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Stock markets open flat ahead of Christmas closing
BusinessLine· 2025-12-24 04:39
Market Performance - Benchmark equity indices Sensex and Nifty experienced a rally in early trade, with Sensex rising by 115.8 points to 85,640.64 and Nifty increasing by 40.7 points to 26,217.85, driven by positive global market trends and domestic institutional investor buying [1] - Among the gainers in the Sensex firms were Bajaj Finance, NTPC, Trent, Bharat Electronics, Adani Ports, and Eternal [1] - Conversely, Tech Mahindra, Infosys, HCL Tech, and Sun Pharma were identified as laggards [2] Global Market Trends - Asian markets showed positive performance, with South Korea's Kospi, Japan's Nikkei 225, Shanghai's SSE Composite, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng indices all trading positively [2] - US markets also ended higher on the previous Tuesday [2] Domestic Economic Outlook - As 2025 approaches its end, the market is expected to enter a consolidation phase with an upward bias, supported by strong domestic macros and positive earnings growth expectations for Q3 and Q4 of FY26 and FY27 [3] - Sustained domestic inflows and consistent buying by domestic institutional investors (DIIs) are anticipated to provide resilience to the market, although foreign institutional investors (FIIs) may sell during rallies, limiting sharp breakouts [3] RBI Actions - The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced an additional Open Market Operation (OMO) of ₹2 lakh crore to enhance liquidity and reduce yields, which is expected to positively impact credit growth and banking stocks [4] - The OMO purchases and dollar-rupee swap auctions will take place between December 29, 2025, and January 22, 2026, with the RBI committed to monitoring liquidity and market conditions [5] - This announcement follows a recent OMO purchase of ₹1 lakh crore and a $5 billion USD/INR swap auction [6] Investment Flows - On the previous Tuesday, foreign institutional investors offloaded equities worth ₹1,794.80 crore, while domestic institutional investors purchased equities worth ₹3,812.37 crore, indicating a divergence in investment behavior [6]
聚焦价值周期股、人工智能与政策驱动主题-Focusing on Value Cyclicals, AI, and Policy-Driven Themes
2025-12-20 09:54
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry and Company Overview - The conference call focuses on the **Asia Strategy Baskets** provided by Goldman Sachs, which aim to offer investors a platform for generating ideas and tracking Asian equities through various macroeconomic and thematic lenses [1][40]. Core Themes and Insights Value Cyclicals and GARP - The strategy favors **Growth at a Reasonable Price (GARP)** and **Value Cyclicals** due to uncertainty around market pricing of Federal Reserve cuts, resilient emerging market growth, and above-average equity valuations. GARP has delivered an **8%** and **18%** excess return over the past **3** and **6 months** respectively [4][7]. Macro Divergence - The strategic competition between the **US** and **China** is driving **US reindustrialization**, which is expected to create investment opportunities for Asian companies in the US supply chain. This theme is preferred over European and Chinese sales exposure due to growth headwinds in Europe and China's shift towards targeted stimulus [8][15]. Shareholder Yield - Policy-driven improvements in dividends, buybacks, return on equity (ROE), and governance in **China**, **Korea**, and **Japan** support the recommendation for **High Dividend Yield with Growth**. Key themes include **China Shareholder Return Portfolio**, **Korea Dividend Tax Reform**, and **Japan Buyback Momentum** [9][17]. Earnings Momentum - Dynamic earnings revision factors have consistently delivered alpha across market cycles, with **Consensus Revision Winners vs. Losers** showing a **31 percentage point** year-to-date (YTD) performance and **Strong vs. Weak Earnings Revisions** showing a **43 percentage point** YTD performance [10][23]. Regional Structural Themes AI Beneficiaries - The call highlights the importance of **AI infrastructure** and applications, recommending investments in **AIGC Hardware**, **Semiconductors**, and **Internet/Software** due to strong fundamentals and accelerated adoption [12][27]. Power Up Asia - The strategy emphasizes investments in **Nuclear** for clean baseload power, **Renewables** supported by China's policies, and core holdings in **Power & Electricity** for stable earnings and attractive valuations [12][33]. Defense Spending - Rising geopolitical risks are expected to benefit **Aerospace & Defense** and **Non-Core Defense Suppliers**, making them a hedge against geopolitical uncertainties [12][29]. Market-Specific Themes China - Targeted policies continue to support strategic areas, including the **China 15th Five-Year Plan Portfolio** and **Prominent 10** [11][35]. Korea - Governance reforms and value-up programs support dividend tax reform and treasury share cancellations [14][31]. India - The focus is on domestic themes such as self-sufficiency, mass-consumption revival, and new economy sectors, with an upgrade to **Overweight** for India in November [14][37]. Additional Insights - The call emphasizes the importance of monitoring macroeconomic conditions, liquidity, and borrowing constraints when trading the discussed baskets, as past performance is not indicative of future results [41]. This summary encapsulates the key themes and insights from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the investment strategies and market dynamics discussed.
Sensex falls over 300 pts, Nifty below 25,750 amid trade pact worries
The Economic Times· 2025-12-18 04:10
Market Overview - The S&P BSE Sensex fell over 300 points, trading below 84,300, while the NSE Nifty 50 slipped below 25,750 [1][14] - The Nifty and Sensex have declined about 0.9% over the past three sessions, pressured by worries over foreign fund outflows and the rupee's slide to record lows amid stalled progress on an India-U.S. trade agreement [2][14] Foreign Institutional Investment - Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) returned to the buy side, snapping an eight-session selling streak, purchasing equities worth approximately Rs 1,172 crore on December 17, while domestic institutional investors were also net buyers with purchases of roughly Rs 769 crore [4][14] - Despite FII buying and net institutional buying, the market drifted down, possibly due to FIIs increasing their short positions, indicating a near-term sell on rally strategy [6][14] Economic Indicators - Concerns exist regarding the potential for the Japanese central bank to raise rates, which could trigger a reversal of the 'yen carry trade' and lead to further selling by FIIs [7][14] - The Indian rupee edged higher, rising 6 paise to 90.32 against the U.S. dollar, as investors assessed the Reserve Bank of India's intervention in currency markets [13][14] Global Market Trends - Asian stocks fell, with MSCI's broad Asia-Pacific index excluding Japan dropping 0.5%, and major markets like South Korea, Hong Kong, and Japan experiencing declines [8][14] - U.S. equity futures showed slight gains after a tech-led decline on Wall Street, with Nasdaq futures rising 0.3% and S&P 500 futures gaining 0.2% [8][14] Commodity Market Developments - Oil prices advanced as traders weighed the risk of tighter global supply due to potential new sanctions on Russian crude exports and disruptions from a blockade of Venezuelan oil tankers [11][12][14] - Precious metals cooled after a strong rally, with spot gold slipping 0.3% to $4,330 an ounce and silver easing 0.2% to $66.17 [9][14]
Stock markets open lower on foreign fund outflows, weak global trends
BusinessLine· 2025-12-15 04:43
Market Overview - Equity benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty declined in early trade due to a weak trend in global markets and persistent foreign fund outflows, with Sensex down 384.39 points to 84,883.27 and Nifty down 122.9 points to 25,924.05 [1] - Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) offloaded equities worth ₹1,114.22 crore, while Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) bought stocks worth ₹3,868.94 crore [4] Sector Performance - Major laggards from Sensex firms included Mahindra & Mahindra, Bharti Airtel, Trent, NTPC, Bajaj Finserv, and Power Grid [2] - Gainers included Asian Paints, Hindustan Unilever, UltraTech Cement, Bharat Electronics, and Tata Steel [2] Global Market Influence - Asian markets are trading lower, led by declines in Japan and South Korea, as investors await key economic data releases from China and the US [3] - US markets ended lower on Friday, contributing to the cautious sentiment in Asian markets [3] Currency and Commodities - The Indian Rupee depreciated 9 paise to an all-time low of 90.58 against the US dollar [5] - Brent crude oil prices increased by 0.52% to $61.43 per barrel [5]
Sensex tanks 610 pts; Nifty slips below 26K
Rediff· 2025-12-08 12:35
Market Overview - Equity benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty experienced significant declines after two days of gains, driven by profit-taking among investors and continued selling by foreign investors [1][4] - The BSE Sensex fell by 609.68 points (0.71%) to close at 85,102.69, while the NSE Nifty dropped by 225.90 points (0.86%) to settle at 25,960.55 [4] Investor Sentiment - Analysts noted that investors adopted a defensive stance ahead of the US Federal Reserve's policy decision, which negatively impacted market sentiment [3][6] - Despite strong domestic growth figures and a recent rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), short-term sentiment is clouded by global monetary policy concerns, persistent foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows, and currency depreciation [8] Sector Performance - Among the Sensex constituents, several companies such as Bharat Electronics Ltd, Tata Steel, and Bajaj Finance were among the laggards, while Tech Mahindra and HDFC Bank were the only gainers [5] - The market saw a broad-based decline, with the Nifty slipping below the 26,000 mark as caution prevailed among investors [6] Foreign Investment Activity - Foreign institutional investors offloaded equities worth ₹438.90 crore, while domestic institutional investors purchased stocks worth ₹4,189.17 crore [9] Global Market Context - Other Asian markets showed mixed performance, with South Korea's KOSPI rising by 1.34% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng index falling by 1.23% [9] - The surge in Japanese bond yields to multi-year highs raised concerns about potential unwinding of the yen carry trade, contributing to market volatility [8] Commodity Prices - Brent crude oil prices decreased by 0.61% to $63.37 per barrel, reflecting broader market trends [10]
Stock markets drop for 4th session amid FII outflows
The Times Of India· 2025-12-04 01:29
Market Performance - Stock markets experienced a decline for the fourth consecutive day, with the benchmark Sensex falling by 31 points to settle at 85,107 points [2][3] - The Sensex opened lower and dropped by 375 points, reaching a low of 84,763 due to profit-taking [2][3] - The NSE Nifty index decreased by 46 points, closing at 25,986, after a flat start and remaining range-bound for most of the session [2][3] Influencing Factors - Persistent foreign fund outflows negatively impacted investor sentiment [2][3] - The Indian rupee breached the psychological level of 90 to the dollar, contributing to the market's decline [2][3] Company-Specific Movements - Bharat Electronics saw the largest decline among Sensex firms, falling by 2% [2][3] - Other major laggards included Mahindra & Mahindra, Titan, NTPC, State Bank of India, Adani Ports, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, and Bajaj Finserv [2][3] Recovery Efforts - Gains in the IT sector and blue-chip companies such as ICICI Bank and HDFC Bank helped the Sensex recover some losses in the pre-close session [2][3]
Sensex dips 31 points amid relentless foreign fund outflows
Rediff· 2025-12-03 11:09
Stock market benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty ended lower in a largely range-bound trade on Wednesday amid persistent foreign fund outflows and profit-taking by investors.Photograph: Francis Mascarenhas/ReutersFalling for the fourth day in a row, the 30-share BSE Sensex dipped 31.46 points or 0.04 per cent to settle at 85,106.81.During the day, it dropped 374.63 points or 0.44 per cent to 84,763.64. The 50-share NSE Nifty skidded 46.20 points or 0.18 per cent to 25,986.From the Sensex firms, Bharat Electr ...
Stock markets trade lower in early deals amid relentless foreign fund outflows
The Hindu· 2025-12-03 05:29
Market Performance - Equity benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty declined in early trade on December 3, 2025, with the Sensex dropping 165.35 points to 84,972.92 and the Nifty declining 77.85 points to 25,954.35, marking the fourth consecutive day of decline [1] - The Sensex fell 503.63 points, or 0.59%, to settle at 85,138.27, while the Nifty declined 143.55 points, or 0.55%, to 26,032.20 on December 2, 2025 [4] Investor Activity - Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) offloaded equities worth ₹3,642.30 crore on December 2, 2025, while Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) bought stocks worth ₹4,645.94 crore [2] Currency and Economic Sentiment - The Indian rupee fell 6 paise to a record low of 90.05 against the U.S. dollar, contributing to fragile market sentiment [3] - Market sentiment remains pressured due to FII outflows, a weak rupee, and pressure on banking stocks, as noted by Prashanth Tapse from Mehta Equities Ltd [3] Sector Performance - Major laggards from the Sensex firms included Hindustan Unilever, Bharat Electronics, Titan, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, NTPC, and State Bank of India [2] - Gainers included Tata Consultancy Services, Infosys, Tech Mahindra, and ICICI Bank [2] Global Market Context - In Asian markets, South Korea's Kospi and Japan's Nikkei 225 were in positive territory, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng index traded lower [3] - U.S. markets ended higher on December 2, 2025, providing a contrasting backdrop to the Indian market's performance [3] Commodity Prices - Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, was quoted at $62.43 per barrel, reflecting a slight change of 0.03% [4]
上方承压:工业硅&多晶硅日评20251203-20251203
Hong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-12-03 01:58
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The current silicon market maintains a pattern of weak supply and demand, and there is still pressure on the upside of silicon prices. Attention should be paid to the subsequent registration of new warehouse receipts and the actual start - up of silicon enterprises [1]. - For polysilicon, the downstream replenishment willingness is limited, and there is great pressure for the spot price to continue to rise, which suppresses the upside space of the futures price. Attention should be paid to the implementation of the polysilicon platform and the evolution of macro - sentiment [1]. 3. Summary of Relevant Catalogs Industrial Silicon - **Price Information**: The average price of non - oxygenated 553 (East China) remained flat at 9,350 yuan/ton compared with the previous day, the average price of 421 (East China) industrial silicon increased by 0.51% to 9,800 yuan/ton, and the closing price of the futures main contract decreased by 1.86% to 8,975 yuan/ton [1]. - **Supply - demand Situation**: In terms of supply, the suspension of production of silicon enterprises in the southwest production period has basically been implemented, and the start - up is at a low level within the year. The start - up in the north is relatively stable, and it is expected that the industrial silicon output will fluctuate slightly around 400,000 tons in December. In terms of demand, polysilicon enterprises maintain a production reduction trend, silicone enterprises have reached a joint production reduction mechanism, which may reduce the demand for industrial silicon, and silicon - aluminum alloy enterprises purchase as needed. The overall willingness of downstream enterprises to stock up at a low level is limited [1]. - **Investment Strategy**: The trading strategy is range - bound operation [1]. Polysilicon - **Price Information**: The price of N - type dense material remained flat at 51 yuan/kg compared with the previous day, the price of N - type re - feeding material remained flat at 52.35 yuan/kg, the price of N - type mixed material remained flat at 50.50 yuan/kg, the price of N - type granular silicon remained flat at 50.5 yuan/kg, and the closing price of the futures main contract decreased by 2.41% to 56,315 yuan/ton [1]. - **Supply - demand Situation**: On the supply side, polysilicon enterprises maintain a production reduction trend, and some polysilicon plants may have new production capacity put into operation. After offsetting the increase and decrease, it is expected that the output will still increase slightly in October, but the output in November will decrease to about 120,000 tons month - on - month. On the demand side, the prices of the industrial chain are under pressure to decline. Although the polysilicon price is still strong, the market transactions are relatively light, there are few new transactions, and the downstream has a strong resistance to high - price resources [1]. - **Investment Strategy**: The trading strategy is to wait and see for the time being [1]. India's Photovoltaic Market Information - **New - installed Capacity Forecast**: JK Research predicts that India will add about 41.5GW of photovoltaic installed capacity in the fiscal year 2026 (the 12 - month period ending on March 31, 2026), including about 32GW in large - scale power station projects, about 8GW in rooftop photovoltaics, and about 1.5GW in off - grid systems. From January to September 2025, India added about 22.5GW of large - scale photovoltaic installed capacity, a year - on - year increase of 70.3%, and about 5.8GW of rooftop photovoltaic installed capacity, a year - on - year increase of 81.6%. It is expected that about 15.68GW of large - scale photovoltaic projects will be connected to the grid from October 2025 to March 2026 [1]. - **Top Developers**: As of September 30, 2025, the top five developers in India in terms of cumulative installed and under - construction project capacity are Adani (40.5GW), ReNew (22.9GW), NTPC (16.9GW), Greenko (15.4GW), and JSW Energy (15.12GW) [1]. - **Inverter Supply**: In the third quarter of 2025 (July - September), India added 8.06GW of large - scale photovoltaic installed capacity and 2.7GW of rooftop photovoltaic installed capacity. In terms of inverter supply, Sungrow ranked first with a supply of 3.76GW, TBEA followed closely with a supply of 3.1GW, and Sineng ranked third with a supply of 2.6GW [1].
ONGC Q2 profit down 18% on low oil price, to pay Rs 6/share dividend
The Economic Times· 2025-11-11 01:30
Revenues from operations fell 2.5% to ₹33,031 crore in the July–September quarter. The company declared an interim dividend of ₹6 per equity share for the current fiscal year, with a total payout of ₹7,548 crore.ONGC realised a crude oil price of $67.34 per barrel from its nominated fields during the quarter, down 14% from a year earlier, while realisation from joint venture fields fell 12.3%. Natural gas price realisation from nominated fields was 3.8% higher at $6.75 per mmbtu. However, average prices fr ...