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碳酸锂站上17万元/吨!津巴布韦锂矿禁令引爆行情,超级周期要来了?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-26 10:21
来源:@华夏时报微博 华夏时报记者 叶青 北京报道 2月24日至26日,碳酸锂期货主力2605合约走出一轮连续冲高行情。2月24日,主力合约跳空高开,全天单边上 行,最终收报164120元/吨,单日大涨10.56%;2月25日,多头强势格局延续,主力合约盘中突破17万元/吨整数关 口;2月26日早盘,受海外供给端突发消息刺激,主力合约再度高开冲高,盘中涨幅一度超11%,站稳17万元/吨 关口,最终报收于173660元/吨。 截至2月26日午间收盘,主力合约多头主导的上涨趋势仍未根本扭转。本轮行情的核心驱动,来自供给端突发扰 动、需求基本面反转预期与资金面的三重共振。海外方面,我国核心锂矿进口来源国津巴布韦宣布暂停锂矿出 口,直接加剧全球锂供给收紧预期。国内方面,锂盐厂春节后集中检修导致产能收缩,叠加现货市场持续去化后 的低库存格局,为盘面形成坚实支撑。 三大核心因素推涨碳酸锂 "中国农历春节期间,美国关税政策出现调整,市场普遍预期贸易壁垒高峰阶段已过,提振出口相关市场情绪。同 时,瑞银等机构同期发布报告,旗帜鲜明地看好锂市进入'第三次超级周期',大幅上调锂价预测,进一步激发了 市场做多热情。"方正中期新能源首 ...
碳酸锂站上17万元/吨!津巴布韦锂矿禁令引爆行情,超级周期要来了?|大宗风云
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-26 08:39
2月24日至26日,碳酸锂期货主力2605合约走出一轮连续冲高行情。2月24日,主力合约跳空高开,全天 单边上行,最终收报164120元/吨,单日大涨10.56%;2月25日,多头强势格局延续,主力合约盘中突破 17万元/吨整数关口;2月26日早盘,受海外供给端突发消息刺激,主力合约再度高开冲高,盘中涨幅一 度超11%,站稳17万元/吨关口,最终报收于173660元/吨。 截至2月26日午间收盘,主力合约多头主导的上涨趋势仍未根本扭转。本轮行情的核心驱动,来自供给 端突发扰动、需求基本面反转预期与资金面的三重共振。海外方面,我国核心锂矿进口来源国津巴布韦 宣布暂停锂矿出口,直接加剧全球锂供给收紧预期。国内方面,锂盐厂春节后集中检修导致产能收缩, 叠加现货市场持续去化后的低库存格局,为盘面形成坚实支撑。 三大核心因素推涨碳酸锂 "中国农历春节期间,美国关税政策出现调整,市场普遍预期贸易壁垒高峰阶段已过,提振出口相关市 场情绪。同时,瑞银等机构同期发布报告,旗帜鲜明地看好锂市进入'第三次超级周期',大幅上调锂价 预测,进一步激发了市场做多热情。"方正中期新能源首席研究员魏朝明在接受《华夏时报》记者采访 时表示。 ...
湖南裕能股价跌5.15%,易方达基金旗下1只基金位居十大流通股东,持有855.2万股浮亏损失3112.93万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-26 06:21
2月26日,湖南裕能跌5.15%,截至发稿,报67.10元/股,成交16.34亿元,换手率3.12%,总市值510.50 亿元。 资料显示,湖南裕能新能源电池材料股份有限公司位于湖南省湘潭市雨湖区鹤岭镇日丽路18号,成立日 期2016年6月23日,上市日期2023年2月9日,公司主营业务涉及公司是国内主要的锂离子电池正极材料 供应商,专注于锂离子电池正极材料研发、生产和销售。公司的主要产品包括磷酸铁锂、三元材料等锂 离子电池正极材料,目前以磷酸铁锂为主,主要应用于动力电池、储能电池等锂离子电池的制造,最终应用 于新能源汽车、储能领域等。主营业务收入构成为:磷酸盐正极材料98.04%,其他(补充)1.96%。 从湖南裕能十大流通股东角度 数据显示,易方达基金旗下1只基金位居湖南裕能十大流通股东。易方达创业板ETF(159915)三季度 减持134.9万股,持有股数855.2万股,占流通股的比例为2.21%。根据测算,今日浮亏损失约3112.93万 元。 易方达创业板ETF(159915)成立日期2011年9月20日,最新规模1004.46亿。今年以来收益4.92%,同 类排名3227/5572;近一年收益52. ...
欣旺达目标价涨幅超60%,205股获推荐
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-02-25 12:58
| | | 02月09日至02月23日目标价涨幅排名 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券代码 | 证券名称 | 机构 | 最新评级 | 最高目标价 (元) | 目标涨幅 (%) | | 300207 | 欣旺达 | 东吴证券 | 买入 | 41.00 | 60.28 | | 301358 | 湖南裕能 | 国泰海通证券 | 增持 | 105.64 | 55.79 | | 688099 | 晶晨股份 | 华创证券 | 强推 | 140.23 | 48.74 | | 601390 | 中国中铁 | 中信建投证券 | 买人 | 8.15 | 48.18 | | 600415 | 小商品城 | 国金证券 | 买人 | 21.94 | 45.39 | | 688981 | 中村国际 | 华泰证券 | 买入 | 170.00 | 45.39 | | 600153 | 建发股份 | 中国国际金融 | 跑赢行业 | 13.40 | 44.40 | | 002422 | 科伦药业 | 国泰海通证券 | 增持 | 45.41 | 43.88 | | 600660 ...
1月电池产量同比高增55%,电池ETF(561910)涨超1.79%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-25 03:26
Group 1 - The battery ETF (561910) rose over 1.29%, with notable increases in stocks such as Defu Technology and Tianhua New Energy, which rose over 8% [1] - In January, China's total production of power and energy storage batteries reached 168.0 GWh, marking a year-on-year growth of 55.9% [1] - In January, the combined sales of new energy vehicles in nine European countries reached 209,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 23%, with an electric vehicle penetration rate of 29.4% [1] Group 2 - The State Council issued opinions on improving the national unified electricity market system, aiming for basic completion by 2030 and full completion by 2035 [1] - Many companies in the CSI Battery Index are expected to report positive earnings, with significant profit increases due to rising upstream material prices; for instance, Tianqi Materials and Duofluo reported net profit growth of 230% and 190%, respectively [1] - Leading battery manufacturers also showed strong performance, with Guoxuan High-Tech's net profit increasing by 148% and Penghui Energy's by 191% [1] Group 3 - The forecasted upper limit of net profits for various companies includes: XianDao Intelligent at 1.8 billion with a 529.15% increase, Daoshi Technology at 580 million with a 269.76% increase, and Tianqi Materials at 1.6 billion with a 230.63% increase [2] - The solid-state battery production is expected to enhance industry growth, with a projected 60%+ increase in large storage demand by 2026 due to national capacity compensation pricing policies [2] Group 4 - The battery ETF (561910) tracks the CSI Battery Theme Index, with nearly 40% solid-state battery content and nearly 60% energy storage content, including major players like Ningde Times and Sunshine Power [3] - The ETF covers the entire battery industry chain, including power, storage, and consumer electronics [3]
春节期间硅片区间价格持稳,电池ETF嘉实涨1.17%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-25 02:47
长江证券表示,数据中心储能应用场景主要为配套供电、需求响应及增容、平滑负载三个维度。在高压 供电侧,储能配合主电源供电,或通过削峰填谷及参与电网需求响应或增容;在低压负荷侧,储能可对 冲AI算力负荷脉冲。考虑储能配套光伏供电时,功率为光伏的50%,时长为4h;储能用于需求响应时, 功率为数据中心功率的100%,时长为2h;储能用于负荷侧平滑时,功率为数据中心功率的100%,时长 为0.5h。测算2026-2030年数据中心自建电源对应储能需求量复合增速为23%,中期有望达到150GWh以 上。 截至2月25日10点13分,上证指数涨0.67%,深证成指涨0.74%,创业板指涨0.32%。钢铁、磷化工、特 钢概念等板块涨幅居前。 ETF方面,电池ETF嘉实(562880)涨1.17%,成分股德福科技(301511.SZ)涨超5%,湖南裕能 (301358.SZ)、天华新能(300390.SZ)、中伟新材(300919.SZ)、多氟多(002407.SZ)、道氏技术 (300409.SZ)、容百科技(688005.SH)、厦钨新能(688778.SH)、尚太科技(001301.SZ)、格林 美(002340.SZ ...
电池产业链震荡走高,五矿新能涨超10%
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-02-25 02:24
电池产业链震荡走高, 五矿新能涨超10%, 天际股份、 石大胜华、 湖南裕能、 盟固利纷纷上扬。 ...
锂电产业链双周报(2026年2月第2期):宁德亿纬等推出员工持股及激励计划,美国OBBBA法案细则更新-20260223
Guoxin Securities· 2026-02-23 07:54
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the lithium battery industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The lithium salt price has decreased, while cell prices have increased. As of February 13, the price of lithium carbonate is 144,000 yuan/ton, down 17,000 yuan/ton from two weeks ago. The prices of ternary cathodes, lithium iron phosphate cathodes, electrolytes, and lithium hexafluorophosphate have also decreased, while the prices of anodes and separators remain stable. The prices for square ternary power cells, lithium iron phosphate power cells, and energy storage cells have increased slightly [2][3] - The solid-state battery industry is accelerating, with the first national standard for automotive solid-state batteries expected to be reviewed and approved in April and officially released in July. Companies like Gotion High-Tech and BASF are collaborating to develop solid-state battery technology [3][10] - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the lithium battery industry with low valuations amid improving demand, including CATL, EVE Energy, and others [3] Industry Dynamics - The domestic new energy vehicle sales in January 2026 reached 945,000 units, a slight year-on-year increase but a 45% decrease month-on-month. The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in China is 40.3%, up 1.3 percentage points year-on-year [3] - In January 2026, new energy vehicle sales in nine European countries reached 205,200 units, a 20% year-on-year increase but a 37% month-on-month decrease. The penetration rate in Europe is 30.6%, up 7.1 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The U.S. saw new energy vehicle sales of 77,600 units in January 2026, a 31% year-on-year decrease and a 30% month-on-month decrease, with a penetration rate of 7.0% [3] Company Developments - CATL announced an employee stock ownership plan on February 9, 2026, with a total investment of no more than 743 million yuan, involving approximately 404,680 shares [3][15] - EVE Energy released its seventh stock option and restricted stock incentive plan on February 13, 2026, with a total of 150 million shares to be granted [3][18] - The U.S. Treasury Department updated details on the OBBBA Act on February 12, 2026, tightening certification for specific foreign entities and detailing the calculation of material assistance ratios [3][13][14] Market Performance - Over the past two weeks, the lithium battery sector has increased by 4.1%, while the battery chemicals sector has risen by 4.7%. The lithium-specific equipment sector has decreased by 1.8% [7] - Key stock price changes from February 8 to February 13 include a 1.0% decrease for CATL and a 12.3% increase for Enjie [7]
002326宣布:终止收购
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2026-02-14 07:59
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Yongtai Technology has terminated the acquisition of a 25% stake in Shaowu Yongtai High-tech Materials Co., Ltd. from CATL, which means that CATL's reverse investment in the listed company has fallen through [1][2] - Yongtai Technology announced that it would continue to explore capital operation plans that align with the company's development needs in the future [2] - The company is a manufacturer of fluorine-containing fine chemicals and is one of the few enterprises that span both inorganic and organic fluorochemical industries [2] Group 2 - Yongtai High-tech's main products, such as lithium hexafluorophosphate and lithium bis(fluorosulfonyl)imide, are key materials for lithium battery electrolytes, which are crucial for improving battery conductivity and achieving fast charging [2] - As of November last year, Yongtai Technology disclosed that its solid lithium hexafluorophosphate had an annual production capacity of approximately 18,000 tons, while liquid lithium bis(fluorosulfonyl)imide had a capacity of 67,000 tons, and electrolytes had a capacity of 150,000 tons [2] - The company is currently involved in a lawsuit due to a commercial secret infringement dispute, with the amount in question being 887 million yuan [3] Group 3 - Yongtai Technology's performance forecast indicates a narrowing of net losses attributable to shareholders to between 25.6 million and 48.6 million yuan for 2025, with significant improvements in core operating losses [3] - The demand in the new energy and energy storage sectors is rapidly increasing, leading to a substantial rise in sales and prices of the company's core lithium battery materials, which is a key driver for reducing losses [3]
湖南裕能2026年初限售股解禁与业绩预增引关注
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2026-02-13 08:09
Core Viewpoint - Hunan YN (301358) is facing a large-scale lock-up share release in early 2026 while announcing a profit increase forecast for 2025, leading to active stock performance and institutional interest in its integrated strategy [1] Recent Events - On February 9, 2026, approximately 374 million lock-up shares will be released for trading, accounting for 49.13% of the company's total share capital, involving 15 shareholders. This event may impact stock liquidity and market sentiment [2] Performance and Business Situation - On January 19, 2026, the company announced a profit forecast for 2025, expecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.15 billion to 1.4 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 93.75% to 135.87%, mainly driven by the growth in demand for new energy vehicles and energy storage, product structure optimization, and cost control [3] - The company is continuously advancing its integrated strategy, including the production of phosphate rock projects and global capacity expansion, with an increase in the proportion of new product shipments. Dongwu Securities forecasts a year-on-year growth of over 35% in shipment volume for 2026 [6] Recent Stock Performance - On February 13, 2026, the stock price rose by 2.14% to 68.33 yuan per share, with a total market value of approximately 51.986 billion yuan and a net inflow of 13.2484 million yuan from main funds. On February 12, the stock price increased by 2.03% to 66.29 yuan per share, with a net inflow of 29.7821 million yuan from main funds. Year-to-date, the stock price has increased by 5.68%, with an 11.20% rise over the past 20 days [4] Institutional Perspectives - Huatai Securities reported on January 20, 2026, that the company's fourth-quarter earnings for 2025 exceeded expectations, maintaining a "buy" rating. Guotai Junan Securities, in a report on February 12, 2026, predicted that the company's lithium iron phosphate shipments in 2026 could reach 1.4 to 1.5 million tons, maintaining an "overweight" rating. Institutions are generally focused on the company's integrated layout and the recovery of industry demand [5]