Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The AI industry continues to show strong trends, with companies like MiniMax and Zhiyu AI passing hearings, indicating ongoing interest and investment in AI technologies [2] - The coffee and tea beverage sector remains vibrant, with brands actively opening new stores despite seasonal fluctuations [4] - E-commerce is facing pressure due to a challenging domestic consumption environment, leading to a lackluster performance [4] - Music streaming platforms are highlighted as valuable internet assets driven by domestic demand, suggesting a focus on subscription models [4] - The virtual asset market is experiencing limited catalysts, with ongoing market anxiety and weak capital inflows [4] - The automotive service sector is expanding, with significant milestones such as Tuhu's workshop count surpassing 8000 [4] - The report emphasizes the importance of cash flow in technology leaders, particularly in the AI sector, while cautioning against potential overinvestment [4] Summary by Sections 1.1 Consumer & Internet - Coffee and tea beverage sector shows a +0.18% increase in the Hang Seng non-essential consumption index, outperforming the Hang Seng index by -0.32 percentage points [9] - Notable stock performances include Mixue Group (+6.78%) and Luckin Coffee (+0.47%), while others like Bawang Tea and Xiaomian faced declines [9] 1.2 Platform & Technology 1.2.1 Streaming Platforms - The Hang Seng media index decreased by 0.59%, underperforming both the Hang Seng index and technology index [18] - Key stock performances include iQIYI (+3.24%) and Spotify (+0.38%), while Tencent Music saw a decline of -1.98% [18] 1.2.2 Virtual Assets & Internet Brokers - As of December 26, the global cryptocurrency market cap reached $30,205 billion, up 1.76% [22] - Bitcoin and Ethereum prices were $87,306 and $2,926.70, reflecting slight declines of -0.9% and -1.7% respectively [22] 1.2.3 Automotive Services - The Hang Seng composite index fell by -1.21%, with notable stock performances such as Zhongsheng Holdings (+2.25%) and Advance Auto Parts (-12.87%) [30] 1.2.4 O2O - The Hang Seng internet technology index dropped by -2.86%, with significant declines in stocks like Beike (-6.62%) and Didi Global (+4.57%) [34] 1.2.5 AI & Cloud - The Nasdaq internet index increased by +0.92%, with Nvidia (+5.27%) and TSMC (+4.81%) showing strong performances [39] 1.3 Media - The Shenwan first-level media index remained nearly flat with a -0.1803% change, with advertising marketing showing the largest gains [41] - Key stock performances include Xindong Company (+5.22%) and Perfect World (+3.09%) [41]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - There is a divergence in the outlook for the cryptocurrency market in 2026 among leading global crypto institutions, primarily concerning the existence of Bitcoin's four-year market cycle and the uncertainty of the U.S. interest rate cuts [1][11] - The transition of crypto mining companies to AI data centers is seen as a positive trend, with companies expected to benefit from the growing demand for AI computing power [3][38] - The U.S. is expected to see significant developments in asset tokenization and prediction markets, which may drive the next wave of crypto market growth [4][46] Summary by Sections 1. Observing the Fed's Rate Cut Rhythm - The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies fell by 8.6% in 2025, with Bitcoin's price declining by 6.1%, marking the first year to break a three-year growth streak [2][12] - The price of Bitcoin is correlated with global M2 growth rates, which are currently weaker than in previous cycles, suggesting that the performance of the industry in 2026 will depend on the pace and scale of monetary easing by major economies [2][16] 2. U.S. Crypto Mining Transitioning to AI Data Centers - The cost of Bitcoin mining has risen significantly, with the average cost including depreciation reaching $111,557 per BTC, exceeding the current Bitcoin price [3][39] - The U.S. energy department anticipates a need for an additional 100GW of peak power supply by 2030, with a significant portion allocated for data centers, making the transition of mining companies to AI services a natural choice [3][38] 3. U.S. Rapidly Advancing Asset and Prediction Market Tokenization - The Nasdaq has applied to the SEC to launch tokenized stocks, with expectations for tokenized stocks to trade alongside traditional stocks by the third quarter of 2026 [4][46] - The monthly betting amounts on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have surged from under $100 million in early 2024 to over $13 billion by November 2025, indicating explosive growth in demand for event contracts [4][48] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with substantial self-owned power capacity, low debt ratios, and low market value per watt of power, as well as those collaborating with major firms like Google and Amazon [5][43] - It also recommends prioritizing investments in leading cryptocurrency companies during this cyclical opportunity [5]

Core Insights - This year has seen a significant increase in crypto IPOs, driven by retail interest, political support, and a reopened U.S. IPO market [1] - Companies from various sectors, including exchanges and stablecoin issuers, are actively pursuing public listings, leading to a crowded IPO calendar [1] Group 1: Notable IPOs and Market Activity - Coinbase's Nasdaq debut in 2021 was the only major IPO success for the crypto industry until this year [2] - Circle, the issuer of USDC, and crypto exchange Bullish are notable companies that attempted to go public via SPACs before successfully listing [2] - Circle's initial SPAC merger attempt in 2021 valued the company at up to $9 billion but was terminated in late 2022 due to market conditions [3] Group 2: Market Reception and Performance - Circle's NYSE debut was highly popular, leading to trading halts within the first hour, although its momentum has since slowed due to Federal Reserve interest rate changes [4] - Bullish also experienced a significant increase in share price upon its public listing in August, following a similar SPAC background as Circle [5] - eToro, while not exclusively a crypto company, saw its valuation rise to $5.4 billion after its Nasdaq debut in May, despite scaling back its crypto offerings [5] Group 3: IPO Aspirations and Challenges - Not all companies have successfully completed their IPOs this year; FalconX is reportedly considering an IPO but has not filed any paperwork with the SEC [6]

Core Insights - Coinbase experienced a significant security breach in May, where hackers bribed employees to steal sensitive customer data and demanded a ransom of $20 million, with potential remediation costs estimated at $400 million [1][4]. Group 1: Security Breach Details - The breach involved bribing contractors or employees outside the US to access customer information [1][4]. - The incident is noted as one of the most high-profile security breaches in the crypto trading platform sector [1][4]. Group 2: Law Enforcement Actions - Coinbase's CEO, Brian Armstrong, announced the arrest of a former customer service agent in India, linked to the breach [2][5]. - The company is collaborating with law enforcement to address bad behavior and has seen recent legal actions, including charges against an individual accused of running an impersonation scheme targeting Coinbase customers [5]. Group 3: Market Impact - Following the news of the breach and subsequent arrests, Coinbase's shares fell approximately 1.2% to $236.79, with a year-to-date decline of around 4.6% [5].

Group 1 - Coinbase Global, Inc. closed at $236.90, reflecting a -1.18% change from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500, which lost 0.03% [1] - Over the past month, Coinbase shares have decreased by 9.53%, contrasting with the Finance sector's gain of 4.37% and the S&P 500's gain of 2.57% [1] - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show earnings of $1.08 per share, a year-over-year decline of 68.14%, with projected revenue of $1.94 billion, down 14.61% from the same quarter last year [2] Group 2 - For the full year, earnings are projected at $7.96 per share and revenue at $7.33 billion, indicating increases of +4.74% and +11.68% respectively from the prior year [3] - Recent adjustments to analyst estimates for Coinbase are important as they reflect short-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating optimism about the business outlook [4] - The Zacks Rank system, which assesses stock performance based on estimate changes, currently ranks Coinbase Global, Inc. at 3 (Hold), with the consensus EPS estimate having decreased by 0.45% in the past month [5][6] Group 3 - Coinbase Global, Inc. has a Forward P/E ratio of 30.11, which is a premium compared to the industry average of 12.43 [7] - The Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, part of the Finance sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 102, placing it in the top 42% of over 250 industries [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]

Group 1: Lighter Protocol - Lighter Protocol is set to launch its LIT token by the end of the year after raising $68 million from notable investors including Peter Thiel's Founders Fund and Andreessen Horowitz [2] - The decentralized exchange operates on a custom Ethereum Layer-2 zero-knowledge rollup, capable of processing tens of thousands of orders per second with a latency of 5 milliseconds, rivaling Coinbase [2] - Lighter has a total value locked (TVL) of $1.4 billion and has generated $2.94 billion in trading volume over the last 30 days [3] - An airdrop of 250 million LIT tokens is anticipated, with Polymarket odds for this event exceeding 90% [3] - Pre-market trading shows LIT priced around $3.48, with conservative targets of $5-$6 (40-70% upside) and bullish scenarios reaching $15+ (330%+ upside) if it captures 30-40% market share [4] Group 2: VeChain - VeChain completed its Hayabusa hard fork on December 19, transitioning to Delegated Proof-of-Stake and achieving MiCAR compliance under EU regulations [5] - The upgrade introduced StarGate 2.0 staking, increasing yields for active stakers from 2% to over 9% [5] - VeChain supports over 350 active business applications in sectors such as logistics and pharmaceuticals, with total value locked increasing by 800% in Q3 2025 to $6.1 million [6] - Currently trading at $0.053, conservative targets are set at $0.055 (4% upside), while bullish forecasts could reach $0.37 (600% upside) if EU Digital Product Passport mandates drive mass adoption [6] Group 3: Algorand - Algorand is trading at $0.11, down 95% from its all-time highs, but the launch of AlgoKit 3.0 is attracting developers due to its near-instant finality and low transaction costs [7] - The platform can handle nearly 1 million transactions per day and is positioned for Central Bank Digital Currency infrastructure and real-world asset tokenization [7] - Conservative forecasts suggest a price of $0.14 (27% upside), while bullish scenarios could see it reach $1.35 (1,100% upside) if a major nation selects Algorand for CBDC infrastructure [8] Group 4: Hedera - Hedera, governed by Google, processes over 10,000 transactions per second with a finality of 3-5 seconds and average fees of $0.0001 [10] - Currently trading at $0.11 with a market cap of $4.5 billion, Hedera has attracted ETF applications that may lead to increased institutional capital inflows [10] - Conservative price targets are set at $0.25 (120% upside), while bullish forecasts could reach $1.05 (850% upside) if ETF approval and enterprise adoption accelerate [10]

Core Viewpoint - Coinbase is positioned to benefit from the growth of prediction markets and asset tokenization, which could lead to a significant recovery in its stock price despite current weaknesses in the crypto market [1] Group 1: Emerging Growth Drivers - The rise of prediction markets is identified as a key growth driver for Coinbase [1] - Asset tokenization is also highlighted as a significant factor that could enhance Coinbase's market position [1]

Group 1 - Haixi New Drug (02637) rose nearly 5%, being a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company with integrated R&D, production, and sales capabilities, and a pipeline of innovative drugs under development [1] - Paige Biopharma-B (02565) increased over 4.1%, with cornerstone investors holding a total of 9.5845 million H shares, accounting for approximately 3.43% of the company's total issued H shares [1] - Naxin Micro (02676) surged over 5% to reach a new high of 118.4 HKD, operating under a fabless model focused on chip R&D and design, outsourcing wafer manufacturing and most packaging testing [1] - Huaxin Building Materials (06655) rose 1.46%, with a major shareholder planning to increase its A-share holdings by no less than 200 million RMB and no more than 400 million RMB within six months [1] Group 2 - Dairy stocks saw an uptick, with Modern Farming (01117) rising 6.21% and Youran Dairy (09858) increasing 6.29%, following the Ministry of Commerce's announcement of temporary countervailing measures against EU dairy imports [2] - Gakos-B (01167) rose over 2.7% after announcing a collaboration with AstraZeneca on its self-developed Pan-KRAS inhibitor JAB-23E73 [2] - Junda Co. (02865) increased over 4.1% after announcing a strategic investment in Shangyi Optoelectronics, focusing on perovskite battery technology applications in space energy [2] - Qiming Medical-B (02500) rose nearly 6% after submitting all application materials for CE MDR certification of its Cardiovalve system in Europe [2] Group 3 - Brain Dynamics-B (06681) saw a slight increase of 0.32%, participating in a national major science and technology project focused on the prevention and treatment of cancer and cardiovascular diseases [3] - Hesai Technology (02525) rose over 3.3% after announcing a strategic partnership with Meituan drones for mass production of its second-generation solid-state lidar [4] Group 4 - Hut8 (HUT.US) continued to rise by 4.13%, with a total increase of 37% over three trading days, following an upgrade of its target price to 85 USD by StoneX [5] - Unusual Machines (UMAC.US) surged 9.24%, with a total increase of 45% over three trading days, after receiving a 3.75 million USD order from Performance Drone Works [5] - Hycroft Mining (HYMC.US) opened with a 10.69% increase, having risen 460% since September, due to successful exploration drilling confirming high-grade silver continuity [6] - Sony (SONY.US) rose 2.1% after acquiring a 41% stake in Peanuts Holdings for 630 million CAD, which holds the rights to the Peanuts comic [7] - Novo Nordisk (NVO.US) increased by 7.3% after the FDA approved its first oral GLP-1 weight loss drug, Wegovy, set to launch in January at a starting price of 149 USD per month [7] - ZIM Integrated Shipping Services (ZIM.US) rose 5.78% as the board evaluates multiple acquisition proposals from strategic investors [7]

Today, Bitcoin falls following the release of new economic data that came in well above expectations. The digital asset community reacts to key crypto ally Senator Cynthia Lumis announcing her retirement. And former CFTC acting chair Caroline Fam discusses what she hopes to achieve in her new roles at Moon.Welcome to CNBC's Crypto World. I'm Talia Kaplan. Major cryptocurrencies in the red despite the release of new economic data that came in well above expectations.As of noon Eastern, Bitcoin slid to the $8 ...

RT Jay Yu 🐟 (@0xfishylosopher)i read + annotated the entire 300+ page Messari 2026 thesis on a long-haul flight so you didn’t have to…my thoughts + takeaways:> the entire thing took me about 3hrs to cover back to back (better than expected). My 3 fav essays were “crypto money”, “tradfi x crypto”, and “decentralized Internet finance”. Covers 80% of the trends that happened this year. Honorable mentions on the crypto x AI and DePIN pieces. there’s an entire encyclopedia of the top50 chains that you can skim, ...