁概念盘中走强，截至10:16，中证稀土产业指数强势上涨2.53%，成分股 铂科新材上涨7.77%，金风科技上涨6.14%，中稀有色上涨6.13%，中色股份，盛新锂能等个股跟涨。 银河证券指出，AI硬件已成为当前AI应用落地最确定的受益方向，国内春节期间AI眼镜销量激增 70%-80%、AI玩具成交同比暴增500倍、宇树人形机器人集群协同运动刷新全球纪录，这些终端爆发背 后均高度依赖高性能钕铁硼永磁材料提供的精密动力输出与响应能力，硬件规模化放量将直接拉动上游 稀土功能材料需求。 稀土ETF嘉实(516150)紧密跟踪中证稀土产业指数，是一键布局国内稀土产业链的便利工具。 场外投资者还可以通过稀土ETF嘉实联接基金（011036）把握稀土投资机遇。 此外，全球能源转型正从政策驱动迈向设备落地阶段，印度拟放宽对中国电力设备进口限制、2025年国 内风电新增装机37.9GW、煤电投资同比增长27.7%。光大证券研报观点认为，风电发电机、核电控制棒 驱动机构、特高压变压器等核心装备均需大量高性能烧结钕铁硼磁体，设备国产化加速与海外订单回流 将同步强化稀土永磁材料的战略价值。 数据显示 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the small metals sector, with the Shenyin Wanguo Small Metals Index rising by 3.25% during the period, outperforming both the Shenwan Nonferrous Index and the CSI 300 Index by 10.21 percentage points and 4.23 percentage points respectively [2][13]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the prices of rare earth elements have reached new highs, driven by supply-side reforms and increasing demand for overseas stockpiling, particularly in the context of the upcoming supply-side documents for 2024-2025 [3][18]. - Tin prices have shown volatility due to macroeconomic factors, with Indonesia considering a ban on tin raw material exports, which could create significant replenishment demand for tin processing companies [4][28]. - Tungsten prices are expected to rise due to increased strategic stockpiling in the U.S. and domestic demand from both civilian and military sectors [4][41]. - Antimony prices are anticipated to recover as exports stabilize, supported by a steady demand in the photovoltaic glass sector [5][47]. - Molybdenum prices are stabilizing and expected to rise due to low inventory levels and increased defense spending [6][51]. Summary by Sections 1. Stock Market and Commodity Price Performance - The Shenyin Wanguo Small Metals Index closed at 39,286.62 points, reflecting a 3.25% increase [2][13]. - Key commodity prices showed varied performance, with rare earth oxides like praseodymium-neodymium oxide increasing by 13.51%, while tin ingot prices decreased by 10.74% [4][16]. 2. Main Product Fundamentals and Views Rare Earths - The price of praseodymium-neodymium oxide reached 849,800 CNY/ton, up 13.51% [3][19]. - The sector is expected to see dual growth in valuation and performance, with key companies to watch including China Rare Earth, Zhong Rare Metals, and Northern Rare Earth [3][19]. Tin - Tin ingot prices fell to 378,200 CNY/ton, down 10.74% [4][28]. - The potential export ban by Indonesia could lead to a new price cycle for tin [4][28]. Tungsten - Tungsten concentrate prices rose to 696,700 CNY/ton, up 15.99% [4][41]. - The U.S. strategic stockpiling initiative may elevate tungsten's market priority [4][41]. Antimony - Antimony ingot prices increased to 165,100 CNY/ton, up 0.62% [5][47]. - The report anticipates a recovery in exports, which could lead to price increases [5][47]. Molybdenum - Molybdenum concentrate prices reached 4,165 CNY/ton, up 2.97% [6][51]. - The report suggests that low inventory levels and increased military spending will support price growth [6][51].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the small metals sector, with the Shenyin Wanguo Small Metals Index rising by 3.25% during the period, outperforming both the Shenwan Nonferrous Index and the CSI 300 Index by 10.21 percentage points and 4.23 percentage points, respectively [2][13]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the prices of rare earth elements have reached new highs, driven by supply-side reforms and increasing overseas inventory demand. The prices for praseodymium and neodymium oxide rose by 13.51%, dysprosium oxide by 9.02%, and terbium oxide by 5.90% [3][18][19]. - Tin prices have shown volatility, with a decrease of 10.74% in the current period. The potential ban on tin raw material exports from Indonesia may create significant replenishment demand for tin processing companies, positively impacting tin prices in the long term [4][28]. - Tungsten prices have increased significantly, with tungsten concentrate rising by 15.99% and ammonium paratungstate by 15.11%. The report suggests that the strategic reserve initiatives in the U.S. may elevate tungsten's priority in global markets [4][40]. - Antimony prices have shown a slight increase, with antimony ingot prices up by 0.62% and antimony concentrate by 2.13%. The report anticipates a recovery in exports, which could lead to a price rebound [5][47]. - Molybdenum prices have stabilized, with molybdenum concentrate prices increasing by 2.97% and ferromolybdenum by 3.33%. The report notes that low inventory levels and increased defense spending may support further price increases [6][51]. Summary by Sections 1. Stock Market and Commodity Price Performance - The Shenyin Wanguo Small Metals Index closed at 39,286.62 points, reflecting a 3.25% increase [2][13]. - Commodity prices for rare earths, tungsten, and molybdenum have shown upward trends, while tin prices have decreased [16]. 2. Main Product Fundamentals and Insights 2.1 Rare Earths - The report emphasizes the ongoing supply-side reforms and the rising prices of rare earths, with significant export demand expected to continue [3][18][19]. 2.2 Tin - The potential export ban from Indonesia could lead to increased demand for tin processing, positively affecting prices in the long run [4][28]. 2.3 Tungsten - The report highlights the strategic importance of tungsten in global markets, with prices rising significantly due to supply constraints and increased military spending [4][40]. 2.4 Antimony - Antimony prices are expected to recover as export conditions improve, with a focus on high-growth resource companies [5][47]. 2.5 Molybdenum - Molybdenum prices are projected to rise due to low inventory levels and increased demand from the defense sector [6][51].

Core Viewpoint - The report by Zhiyan Consulting highlights a slight decline in the number of large-scale enterprises in China's black metal mining and selection industry, indicating a potential stagnation in the sector's growth [1]. Industry Overview - As of January to December 2025, the number of large-scale enterprises in the black metal mining and selection industry is projected to be 1,546, which is a decrease of 8 enterprises compared to the previous year, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 0.51% [1]. - The proportion of these enterprises within the total industrial enterprises stands at 0.29% [1]. Related Companies - The report mentions several key companies in the industry, including CITIC Special Steel, Hebei Iron and Steel, Zhongnan Shares, Benxi Steel, Xinxing Ductile Iron Pipes, Taiyuan Iron and Steel, Ansteel, Hebei Resources, Hualing Steel, Shagang, Baotou Steel, and Baosteel [1].