美国众议院议长约翰逊表示，GENIUS法案的投票将于明天进行，CLARITY法案可能下周进行。他还补 充说，众议院将把反CBDC（央行数字货币）立法纳入国防授权法案（NDAA）。 （Cointelegraph） ...

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨点评报告丨软件与服务 [Table_Title] 上海组织学习稳定币，看好金融创新相关投资机 遇 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 7 月 10 日，上海市国资委党委召开中心组学习会，围绕加密货币与稳定币的发展趋势及应对策 略开展学习。上海市国资委党委书记、主任贺青主持会议并讲话。市委第四督导组组长王治平 到会指导。市国资委党政领导班子成员出席。随着多个城市开展系统性研究稳定币，或说明稳 定币逐步受到政府重视，人民币稳定币探索工作有望逐步开展，并对"稳定币"行业各环节及 参与方产生积极的影响。建议关注：1）具有发币资格的相关企业；2）在区块链等关键技术上 有技术积累的企业；3）具有相关牌照的企业。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 宗建树 陈耀文 SAC：S0490520030004 SAC：S0490525070002 SFC：BUX668 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 7 月 10 日，上海市国资委党委召开中心组学习会，围绕加密货币与稳定币的发展趋势 ...

英国央行行长贝利：质疑稳定币和央行数字货币（CBDC）的作用/地位。 ...

在全球金融市场的数字化浪潮中，稳定币已从新兴概念蜕变为重塑金融格局的关键力量，其引发的全球博弈正愈演愈烈。 英国牛津大学出版社《国际经济法杂志》2025年5月21日刊文《稳定币及其监管：哈耶克的视角》指出，当前新兴的全球稳定币监管格局呈现 出显著的多样性：一端是将稳定币视为威胁并禁止使用的国家，它们计划推出央行数字货币（CBDC）作为低风险替代选项，借区块链技术提 升金融效率；另一端则积极与行业合作，着力将自身打造成区块链"避风港"和监管"沙盒"，主动接纳稳定币；而介于两端之间的司法管辖区， 多通过现有法律框架或专门的加密资产法规对其实施监管。 具体到关键市场，2025年6月17日美国参议院通过《天才法案》，以积极姿态推动美元稳定币合规化，旨在巩固美元霸权并缓解美债危机； 2025年5月21日中国香港立法会通过《稳定币条例草案》，明确将稳定币纳入规范化监管范畴。各国监管态度的分化背后，是利益考量的深层 博弈——部分国家为吸引加密行业资金展现友好姿态，另一些则因担忧金融风险与货币主权受冲击而持谨慎立场。 这场 没有硝烟的较量，焦点集中在稳定币的发行资质审核、储备金透明化管理、反洗钱与反恐融资机制构建等核心领域。 ...

Group 1 - South Korean financial giant Shinhan Financial Group's subsidiary Shinhan Investment Corp has applied for seven trademarks related to Korean won stablecoins, marking a significant move in the stablecoin market following NH Investment & Securities [1] - The competition for digital currency positioning in South Korea is intensifying, with Shinhan Card and Jeju Bank already making strategic moves in this area [1] - The digital currency landscape in East Asia is evolving, with Japan and China also advancing their central bank digital currency (CBDC) initiatives, indicating a regional push towards digital currency ecosystems [2] Group 2 - The U.S. is experiencing a breakthrough in digital asset tax reform, with a new proposal aimed at eliminating double taxation on digital assets, aligning their tax treatment with traditional assets like gold and livestock [3] - The proposed legislation includes a $5,000 annual tax exemption for small transactions, which could facilitate the use of cryptocurrencies for small payments [3] - The EU's decision to remove the digital tax option from its 2028 fiscal plan is seen as a significant victory for U.S. tech giants, reflecting a shift in global tax policy [2][6] Group 3 - The competition for digital asset infrastructure is intensifying globally, with the EU's concession on digital tax seen as a move to avoid trade tensions with the U.S., thereby creating more policy space for digital asset innovation [6] - XBIT, a decentralized exchange platform, is emerging as a key player in connecting traditional finance with the digital currency ecosystem, offering efficient cross-border settlement channels [6][10] - The surge in cross-border payment transactions using the digital yuan, particularly with oil-exporting countries and ASEAN members, highlights the growing demand for agile digital asset exchange hubs like XBIT [7]

Core Concept - Digital Renminbi (DCEP) is a significant innovation in China's currency digitization, issued by the People's Bank of China, and holds the same legal status and economic value as cash [1] Group 1: Characteristics and Technology - Digital Renminbi features "payment and settlement" capabilities, allowing direct value transfer between users without third-party payment institutions, enhancing payment efficiency and reducing transaction costs [3] - It employs advanced blockchain and encryption technologies, achieving a "controllable anonymity" design for small transactions while adhering to regulatory requirements for larger ones [4] - The system can process over 300,000 transactions per second, significantly outperforming Bitcoin and Ethereum networks [4] - Security is ensured through national encryption standards and hardware encryption modules, capable of withstanding various cyber threats, including quantum computing attacks [6] - It supports "dual offline payment" functionality, enabling transactions without network access, which is crucial during emergencies [6] Group 2: Applications and Social Impact - Digital Renminbi is being tested in multiple pilot cities across China, covering retail, public transport, and government services, with over 750 million transactions and a total transaction amount exceeding 830 billion yuan as of June 2023 [7] - It is expected to enhance monetary policy transmission efficiency, reducing time lags by approximately 30% and improving macroeconomic control precision [9] - The initiative aims to increase financial inclusion, potentially raising China's financial inclusion index by 15-20 percentage points [9] Group 3: Global Implications - The launch of Digital Renminbi marks a milestone in China's fintech development and offers valuable insights for the global Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) evolution [10] - As the pilot scope expands and application scenarios diversify, Digital Renminbi is reshaping China's payment ecosystem and contributing to the digital transformation of the global monetary system [10]

21世纪经济报道记者 黄子潇 香港报道 距香港《稳定币条例》生效仅一月有余，发行机构的一举一动皆牵动着市场。 港元稳定币是一种基于公链并与港元 (HKD) 1:1挂钩的加密货币。去年7月，香港金管局公布首批三家稳定币发行人名单，包括 圆币创新科技有限公司（圆币科技子公司），京东币链科技(香港)有限公司，以及渣打银行(香港)、安拟集团、香港电讯组成的 联合体。 与拥有互联网大厂背景、国际大型银行背景的其他两家发行人相比，创立于2021年圆币科技是一家年轻的公司，最初主要从事 支付业务，在展业中注意到了稳定币的应用潜力。 数据显示，截至今年5月末，全球稳定币总市值达到2500亿美元，在过去五年间增长了10倍有余。 稳定币发行有着较为清晰的商业模式，主要收益来自于底层资产的利息。她表示，圆币会从跨境支付、持牌交易所、RWA三个 场景切入市场。由于香港未来只有合规稳定币才可以面向大众，凭借合规性即可获取一些市场份额。 此外，《稳定币条例》为多币种稳定币留出了空间。刘宇表示，虽然圆币从港元开始布局，但未来希望能够发行其他币种的稳 定币。同时，圆币也将对RWA领域做一些布局。 圆币科技行政总裁刘宇（Rita Liu） 拟 ...

(图片由豆包AI生成 提示词风口和危机） 本周四，加密货币市场迎来年度最重要的IPO事件。 此次IPO受到华尔街热捧。Circle目标估值已从之前的56.5亿美元上调至72亿美元。贝莱德领投10%股份，Ark Investment也表达了高达1.5亿美元的投资兴 趣。 但在华尔街巨头争相入场的光鲜表象下，Circle也面临结构性的挑战。 看似"完美"的印钞机模式 稳定币已悄然成为加密货币市场的支柱，并且与传统金融的关系日益密切。2024年，稳定币交易额达到27.6万亿美元，比Visa和万事达卡的交易额总和高出近 8%。 目前稳定币总市值已达2480亿美元， Circle的USDC占据25%的市场份额，仅次于Tether的USDT的61%，总市值达600亿美元。 Circle的EURC在欧元支持的 稳定币中位居榜首，市值为2.24亿美元。 | | # | Name | | Price | 1h % | 24h % | 7d% | Market Cap @ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 4 | 3 | Tether USDT ...

Group 1: US Dollar and Federal Reserve - The Federal Reserve's June economic forecast may be influenced by predictions of stagflation [2] - The US International Trade Court has halted Trump's "liberation day" trade policy, with the Trump administration filing an appeal [2] - The minutes from the Federal Reserve meeting indicate rising risks of increased unemployment and inflation, diminishing the benefits of a flexible average inflation targeting in a high-risk environment [2] Group 2: Non-US Major Currencies - The Central Bank of Russia's tightening monetary policy has led to a slowdown in credit to balanced levels, with signs of inflation retreat [3] - The UK is seeking to expedite the implementation of a trade agreement with the US [3] - Japan's Prime Minister emphasized the importance of investment over tariffs, noting positive economic signs following wage increases [3] - Japan's Finance Minister stated that there was no discussion of exchange rate levels in recent talks with the US Treasury Secretary [3] - Japan's Economic Revitalization Minister will continue to urge the US to reconsider tariff measures and will hold ministerial talks on trade expansion and economic security cooperation [3] Group 3: Other Central Banks and Economic Indicators - The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Governor indicated that the official cash rate (OCR) may follow various paths, with uncertainty regarding a rate cut in July [4] - The Bank of Korea cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 2.50%, aligning with market expectations [4] - The Bank of Korea forecasts inflation rates of 1.9% in 2025 and 1.8% in 2026, while lowering economic growth expectations for 2025 to 0.8% [4] - A Reuters survey indicated that 53 out of 61 economists expect the Reserve Bank of India to cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 5.75% on June 6 [4] - The Bank of Korea's Governor noted that there is still room for further rate cuts due to economic downturn risks, with a low likelihood of policy rates falling below 2% [4] - The Bank of Korea's Governor mentioned that recent US court rulings will reduce the effective tariff rate on Korea from 13.3% to 9.7% [5] Group 4: Currency Trends and Investor Sentiment - Investor bullish positions on the New Taiwan Dollar and Philippine Peso have reached the highest levels since 2020, reflecting optimism towards all Asian currencies [5] - The Russian Ruble briefly strengthened against the US Dollar, reaching its highest level since June 2023 [5]

Core Viewpoint - The GENIUS Act proposes a $2 trillion expansion of USD stablecoins to address the U.S. debt crisis, but raises questions about its effectiveness in solving underlying financial issues [1][2]. Summary by Sections Key Provisions of the GENIUS Act - The act mandates a 1:1 backing of stablecoins with assets such as cash, bank deposits, and short-term U.S. Treasury securities, prohibiting misuse or re-pledging of these assets [2]. - It requires frequent disclosure of reserves, with at least monthly reports and external audits [2]. - Issuers of stablecoins with a market cap exceeding $10 billion must transition to federal regulation within a specified timeframe [2]. - Custodians of stablecoins and their reserves must be regulated financial institutions [3]. - Stablecoins are explicitly defined as non-interest-bearing payment instruments, subject to banking regulations rather than securities or commodities regulations [3]. - Existing stablecoin issuers are given an 18-month grace period to comply with licensing requirements [3]. Economic Implications - The proposed $2 trillion stablecoin market could absorb 65% of the annual interest on U.S. debt, which amounts to $1.3 trillion [3]. - The act's design effectively shifts private demand for digital dollars into purchasing power for U.S. Treasuries, which may not resolve the debt crisis but rather redistribute it [3]. Structural Challenges - The act reflects policymakers' anxiety about balancing the benefits of blockchain technology with the need to maintain monetary sovereignty, particularly in limiting tech giants like Meta from issuing stablecoins [5]. - The current concentration of stablecoin trading, with USDT accounting for 82.7% of total volume, raises concerns about the flow of funds into the real economy [7]. Global Context and Future Outlook - The act's provisions may accelerate de-dollarization efforts by countries like China, as they may be reluctant to support U.S. dollar dominance under American regulation [9]. - The requirement for stablecoins to be backed by short-term Treasuries could increase their sensitivity to U.S. Treasury yield fluctuations, potentially linking them closely to U.S. debt risks [9]. - The expansion of USD stablecoins occurs alongside the rise of alternative digital currencies, such as the digital yuan and the digital euro, indicating a shift towards a multipolar currency landscape [10][11]. Conclusion - While the GENIUS Act may provide temporary relief for the U.S. debt crisis, it does not offer a long-term solution, as real economic value creation is essential for sustainable recovery [12].