"我对美国在加勒比海部署的军事力量深感担忧。我打算与特朗普总统讨论此事，因为这令我感到不 安。"卢拉在南非首都约翰内斯堡出席二十国集团（G20）峰会后对记者说。"我认为现在没有理由发动 战争，"他说。"我们不要重蹈俄乌冲突的覆辙。一旦开战，就很难预测结局。" 【环球时报报道 记者 周扬】据美国《纽约时报》24日报道，美军最高将领、参谋长联席会议主席丹·凯 恩计划于当天访问波多黎各，并视察部署在加勒比海地区的美国海军军舰。另据美联社报道，借口安全 形势恶化和军事活动加剧，美国联邦航空管理局日前警告民航飞行员要谨慎飞越委内瑞拉领空，多家航 企已于23日取消了飞往委内瑞拉的航班。巴西总统卢拉23日表示，巴西"非常关注"美国在委内瑞拉附近 的军事集结，担心会发生冲突。卢拉还补充说，他打算就此事与美国总统特朗普进行交谈。 《纽约时报》报道称，丹·凯恩访问波多黎各的公开理由是在感恩节前夕向前线部队表示感谢。据两名 不愿透露姓名的美国官员表示，美国政府目前正在考虑对委内瑞拉发动更大规模的军事行动。知情人士 称，特朗普已批准美国中情局在委内瑞拉境内采取秘密行动的计划，这些行动可能旨在为后续军事行动 提供便利。美媒分析称，由于 ...

新华社北京11月24日电 美国《纽约时报》23日援引知情人士消息报道，美军参谋长联席会议主席 丹·凯恩将赴加勒比地区视察在当地的美军，预期将与驻当地美军的指挥官商议美军在加勒比海上行 动。美国总统特朗普已批准在委内瑞拉境内实施"秘密行动"的方案，但关于是否对委发起更大范围的军 事行动，尚未作出最终决定。 10月4日，在委内瑞拉首都加拉加斯的玻利瓦尔广场，委内瑞拉国防部长洛佩斯发表讲话。委内瑞 拉4日在全国范围举行特别军事演习，检验武装部队和民兵组织的指挥和通信能力，巩固国家防御体 系。新华社发（马科斯·萨尔加多摄） "慰军"还是"备战"？ 按知情人士说法，凯恩定于24日访问美国海外属地波多黎各，并将登上一艘在加勒比海参与执行所 谓"打击运毒船"任务的美国海军战舰。官方说法是，凯恩此次访问是在感恩节前对美军士兵表达感谢。 凯恩将与美军指挥官就美军舰船的"预备"工作展开磋商。 波多黎各与委内瑞拉隔加勒比海相望，凯恩被视为美军"南方之矛"行动的主要推动者。美国国防部 长赫格塞思本月13日宣布发起代号"南方之矛"军事行动，此后美军"杰拉尔德·R·福特"号航母打击群进入 加勒比海域。目前，美国在加勒比地区集结的兵力达1 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson, Zakharova, criticized European countries for hastily blaming Russia for the recent drone incident in Poland, indicating a lack of interest in uncovering the truth by the "Western bloc" [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Incident Overview - A significant number of drones entered Polish airspace on the night of September 9, leading the Polish military to take emergency measures and shoot down some of the drones [1] - Poland and NATO claim that the drones originated from Russia, while the Russian Defense Ministry denied any plans to strike targets within Poland [1] Diplomatic Response - Zakharova highlighted that the European accusations against Russia regarding the drone incident are unfounded and represent a provocation aimed at escalating tensions [1] - The Russian Defense Ministry's explanations regarding the drone incident have been ignored by European parties, which Zakharova described as part of a large-scale information war to demonize Russia [1] Implications for Ukraine Conflict - The incident is seen as a tactic to garner more support for Ukraine and to undermine political solutions to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine [1] - Zakharova pointed out that Poland's refusal to engage in consultations proposed by the Russian Defense Ministry further illustrates the lack of interest in resolving the situation through dialogue [1]

Core Points - The "West-2025" joint military exercise between Russia and Belarus is currently taking place, with the Russian Navy conducting drills in the Baltic Sea as part of this exercise [1][2] - Ukraine's State Border Guard Service has stated that the "West-2025" exercise does not pose a direct invasion threat to Ukraine, noting a significant reduction in Russian troop presence compared to previous years [3] Group 1 - The Russian Navy's Baltic Fleet and Pacific Fleet are conducting drills to counter potential unmanned boat attacks, involving over 10 vessels and more than 500 personnel [2] - Ukraine has not observed any unusual military activity or troop buildup from Russia and Belarus near its borders, indicating a level of preparedness for potential provocations [3] Group 2 - Ukrainian officials have called on Belarus to avoid provocative actions during the exercise, emphasizing the need for vigilance against misinformation campaigns that may target European nations [3]

Report Core View - The transportation of lychees in ancient Chang'an and modern futures markets share similarities in aspects such as supply - demand game, time value, risk management, human nature, and information warfare, and true investment wisdom lies in building a sustainable trading system [2][3][5] Similarities between Lychee Transportation and Futures Market Supply - Demand Game - Just as the supply and demand of lychees in Chang'an led to price fluctuations, the supply and demand of commodities in the futures market also determine price changes. Smart investors and ancient merchants both use methods to avoid risks [3] Time Value - The time - related decay of lychee value during transportation is similar to the "time decay" principle of futures contracts. Both ancient and modern people take measures to combat the loss of value [3] Risk Management - In both the lychee business and the futures market, extreme situations can cause price fluctuations. Investors need to use methods like diversifying positions and setting stop - loss points to manage risks [3] Human Nature - Greed and fear in the futures market are similar to the power games in Chang'an. Overcoming human weaknesses is crucial for successful investment [4] Information Warfare - Information about lychees and court dynamics in ancient times is similar to market information in modern futures trading. Investors need to build their own analysis frameworks to avoid being misled by information [4]

Group 1 - The core principle in negotiations is to avoid revealing one's bottom line, as it serves as a critical leverage point in any deal [1][14] - In a negotiation scenario, the party with the most information about the other's bottom line holds the advantage, allowing for strategic pricing and concessions [6][7] - Both parties often engage in tactics to obscure their true positions, such as feigning financial constraints or creating the illusion of competition [9][10] Group 2 - The dynamics of negotiation are akin to a game of strategy, where understanding human nature and the fear of loss can significantly influence outcomes [15][17] - In professional settings, demonstrating scarcity and the potential loss of an employee can be more persuasive than simply highlighting their value [16][17] - Mastery of negotiation requires a deep understanding of both one's own limits and the psychological aspects of the counterpart [12][18]

Group 1 - The UK government has identified 100 targets for sanctions against Russia, focusing on military, energy, and financial sectors, as well as individuals involved in "Putin's information war against Ukraine" [1] - Efforts are being made by the UK and its partners to tighten the oil price cap [1] - Fourteen members of a social design agency, funded by the Kremlin to conduct information warfare activities, have been added to the sanctions list [1]

Core Viewpoint - The UK government has identified 100 targets for sanctions against Russia, focusing on military, energy, and financial sectors, as well as individuals involved in "Putin's information war against Ukraine" [1] Group 1: Sanction Targets - The sanctions will specifically target the military sector, aiming to disrupt Russia's defense capabilities [1] - The energy sector is also a primary focus, indicating potential impacts on Russia's oil and gas revenues [1] - Financial institutions involved in supporting the Russian government will be included in the sanctions list [1] Group 2: Information Warfare - The sanctions will extend to individuals who are executing Putin's information warfare strategies against Ukraine, highlighting the UK's commitment to countering misinformation [1]

Group 1 - The UK government has sanctioned 14 members of a social design agency funded by the Kremlin, which is involved in information warfare activities [1]

Core Points - Recent rumors regarding French President Macron allegedly "hiding drugs" have caused significant uproar on social media [1][3] - A video showing Macron moving a wrinkled white object during a meeting with UK Prime Minister Starmer and German Chancellor Merz has led to speculation that it was a bag of cocaine [1][3] - The French presidential office clarified that the object was merely a tissue and condemned the false information as being spread by hostile forces [3] Summary by Sections Social Media Impact - AI tools have been used to create false images of the leaders allegedly "high on drugs," exacerbating public confusion [3] - A tweet by conspiracy theorist Alex Jones regarding the "cocaine scandal" garnered over 29 million views [3] Official Response - The French presidential office issued a statement on May 12, urging the public to remain vigilant against misinformation [3] - The low-resolution video has been criticized for misleading the public, with reports indicating that the X platform has become a breeding ground for false information since its acquisition by Musk in 2022 [3] Historical Context - This is not the first time Macron has faced drug-related rumors; similar allegations arose during the 2017 presidential election when his campaign emails were hacked [3]