事件：公司发布2025H1 业绩预告，预计实现归母净利润6250-7050 万元，同比增加167%-201%。其中 Q1 归母净利润2800 万，预计Q2 利润3450-4250万元，中位数3850 万元，同比增长1144%。 看好公司未来转型养猪的长期发展空间。公司6 月公告计划以发行股份及支付现金相结合的方式收购7 家生猪养殖相关公司股权，将通过轻资产模式向下游养殖端进行业务拓展。公司有望依托收购标的现有 产能及生产成绩优势实现规模快速扩张，与自身饲料业务协同发展。 点评： 客户结构持续优化，规模场存栏增长带动饲料销量同比高增。25H1，公司利润高增主要系直销渠道合 作的规模化养殖公司存栏量增加，带动公司饲料销量及销售收入同比明显增长。其中，Q1 归母净利润 2800 万，同比+38%，环比+277%，预计Q2 实现归母净利润3450~4250 万元，同比+1115%~+1373%， 增幅走宽。预期下半年公司坏账计提规模将缩减，减值冲回有望提高业绩弹性。 盈利预测与投资评级：我们预计公司2025-2027 年实现营收分别为41.68、48.02、51.60 亿元，实现归母 净利分别为1.64、1.98、2 ...

Key Points - The issuance of replacement bonds for hidden debt reached approximately 1.8 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, indicating a rapid and early issuance trend [1] - The issuance of special new bonds for debt resolution is projected to be 800 billion yuan annually for five years starting in 2024, with 4.623 billion yuan issued in the first half of this year [1][2] - The total amount of local bonds issued for debt resolution accounted for 41% of the total issuance in the first half of the year [1] - The issuance of replacement bonds helps to make hidden debts visible, thereby reducing the scale of existing hidden debts and improving the overall debt structure [2] - Local governments are increasingly using special bonds to repay overdue payments to enterprises, with specific allocations made in regions like Yunnan [2][3] - The Ministry of Finance emphasizes the importance of resolving overdue payments to enterprises, particularly for private enterprises, to enhance their resilience against risks [3][4] - There is a call for accelerating the transformation of local investment companies to reduce reliance on local governments and improve their market competitiveness [4][5]

Core Viewpoint - Shanghai Yueshen Health Group plans to use surplus reserves of 72.85 million yuan and capital reserves of 141 million yuan, totaling 214 million yuan, to offset cumulative losses, resulting in a significant reduction of its reserves and a nearly 400% drop in net profit for 2024 [1][2][4]. Financial Summary - For 2024, the company reported revenue of 1.204 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.79%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -147 million yuan, a staggering decline of 393.87% [4]. - The company has experienced negative net profits for three consecutive years, with cumulative losses exceeding 500 million yuan, indicating concerns over its core business's ability to generate profits [4]. - The company's operating cash flow also decreased by 33.48% year-on-year, amounting to 82.23 million yuan [4]. Business Transformation - Yueshen Health, originally focused on ceramic tiles, has been transitioning into the health sector since 2015, with its business now encompassing building materials, health services, and investment property leasing [5]. - The company’s building materials segment primarily focuses on high-end ceramic tile brand "Simik," while its health services include various care systems and training programs [5]. Loss Factors - The primary reasons for the company's losses include a decline in revenue from the ceramic tile business due to reduced market demand, increased competition, and rising costs [3]. - The company has also faced challenges related to the long investment cycle of its health projects and asset impairment losses, which have further exacerbated its financial difficulties [4].

【文/观察者网专栏作者 鹿鸣】 近日，广西、柳州再次进入全国舆论场的中心；前者涉及反腐与自治区人事异动，后者则是因为债务。 昨日独山，今柳州？ 6月25日，广西自治区党委书记陈刚在柳州市主持召开自治区党委常委会扩大会议，专题研究柳州市债 务化解和经济社会发展工作。而就在此次会议上强调，化解柳州债务是全区防范化解债务风险的重中之 重，举全区之力支持柳州化解债务。 柳州的热度成为互联网上的第二个"独山县"，而债务同螺蛳粉一样成了这座工业城市的一张"名片"—— 当然，这不是褒义。 网民们普遍惊叹，整个自治区都来支持柳州化债，柳州的债务问题肯定是非常严重了。但在笔者看来， 恰恰相反，此时的柳州是"已过万重山"。柳州不仅顺利完成了6月底前非标债务"清零"的阶段性化债任 务，且连续4年多守住了不发生系统性金融风险的底线。 根据2025年柳州市政府工作报告，2024年全年累计化解到期债务本息超过1000亿元，全年减少利息支出 16亿元；债务结构持续优化，银行贷款、债券、非标比例由5.5:2.9:1.6优化为6.7:2.7:0.6，债券、非标分 别减少50亿元、272亿元；全面梳理存量资产，全年盘活处置资产超过100亿元；持 ...

长江商报奔腾新闻记者 沈右荣 如果以御银股份7月4日的收盘价7.11元/股计算，顶格减持，实施本次减持计划，杨文江将套现约1.62亿 元。 近期，御银股份股价上涨明显。今年4月9日低点以来，公司股价已经翻倍。 长江商报奔腾新闻记者发现，杨文江已经多次减持套现。 系统显示，从2010年开始，杨文江就开始减持公司股份，至今，累计套现20亿元左右。 实际控制人大举减持套现的背后，御银股份经营业绩惨淡。 官网显示，御银股份成立于2001年，注册资本7.6亿元，是一家致力于协助各种金融机构建立强大的金 融交易网络，专业从事金融自助服务设备及软件等研发、生产销售和服务，并提供各种金融服务专业解 决方案。公司ATM设备产能和销售规模在国内ATM制造厂商中位居前列。2007年11月，公司在深交所 挂牌上市。 ATM设备制造商御银股份（002177）（002177.SZ）的实际控制人又要减持了。 7月6日晚间，御银股份发布公告，公司控股股东、实际控制人、董事长兼总经理杨文江计划减持所持公 司股份，减持期间为本公告之日起15交易日后的三个月内（即2025年7月29日至10月28日），减持的股 份数量为不超过2283.57万股，即 ...

中经记者 庄灵辉 卢志坤 北京报道 "去地产"转型后，派斯林数字科技股份有限公司（600215.SH，以下简称"派斯林"）股权转让款收款已 两度逾期。 6月30日晚间，派斯林方面表示，公司近日收到长春经开国资控股集团有限公司（以下简称"国控集 团"）发来的相关函告，获悉其无法于2025年6月30日前支付此前重组交易第三期股权转让款项，并承诺 不晚于2025年12月31日前支付相应款项。 相应股权转让款涉及派斯林2023年资产出售事项，合计约10.68亿元。根据协议约定与前期安排，首期 15%转让款已支付，此后分五期支付，每期支付约1.82亿元。此次逾期前，相应股权转让款在2024年已 出现逾期，逾期金额约1.72亿元。 "因为对方是国资企业，具备较好信誉保障和履约能力，相应款项风险相对可控。"派斯林方面向《中国 经营报》记者表示，去年相应股权转让款虽出现逾期，但后续国控集团按照协议支付了本金及逾期利 息。 近七成转让款尚未收回 此次逾期的股权转让款与派斯林2023年"退房"转型有关。 2023年，为集中资源发展智能制造业务，派斯林出售全资子公司六合房产100%股权和经开物业100%股 权，整体剥离房地产开发与 ...

当全球玩家为Nintendo Switch 2的火爆销售欢呼时，任天堂社长古川俊太郎却在思考一个更深层的问 题：如何摆脱对游戏主机的过度依赖？ 据追风交易台消息，任天堂新一代游戏主机Switch 2于6月5日全球发售后表现强劲，4天内销量突破350 万台。然而，在7月3日与摩根士丹利的投资者会议上，古川俊太郎却表示现在需求是否强劲仍为时过 早，认为"保持销售势头将变得更具挑战性"。 古川俊太郎强调，过度专注游戏主机业务存在风险。他表示，公司已成功将便携式和家用主机整合为 Switch平台，但"如果过分专注于此，可能会忽视其他机会"。 这位任天堂掌门人更关注的是公司的长期转型战略，并将讨论重点转向新兴市场扩张和非游戏机业务发 展。他在会议上强调公司已"进入新发展阶段"，过去几年在主题公园、电影等非主机业务取得成功，这 些领域将成为公司长期增长的重要支撑。 作为一个公司，我们感到已经进入了一个新阶段，因为我们在游戏主机以外的业务中找到了 一定程度的成功，比如主题公园和电影。 为配合市场扩张，任天堂计划明年推出新的《马里奥》动画电影，并制作真人版《塞尔达传说》电影。 古川俊太郎认为，电影制作不仅能增加客户接触点，长 ...

金诚信 20250627 Q&A 2025 年全球铜供需结构预计将如何演变，哪些因素将对其产生影响？ 2025 年全球铜供需结构预计将维持偏紧张状态。主要影响因素包括：美联储 释放鸽派信号导致市场进入预防性降息交易，美元指数下跌，商品价格逆势上 涨；2025 年第一季度全球主要铜矿产量同比下滑近 1%；国内现货 TC 价格跌 破-10 美元并持续下跌至-40 美元以下，凸显矿端持续紧缺；以及近期卡莫尔 铜矿的减产。 公司远期铜产能有望超过 15 万吨，实现 2025 年产能基础上的翻倍增长。主 要增量项目包括：龙溪铜矿东区（二期）建成后年产能将达到 10 万吨；哥伦 比亚项目投产后平均年产量预计达到 2.5 万吨；以及完成技改的鲁班矿和稳定 生产的规划。 近两年公司矿服业务面临哪些挑战，未来两年预计将如何发展？ 摘要 全球铜矿供应趋紧，2025 年一季度主要铜矿产量下滑，现货 TC 价格跌 破-10 美元并持续下跌，卡莫尔铜矿减产，预示铜价上涨潜力。 公司铜产量快速增长，2024 年达 4.87 万吨，预计 2025 年受益于龙溪 铜矿一期达产和鲁班比并表，全年产量将增至 7.9 万吨，同比增长 62%。 公 ...

Core Insights - Nike's stock has increased over 20% in the past five days but is down 5% year-to-date, underperforming the S&P 500's 4% rise [2] - The company reported fourth-quarter earnings with revenue of $11.1 billion, a 12% decline, and net income of $211 million, an 86% drop from the previous year, yet still exceeded analyst expectations [2] - For fiscal 2025, total revenue was $46.3 billion, a 10% decline, and net income was $3.2 billion, a 44% decrease, with digital sales down 20% [3] - Nike plans to realign operations, streamline supply chains, and reduce reliance on China-based supply chains from 16% to high single digits by year-end [4] Financial Performance - Q1 sales are expected to decrease by a mid-single-digit percentage, with gross margin compression of 3.5 to 4.25 percentage points, including a 1-point impact from tariffs [5] - Nike is currently trading at around $72 per share, approximately 41 times projected 2026 earnings, significantly higher than its three-year average of 28 times [6] - Consensus forecasts predict a 1% revenue decline in FY 2026, followed by a potential 5% growth in FY 2027 [6] Strategic Outlook - The effectiveness of Nike's turnaround initiatives is critical for stabilizing margins and reigniting top-line growth [7] - Nike has shown vulnerability during market downturns, with significant stock price drops in 2020 and 2022, indicating potential downside risk if macroeconomic conditions weaken [8] - The company is at a pivotal moment, facing margin pressures and valuation concerns, but its long-term strategy appears promising [9]

Core Viewpoint - Nike's stock surged 17% after the company indicated that it has overcome the worst of its struggles, following a better-than-expected fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report [1][2] Financial Performance - In the fourth quarter, Nike experienced a 12% drop in sales and an 86% decline in net income, with profit margins also decreasing [2] - The company reported that sales of classic products like Air Force 1, Air Jordan 1, and Dunks fell over 20% year-over-year, with a 30% decline in the fourth quarter alone, impacting sales by nearly $1 billion [9] Turnaround Strategy - CEO Elliott Hill emphasized that the company is beginning to see the effects of its turnaround plan, "Win Now," and expects business results to improve moving forward [3][4] - Nike is focusing on new product launches and efforts to regain wholesale partners, including selling on Amazon for the first time since 2019 and targeting female shoppers [4][5] Market Reactions - Following the earnings report, several banks issued positive commentary, with HSBC upgrading Nike to a "buy" rating and raising its price target to $80, indicating a potential 28% upside [5] - Analyst Erwan Rambourg noted that there is tangible evidence of a potential sales rebound for Nike, despite challenges such as tariffs [6] Future Outlook - Nike anticipates a mid-single-digit percentage decline in sales for the current quarter, aligning with Wall Street's expectations of a 7% drop [7] - The company expects profits to remain under pressure through the first half of fiscal 2026 due to inventory clearance and higher tariff costs, with improvements anticipated in the second half [10]