↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 答案在于分析的不是企业的效益和产出 ， 而是深入挖掘公司的潜在现实 ， 即其成功的动力 。 也就是说 ， 投资者不能将一项投资当作是一个静 态的资产负债表 ， 而应看作是一个不断演变的复利机器 。 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者：巴菲特读书会 来源：雪球 决定持有比决定买入更为重要 在日常交流中 ， 看到很多朋友都很厉害 ， 经常会投资到那些很牛的公司 。 过一段时间再谈到某只牛股的时候 ， 就会听到大家的感慨 ： 这家 公司啊 ， 涨了十倍多 ， 我也买过 ， 可惜卖早了 。 很多牛股 ， 大家为什么拿不住呢 ？ 最近在看到传奇基金经理尼克 · 斯利普的分享 ， 他也提出了类似的问题 。 他说 ， 当投资者将自己描述为成长型或价值型投资者 ， 应该要问 两个问题 ： 对于价值投资者 ， 可以问 ： " 你的投资方法中有什么因素会让你在过去20年的大部分时间里不持有凯马特的股票 ？ " 以市净率衡 量 ， 凯马特是一只便宜股票 ， 但却是一项糟糕的投资 。 对于成长型投资者 ， 可以问 ： " 你的投资方法中有什 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance and characteristics of private equity firms in China, highlighting the advantages of both large and small firms in generating investment returns, while emphasizing the challenges faced by larger firms when exceeding strategy capacity [1][3]. Summary by Sections Overview of Private Equity Firms - Large private equity firms (over 5 billion) are favored for their comprehensive research teams, diverse strategies, and mature risk control, which can lead to sustained investment returns [1]. - However, once a firm's scale exceeds its strategy capacity, returns may decline, making it challenging to be both "large and strong" [1]. Performance Analysis - As of August 2025, there are 6,608 private equity firms established for over five years, with those under 5 billion in scale showing weaker performance over five years compared to larger firms, but outperforming them in the past one and three years [3]. - Among firms with a scale of 5-50 billion, 892 have been identified, with a focus on those that have products meeting ranking criteria for performance evaluation [3]. Recent Performance Rankings - In the past year, the top-performing private equity firm is Jiu Private Equity Fund, achieving an average return of 50.19% [3][6]. - The top 20 firms in the past year include 14 subjective private equity firms, with a majority in the 5-10 billion scale range [4]. Detailed Rankings - The top firms in the past year include: 1. Jiu Private Equity Fund 2. Lei Xing Capital 3. Neng Jing Investment Holdings 4. Berkshire Investment 5. Jiu Ge Investment [5]. - Jiu Private Equity Fund has consistently ranked first over the past three years, with a focus on fundamental research and growth stocks [6]. Three-Year Performance - In the past three years, the average return for the top 20 private equity firms is 53.54%, with a significant number being subjective firms [8]. - Notable firms include Jiu Private Equity Fund, Fu Ying Investment, and Shen Nong Investment, with the latter focusing on value investment in high-quality A-share companies [9][11]. Five-Year Performance - Over the past five years, the average return for the top 20 firms is 78.6%, with subjective firms dominating the rankings [12]. - Heng Bang Zhao Feng leads the five-year performance rankings, emphasizing value-driven investment strategies [13]. Consistent Performers - Only four firms—Heng Bang Zhao Feng, Fu Ying Investment, Long Hang Asset, and You Bo Capital—ranked in the top 20 across one, three, and five-year periods, all employing subjective investment strategies [14].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the exceptional performance of Cao Jin, a fund manager specializing in technology growth, who has achieved significant alpha in the A-share market, challenging the common perception of technology stocks as high-beta and volatile investments [4]. Group 1: Performance Metrics - Cao Jin manages the Fu Guo Small and Medium Cap Select Fund, which has a latest net value of 4.9250 and a ten-year return rate of 435.9%, significantly outperforming the benchmark return of 34.6% during the same period [5][12]. - Over the past five complete years (2020-2024), the fund's net value growth rates were 83.69%, 8.91%, -21.92%, -5.06%, and 10.11%, compared to the benchmark returns of 23.06%, 9.53%, -17%, -5.28%, and 8.62% respectively [5][12]. Group 2: Risk Management and Investment Strategy - Cao Jin has demonstrated effective risk management, particularly during market downturns, such as the tariff storm on April 7, where his fund recovered faster than major indices like the CSI 300 and ChiNext [6]. - His investment framework focuses on technology stocks while avoiding extreme concentration in specific sectors. He has consistently identified emerging investment opportunities across various technology trends over the past decade [6][7]. Group 3: Investment Philosophy - Cao Jin emphasizes the importance of independent thinking and continuous learning in investment, maintaining a balance between long-term vision and short-term performance [8][21]. - He believes that understanding the essence of a business is crucial, as many industries share common operational principles, which can be leveraged for investment decisions [41][42]. Group 4: Market Insights - The article discusses the significant growth premium in the A-share market, with data showing that from 2003 to 2023, the CSI 300 index yielded 219.2%, while the total A-share index yielded 387.0%, indicating a notable growth premium [29]. - Cao Jin argues that China's competitive advantage lies in advanced manufacturing and technology, rather than consumer spending, which is often misperceived [30][31]. Group 5: Lessons and Quotes - Several key investment insights from Cao Jin are shared, including the idea that short-term performance is as important as long-term results, and that investment should be approached as a personal journey of improvement rather than competition with others [10][18]. - He stresses the importance of avoiding forced trades and making decisions based on thorough research rather than market pressure [21][49].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the contrasting performance of small-cap stocks and bank stocks in the A-share market, emphasizing the short-term gains in micro-cap and concept stocks while bank stocks have seen declines, highlighting a disconnect between market sentiment and fundamentals [2][3]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - Since July 2025, the ChiNext and STAR Market indices have risen approximately 30% in just two months, with some stocks increasing by 50-100%, while bank stocks have averaged a decline of about 10% [2]. - The article notes a peculiar trend where stocks with worsening fundamentals, such as liquor stocks, have rebounded significantly despite poor earnings, indicating a market behavior that often disregards fundamentals [2]. Investment Behavior - New investors are often swayed by short-term market movements, leading to a preference for high-volatility stocks that promise quick returns, which can result in losses when the market corrects [4][5]. - The article suggests that long-term investment in bank stocks requires a strong understanding and discipline, as many investors struggle to hold onto these stocks during downturns [3][4]. Valuation and Future Outlook - Bank stocks, particularly Agricultural Bank and China Merchants Bank, are highlighted as potential benchmarks for valuation, with Agricultural Bank's stock price nearing its net asset value, indicating a possible upward trend in valuation [6][10]. - The article identifies several city commercial banks, such as Chengdu Bank and Hangzhou Bank, as having strong fundamentals and potential for future growth, with current price-to-book ratios indicating they are undervalued [8][9]. Long-term Investment Strategy - The article advocates for a long-term investment strategy focused on banks with solid fundamentals, low valuations, and good growth potential, suggesting that investors should aim for annualized returns of 12-15% [9][10]. - It emphasizes the importance of selecting quality stocks based on fundamental analysis rather than short-term price movements, as this approach can lead to sustainable profits in the long run [10].

Core Viewpoint - James Anderson, a benchmark figure in global growth stock investment, continues his investment philosophy of "finding a few great companies" after retiring from Baillie Gifford in 2022 [2] Group 1 - Anderson expressed dissatisfaction with the increasingly bureaucratic nature of Baillie Gifford, indicating a desire for a more pure investment approach [2] - His recent speech and interactions reflect his commitment to a long-term investment strategy, emphasizing the challenges of enduring market pullbacks while identifying winning companies [2] - The article discussing Anderson's investment philosophy has been widely shared among professional investors, highlighting its relevance in current market conditions [2] Group 2 - Other recommended readings include insights from Zhang Yidong on the current market being a "little rabbit-style" bull market, suggesting a focus on asset value [2] - A discussion on the expectations for a bull market narrative is prevalent among public and private fund managers [2] - Zijin Mining, with a market capitalization of 650 billion, has seen over 60% growth this year, indicating significant investment returns [2] - The acceleration of innovation in China's pharmaceutical sector is noted, with a conversation featuring the CEO of GlaxoSmithKline discussing improvements in drug development success rates [2] - There is ongoing debate about whether consumer spending represents a "promising future" or should be focused on "seizing the present" [2] - The article suggests that in a challenging market, investors should consider what to believe in [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the exceptional performance and investment philosophy of Du Meng, a prominent fund manager at Morgan Fund, who has achieved significant returns through a focus on growth stocks and a long-term investment strategy [2][27]. Group 1: Performance Metrics - Du Meng's management of the Morgan Emerging Power Mixed A fund has resulted in a cumulative return of 513.84% since his tenure began, ranking it 6th among 425 similar products, placing it in the top 1.41% [2][7]. - The fund has shown impressive annual returns, with a 61.57% increase this year, 93.24% over the past year, and 691.24% since its inception [6][7]. - Du Meng's other fund, Morgan Vision Two-Year Holding Period Mixed Fund, has also performed well, achieving a 65.93% return this year and 98.95% over the past year [15][16]. Group 2: Investment Philosophy and Strategy - Du Meng's investment approach combines deep industry analysis, individual stock research, and flexible operations, focusing on emerging industries with sustainable growth potential [14][26]. - His ability to identify and invest in key sectors such as high-end manufacturing, new energy, and artificial intelligence has been crucial to his success [8][11]. - The investment strategy has evolved to include a balance of growth and value stocks, adapting to market conditions while maintaining a focus on long-term returns [25][26]. Group 3: Team and Institutional Support - The stability and experience of Du Meng's investment team, with an average tenure of over 7 years and an 80% internal promotion rate, provide a solid foundation for his investment strategies [5][26]. - Morgan Fund, under Du Meng's leadership, has grown its assets significantly, managing approximately 187.8 billion yuan, reflecting the trust and recognition from institutional investors [26]. Group 4: Market Trends and Future Outlook - Du Meng's investment decisions align with national strategic directions, particularly in technology and innovation, benefiting from policy support for emerging industries [8][14]. - The ongoing transformation of the Chinese economy presents continued opportunities for growth, with Du Meng committed to leveraging these trends for future investment success [26].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of patience and long-term holding in value investing, highlighting that true wealth is generated by identifying and holding onto exceptional companies over time [3][5][6]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - Frederick R. Kobrick advocates for a two-pronged approach to investing: selecting outstanding companies and maintaining patience in holding their stocks [3]. - The BASM framework (Business model, Assumptions, Strategy, Management) is introduced as a reliable method for identifying companies with growth potential [3][11]. - The article stresses that many investors fail to achieve significant wealth because they lack the patience to hold onto their investments long enough [5][6]. Group 2: Importance of Patience - Patience is highlighted as a critical factor in successful investing, with the assertion that many investors who correctly time the market do not ultimately profit due to their inability to hold [5][6]. - Historical examples, such as Circuit City, illustrate how patience can lead to substantial returns, with stock prices potentially increasing significantly over time [14][19]. - The article warns against the common mistake of selling stocks prematurely after short-term gains, which can result in missing out on much larger profits [8][9]. Group 3: Metrics for Evaluation - Investors are encouraged to focus on specific performance metrics, such as Return on Capital (ROC) and Return on Equity (ROE), to assess a company's growth potential [11][12]. - The importance of comparing companies within the same industry using common metrics is emphasized to identify true winners [12]. - The article suggests that understanding a company's operational capabilities and market position is crucial for making informed investment decisions [17][20]. Group 4: Case Studies - The article references Coca-Cola as an example of a company that can yield significant returns for patient investors, particularly during market downturns [19][20]. - The narrative of Circuit City demonstrates how a well-executed business strategy can lead to remarkable stock performance, even in challenging economic conditions [14][19]. - The article concludes that maintaining a long-term perspective and understanding the underlying business fundamentals can provide investors with opportunities to capitalize on market volatility [20][21].

本次财报公布的各项数据指标表现尚佳。其中，毛利率50.15%，同比增6.28%，净利率32.02%，同比增 30.03%，销售费用、管理费用、财务费用总计9465.04万元，三费占营收比11.57%，同比减25.16%，每 股净资产12.97元，同比增14.38%，每股经营性现金流0.51元，同比增35.35%，每股收益1.23元，同比增 86.36% 据证券之星公开数据整理，近期中际联合(605305)发布2025年中报。截至本报告期末，公司营业总收入 8.18亿元，同比上升43.52%，归母净利润2.62亿元，同比上升86.61%。按单季度数据看，第二季度营业 总收入5.02亿元，同比上升52.13%，第二季度归母净利润1.64亿元，同比上升99.31%。本报告期中际联 合盈利能力上升，毛利率同比增幅3.11%，净利率同比增幅30.03%。 财务报表中对有大幅变动的财务项目的原因说明如下： 营业收入变动幅度为43.52%,原因:2025年上半年风电行业整体保持快速发展态势，公司把握机遇、积 极开拓市场，各类业务持续稳定增长，境内外收入同比增加带来本期主营业务收入增长。 应收款项变动幅度为26.64%,原因 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the latest holdings of major investment firms in the U.S. stock market as of the second quarter of 2025, highlighting significant changes in their portfolios and potential investment opportunities. Group 1: Berkshire Hathaway Holdings - Berkshire Hathaway slightly reduced its stake in Apple by 20 million shares, which accounts for 6.67% of its holdings, but Apple remains the top holding [3][6] - Berkshire's previously undisclosed "invisible holdings" were revealed, including homebuilders Lennar and D.R. Horton, and steel giant Nucor [3][11] - Berkshire's new investment in UnitedHealth Group was unexpected, with the company facing challenges and a significant drop in stock price [3][12] - Berkshire's top ten holdings remain familiar names, with changes in four companies, including a reduction in American Bank shares [7][8] Group 2: Other Investment Firms - Himalaya Capital made a notable move by re-entering a position in Pinduoduo, now its second-largest holding, closely following American Bank [3][15] - Significant investments were made in Nvidia and Alphabet by various firms, with some firms capitalizing on the April market dip [4][18] - Highfields and Jinglin Capital showed differing strategies regarding Pinduoduo, with Highfields increasing its stake while Jinglin reduced its holdings significantly [21][26] Group 3: Market Trends and Insights - The article notes that many institutions took advantage of the market dip in early April, leading to increased positions in growth stocks [5] - The overall trend shows a shift towards technology and healthcare sectors, with firms like Baillie Gifford increasing their U.S. stock holdings significantly [28][30] - The article highlights the contrasting strategies of different investment firms regarding Chinese stocks, with some reducing their positions in Alibaba and Pinduoduo while others increased their stakes [28][21]

Core Viewpoint - Investors are seeking growth stocks that can deliver above-average growth and exceptional returns, but identifying such stocks can be challenging due to their inherent risks and volatility [1] Group 1: Growth Stock Identification - The Zacks Growth Style Score system simplifies the process of finding promising growth stocks by analyzing a company's real growth prospects beyond traditional metrics [2] - Cencora (COR) is highlighted as a recommended stock with a favorable Growth Score and a top Zacks Rank [2] Group 2: Earnings Growth - Earnings growth is a critical factor for growth investors, with double-digit growth being particularly attractive as it indicates strong future prospects [4] - Cencora has a historical EPS growth rate of 14.5%, with projected EPS growth of 15.3% this year, surpassing the industry average of 14.5% [5] Group 3: Cash Flow Growth - High cash flow growth is essential for growth-oriented companies, allowing them to fund new projects without relying on external financing [6] - Cencora's year-over-year cash flow growth is 12.9%, significantly higher than the industry average of -1.1% [6] - The company's annualized cash flow growth rate over the past 3-5 years is 14.1%, compared to the industry average of 8% [7] Group 4: Earnings Estimate Revisions - Positive trends in earnings estimate revisions are correlated with stock price movements, making them an important consideration for investors [8] - Cencora's current-year earnings estimates have been revised upward, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by 0.9% over the past month [8] Group 5: Overall Positioning - Cencora has achieved a Growth Score of A and a Zacks Rank of 2 due to positive earnings estimate revisions, positioning it well for potential outperformance [10]