——这个消息是北美东部时间9月30日，美国贸易代表格里尔（Jamieson Greer）在参加纽约经济俱乐部 （the Economic Club of New York）时发言的内容，有许多现场目击者，所以消息内容本身是可靠的， 关键是这些消息所包含的美国政府和特朗普（Donald Trump）真正用意是什么。 格里尔原话是"如果你去问总统'我们和中国达成协议了么'，他会说'是的，这就是我们的协议。我们对 中国征收55%关税，这就是协议内容。'所以这就是一个良好的现状'，此外他还说了一些希望能够继续 与中方官员进行定期磋商，努力实现更加平衡的贸易关系，双方都能扩大"非敏感商品"的贸易，比如美 国的农产品和中国的消费品等诸如此类的话。 消息称美国不准备降低对华关税税率，是否可靠？ 很显然，美方试图将原本无端提出的20%"芬太尼关税"常态化和固定化，借以长期维持比中方对美产品 关税率低20%的美方对华关税率，同时继续维持在对华进出口、技术封锁等方面长期以来的双标。而中 方博弈的关键，则是力图在继打破"特朗普第三原则"之后，再打破其第一、第二原则，即破解其"极限 施压"和"漫天要价，就地还钱"的手法。 具体到策略 ...

近日，美国财长贝森特与中国代表在马德里进行了第四轮经贸谈判，然而从外界的反应和随之而来的动作来看，这场谈判并未如特朗普政府所期待的那样顺 利，反倒是让美国陷入了被动。 特朗普政府以"极限施压"的策略希望能逼迫中国在贸易、科技等领域做出让步，然而现实情况却似乎朝着相反的方向发展。在贝森特结束与中方的会谈后不 久，便急着预约下一轮谈判，这无疑显示出美国在谈判桌上并没有占到明显的优势。 紧接着，贝森特又火急火燎地向欧盟施压，要求其对中国和印度加征关税。表面上看，美国似乎是在联合盟友对抗中方，实则其背后有更多层次的考量。将 欧盟视为"枪使"的做法，显然反映了美国在面对中国时的焦虑与无力。过去的关税政策并未能有效逼迫中国让步，反而令美国自身的企业承受了沉重的损 失。 这种状况下，推卸责任的方式让美国可以在表面上声称是由于中方的不妥协而继续对华加税，但其实是希望借助其他国家的力量进一步推动对中国的制裁。 这种"双标"行径早已不再新鲜，但它却在当前的复杂国际局势中暴露出美国急于维护自身霸权的真实动机。 反观美国，如果仍抱有幻想，希望通过进一步的"极限施压"来逼迫中国，让步只会是空想。在面对中美博弈的持续升级时，中国的战略布 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the U.S. military operations in the Caribbean will continue, with a focus on combating drug trafficking and targeting "drug terrorists" [1][3] - U.S. Secretary of State Rubio indicated that similar military actions are expected to occur again, emphasizing a strong offensive against drug trafficking organizations [3] - The recent U.S. military strike on a Venezuelan vessel, which resulted in 11 deaths, has led to heightened tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela, with Venezuela condemning the action as "murder without legal procedure" [3] Group 2 - The U.S. has deployed multiple naval vessels in the Caribbean under the pretext of combating drug trafficking, which has strained relations with Venezuela [3] - Venezuelan President Maduro accused the U.S. of attempting to use military force to pressure and destabilize the Venezuelan government, calling the U.S. actions absurd [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Venezuela is facing unprecedented military threats from the United States, with President Maduro emphasizing the country's preparedness to defend its sovereignty against these actions [1][2]. - Maduro claims that the U.S. military deployment near Venezuela, which includes 8 warships carrying 1200 missiles and a nuclear submarine, represents the largest threat the country has faced in nearly a century [1]. - The Venezuelan government has accused the U.S. of engaging in "gunboat diplomacy," a term that refers to the use of military force to influence other nations, which Maduro argues is a desperate move following the failure of U.S. sanctions and isolation strategies against Venezuela [2]. Group 2 - In response to the perceived threat, Venezuela has mobilized troops to its borders and called on citizens to join militia organizations to protect the nation [3]. - Maduro has expressed a desire to maintain communication with the U.S., but he notes that the bilateral channels have deteriorated significantly, indicating a breakdown in diplomatic relations [2].

马杜罗指认包括美国务卿鲁比奥在内的美方官员企图通过军事手段"极限施压"、颠覆委内瑞拉政权。他 说，这是"过分、不合理、不道德且绝对罪恶"的威胁，违反联合国宪章宗旨和原则。 【最新黄金期货行情解析】 今日沪金期货需重点关注的关键阻力位区间为810元/克至840元/克，而重要支撑位区间则位于772元/克 至830元/克。 【要闻速递】 委内瑞拉总统马杜罗1日说，美国企图通过军事手段对委"极限施压"，8艘总计携带1200枚导弹的美军战 舰以及一艘核潜艇正在"瞄准"委内瑞拉，这个拉美国家正面临近百年来"最大威胁"。 今日周二（9月2日）亚盘时段，黄金期货目前交投于809.98附近，截至发稿，黄金期货暂报807.10元/ 克，涨幅1.54%，最高触及809.98元/克，最低下探799.08元/克。目前来看，黄金期货短线偏向看多走 势。 打开APP，查看更多高清行情>> ...

新华社加拉加斯9月1日电（记者田睿）委内瑞拉总统马杜罗1日说，美国企图通过军事手段对委"极限施 压"，8艘总计携带1200枚导弹的美军战舰以及一艘核潜艇正在"瞄准"委内瑞拉，这个拉美国家正面临近 百年来"最大威胁"。 马杜罗在首都加拉加斯举行新闻发布会，指认包括美国务卿鲁比奥在内的美方官员企图通过军事手 段"极限施压"、颠覆委内瑞拉政权。他说，这是"过分、不合理、不道德且绝对罪恶"的威胁，违反联合 国宪章宗旨和原则。 马杜罗强调，委内瑞拉政府已为保卫国家做好"最大程度"准备，不会屈服于任何形式的讹诈和威胁。委 内瑞拉政府本周将组织全国民众进行大规模训练，并组建社区民兵作战部队。 马杜罗还说，美方以缉毒为借口出兵加勒比海十分荒诞，其合理性会不攻自破，委内瑞拉政府始终努力 打击贩毒，持续缴获毒品并摧毁贩毒集团使用的飞机等载具。目前，委美双方官方沟通渠道并不顺畅， 但委方始终保持对话和外交沟通渠道开放。 据美国媒体8月20日报道，美国总统特朗普决定以"打击拉美贩毒集团"为由，在委内瑞拉附近加勒比海 域部署一支两栖舰队，由1艘两栖攻击舰和2艘船坞登陆舰组成，载有约2200名海军陆战队员。美国军事 媒体说，美军先前已在 ...

随着时间的推移，距离8月15日"双普会"的召开仅剩下24小时。这次会谈聚焦于冷战结束后欧洲所面临 的最大地缘政治危机——俄乌冲突，已经在国际舞台上引发了各方势力的激烈角逐。为了为即将召开的 会议做准备，各国领导人于8月13日召开了一场重要的线上会议。在这个节点上，乌克兰总统泽连斯基 亲自前往德国首都柏林，与德国总理默茨进行会晤，探讨了当前复杂的局势。欧洲各国试图说服美国前 总统特朗普，在即将与俄罗斯总统普京的谈判中，不要对俄罗斯作出任何妥协，更不可"出卖"乌克兰的 利益。 然而，特朗普对此感到非常愤怒。他在8月13日当天通过社交媒体平台，强烈回应了这些欧洲领导人的 劝告，表达了要求他们闭嘴并不要多管闲事的立场。同时，美国财政部长贝森特也在同一天对欧洲国家 发出了警告，要求他们做好准备，以支持对购买俄罗斯能源的国家施加更高的关税。这一系列的言论直 指欧洲在面对俄罗斯威胁时的态度。 为了进一步强调美国在对俄罗斯问题上的强硬立场，贝森特特别提到了一则发生在今年6月的G7领导人 峰会期间的插曲。他本以为在施压俄罗斯的议题上，欧洲国家会与美国齐心协力，因此主动询问各国是 否愿意对中国加征200%的次级关税以遏制俄罗斯的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant market turmoil following the Trump administration's announcement of "reciprocal tariffs," which led to a sharp decline in U.S. and global stock markets, highlighting the potential long-term economic implications of such trade policies [1][8][31]. Group 1: Market Reaction - U.S. stock markets experienced their largest single-day drop since 2020, with a total market value loss exceeding $6 trillion within two trading days [8][12]. - Major global markets, including Australia, South Korea, Japan, and Europe, faced severe declines, with Australia's S&P index plummeting by 6.4% and South Korea's index triggering a trading halt [12][13][21]. - The Singapore Strait Times index fell by 8.5% within 20 minutes, and European indices like Germany's DAX and the UK's FTSE saw declines exceeding 4% [13][21]. Group 2: Government Response - U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin downplayed the market volatility, asserting that short-term fluctuations should not be a concern and emphasizing a focus on long-term prosperity [3][8]. - Mnuchin claimed that Trump's tariff strategy has created significant negotiation leverage, with over 50 countries reportedly seeking trade negotiations with the U.S. [5][15]. - Despite the optimistic rhetoric, there is skepticism regarding the actual progress of these negotiations, as specific details remain undisclosed [15][36]. Group 3: Economic Implications - The tariffs are expected to have a detrimental impact on global commodity demand, affecting various industries and leading to significant stock price drops for companies like SK Hynix and BHP [19][21]. - Analysts warn that the ongoing trade conflict could result in a 0.3% reduction in U.S. GDP and an increase in the unemployment rate to 5.3% [31]. - The article highlights the potential for economic isolation for the U.S. as other countries may resist accepting what they perceive as "unequal treaties" [40][43]. Group 4: Internal Discontent - There are indications of internal discord within the Trump administration regarding trade policies, with some officials expressing concerns about the long-term economic consequences of the tariffs [25][36]. - Mnuchin's public support for Trump's strategy contrasts with reports of his personal frustrations with the tariff calculations, suggesting a potential for resignation [25][36]. Group 5: Global Trade Dynamics - The article notes that the tariffs have prompted retaliatory measures from countries like China, which announced a 34% tariff on U.S. goods, directly impacting critical sectors such as semiconductors and defense [31][38]. - The global trade landscape is shifting, with countries like Australia and New Zealand expressing significant distress over the economic fallout from U.S. policies, leading to currency depreciation and market instability [34][43].

Group 1 - The core idea of the article revolves around the concept of the "Third Option," which emphasizes finding collaborative solutions in conflicts rather than engaging in zero-sum games [1][5][13] - The case of ByteDance illustrates how a product team and a technical team resolved their conflict by breaking down a feature into three versions, leading to unexpected user approval and collaboration [1][3] - The "Third Option" is contrasted with traditional approaches to conflict resolution, which often involve compromise or confrontation, highlighting the potential for creating greater value through collaboration [3][5] Group 2 - The article discusses the "Four Steps to Collaboration" as a practical guide to implementing the "Third Option" in workplace conflicts [6] - The first step involves inviting the other party to explore a better solution together, signaling a willingness to cooperate [7] - The second step focuses on defining mutually recognized success criteria to ensure that both parties have a clear understanding of what constitutes a win [8] - The third step encourages brainstorming without limitations to generate creative solutions [9] - The final step is to confirm the collaborative solution and take action, ensuring it meets the established success criteria [10] Group 3 - The article warns against the "GET Trap," which refers to the pitfalls of focusing on personal gain, being controlled by emotions, and defending one's territory, ultimately hindering collaboration [12] - It emphasizes that the essence of the "Third Option" lies in improving communication and overcoming limited thinking, rather than competing for scarce resources [13] - The article concludes by reiterating that true success in conflicts comes from creating win-win situations, rather than viewing life as a zero-sum game [13]

Core Viewpoint - The sudden shift in the U.S. Treasury Secretary's stance towards China reflects a strategic retreat by the Trump administration after facing multiple failures in its aggressive policies [1][3][19]. Group 1: Energy Policy - Trump's initial strategy involved leveraging energy sanctions against countries purchasing Russian oil to create global supply tensions, aiming to address domestic economic issues [5][7]. - The OPEC+ decision to increase oil production undermined Trump's plan, preventing the desired volatility in oil prices that could have pressured the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates [7][9]. Group 2: Trade and Alliances - Trump's approach to isolate China involved threatening tariffs on key allies, hoping to create a perception of U.S. dominance in international negotiations [10][12]. - While some agreements were reached with the EU and Japan, these were met with significant domestic opposition, indicating a lack of genuine commitment to U.S. demands [12][14]. Group 3: Domestic Economic Challenges - Recent labor data revealed a significant downturn in employment, comparable to post-pandemic levels, which directly challenged Trump's narrative of a strong economy [17]. - In response to negative economic reports, Trump dismissed the head of the statistics bureau, highlighting his anxiety and inability to address the underlying issues [17][19]. Group 4: Political Implications - The combination of failed external strategies and poor domestic economic performance led to a drop in Trump's approval ratings to a new low of 37%, raising concerns within the Republican Party about upcoming elections [19][21]. - The shift in U.S. policy towards China is seen as a last resort after exhausting other options, indicating a retreat from aggressive posturing to a focus on domestic crisis management [21].