中金发布研报称，双登股份(06960)是国内通信及数据中心储能龙头，公司储能业务服务于数据中心和 电力储能市场，客户包括国内头部云服务商(CSP)以及海外主要的电源设备厂商。首次覆盖给予跑赢行 业评级，目标价22.90港元。 电力储能进入景气度上行周期，行业供需迎拐点 受益国内独立储能经济性改善，以及海外能源结构转型及政策补贴驱动下，该行认为电力储能需求进入 上行周期。行业供需关系3Q25迎来拐点，头部储能电芯厂产能供不应求，中尾部厂商受益于订单外 溢、稼动率亦有改善。受益于供需关系改善，储能电芯价格迎来修复。 公司储能业务聚焦数据中心场景，卡位核心全球头部客户，海外建厂打开成长空间 公司储能业务覆盖数据中心、电力储能场景，数据中心卡位国内头部CSP厂商以及海外头部电源厂商， 根据Frost&Sullivan,2024年在国内/全球数据中心备电市占率位居第一；通过海外建厂，该行看好公司国 际化拓展打开成长空间。 与市场的最大不同 中金主要观点如下： 储能市场空间广阔，全球算力资本开始提升带来储能发展新机遇 伴随储能电池成本下降以及政策加码、全球储能快速发展。细分领域看，数据中心储能，包括备用电 源、调节类储能 ...

Group 1 - The energy storage industry is experiencing a surge in orders, with multiple companies announcing capacity expansions this month [2][8] - Haibosi Technology signed an agreement with CATL to procure a total of no less than 200GWh of products from 2026 to 2035 [2] - Chuangneng New Energy secured a 300MW/1200MWh energy storage project worth 337 million yuan [2] - Pylon Technologies launched a 2GWh energy storage battery project in Hefei, with a total investment of 1 billion yuan [2] - LEAG Clean Power and Fluence are constructing a 1GW/4GWh battery storage project in Germany, marking the first publicly announced GW-level project in the country [2] Group 2 - Battery manufacturers are increasingly placing long-term orders with upstream material suppliers, with Tinci Materials signing contracts to supply 725,000 tons of electrolyte to Zhongchuang and 870,000 tons to Guoxuan [3] - Jiayuan Technology signed a supply agreement with CATL for 626,000 tons of anode current collector materials over the next three years [4] - The increase in orders for upstream materials is leading to rising material prices, with lithium hexafluorophosphate and lithium carbonate prices significantly increasing [4] Group 3 - In October, several significant projects were launched, including a 70GWh lithium battery project by Chuangneng New Energy and a storage factory by Envision in Yichang [5] - Greenme and Xiamen Tungsten signed agreements for the supply of battery raw materials totaling 450,000 tons over the next three years [5] Group 4 - The rapid iteration of battery cell models and increased orders for materials are benefiting equipment manufacturers, with predictions of a return to a prosperous period for equipment suppliers [6] Group 5 - The domestic energy storage market is entering a new cycle due to favorable policies, with large-scale energy storage projects emerging to enhance capacity and consumption [8] - The supply of 100Ah and 314Ah battery cells is currently tight, with production schedules delayed into next year [9] Group 6 - The data center energy storage sector is gaining traction, driven by the rapid growth of AI technology and the increasing energy consumption of data centers [11] - The high energy consumption characteristics of data centers necessitate the installation of large-scale energy storage systems to ensure stable power supply [12]

Background and Policy Changes - The initial market skepticism regarding energy storage demand was influenced by policies such as Document No. 136, which mentioned "no mandatory renewable energy storage." However, actual domestic energy storage configurations are primarily driven by an indicator scoring mechanism rather than being entirely mandatory [5]. - Under market-oriented trading, the real demand for energy storage from solar and wind power continues to increase. Following policy adjustments, energy storage demand has consistently exceeded expectations, leading some companies to announce price increases for storage batteries in Q3, confirming industry prosperity [5]. - The rapid construction of AI data centers, especially in the U.S., has resulted in a surge in grid load, while grid upgrades are slow due to lengthy approval processes and tight equipment capacity. Traditional power sources like gas turbines and nuclear power have long construction cycles of 3-4 years, which cannot match the 1-2 year construction speed of data centers [5]. - China mandates that new data centers must have over 80% of their electricity from renewable sources, while Canada limits AI load to a maximum of 400 megawatts, pushing for wind-solar-storage solutions. NVIDIA's white paper lists energy storage as a standard configuration for data centers, further reinforcing expectations [5]. Data Center Energy Storage Demand - Energy storage advantages include clean energy, quick deployment, low costs, participation in grid frequency regulation/arbitrage, peak load smoothing, and enhanced power supply reliability [5]. - Conservative estimate (10% off-grid penetration): 24 GWh of energy storage demand by 2026. - Neutral estimate (30% penetration): nearly 100 GWh. - Optimistic estimate (70% penetration): over 200 GWh. - Even under conservative estimates, annual energy storage installations in the U.S. (currently about 50 GWh) are expected to increase significantly [5]. - U.S. solar-storage projects typically include 4 hours of storage to balance grid support and redundancy needs. Abu Dhabi's solar-storage data center includes 6 hours of storage, while Google's Belgium project includes 2 hours, and Microsoft's European project includes 80 minutes [5]. Demand Projections - Demand estimates based on a 6-hour storage configuration: - China: 150 GWh by 2025, 250 GWh by 2026 (67% growth), benefiting from data center and wind-solar storage demand. - U.S.: 52 GWh by 2025 (+40%), 82 GWh by 2026 (+58%), with data centers contributing approximately 20 GWh of elasticity. - Europe: 51 GWh by 2026 (+55%), primarily driven by large-scale storage. - Global: 445 GWh of installed capacity by 2026 (+65% year-on-year) [5].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming 2025 Solid-State Battery Industry Conference and the challenges faced by Nandu Power in its financial performance, while highlighting the potential of AIDC projects as a key growth area for the company [4][7][11]. Group 1: Event Overview - The 2025 Solid-State Battery Industry Conference will take place on November 8, 2025, at the Guangzhou Nansha International Convention Center, with over 1000 participants expected [4]. - The event will feature the Solid-State Battery Golden Ding Award ceremony and concurrent exhibitions for solid-state and sodium batteries [4]. Group 2: Nandu Power's Recent Developments - Nandu Power recently won two significant projects, including a lithium battery equipment procurement project in Texas worth 478 million RMB and a 2.8 GWh semi-solid battery energy storage project in Shenzhen and Shanwei [5][6]. - The semi-solid battery technology marks a significant advancement, addressing thermal runaway issues and increasing cycle life to 12,000 cycles with an energy density of 320 Wh/kg [6]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Nandu Power's Q3 revenue was approximately 1.98 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of about 6.2%, with a net profit of approximately 12.17 million RMB, down about 80% [8]. - For the first three quarters, total revenue was around 5.9 billion RMB, a decline of about 24.8%, resulting in a net loss of 220 million RMB [8][9]. Group 4: Strategic Challenges - The company is facing challenges due to a strategic shift that led to reduced production in the recycled lead plate segment, impacting overall performance [9]. - Nandu Power has approximately 8.9 billion RMB in unshipped orders, primarily from large storage projects, with production capacities of 10 GWh for battery cells and 10 GWh for energy storage systems [9]. Group 5: AIDC Project Potential - The global AIDC data center market is rapidly growing, with projections indicating that total electricity consumption will exceed 800 TWh by 2026, making it a competitive field for energy storage companies [12]. - Nandu Power is positioned as a leading player in the AIDC backup power sector, with several significant contracts already secured [13][15].

Financial Performance - The company's revenue for the first three quarters is approximately 5.911 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 24.80%, primarily due to a strategic reduction in the recycled lead segment, which saw a revenue drop of 2 billion CNY [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is approximately -220 million CNY, compared to 247 million CNY in the same period last year, with losses mainly from the recycling segment and a significant reduction in investment income this year [1] - Operating cash flow improved significantly to approximately 860 million CNY, an increase of 1.58 billion CNY compared to -720 million CNY last year [2] Order Status - The company has an unshipped order backlog of approximately 8.9 billion CNY, with large storage orders accounting for about 5.5 billion CNY (4 billion CNY domestic, 1.5 billion CNY overseas) [2] - Data center lithium battery orders are approximately 1.67 billion CNY, all from overseas, while the civil lithium battery market has orders of about 380 million CNY [2] Lithium Battery Production Capacity - Current lithium battery cell production capacity is 10 GWh, with an additional 10 GWh for new energy storage integration [6] - Plans to expand data center lithium battery capacity from 1.5 GWh to a total of 2.5 GWh next year [3] Market Outlook - The North American data center backup battery market demand is expected to be around 20 GWh next year, with global demand projected at 30 GWh [5] - The company is recognized as a qualified supplier for major North American data center clients, anticipating significant growth in product performance [5] Product Development - The company has made progress in semi-solid and all-solid-state battery technologies, with a 2.8 GWh order for independent storage projects [8] - Semi-solid batteries are priced about 15% higher than liquid batteries, but the profit margin remains similar [9] Strategic Direction - The company aims to focus on customer needs and leverage technological innovation to build core competitiveness, adopting a dual-driven model of "technology research + market expansion" [11] - Plans to continue prioritizing lithium batteries while advancing new energy storage, communication, and data center storage businesses [11]

Core Insights - The article discusses the rapid growth of energy storage in data centers, driven by major tech companies like Alibaba and Douyin, as they ramp up AI infrastructure and energy consumption [2][3][6]. Group 1: Alibaba's Energy Storage Initiatives - Alibaba is investing 380 billion in AI infrastructure, expecting data center energy consumption to increase tenfold by 2032 [3]. - To manage this increased energy demand, Alibaba aims to reduce its Power Usage Effectiveness (PUE) from 1.25 to below 1.1, focusing on technologies like immersion cooling, photovoltaic storage systems, and photonic chips [3]. - A joint project with Mingyang Smart Energy will launch in 2024, featuring a 200 MW wind power and a 40 MW/160 MWh energy storage system, with an expected annual output of 797 million kWh [3][4]. Group 2: Douyin's Energy Storage Plans - Douyin plans to procure over 200 MWh of large-scale lithium battery storage and associated wind and solar equipment, with a project launch set for November 2025 [6]. - The energy consumption of Douyin's data centers is among the highest in the internet industry, with a single large data center projected to consume over 1 billion kWh annually in 2024 [7]. Group 3: Industry-Wide Trends - Other tech companies, including Tencent, are also investing in data center energy storage, with Tencent's Tianjin data center expected to produce 12 million kWh of green electricity annually [8]. - By 2030, global data center energy storage capacity is projected to reach 262.5 GWh, with China's market expected to exceed 100 GWh [8]. - Companies like CATL, BYD, and others are positioning themselves to capture market share in the rapidly growing energy storage sector, with a projected domestic market size of 800 GWh over the next three years [10].

Core Insights - The article highlights the rapid transformation in the renewable energy sector driven by AI, particularly in data center energy storage, which is expected to see over a tenfold increase in global installed capacity by 2030 [2] - ByteDance is actively seeking partners to develop a microgrid system that integrates wind, solar, and large-scale energy storage to meet the growing energy demands of its expanding data centers [2][5] Group 1: Data Center Energy Storage - The demand for energy storage in AI-driven data centers (AIDC) is experiencing explosive growth, with ByteDance's recent tender indicating a significant shift in energy management strategies [5] - The project requires bidders to have experience in large-scale lithium battery storage systems and a solid financial background, emphasizing the need for established players in the market [4] - Policies from various government departments are pushing for a green transition in data centers, mandating that by 2030, at least 80% of energy consumed by new data centers should come from renewable sources [7][8] Group 2: AI and Lithium Battery Development - ByteDance's collaboration with BYD aims to leverage AI in lithium battery research, focusing on fast charging, cycle life improvement, and safety performance [10][12] - The AI model BAMBOO developed by ByteDance is enhancing the efficiency of battery research by accurately predicting key performance metrics, thus accelerating the development process [11] - The integration of AI in the lithium battery sector is broadening, with various companies exploring AI applications from manufacturing to lifecycle management, indicating a trend towards smarter battery solutions [13][14]

Core Viewpoint - Penghui Energy (300438.SZ) has indicated that its lithium battery products can be utilized in energy storage applications related to data centers [1] Company Summary - The company is actively engaging in the production of lithium battery products [1] - The application of these products in data center energy storage highlights the company's focus on innovative energy solutions [1] Industry Summary - The energy storage sector, particularly in relation to data centers, is becoming increasingly relevant as demand for efficient energy solutions grows [1] - The integration of lithium battery technology in data centers reflects a broader trend towards sustainable energy practices within the industry [1]

Core Viewpoint - The successful listing of Shuangdeng Co., Ltd. on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange marks it as the first stock in the AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) energy storage sector, with a subscription multiple of 3876.25 times and a first-day stock price increase of over 55% [1] Communication and Data Center Energy Storage - Shuangdeng Co., Ltd. ranks first globally in the shipment volume of energy storage batteries for both communication and data centers in 2024, with market shares of 9.2% in communication base station storage and 16.1% in data center storage [1][2] Business Development and Strategy - The company has evolved from merely providing energy storage cells to becoming a comprehensive system supplier, having developed innovative projects like the first large-scale "backup + recycling" energy storage project for data centers in China [3] - Shuangdeng Co., Ltd. has maintained a multi-technology approach, with rapid growth in lithium-ion battery business and successful orders for sodium-ion battery products [3] Client Relationships and Market Position - The company has established deep partnerships with major global communication operators and equipment manufacturers, including five of the top ten global firms and nearly 30% of the top 100 operators [4] Competitive Advantages - Shuangdeng Co., Ltd. benefits from a fully controllable supply chain, producing its own cells and battery management systems, which enhances cost efficiency and reliability [4] - The company has built long-term trust with clients through consistent product quality and financial health, ensuring stability and profitability [4] Growth Philosophy - The company emphasizes a balanced approach between strengthening and expanding its business, actively investing in resource allocation to maintain competitive advantages [5] - The recent IPO is aimed at leveraging capital markets to accelerate business expansion while maintaining a focus on sustainable growth [5][6] Future Investments - The funds raised from the IPO will be directed towards establishing a lithium battery manufacturing base in Southeast Asia and ongoing research into sodium-ion and solid-state batteries [6] - Shuangdeng Co., Ltd. has prioritized talent development, fostering a young leadership team to sustain innovation and growth [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the successful IPO of Shuangdeng Group Co., Ltd., a leader in data center energy storage solutions, emphasizing its unique business model and growth trajectory in the context of the global energy storage market [3][4]. Company Overview - Shuangdeng Group was listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on August 26, with an IPO price of HKD 14.51 per share, reaching a market capitalization of up to HKD 93.79 billion (approximately RMB 85.9 billion) [3]. - The company specializes in energy storage solutions for communication base stations, data centers, and power systems, positioning itself as a critical player in ensuring stable power supply amidst fluctuations [3][4]. Business Growth and Market Position - In 2024, Shuangdeng Group is projected to achieve the highest global shipment volume in communication and data center energy storage batteries, serving five of the top ten global telecom operators and 80% of leading data center companies in China [3][4]. - The company has seen a significant shift in revenue, with data center energy storage business revenue surpassing traditional communication base station business for the first time in 2025 [4][12]. Leadership Transition - The transition of leadership from founder Yang Shanjin to his son Yang Rui marked a strategic shift, focusing on AI-driven data center energy storage as a new growth avenue [4][10]. - Yang Rui's academic background and strategic vision have been pivotal in navigating the company through technological changes and market challenges [6][10]. Financial Performance - From 2022 to 2024, Shuangdeng's revenue grew from RMB 40.72 billion to RMB 44.99 billion, with a notable increase in the data center segment, which saw a compound annual growth rate of 34.9% [12][16]. - The company's gross margin improved from 16.9% in 2022 to a peak of 20.3% in 2023, although it faced a decline due to rising raw material costs in 2024 [17]. Global Expansion Strategy - Shuangdeng has expanded its operations internationally, with overseas revenue increasing from RMB 6.8 billion in 2022 to RMB 8.9 billion in 2024, accounting for nearly 20% of total revenue [19][21]. - The establishment of an international headquarters in Singapore and a production facility in Malaysia reflects the company's strategic focus on the Southeast Asian market, which is becoming a hub for data center development [19][20]. Industry Trends - The global demand for data center energy storage is expected to grow significantly, with projections indicating a compound annual growth rate of 52.7% from 2024 to 2030 [12]. - The shift towards multi-center global digital infrastructure is reshaping the competitive landscape, with Shuangdeng positioned to capitalize on these trends through its innovative solutions and strategic partnerships [20][21].