伊朗已有超百名安全人员在骚乱中丧生 这是1月6日在伊朗首都德黑兰街头拍 摄的反对美国和以色列的宣传海报。 图据新华社客户端 伊朗政府1月11日宣布为骚乱期间死难的"烈士"举行为期三天的全国哀悼，并号召民众于12日举行游行 以表达对"恐怖犯罪分子"暴力行为的谴责。另据美国官员消息，美国总统特朗普将于13日与高级顾问会 晤，讨论伊朗问题选项。特朗普已在考虑多个干涉伊朗方案，包括宣布向中东派遣航母战斗群、发动网 络攻击和信息战等。 近期，伊朗多地出现针对物价上涨和货币贬值的抗议活动，其间发生骚乱，造成安全人员和民众伤亡。 伊朗总统佩泽希齐扬在伊朗国家电视台11日播出的专访中表示，伊朗政府重视倾听民众诉求，决心解决 好伊朗人民面临的经济困难，但不能容许美国和以色列教唆"暴乱者"在伊朗制造动荡。 伊朗议长卡利巴夫11日说，如果美国对伊朗发动打击，伊朗将把以色列以及美国在中东地区的军事基地 视为"合法目标"予以还击。 美国官员：美方将讨论干涉方案 路透社11日援引美国官员为消息源报道，特朗普将于13日与高级顾问会晤，讨论伊朗问题选项。 另外，美国阿克西奥斯新闻网站11日援引匿名美国官员的消息称，特朗普正在考虑多个干涉伊朗 ...

当地时间2026年1月6日，伊朗德黑兰市中心，一块印有已故伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队"圣城旅"指挥官卡西姆 ·苏莱曼尼将军和伊朗运动员象征性图像的广告牌悬挂在一栋政府大楼上。苏莱曼尼将军于2020年在巴 格达国际机场的一次美国空袭中丧生。视觉中国 图 据新华社报道，美国《华尔街日报》11日援引匿名美国官员的话报道称，美国总统特朗普计划13日与政 府高级官员讨论美国应对伊朗局势的下一步措施，但预计特朗普不会在会议上作出最终决定。新华社此 前曾报道称，特朗普正在考虑宣布向中东派遣航母战斗群、发动网络攻击和信息战等多个干涉伊朗方 案，但尚未确定。 《今日以色列》11日的一篇题为《美国是否已做好在伊朗开展军事行动的准备？》的报道指出，目前美 军在该地区的部署情况表明，华盛顿在考虑是否对伊朗发动军事行动时面临着一个重大制约因素。航母 追踪网站的数据显示，美国海军现役的11艘航母中，有7艘正在美国本土进行各种大修、重新武装或维 修。另一艘航母目前在加勒比海地区，参与美国针对委内瑞拉政权的军事行动。还有3艘航母位于远东 地区，其中2艘在日本，1艘在东南亚。到目前为止，还没有任何关于它们前往中东的报道，即便真的有 这样的计划，也需要 ...

美国《华尔街日报》12月31日报道提到，美国情报部门对俄方指控进行了评估，中央情报局等部门称乌 克兰并未试图采取针对普京及其官邸的行动。 12月31日，乌克兰方面坚决否认曾对普京官邸发起袭击，并称这是俄方为了破坏离间美乌发动的"信息 战"。12月28日，特朗普和乌克兰总统泽连斯基就拟议中的俄乌"和平协议"举行磋商，路透社报道称美 国和乌克兰均认为本次会谈"友好且富有成效"。 欧盟外交与安全政策高级代表卡拉斯当天也在社交媒体发文，称俄方的指控是在"转移注意力"。 俄罗斯国 防部视频中展示的无人机残骸。图源：《消息报》 当地时间2025年12月31日，俄罗斯国防部公布了部分视频和图片，称多架乌克兰无人机从乌苏梅州和切 尔尼戈夫州起飞，对普京位于俄西北部诺夫哥罗德州的官邸发起袭击。俄方称他们在被击落的一架无人 机残骸中发现了6公斤高爆炸药，并称俄军在多地共击落了91架乌方无人机。 12月29日，美国总统特朗普称自己在和普京通电话时，被对方告知乌克兰无人机袭击了普京一处官邸， 他表示自己"对此很生气"。但路透社援引知情人士消息称，在美国中央情报局局长约翰·拉特克利夫向 特朗普进行汇报后，特朗普对俄方说法产生了怀疑，并 ...

夜色中，91架远程无人机扑向俄罗斯总统位于瓦尔代湖附近的官邸，最终被俄防空系统全部拦截——12 月29日，普京官邸遭袭的消息迅速在莫斯科炸开，并传遍全世界。 俄罗斯官方披露，袭击发生在28日深夜至29日凌晨，由乌克兰发动，性质为"国家恐怖主义"；俄方已确 定还击目标和时间，并将重新掂量谈判立场。 话音刚落，乌克兰总统泽连斯基迅速反驳，直言俄方说法"纯属捏造"，意在破坏谈判进程，为可能袭击 基辅政府大楼制造借口。 （来源：上观新闻） 俄乌各执一词，美国总统特朗普又刷存在感。他先转述普京的说法，把震惊和愤怒写在脸上，话锋一转 补上一句"我们会查清的"。 截至目前，尚无独立机构证实事件真相，尚不清楚普京事发时是否在官邸，以及无人机残骸造成了怎样 的损失。 不过，围绕"幕后黑手"，外界的看法泾渭分明。 俄罗斯学者普遍认为，这是乌克兰精心策划的挑衅：要让无人机规避多层防空网，直奔守卫森严的总统 官邸，显然不是临时起意，背后不排除与欧洲国家存在协调。基辅此举，意在向西方展示自身对俄纵深 目标的打击能力，并引诱俄罗斯强硬出手，进而给俄方扣上"反应过度、破坏谈判"的帽子。 西方一些分析则给出相反解读，认为这更像莫斯科面向国内 ...

回顾这轮指控的出现，我们会发现它不仅仅是一起突发新闻，它实际上是长期冲突中双方常用的战术之一。俄罗斯可能希望借此转移国 内战败压力，并强化自我叙事；而乌克兰及其盟友则可能通过坚决否认来巩固国际支持。对于公众来说，最重要的并不是单纯地接受某 一方的说法，而是要深入思考：为什么这些指控会在此时此刻反复出现？它们真正的战略意图是什么？传播这些指控的意义，是否远超 其本身被指控的影响？我们必须意识到，在这场战争中，舆论场的争夺比实际战场更加广阔，而每一个声音的传播，都可能成为改变战 略走向的重要因素。 目前，俄罗斯的指控核心是：乌克兰正在秘密走私核材料，并可能利用这些材料制造脏弹。这一说法引发了西方国家的广泛关注，但它 也被西方盟友强烈否定。这个指控究竟是真是假？它是一个真实的威胁，还是俄罗斯在信息战中的策略性工具？我们需要分析各方的立 场和背后动机，包括俄罗斯在战事压力下的宣传策略，乌克兰如何回应这些指控，以及西方国家为何表现出谨慎态度。 战场上的变化决定了各方的发言权。随着俄乌战争进入第五年，冲突不仅限于地面上的直接对抗，信息战场也在不断激烈地拉扯双方的 边界。近期，俄罗斯官方再次指控乌克兰正在秘密筹备脏弹，这一 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. military is increasing its presence in the Caribbean, with approximately 15,000 soldiers deployed, including around 5,000 stationed at military bases in Puerto Rico [2] - The U.S. Navy's latest aircraft carrier, the USS Ford, has recently arrived in the region, indicating a significant military buildup [2] - Since early September, the U.S. has conducted 21 public attacks on alleged drug smuggling vessels, resulting in at least 83 fatalities [2] Group 2 - U.S. military actions in the Caribbean are being framed as a response to deteriorating security conditions and increased military activities in Venezuela [1] - Brazilian President Lula has expressed concerns over U.S. military gatherings near Venezuela, fearing potential conflict and plans to discuss the situation with President Trump [1] - Reports suggest that the U.S. government is contemplating larger military operations in Venezuela, with CIA plans for covert actions already approved by Trump [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is the increasing military presence of the U.S. in the Caribbean region, particularly concerning Venezuela, with discussions of potential military actions and operations against drug trafficking [1][6][7] - U.S. military operations in the Caribbean, under the code name "Southern Strike," have mobilized approximately 15,000 troops, with around 5,000 stationed in Puerto Rico [3][4] - The U.S. has been conducting military exercises and operations in the Caribbean, including the sinking of over 20 vessels alleged to be involved in drug trafficking since early September, resulting in over 80 deaths [7] Group 2 - The U.S. military's activities are framed under the guise of anti-drug operations, but there are concerns about the legality and humanitarian implications of these actions, with accusations of illegal killings of civilians [7] - Neighboring countries, including Colombia and Brazil, have expressed concerns over the U.S. military buildup and the potential for conflict, with calls for the restoration of regular flights to Venezuela [8]

Core Viewpoint - The Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson, Zakharova, criticized European countries for hastily blaming Russia for the recent drone incident in Poland, indicating a lack of interest in uncovering the truth by the "Western bloc" [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Incident Overview - A significant number of drones entered Polish airspace on the night of September 9, leading the Polish military to take emergency measures and shoot down some of the drones [1] - Poland and NATO claim that the drones originated from Russia, while the Russian Defense Ministry denied any plans to strike targets within Poland [1] Diplomatic Response - Zakharova highlighted that the European accusations against Russia regarding the drone incident are unfounded and represent a provocation aimed at escalating tensions [1] - The Russian Defense Ministry's explanations regarding the drone incident have been ignored by European parties, which Zakharova described as part of a large-scale information war to demonize Russia [1] Implications for Ukraine Conflict - The incident is seen as a tactic to garner more support for Ukraine and to undermine political solutions to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine [1] - Zakharova pointed out that Poland's refusal to engage in consultations proposed by the Russian Defense Ministry further illustrates the lack of interest in resolving the situation through dialogue [1]

Core Points - The "West-2025" joint military exercise between Russia and Belarus is currently taking place, with the Russian Navy conducting drills in the Baltic Sea as part of this exercise [1][2] - Ukraine's State Border Guard Service has stated that the "West-2025" exercise does not pose a direct invasion threat to Ukraine, noting a significant reduction in Russian troop presence compared to previous years [3] Group 1 - The Russian Navy's Baltic Fleet and Pacific Fleet are conducting drills to counter potential unmanned boat attacks, involving over 10 vessels and more than 500 personnel [2] - Ukraine has not observed any unusual military activity or troop buildup from Russia and Belarus near its borders, indicating a level of preparedness for potential provocations [3] Group 2 - Ukrainian officials have called on Belarus to avoid provocative actions during the exercise, emphasizing the need for vigilance against misinformation campaigns that may target European nations [3]

Report Core View - The transportation of lychees in ancient Chang'an and modern futures markets share similarities in aspects such as supply - demand game, time value, risk management, human nature, and information warfare, and true investment wisdom lies in building a sustainable trading system [2][3][5] Similarities between Lychee Transportation and Futures Market Supply - Demand Game - Just as the supply and demand of lychees in Chang'an led to price fluctuations, the supply and demand of commodities in the futures market also determine price changes. Smart investors and ancient merchants both use methods to avoid risks [3] Time Value - The time - related decay of lychee value during transportation is similar to the "time decay" principle of futures contracts. Both ancient and modern people take measures to combat the loss of value [3] Risk Management - In both the lychee business and the futures market, extreme situations can cause price fluctuations. Investors need to use methods like diversifying positions and setting stop - loss points to manage risks [3] Human Nature - Greed and fear in the futures market are similar to the power games in Chang'an. Overcoming human weaknesses is crucial for successful investment [4] Information Warfare - Information about lychees and court dynamics in ancient times is similar to market information in modern futures trading. Investors need to build their own analysis frameworks to avoid being misled by information [4]