KIMBERLY - CLARK CAGNY 2026 Forward-Looking Statements Certain matters contained in this presentation concerning our plans and expectations regarding the pending mergers with Kenvue and the pending International Family Care and Professional ("IFP") joint venture transaction with Suzano ("IFP Transaction"), the business outlook, including raw material, energy and other input costs, the anticipated charges and savings from the 2024 Transformation Initiative, cash flow and uses of cash, growth initiatives, inn ...

Brazil’s Suzano, one of the world’s top exporters of pulp, plans to keep production below full capacity through 2026 as a weakening US dollar hurts revenue, CEO Joao Alberto Abreu said https://t.co/vmRBmv6cMY ...

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is a daily paper pulp report dated February 4, 2026 [1][2] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - The previous settlement price of the SP2605 contract of pulp futures was 5300 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 5276 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.45%. The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp in the Shandong wood pulp market was 4700 - 5600 yuan/ton, with the price remaining stable compared to the previous trading day's closing price. The quotation of Shandong Yinxing was 5370 - 5380 yuan/ton [7] - Suzano announced a price increase of $10/ton in the Asian market in February 2026, and the external market quotation continued to rise. In November, the chemical pulp shipments of 20 pulp - producing countries in the world decreased by 6.9% year - on - year, softwood pulp decreased by 7.6% year - on - year, and hardwood pulp decreased by 7.3% year - on - year, with a significant decline in shipments to the Chinese market. In December 2025, the total wood pulp inventory in European ports was 1.5086 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 8.6% and a year - on - year increase of 4.4%. The total pulp imports in December 2025 were 3.113 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 4.1% and a year - on - year decrease of 3.8%. As of January 29, 2026, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports was 2.1199 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 4.96% [8] - On the demand side, the pulp procurement rhythm of downstream paper mills slowed down, some small and medium - sized factories showed signs of closing for the holiday, and the trading atmosphere in the spot market became lighter. In the short term, pulp prices were restricted by the sector and weak downstream procurement, and the overall trend was a wide - range shock [8] Group 3: Industry News - On February 2, a fire broke out at Qian'an Boda Paper Co., Ltd. in Tangshan, Hebei Province. This fire was expected to cause short - term supply disruptions in the northern copy paper market. After the production line of Boda Paper stopped, the supply of copy paper in the North China region would directly decrease, and the market might experience a temporary supply shortage. However, the northern copy paper market was supported by the production capacity of leading enterprises such as APP, Sun Paper, Chenming Paper, and Asia Pulp & Paper, with sufficient overall supply elasticity. Since the fire only affected a single enterprise, it was not expected to cause a significant nationwide price fluctuation [9]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the pulp industry is "观望" (wait - and - see). Given the current situation where bullish factors on the supply side and bearish factors on the demand side are intertwined, along with significant macro - fluctuations in commodities, it is recommended to observe cautiously [4]. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The pulp market is currently influenced by a combination of multiple factors. Supply - side factors are relatively strong, demand - side factors are neutral to bearish, and inventory factors are bearish. Overall, the market lacks clear - cut trends, and it is advisable to wait and see before making investment decisions [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Main Views and Strategy Overview - **Supply**: Supply factors are strong. APP has raised global pulp prices by $20 per ton, and Suzano has announced a $10 per - ton price increase. APRIL plans unplanned maintenance shutdowns on selected pulp production lines from February to March 2026, with an expected production reduction of about 150,000 tons [4]. - **Demand**: Demand factors are neutral to bearish. The price of household paper has continued to rise this week, while the price of coated paper has fallen. The prices of offset paper and white cardboard have remained stable. Paper production has slightly decreased due to maintenance, and most paper mills have gradually completed pre - Spring Festival inventory preparations [4]. - **Inventory**: Inventory factors are bearish. As of January 29, 2026, the inventory of mainstream pulp ports in China was 2.169 million tons, a cumulative increase of 101,000 tons from the previous period, a month - on - month increase of 4.9%. Port inventory has been increasing for four consecutive weeks [4]. - **Investment View**: Given the current situation where bullish supply - side and bearish demand - side factors are intertwined, along with significant macro - fluctuations in commodities, it is recommended to observe cautiously [4]. - **Trading Strategy**: For the single - side trading, the view is bearish. For arbitrage, it is necessary to monitor overseas pulp mill inventory levels and domestic finished paper prices [4]. 3.2 Review of Futures and Spot Market Conditions - **Futures Market**: Pulp futures have continued to perform weakly this week. The price of hardwood pulp has slightly declined, and the basis of softwood pulp has slightly strengthened. With the lack of positive drivers in the pulp futures market and a weakening of macro sentiment, it is expected to continue its weak performance next week [8]. - **Spot Market**: The price of hardwood pulp has softened, and the basis of softwood pulp has weakened. The price of softwood pulp (Silver Star) is 5,300 yuan per ton, a week - on - week decrease of 50 yuan per ton and a month - on - month decrease of 150 yuan per ton. The price of softwood pulp (Buzhen) is 4,650 yuan per ton, a week - on - week decrease of 50 yuan per ton and a month - on - month decrease of 170 yuan per ton. The price of hardwood pulp (Goldfish) is 4,550 yuan per ton, a week - on - week decrease of 70 yuan per ton and a month - on - month increase of 100 yuan per ton [17]. - **External Quotes**: In January, the external quote for softwood pulp increased. Chile's Arauco Company's January softwood pulp offer was $710 per ton, an increase of $10 per ton; the offer for hardwood pulp (Star) was $590 per ton, an increase of $20 per ton; the offer for natural pulp (Venus) was $620 per ton, remaining unchanged. The APP Group has increased pulp prices by $20 per ton in all global markets [19]. - **Open Interest**: As of January 30, 2025, the total open interest of pulp futures contracts was 372,546 lots, a 7% increase from the previous week; the open interest of the main pulp futures contract was 277,027 lots, a 6% increase from the previous week [21]. 3.3 Fundamental Data of Pulp Supply and Demand - **Imports**: In December, the import volume of hardwood chips increased significantly. The total pulp import volume was 3.246 million tons, a 23.99% increase; the softwood pulp import volume was 725,000 tons, a 4.92% increase; the hardwood pulp import volume was 1.765 million tons, a 33.88% increase; the hardwood chip import volume was 1.49 million tons, a 55.69% increase [6]. - **Inventory**: Pulp port inventory has increased, and futures warehouse receipts have slightly increased. As of January 29, 2026, the inventory of mainstream pulp ports in China was 2.169 million tons, a cumulative increase of 101,000 tons from the previous period, a month - on - month increase of 4.9%. The inventory at the delivery warehouse was 104,500 tons, a 4.30% increase [6]. Overseas pulp mill inventory days are basically stable. In late November, the inventory of commodity pulp suppliers in 20 countries was 46 days. The inventory days of bleached softwood pulp were 49 days, and the inventory days of bleached hardwood pulp were 45 days [37]. - **Downstream Demand**: The prices of wood - pulp paper products have remained stable. As of January 30, 2026, the price of offset paper was 4,725 yuan per ton, unchanged week - on - week; the price of coated paper was 4,660 yuan per ton, unchanged week - on - week; the price of household paper was 5,875 yuan per ton, unchanged week - on - week; the price of white cardboard was 4,269 yuan per ton, unchanged week - on - week. In December 2025, the production volume of paper products increased significantly month - on - month. The production of offset paper was 867,400 tons, a 9.7% month - on - month increase and a 15.8% year - on - year increase; the production of coated paper was 409,200 tons, a 4.3% month - on - month increase and a 21.1% year - on - year increase; the production of household paper was 858,600 tons, a 3% month - on - month increase and a 10.2% year - on - year increase; the production of white cardboard was 1.125 million tons, a 4.4% month - on - month increase and a 30.4% year - on - year increase [42][51]. - **Overseas Market**: In December 2025, European demand for softwood pulp was 198,600 tons (a 7.1% month - on - month decrease and an 8.3% year - on - year decrease); demand for hardwood pulp was 476,000 tons (an 11.59% month - on - month decrease and a 2.55% year - on - year increase). European pulp inventory decreased. In December 2025, the softwood pulp inventory was 222,800 tons (a 6.93% month - on - month increase and a 0.71% year - on - year increase); the hardwood pulp inventory was 493,800 tons (a 9.59% month - on - month increase and a 15.53% year - on - year increase) [79]. - **Price Spreads**: The basis of softwood pulp has weakened, and the 5 - 9 spread has remained flat. As of January 30, 2026, the basis of Shandong Silver Star was 0 yuan per ton, an increase of 48 yuan per ton from the previous week; the basis of Shandong Goldfish was - 750 yuan per ton, an increase of 28 yuan per ton from the previous week. As of January 23, 2026, the pulp 5 - 9 spread was - 44 yuan per ton, unchanged from the previous week [85].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2025, the company achieved approximately 2% volume-led organic growth, with 3% volume plus mix growth in Q4 despite a slowdown in global weighted average category growth to about 60 basis points [38][39] - Adjusted free cash flow for the year was $1.9 billion, consistent with previous estimates, indicating strong cash generation capabilities [39] - The company reported industry-leading gross productivity at 6.2% of Adjusted COGS, peaking at 7.2% in Q4, exceeding expectations [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The personal care business led productivity improvements, with significant progress in baby and childcare categories, reducing product platforms from 30 to 11 [16] - Innovations in personal care, such as Huggies' new products, contributed to share gains in key markets, with Huggies gaining nearly 50 basis points of share in Brazil in Q4 [23][28] - The company maintained healthy margins and strong exit momentum in Q4, with broad-based volume-led organic growth across all IPC focus markets [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In China, the company gained over 900 basis points of share in diapers over the past five years, while local competitors shifted focus to other markets [21] - The international personal care business saw broad-based share gains, with all focus markets delivering volume-led organic growth in Q4 [22] - The North American market demonstrated resilience, with positive volume mix-led growth for three consecutive years, despite competitive pressures [27][28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is pivoting towards higher growth, higher margin personal care categories, including the sale of its Brazilian tissue operations and PPE business [4] - The acquisition of Kenvue is seen as a strategic move to enhance growth and create a consumer-centric health and wellness leader [5][6] - The company aims to achieve $2.1 billion in annual synergies from the Kenvue acquisition, with a focus on cost synergies and EPS accretion [7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate a challenging environment, emphasizing a commitment to innovation and brand support [11][19] - The outlook for 2026 includes expectations for mid- to high-single-digit constant currency adjusted EPS growth, driven by the Kenvue acquisition and ongoing operational improvements [46][47] - The company anticipates continued pressure on consumers and a focus on value, but remains optimistic about its growth initiatives [11] Other Important Information - The company has made significant investments in its North American manufacturing footprint, including a $2 billion investment to enhance its supply chain [16] - The Powering Care strategy has created a virtuous cycle of growth, enabling the company to maintain resilience amid external challenges [10][12] - The company has improved its cash conversion cycle significantly, moving from 6 days in 2021 to around negative 10 days by the end of 2025 [43] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the expectations for the Kenvue acquisition? - The company expects the Kenvue acquisition to enhance growth and create significant value for shareholders, with a focus on achieving synergies and integrating the brands effectively [7][45] Question: How is the company addressing competitive pressures? - Management highlighted a disciplined approach to innovation and marketing, which has allowed the company to maintain market share and drive growth despite competitive challenges [19][27] Question: What is the outlook for 2026? - The company projects mid- to high-single-digit constant currency adjusted EPS growth for 2026, supported by strong operational performance and the Kenvue acquisition [46][47]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2025, the company achieved approximately 2% organic growth, supported by 3% volume plus mix growth, despite a slowdown in global weighted average category growth to roughly 60 basis points in Q4 [38][39] - Adjusted Free Cash Flow for the year was $1.9 billion, consistent with previous estimates, indicating strong cash generation capabilities [39] - The company reported industry-leading gross productivity at 6.2% of Adjusted COGS for the year, peaking at 7.2% in Q4, exceeding expectations [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Personal Care business led the way in productivity improvements, with significant progress in delivering high-performing products at lower costs [16] - Innovations in the Personal Care segment, such as Huggies' new products, contributed to strong volume-led organic growth, particularly in key markets like China and Brazil [22][24] - The company exited a large private label diaper contract in North America, which impacted the overall performance but was part of a strategic realignment [38] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the international Personal Care business, the company gained over 900 basis points of share in diapers over the past five years, while local competitors have struggled [20] - The company saw broad-based share gains in international focus markets, with all focus markets delivering volume-led organic growth in Q4 [22] - In North America, the company achieved a volume plus mix growth of 1.8% in Q4, with Personal Care growing value share by 20 basis points for the year [28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on transforming into a pure-play Personal Care company, pivoting its portfolio towards higher growth and higher margin categories [4] - The acquisition of Kenvue is seen as a strategic move to enhance growth and create a consumer-centric health and wellness leader [5][7] - The company aims to leverage its operating momentum to create significant value for shareholders and improve care standards for consumers globally [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate a challenging environment, citing strong execution of the Powering Care strategy as a key driver of success [19] - The outlook for 2026 includes expectations for mid- to high-single-digit constant currency growth in Adjusted Operating Profit, supported by a robust pipeline of initiatives [46][47] - Management acknowledged ongoing consumer pressure and a focus on value, indicating that these factors will persist in the near term [11] Other Important Information - The company has made significant investments in its North American manufacturing footprint, including a $2 billion investment to enhance its capabilities [16] - The integration of Kenvue is being led by a dedicated team, with strong progress reported in the early stages [18] - The company has achieved a strong cash conversion cycle improvement, going from 6 days in 2021 to around negative 10 days at the close of 2025 [43] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the expectations for the Kenvue acquisition? - Management expects the Kenvue acquisition to create significant value and enhance growth, with a target of generating $2.1 billion in annual synergies net of reinvestment [7][51] Question: How is the company addressing competitive pressures? - The company is focused on out-innovating and out-marketing competitors, maintaining a disciplined approach to brand investments and consumer engagement [19][27] Question: What is the outlook for Adjusted EPS growth? - The company anticipates double-digit growth in Adjusted EPS from continuing operations on a constant currency basis, driven by the Kenvue acquisition and ongoing operational improvements [47][48]

POWERING CARE Forward-Looking Statements Certain matters contained in this presentation concerning our plans and expectations regarding the pending mergers with Kenvue and the pending International Family Care and Professional ("IFP") joint venture transaction with Suzano ("IFP Transaction"), the business outlook, including raw material, energy and other input costs, the anticipated charges and savings from the 2024 Transformation Initiative, cash flow and uses of cash, growth initiatives, innovations, mark ...

Core Insights - Kimberly-Clark Corporation reported fourth quarter and full year 2025 results, showcasing momentum from its innovation-driven growth strategy and significant efficiencies that support brand reinvestment and shareholder returns [1][2]. Financial Performance - Fourth quarter net sales were $4.1 billion, down 0.6%, with organic sales growth of 2.1% offset by a 2.5% decline due to exiting the private label diaper business in the US [4][11]. - Gross margin improved to 35.9% from 35.2% year-over-year, with an adjusted gross margin of 37.0%, consistent with the prior year [5][12]. - Operating profit for the quarter was $507 million, up from $420 million, with adjusted operating profit increasing 13.1% to $629 million [6][10]. - Diluted earnings per share (EPS) attributable to Kimberly-Clark were $1.50, a 11.9% increase from the prior year, while adjusted EPS rose 24.0% to $1.86 [10][18]. Yearly Overview - For the full year 2025, net sales totaled $16.4 billion, a decrease of 2.1%, primarily due to divestitures and currency translation impacts [11][12]. - The full year gross margin was 36.0%, down from 37.4% in the previous year, with an adjusted gross margin of 37.3% [12][13]. - Operating profit for the year was $2.4 billion, consistent with the prior year, while adjusted operating profit remained at $2.7 billion [13][24]. - Diluted EPS for the year was $6.07, down from $7.55, but adjusted EPS increased 3.2% to $7.53 [18][39]. Business Segment Results - North America segment net sales decreased 3.0% in Q4, driven by the exit of the private label diaper business, while organic sales growth was 0.8% [21][22]. - International Personal Care segment net sales increased 4.2% in Q4, with organic sales growth of 4.5% [25][26]. - For the full year, North America segment net sales were down 2.4%, while International Personal Care segment net sales decreased 0.9% [22][26]. Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - Cash provided by operations was $2.8 billion, down from $3.2 billion, with capital spending increasing to $1.1 billion [29]. - The company returned $1.8 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, completing share repurchases of 1.1 million shares at a cost of $141 million [29]. 2026 Outlook - The company expects organic sales growth in 2026 to align with or exceed the average growth in its competitive categories, forecasting a mid-to-high single-digit growth rate for adjusted operating profit [30]. - Adjusted EPS from continuing operations is anticipated to grow double digits on a constant-currency basis, driven by a projected 30% increase in income from equity companies [30].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive" (maintained) [6] Core Insights - The industry is at a valuation and profit bottom, with pulp prices expected to rise due to the US dollar interest rate cut cycle [1][12] - The supply of commodity pulp is tightening, with limited new overseas capacity expected after 2025, while domestic self-sufficient pulp production is increasing [2][19] - Short-term demand remains resilient, driven by Chinese demand, but structural impacts from self-sufficient pulp projects may suppress commodity pulp demand in the medium term [2][25] - Current inventory levels are relatively low, supporting strong price expectations for Q1 2026 [3][41] - Cost differences in pulp production are significant, with domestic pulp relying heavily on imported wood chips [3][33] Summary by Sections Section 1: Market Cycle and Price Dynamics - The pulp and paper cycle is at a bottom, with historical price performance indicating a potential rebound [1][11] - As of January 16, paper prices are at historical low percentiles, while pulp prices are also low, providing a safety margin for the industry [1][11] - The US dollar's depreciation is expected to stimulate demand and drive pulp prices upward [12] Section 2: Supply and Demand Analysis - Commodity pulp supply is slowing, with global capacity at approximately 36.14 million tons as of 2024, and utilization rates around 90% [2][19] - Domestic self-sufficient pulp production is projected to add about 6.6 million tons in 2025-2026, primarily from vertical integration projects [24] - Global demand for hardwood pulp is expected to remain resilient, with a year-on-year increase of 7% in shipments driven by China [25][26] Section 3: Inventory Levels - Global hardwood pulp producer inventory days are at 44.7 days, indicating a relatively low stock level [3][37] - China's main port inventory has decreased to 1.906 million tons, reflecting strong demand and continuous inventory reduction [41] Section 4: Cost Structure - The cash cost of domestic pulp production varies significantly based on the source of wood chips, with costs around $480 per ton for imported wood and $420 per ton for domestic wood [3][33] - The cost structure is influenced by the production of self-sufficient pulp, which may lead to increased domestic wood chip prices [44] Section 5: Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include Sun Paper, Nine Dragons Paper, Xianhe Paper, and Bohui Paper, which have strong cost control and high self-sufficient pulp ratios [4][56][57][58]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The soft - commodity and fresh - produce sectors have different market logics and trading strategies. For example, Zheng sugar has limited downside space and is recommended for light - position short - term long positions; pulp has limited upside space and is advised to go short on rallies [3]. - In the fresh - produce sector, apples are expected to have a slow upward trend in the overall price center, and long positions can be held cautiously; jujubes are in a situation of supply and demand both being strong, and different trading strategies are proposed according to different positions [7][9]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 First Part: Sector Strategy Recommendation - **Fresh - produce Futures**: For Apple 2605, it is recommended to hold long positions cautiously, with a support range of 8800 - 8900 and a pressure range of 11000 - 11500. For Jujube 2605, short - term buying on dips is recommended, with a support range of 8700 - 9000 and a pressure range of 9500 - 9800 [17]. - **Soft - commodity Futures**: For Sugar 2605, light - position short - term long positions are recommended, with a support range of 5200 - 5230 and a pressure range of 5350 - 5380. For Pulp 2605, short - position operations within the range are recommended, with a support range of 5300 - 5350 and a pressure range of 5550 - 5700. For Double - offset Paper 2605, range operations are recommended, with a support range of 4000 - 4100 and a pressure range of 4300 - 4350. For Cotton 2605, long positions can be held cautiously, with a support range of 13500 - 13600 and a pressure range of 15400 - 15500 [17]. 3.2 Second Part: Market News Changes - **Apple Market**: In November 2025, the export volume of fresh apples increased. As of January 8, 2026, the inventory in the main producing areas decreased year - on - year. The spot price in Shandong and Shaanxi remained stable, and the sales area was also stable [18]. - **Jujube Market**: As of January 11, the sample - point inventory decreased month - on - month. The acquisition in the producing areas was basically over, and the market was expected to enter a peak sales period with the approach of the festival [21]. - **Sugar Market**: India, Thailand, and Brazil have different production and export situations. The global sugar supply is relatively sufficient, and the international sugar price is expected to be weak [22]. - **Pulp Market**: The price of needle and broad - leaf pulp increased, and the supply pressure gradually eased, but the upward space was limited due to the weak downstream market [3]. - **Double - offset Paper Market**: The operating rate of double - offset paper enterprises increased, the inventory decreased, but the overall demand was still under pressure [4]. - **Cotton Market**: In December 2025, the export volume of Bangladeshi clothing and Chinese textiles and clothing had different year - on - year and month - on - month changes [30]. 3.3 Third Part: Market Review - **Futures Market Review**: The closing prices, daily changes, and daily change rates of Apple 2605, Jujube 2605, Sugar 2605, Pulp 2605, and Cotton 2605 are provided [31]. - **Spot Market Review**: The spot prices, month - on - month changes, and year - on - year changes of apples, jujubes, sugar, pulp, double - offset paper, and cotton are presented [36]. 3.4 Fourth Part: Basis Situation No specific content summary provided in the given text, only relevant figure references. 3.5 Fifth Part: Inter - month Spread Situation - Apple 5 - 10 spread is expected to be oscillating strongly, and buying on dips is recommended. - Jujube 9 - 1 spread is expected to be range - oscillating, and it is recommended to wait and see. - Sugar 5 - 9 spread is expected to be oscillating, and it is recommended to wait and see. - Cotton 5 - 9 spread is expected to be oscillating weakly, and selling on rallies is recommended [55]. 3.6 Sixth Part: Futures Position Situation No specific content summary provided in the given text, only relevant figure references. 3.7 Seventh Part: Futures Warehouse Receipt Situation - The warehouse receipt quantities, month - on - month changes, and year - on - year changes of apples, jujubes, sugar, pulp, and cotton are given [84]. 3.8 Eighth Part: Option - related Data No specific content summary provided in the given text, only relevant figure references.