Key Points of the Report Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the report industry investment rating is provided in the given content. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The Chinese capital market is in the initial stage of strategic allocation, with the 9 - month stock index in a high - level consolidation phase after continuous growth. The CSI 500 and CSI 1000 indices are more offensive, while the SSE 50 and SSE 300 are more defensive [2][12]. - For bonds, it is recommended to be bearish on long - term bonds and remain on the sidelines for short - term bonds, as the central bank's policy adjustment awaits central government deployment, and the equity market is strengthening [14]. - In the energy and chemical sector, the outlook for various products varies. For example, crude oil's future depends on OPEC's production increase; methanol is short - term bearish; rubber is expected to fluctuate within a range; and polyolefins may continue to oscillate in a low - level range [15][16][17][19]. - Regarding metals, copper is supported in the long - term due to potential supply shortages; zinc may fluctuate weakly in the short - term; and lithium carbonate may oscillate in the short - term with demand and inventory factors at play [21][22][23]. - In the agricultural product sector, protein meal may oscillate at a low level; some oils are showing signs of rebound; and cotton and sugar are expected to have complex short - term trends influenced by supply and demand [27][28][30][31]. - The shipping index of container shipping to Europe may be in a short - term oscillatory pattern, with the focus on shipping companies' price increases and capacity adjustment [32]. Summaries by Related Catalogs 1. Macroeconomic Situation - From January to August, the total profit of Chinese industrial enterprises above designated size was 4.69297 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 0.9%. In August, the profit increased by 20.4% year - on - year, compared with a 1.5% decline in the previous month. The equipment manufacturing industry was a major driver, with 7 out of 8 sub - industries seeing profit growth [1]. - The US core PCE price index in August increased by 2.9% year - on - year and 0.2% month - on - month, in line with expectations. Real consumer spending increased by 0.4% for the third consecutive month, exceeding the expected 0.2% [1]. 2. Key Varieties Analysis Financial - **Stock Index**: The US three major indices rose, while the previous trading day's stock index declined. The oil and petrochemical sector led the gain, and the computer sector led the decline, with a market turnover of 2.17 trillion yuan. On September 25, the margin trading balance increased by 13.288 billion yuan to 2.427411 trillion yuan [2][12]. - **Treasury Bonds**: Treasury bonds rose slightly. The central bank continued to inject medium - term liquidity, but the cross - festival capital tightened. The profit of industrial enterprises above designated size in August increased significantly. The Fed restarted interest rate cuts, and the US GDP growth rate was revised up. It is recommended to be bearish on long - term bonds and remain on the sidelines for short - term bonds [13][14]. Energy and Chemical - **Crude Oil**: The SC night session rose 1.21%. Russia will impose a partial ban on diesel exports by the end of the year and extend the gasoline export ban. The global decline rate of oil and gas field production has accelerated. Attention should be paid to OPEC's production increase [3][15]. - **Methanol**: Methanol oscillated at night. The average operating load of domestic coal - to - olefin plants increased. Coastal methanol inventory decreased, but it is still at a historical high. Methanol is short - term bearish [16]. - **Rubber**: Natural rubber futures oscillated. Supply in some areas improved, and bonded area inventory decreased. The start - up rate of all - steel tires increased. It is expected to continue to oscillate within a range [17]. - **Polyolefins**: Polyolefins continued to rebound at night. The price generally fluctuated with the cost. It may continue to oscillate in a low - level range, with attention on demand and supply - side policies [18][19]. - **Glass and Soda Ash**: Glass futures declined. The short - term market supply and demand are slowly recovering, and attention is on the supply - side contraction. The inventory of glass and soda ash production enterprises decreased. The market has a positive expectation for the glass industry's supply change [4][20]. Metals - **Copper**: The copper price at night decreased by 0.7%. The concentrate supply has been tight, but the smelting output has been growing. The Indonesian mine accident may lead to a supply shortage, supporting the long - term price [21]. - **Zinc**: The zinc price at night decreased by 1.25%. The zinc concentrate processing fee increased, and the smelting output is expected to rise. The short - term supply may be in surplus, and the price may fluctuate weakly [22]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: Supply and demand both increased, and inventory decreased. The bullish logic has been weakened, and the price may oscillate in the short - term [23]. - **Double Cokes**: The double - coke futures were weak at night. The steel fundamentals put pressure on coking coal, and investors are advised to operate cautiously before the holiday [24]. - **Iron Ore**: Steel mills' demand for iron ore is supported. Global iron ore shipments decreased, and port inventory decreased rapidly. The price is expected to be strong and oscillate [25]. - **Steel**: The steel supply pressure is increasing, and the inventory is accumulating. The export of billets is strong. The market is in a situation of weak supply and demand, with hot - rolled coils stronger than rebar [26]. Agricultural Products - **Protein Meal**: The prices of soybean and rapeseed meal were weak at night. Argentina temporarily cancelled export taxes, but the exemption period has ended. The domestic market may oscillate at a low level [27]. - **Oils**: The price of soybean oil declined slightly at night, while rapeseed and palm oil were strong. After the digestion of the negative news of Argentina's tax cancellation, the oil price rebounded [28]. - **Sugar**: The international sugar market is in a stock - building stage, and the domestic market is supported by high sales - to - production ratio and low inventory, but also dragged by import pressure. Zhengzhou sugar may oscillate after a rebound [30]. - **Cotton**: The international cotton market has supply pressure, and the domestic market is affected by the new cotton harvest. The price may oscillate weakly in the short - term [31]. Shipping Index - **Container Shipping to Europe**: The EC oscillated and declined on Friday. The SCFI European line price decreased. Shipping companies are trying to raise prices, and the contract may shift to the 12 - month contract. It is expected to be in an oscillatory pattern in the short - term [32]. 3. News Summaries - **International News**: Ukrainian drones attacked Russian refineries, causing fuel shortages in some Russian regions. Russia will impose a partial ban on diesel exports and extend the gasoline export ban [3][6][15]. - **Domestic News**: The "Super Golden Week" of the Mid - Autumn Festival and National Day is approaching. The tourism market is booming, with changes in travel patterns and consumer preferences [7]. - **Industry News**: The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs requires supporting Xinjiang to improve grain production capacity, promote cotton seed breeding, and develop characteristic industries [8][9].

首席 点 评 ： 规模以上工业企业利润同比增长 品种观点 | 菜和 | 王米 豆和 | 苹果 | 棉花 | 碳酸锂 | 4 | स्टे | 日期 | 黄金 | 铁矿 | 热卷 | 螺纹 | 甲醇 | 原油 | 国债(T) | 国债(TL) | 股指(IM) | 股指(IC) | 股指(IF) | 股指(IH) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | V | V | V | V | | V | | | | | | | V | V | V | 4 | | | | | 偏空 | | | V | | | V | | V | V | 1 | V | V | V | | | | | V | V | V | > | 偏多 | 一、当日主要新闻关注 1 ）国际新闻 俄罗斯别尔哥罗德州州长格拉德科夫当地时间 9 月 28 日表示，乌军当天对该州基础设施发动了袭击，目前电力供应出现相 当严重的中断。格拉 ...

关兵：1月至8月规上装备制造业的利润增长7.2%，拉动全部规上工业企业利润增长2.5个百分点， 是拉动作用最强的板块之一，装备制造业的8个行业当中有7个行业的利润实现了增长，铁路船舶航空航 天、电气机械行业利润增长较快，增速分别达到了37.3%和11.5%。 原材料制造业利润增长较快，消费品制造业利润由降转增。 1月至8月，不同规模企业利润均有改善，其中，规模以上工业中型、小型企业利润同比分别增长 2.7%、1.5%，较1月至7月加快1.1个、0.4个百分点。私营企业利润增长3.3%，高于全部规模以上工业企 业平均水平2.4个百分点。 从三大门类看，1月至8月，制造业增长7.4%，较1月至7月加快2.6个百分点；电力、热力、燃气及 水生产和供应业增长9.4%，加快5.5个百分点；采矿业下降30.6%，降幅收窄1.0个百分点。 装备制造业的压舱石作用明显。 央广网北京9月28日消息（记者张棉棉 扈月齐）据中央广播电视总台中国之声《新闻和报纸摘要》 报道，国家统计局9月27日公布，1月至8月，在宏观政策发力显效、全国统一大市场纵深推进，叠加去 年同期低基数等多重因素作用下，规模以上工业企业利润同比增长0.9%，装 ...

国家统计局27日发布数据显示，1至8月，在宏观政策发力显效、全国统一大市场纵深推进，叠加去年同 期低基数等多重因素作用下，全国规模以上工业企业实现利润总额46929.7亿元，同比增长0.9%。"1至8 月，规模以上工业企业利润由1至7月同比下降1.7%转为增长0.9%，扭转了自今年5月份以来企业累计利 润持续下降态势。"国家统计局工业司首席统计师于卫宁说。于卫宁介绍，从三大门类看，制造业增长 7.4%，较1至7月加快2.6个百分点；电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业增长9.4%，加快5.5个百分点； 采矿业下降30.6%，降幅收窄1.0个百分点。从月度看，8月份规模以上工业企业利润两位数增长，由7月 份下降1.5%转为增长20.4%，工业企业当月利润改善明显。数据显示，工业企业营收保持稳定增长，8 月份工业企业营业收入增长1.9%，较7月份加快1.0个百分点，营业收入增长加快，为企业盈利继续恢复 创造有利条件；装备制造业"压舱石"作用明显，1至8月，规模以上装备制造业利润增长7.2%，拉动全部 规模以上工业企业利润增长2.5个百分点，是拉动作用最强的板块之一。 ...

央视网消息：国家统计局发布数据，今年1—8月份，在宏观政策发力显效、全国统一大市场纵深推 进，叠加去年同期低基数等多重因素作用下，规模以上工业企业利润明显改善，工业企业营收保持稳定 增长。1—8月份，全国规模以上工业企业实现利润总额46929.7亿元，同比增长0.9%。 ...

9月27日，国家统计局发布数据显示，1—8月份，全国规模以上工业企业实现利润总额46929.7 亿元，同比增长0.9%。其中，1—8月份，规模以上装备制造业利润增长7.2%，拉动全部规模 以上工业企业利润增长2.5个百分点，是拉动作用最强的板块之一，对规模以上工业企业利润 恢复支撑作用明显。 于卫宁指出，1—8月份，规模以上工业企业营业收入同比增长2.3%，与1—7月份持平。其 中，8月份工业企业营业收入增长1.9%，较7月份加快1.0个百分点，营业收入增长加快，为企 业盈利继续恢复创造有利条件。 国家统计局工业司首席统计师于卫宁表示，1—8月份，在宏观政策发力显效、全国统一大市场 纵深推进，叠加去年同期低基数等多重因素作用下，规模以上工业企业利润同比增长0.9%， 装备制造业支撑有力，不同规模企业利润均有所改善。1—8月份，规模以上工业企业利润由1 —7月份同比下降1.7%转为增长0.9%，扭转了自今年5月份以来企业累计利润持续下降态势。 规模以上工业中型、小型企业利润同比分别增长2.7%、1.5%，较1—7月份加快1.1个、0.4个百 分点。 记者丨冉黎黎 编辑丨周上祺 8月实现两位数增长 国家统计局数据 ...

权威数读 IEILAT THE UP THE THE FEAT T 1-8月份 规模以上工业4个印刷酒店1-7月份 同比下降1.7%转为增长0.9% 粗转自今年5月份以来 企业累计制润持续下降态势 | 权威数读 1-8月份 规模以上工业位置业收入 同比增长2.3% 与1-7月份持平 工业企业营收保持稳定增长 国家统计局27日发布数据显示，1—8月份，在宏观政策发力显效、全国统一大市场纵深推进，叠加去年 同期低基数等多重因素作用下，规模以上工业企业利润同比增长0.9%，装备制造业支撑有力，不同规 模企业利润均有所改善。跟随这组海报，一起了解下吧。 双 用 不可 下 策划：曹建礼 文案：缪异星 权威数读 / 新华社 权威数读 2030 权威行 His 4 - 4 5 10 6 1-8月份 规模以上装备制造业和润增长7.2% 拉动全部规模以上工业企业"刷润" 增长2.5个百分点 是拉动作用最强的板块之 权威到其 表材料制造业利润增长 基品制造业和油由降率 1-8月份 原材料制造业制润同比增长22.1% 较1-7月份加快10.0个百分点 消费品制造业制润 : 1-7月份下降2.2%转为增长1.4% [ 责编：丛芳瑶 ...

记者：王雨萧 【纠错】 【责任编辑:邱丽芳】 新华社音视频部制作 编导：赵宇超 ...

国家统计局27日发布数据显示，1—8月份，在宏观政策发力显效、全国统一大市场纵深推进，叠加 去年同期低基数等多重因素作用下，规模以上工业企业利润同比增长0.9%，装备制造业支撑有力，不 同规模企业利润均有所改善。跟随这组海报，一起了解下吧。 工业企业和润明显改善 -1-8目份 规模以上工业(4)[制润电1-7月份 同比下降1.7%转为增长0.9% 扭转自今年5月份以来 企业累计制润持续下降态势 权威数读。 权威数读 双 用不可能 策划：曹建礼 权威数读 工业企业营收保持稳定增长 1-8居份 规模以上工业企业营业收入 同比增长2.3% 与1-7月份持平 and 权威数读 / ROBOT 权威 - 文庫 hadus "库托石" 作用明 4-8月份 规模以上装备制造业和短增长7.2% 拉动全部规模以上工业企业和润 增长2.5个百分点 是拉动作用最强的板块之 权威到实 表材料制造业和润增长较 食品制造业和酒店 隆瘦 1-8月份 原材料制造业制润同比增长22.1% 较1-7月份加快10.0个百分点 消费品制造业和润 : 1-7月份下降2.2%转为增长1.4% 文案：缪异星 制作：缪异星 【纠错】 【责任编辑:赵文涵】 ...

中新社北京9月27日电 中国国家统计局27日公布，1—8月份，中国规模以上工业企业利润由1—7月份同 比下降1.7%转为增长0.9%，扭转了自今年5月份以来企业累计利润持续下降态势。 受市场需求增加、价格回升、成本有所下降等因素带动，1—8月份，原材料制造业利润同比增长 22.1%，较1—7月份加快10.0个百分点。其中，钢铁行业同比扭亏为盈。1—8月份，消费品制造业利润 也由1—7月份同比下降2.2%转为增长1.4%。 国家统计局工业司首席统计师于卫宁表示，规模以上工业企业利润出现明显改善。从三大门类看，1—8 月份，制造业同比增长7.4%，较1—7月份加快2.6个百分点；电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业同比 增长9.4%，加快5.5个百分点；采矿业同比下降30.6%，降幅收窄1.0个百分点。 从月度看，8月份规模以上工业企业利润同比两位数增长，由7月份下降1.5%转为增长20.4%。 1—8月份，规模以上工业企业营业收入同比增长2.3%，与1—7月份持平。其中，8月份工业企业营业收 入增长1.9%，较7月份加快1.0个百分点，营业收入增长加快，为企业盈利继续恢复创造有利条件。 1—8月份，规模以上装备制造 ...