智通财经APP获悉，申洲国际(02313)涨超4%，截至发稿，涨4.6%，报65.9港元，成交额2亿港元。 该行续指，申洲国际管理层近期已给予保守预期，料2025年下半年销量增长放缓至中单位数，低于该行 先前预期的高单位数。该行认为，管理层预测已大致反映耐克谨慎前景所带来的影响。不过，该行预期 耐克对申洲国际2026年的销售订单将持平，而非下跌。基于四大客户的订单能见度，申洲国际在2026年 仍有望实现高单位数销量增长。 消息面上，近日，据市场媒体报道，鞋材大厂日胜化年前(2025年)法说会上指出，随下半年Nike等国际 大厂鞋材订单回温，加上新产品今年陆续发酵，营收、获利均看正向。花旗此前表示，耐克指引2026财 年第三季收入将有低单位数下跌，符合市场预期的下跌1%。在第二财季业绩中，北美市场呈现强劲复 苏，收入上升9%，主要由批发业务增长24%带动，但增长很大程度上被大中华区收入下跌16%所抵消。 该行认为若申洲国际股价因耐克的谨慎展望而出现回调，将会是更好的买入机会。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Schroders PLC has reduced its stake in Shenzhou International (02313) by selling 706,900 shares at a price of HKD 63.1557 per share, totaling approximately HKD 44.6448 million, resulting in a new holding of about 120 million shares, representing 7.97% of the company [1] Group 1 - Schroders PLC sold 706,900 shares of Shenzhou International on February 12 [1] - The sale price per share was HKD 63.1557, leading to a total transaction value of approximately HKD 44.6448 million [1] - After the reduction, Schroders PLC's remaining shares in Shenzhou International are approximately 120 million, equating to a 7.97% ownership stake [1]

Core Viewpoint - Schroders PLC has reduced its stake in Shenzhou International (02313) by selling 706,900 shares at a price of HKD 63.1557 per share, totaling approximately HKD 44.6448 million, resulting in a new holding of about 120 million shares, representing 7.97% of the company [1] Group 1 - Schroders PLC sold 706,900 shares of Shenzhou International on February 12 [1] - The sale price per share was HKD 63.1557, leading to a total transaction value of approximately HKD 44.6448 million [1] - After the reduction, Schroders PLC's remaining shares in Shenzhou International are approximately 120 million, equating to a holding percentage of 7.97% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Consumption ETF (159735) has shown positive growth in both share count and fund size since the beginning of the year, indicating increased investor interest and market activity [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Performance - As of February 12, 2023, the Hong Kong Consumption ETF has a total share count of 1.09 billion and a total size of 941 million yuan [1]. - The fund's share count has increased by 18.49% and its size has grown by 29.67% since December 31, 2022, when the share count was 920 million and the size was 726 million yuan [1]. Group 2: Trading Activity - The cumulative trading amount for the Hong Kong Consumption ETF over the last 20 trading days is 1.973 billion yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 98.67 million yuan [1]. - In the year to date, the cumulative trading amount over 30 trading days is 2.655 billion yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 88.51 million yuan [1]. Group 3: Fund Management - The current fund manager of the Hong Kong Consumption ETF is Li Yixuan, who has managed the fund since its inception on May 25, 2021, with a return of -12.98% during the management period [2]. - The fund's top holdings include Pop Mart, Yum China, Anta Sports, Nongfu Spring, WH Group, Haier Smart Home, Shenzhou International, Midea Group, Li Ning, and Mengniu Dairy, with varying ownership percentages [2].

Group 1: Core Insights - The report highlights the growth of the silver economy, particularly in the home appliance and light industry sectors, driven by the increasing demand for elderly care products enhanced by AI technology [7][8] - The demand for home care products is expected to rise significantly, with projections indicating that sales of home care devices for elderly individuals living alone will reach 14 million units by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 16% [7] - The report identifies three main categories of home care products: life care, emotional companionship, and health safety, which are essential for meeting the needs of the aging population [7] Group 2: Industry Analysis - The home care device segment is positioned as a critical entry point into the elderly care ecosystem, with advancements in AI technology improving monitoring and alert systems for elderly individuals [7] - The report discusses the potential market for elderly care robots, estimating that the market size for care robots in both domestic and international markets could reach tens of billions, driven by the increasing number of elderly and disabled individuals [8] - Smart mattresses are identified as a promising product category, with the domestic mattress market expected to reach approximately 65.9 billion RMB by 2024, and smart mattresses projected to increase their market penetration significantly [9] Group 3: Company Highlights - The leading company in the elderly care technology space is Yingzi Network, which offers a comprehensive home care solution through its "Yingzi Elderly Smart Body" product, integrating various functionalities such as health data monitoring and safety alerts [8] - Other notable players in the elderly care robot market include Ousheng Electric, which specializes in basic care robots, and major technology companies like Midea Group and Haier, which are expanding their product offerings in the elderly care sector [8] - The report emphasizes the strong growth potential for companies involved in the production of smart mattresses, with leading brands like Xilinmen and Mousse Holdings making significant advancements in AI-driven sleep solutions [9]

证券研究报告 | 首次覆盖报告 gszqdatemark 2026 02 13 年 月 日 晶苑国际（02232.HK） 订单品类扩充，产能效率提升，制造龙头稳健成长 公司是服饰制造行业龙头之一，未来业务规模有望持续扩张。1）公司合作下游龙 头品牌公司，包括优衣库、Levis、GAP、Adidas 等，所生产的产品品类包括休闲 服、运动服及户外服、牛仔服、贴身内衣、毛衣、以及针织布料。2）2024 年公司 收入同比+13%至 24.7 亿美元/净利润同比+23%至 2.0 亿美元，2025H1 收入同 比+12%至 12.3 亿美元/净利润同比+17%至 0.98 亿美元，预计未来效率提升及 订单增长有望持续驱动公司业绩增长。 产能：积极布局一体化产业链，产能持续扩张以匹配订单需求。1）公司国际化布 局较早，目前员工人数约 8 万人，每年合计成衣出货量超过 4.7 亿件，2024 年末 在越南、中国、孟加拉国、柬埔寨、斯里兰卡的员工占比分别达到 54.3%/16.1%/11.3%/11.9%/5.9%。2）2024~2025 年间公司持续补充产能、招 聘员工，预计效率爬坡与提升将在 2026 年继续体现。我们 ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price range of HKD 9.15 to HKD 9.57, corresponding to a PE ratio of 12.6 to 13.2 for 2026, indicating a potential upside of 23% to 29% [4]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the apparel manufacturing industry, with a diverse product range and a strong growth outlook. Revenue is expected to increase by 13% year-on-year to USD 2.47 billion in 2024, with net profit rising by 23% to USD 200 million [1][15]. - The company has a well-established international presence, with approximately 80,000 employees and an annual output of over 470 million garments. The production capacity is set to expand further to meet growing order demands [2][15]. - The company has a stable customer base, with significant contributions from major clients like Fast Retailing Group, which accounts for over one-third of its order revenue. The sportswear segment is experiencing rapid growth, driving overall revenue increases [3][15]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a leading apparel manufacturer with a wide range of products including casual wear, sportswear, outdoor clothing, denim, intimate apparel, sweaters, and knitted fabrics. It has a robust growth trajectory with expected revenue and profit increases in the coming years [1][15]. Capacity Expansion - The company is actively expanding its integrated supply chain and production capacity to match order demands. It has a global workforce and is investing in automation and vertical integration to enhance efficiency and market share [2][4][15]. Orders and Client Relationships - The company has a diversified client structure, with major clients contributing significantly to its revenue. The sportswear category is a key growth driver, supported by long-term partnerships with leading brands [3][15]. Financial Analysis and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of USD 2.74 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 10.9%. Net profit is expected to reach USD 232 million, reflecting a 15.7% increase [5][3][15]. Dividend Policy - The company has a stable cash flow, with a dividend payout ratio historically between 30% and 50%. The payout ratio is expected to increase to 70% in 2024, indicating potential for further dividend growth [4][27].

Market Overview - The textile and apparel sector in A-shares has outperformed the broader market since February, with the textile manufacturing segment rising by 3.6% compared to a 2.0% increase in brand apparel [11] - The Hong Kong textile and apparel index has increased by 4.4% since February, also outperforming the market [11] - Notable companies with significant stock price increases include Under Armour (14.9%), Amer Sports (9.7%), and Jiangnan Buyi (9.6%) [11] Brand Apparel Insights - In December, the year-on-year growth of clothing retail sales was 0.6%, with a slowdown in growth compared to previous months [5] - January saw a 32.5% decline in operating income for sports retailer BaoSheng International, indicating pressure on overall clothing retail [5] - E-commerce sales rebounded in January, driven by promotional activities and pre-Spring Festival purchasing [5] - Outdoor apparel categories showed strong growth, with year-on-year increases of 17% for outdoor clothing and 5% for sports apparel [5] - Leading brands in growth include Lululemon (47%), Descente (29%), and Adidas (16%) in the sports apparel segment [5] Textile Manufacturing Insights - Vietnam's textile exports increased by 8.3% year-on-year in January, while footwear exports rose by 7.8% [5] - The macroeconomic environment shows mixed signals, with PMI in Indonesia and India rising, while Vietnam's PMI decreased slightly but remains above 50 [5] - Wool prices have increased by 15.3% since the beginning of the year, with a year-on-year increase of 54.9% as of February 5 [5] - Taiwanese companies are experiencing short-term revenue pressure but show optimistic growth prospects, particularly with the upcoming 2026 World Cup driving demand for football-related products [5] Company Performance Forecasts - Several companies in the textile and apparel sector, including Bailong Dongfang and Tianhong International, are expected to see net profit growth of over 40% [2] - Key drivers for profit growth include increased order volumes, improved capacity utilization, and lower raw material costs [2] - Le Xin Outdoor, a leading global fishing gear manufacturer, is projected to maintain a 23.1% market share in 2024 [2] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on brands that are likely to benefit from the Spring Festival sales surge and the performance elasticity of upstream suppliers [5] - High-end consumer recovery is anticipated, particularly in the light luxury sports and outdoor segments [5] - Companies such as Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Xtep International are recommended for their strong positioning in the market [5] - The report highlights the importance of the upcoming 2026 World Cup in driving orders for sports apparel and footwear [5]

Market Overview - The textile and apparel sector in A-shares has outperformed the broader market since February, with the textile manufacturing index rising by 3.6% and the brand apparel index by 2.0% [11] - The Hong Kong textile and apparel index has increased by 4.4% since February, also outperforming the market [11] - Notable companies with significant stock price increases include Under Armour (14.9%), Amer Sports (9.7%), and Jiangnan Buyi (9.6%) [11] Brand Apparel Insights - In December, the year-on-year growth of clothing retail sales was 0.6%, with a slowdown in growth compared to previous months [5] - January saw a 32.5% decline in operating income for sports retailer BaoSheng International, attributed to the timing of the Spring Festival [5] - E-commerce sales in January rebounded, driven by promotional activities and pre-holiday purchases, with outdoor apparel leading growth at 17% year-on-year [5] - Key brands showing strong growth in the sports apparel category include Lululemon (47%), Descente (29%), and Adidas (16%) [5] Textile Manufacturing Insights - Vietnam's textile exports increased by 8.3% year-on-year in January, while footwear exports rose by 7.8% [5] - The macroeconomic environment shows mixed signals, with PMI in Indonesia and India rising, while Vietnam's PMI slightly decreased but remains above 50 [5] - Wool prices have increased by 15.3% year-to-date, with a year-on-year increase of 54.9% as of February 5 [5] - Companies like RuHong and GuangYue are experiencing revenue growth due to order continuity and optimized production structures [5] Annual Performance Forecasts - Several companies in the textile and apparel sector, including Bailong Dongfang and Tianhong International, have issued profit forecasts indicating over 40% growth in net profit [2] - Factors contributing to this growth include full order books, improved capacity utilization, and declining raw material costs [2] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on brands that are likely to benefit from the Spring Festival sales surge and the performance elasticity of upstream suppliers [5] - High-end consumer recovery is anticipated, particularly in the light luxury sports and outdoor segments [5] - Key recommendations include Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Xtep International, which are well-positioned to capture market growth [5] Key Company Earnings Forecasts - Anta Sports is rated "Outperform" with an expected EPS of 4.72 for 2025 and 4.98 for 2026 [6] - Li Ning is also rated "Outperform" with an expected EPS of 1.01 for 2025 and 1.08 for 2026 [6] - Other companies such as Xtep International and 361 Degrees are similarly rated "Outperform" with positive earnings forecasts [6]

2月12日，港股开盘小幅受压，恒指低开跌0.2%，国企指数跌0.19%，科指开跌0.47%。港股消费板块开 盘后表现震荡，港股通消费ETF华夏（513230）现跌超0.5%，打开低位布局通道。持仓股涨跌互现，上 涨方面，泡泡玛特、申洲国际、周大福、康耐特光学、李宁、巨子生物等涨幅靠前；百威亚太、新秀 丽、老铺黄金等跌幅靠前。 "史上最长春节假期"叠加"请5休15"拼假热潮，为2026年新春文旅市场注入强劲动力。近期多平台发布 了春节旅游消费趋势报告。数据显示，春节机票、酒店等文旅产品预订延续"量价齐升"态势。分段错峰 游引领出行新潮流，品质消费升级点亮体验新场景，出入境双向增长拓宽文旅新边界。与往年相比，今 年春节是个"大年"，消费需求将更加旺盛，电商平台通过科技赋能、促销活动等进一步点燃了春节消费 热潮。春节消费旺季大幕拉开，各地促消费政策密集出台，为全年消费市场的"开门红"注入强劲动力。 港股通消费ETF华夏（513230）跟踪中证港股通消费主题指数，一键打包消费龙头，成分股近乎囊括港 股消费的各个领域，包括泡泡玛特、百胜中国、安踏体育、农夫山泉、蜜雪冰城等消费龙头。 2月12日，商务部办公厅发布关于做好 ...