证券研究报告 | 半年报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 08 26 年 月 日 安科瑞（300286.SZ） Q2 业绩显著提速，后续有望重点受益零碳园区建设 Q2 业绩显著提速符合预期，后续市占率有望稳步提升。公司 25H1 实现营收 5.4 亿元，同增 1.5%；实现归母净利润 1.26 亿元，同增 25%；实现扣非后归母净利 润 1.09 亿元，同增 23%。上半年营收业绩增长符合我们预期。其中业绩增速快于 收入，主因公司 25H1 毛利率提升、费用率下降。分季度看，公司 Q1/Q2 分别实 现营收 2.4/3.0 亿元，分别 YoY+0.6%/+2.3%，营收增速稳步提升；分别实现归 母净利润 0.52/0.73 亿元，分别 YoY+15.3%/+32.6%，Q2 业绩增速明显提速，主 因 Q2 毛利率提升与费用率下降幅度较为显著。分业务看，公司 25H1 电力监控及 变电站综合监测系统/能效管理产品及系统/消防及用电安全产品/企业微电网-其 他/ 电量 传感 器业务 分别实 现营收 2.26/1.75/0.41/0.32/0.63 亿元，分别 YoY+0.01%/-0.12%/-0.85% ...

Group 1 - The 2025 National Ecological Day event and the Third Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Green Development Conference opened in Baoding, Hebei, focusing on the theme "Collaborative 'Green' Movement for 'New' Energy Release" [1] - Experts shared development achievements and strategic plans on key topics such as carbon emission dual control systems, new power system construction, and zero-carbon park development [1] - The conference showcased ten typical cases of green development in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, highlighting significant achievements in economic development and ecological protection since the implementation of the major national strategy [1] Group 2 - Baoding has been cultivating a systematic green low-carbon industrial system featuring intelligent connected new energy vehicles, high-end electric and new energy equipment, green health buildings, and hydrogen energy [2] - The city is deepening cooperation in green technology research and development, promoting the transformation of traditional manufacturing towards high-end, intelligent, and green practices [2] - Baoding is enhancing collaboration in green talent cultivation, building a talent exchange platform, and optimizing talent resource allocation [2]

Group 1 - As of August 13, 2025, the stock price of Shuangliang Energy is 5.96 yuan, with an increase of 0.01 yuan, representing a rise of 0.17% compared to the previous trading day [1] - The trading volume on that day reached 391 million yuan, with a turnover rate of 3.52% [1] - Shuangliang Energy's main business includes energy-saving and environmental protection equipment manufacturing, as well as new energy system integration, covering industries such as photovoltaic equipment and energy storage [1] Group 2 - On August 12, Shuangliang Group, the parent company of Shuangliang Energy, signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Beijing Green Exchange to collaborate in areas such as zero-carbon park construction, carbon asset management, and ESG [1] - On August 13, the net inflow of main funds was 1.4978 million yuan, but over the past five trading days, there has been an overall net outflow of 119 million yuan [1]

Core Viewpoint - Shandong Province has initiated a significant step towards the construction of zero-carbon parks, aiming to establish around 15 provincial-level zero-carbon parks by 2027, with a clear technical path and supporting systems in place by 2030 [1][2] Group 1: Construction Plan - The construction plan outlines the basic conditions for zero-carbon park development, including the requirement for parks to be located in provincial-level development zones and to have a solid foundation in energy consumption and carbon emission monitoring [1] - The plan specifies that the construction of zero-carbon parks must meet four conditions, including no major safety or environmental incidents in the past three years [1] Group 2: Implementation Strategy - The plan emphasizes a high-level positioning and orderly advancement, with ten key construction areas such as promoting renewable energy, enhancing green energy utilization, and developing green transportation logistics [2] - It includes measures for organizational leadership, financial support, innovation in reforms, and public awareness to ensure the successful implementation of zero-carbon parks [2]

Core Viewpoint - The construction of zero-carbon parks is essential for achieving carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals in China, as emphasized by the National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, and National Energy Administration in their recent notice [1] Group 1: Zero-Carbon Park Construction - The notice supports regions with conditions to build a number of zero-carbon parks, gradually improving planning, technology, business models, and management standards [1] - The construction of zero-carbon parks is seen as a critical entry point for reducing carbon emissions, particularly in the petrochemical industry, which has a significant share of its activities occurring in industrial parks [2][3] Group 2: Energy Structure and Industrial Adjustment - Adjusting the energy structure and optimizing the industrial structure are crucial for achieving zero-carbon parks, with a focus on developing low-energy, low-pollution, and high-value-added industries [4] - The petrochemical industry has over 700 parks, with more than 50% of the industry's output value generated in these parks, highlighting their importance in the transition to green energy [3] Group 3: Technological Innovation and Management - The successful implementation of zero-carbon parks relies heavily on technological innovation, with a need for advanced applicable technologies and the transformation of scientific achievements into practical applications [4] - Enhancing energy and carbon management capabilities within parks is essential for monitoring and optimizing energy loads [4] Group 4: Participation and Standards - Various stakeholders, including local governments, park enterprises, power generation companies, and third-party energy service providers, are encouraged to participate in the construction of zero-carbon parks [5] - Parks that meet the criteria for national zero-carbon park construction are advised to apply for recognition, with a target year of 2025 for establishing a comprehensive indicator system and construction roadmap [7]

Macro Information and Commentary - In the first half of 2025, China's GDP reached 66,053.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.3%. The GDP growth for Q1 was 5.4% and for Q2 was 5.2% [3][6] - The industrial added value above designated size increased by 6.4% year-on-year, while fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) was 24,865.4 billion yuan, up 2.8% year-on-year, with private fixed asset investment declining by 0.6% [3][6] - The urban surveyed unemployment rate averaged 5.2%, and the total retail sales of consumer goods in June grew by 4.8% year-on-year, with a month-on-month decline of 0.16% [3][6] North Exchange Overview - As of June 20, 2025, there were 267 stocks listed on the North Exchange, with an average total market capitalization of 807.743 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.98% from the previous week [7][10] - The average trading volume decreased by 13.60% to 1.287 billion shares, and the average trading value fell by 11.56% to 28.833 billion yuan [8][10] - The North Exchange 50 index closed at 1,347.46 points, down 2.55% from the previous week [10] Industry and Company Analysis Food and Beverage - The food and beverage sector rose by 0.84% from July 7 to July 11, 2025, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.03 percentage points [13] - The CPI showed marginal improvement, with dairy prices recovering and the wholesale price of Moutai increasing by 0.52% [14][15] - Investment recommendations focus on stable demand leaders and companies innovating in new products and channels, including Qingdao Beer and Guizhou Moutai [17] Medical Consumables - The optimization of medical procurement rules in Hunan Province aims to enhance procurement volume determination and monitoring [20][21] - Ji Min Health and Shangrong Medical both issued profit warnings, with expected losses due to tariff impacts and declining sales [22][23] - Investment suggestions highlight opportunities in companies recovering from procurement pressures and those innovating in high-value consumables [25] Public Utilities - The public utilities sector rose by 1.11%, with solar power and heating services showing significant gains [27] - Coal prices increased slightly, while natural gas prices also saw a minor rise [28][29] - Investment recommendations focus on hydropower assets and companies benefiting from the transition to a unified electricity market [32] New Materials - The rare earth magnetic materials sector surged by 15.66%, with significant price increases in rare earth minerals [34][35] - Investment suggestions emphasize the potential for price increases in rare earth resources and the recovery of downstream magnetic material companies [39] Real Estate - Real estate sales area and sales amount saw a year-on-year decline, with significant drops in June [40][41] - Investment recommendations suggest focusing on leading real estate companies with strong land acquisition capabilities and those benefiting from active second-hand housing transactions [45] Medical Services - The medical and biological sector rose by 1.82%, with significant growth in the CXO platform, particularly for WuXi AppTec [47][48] - Investment recommendations focus on high-growth companies in the medical outsourcing sector and those expected to improve profitability [49][50] ETF Market - As of July 11, 2025, the total asset management scale of ETFs reached 43,803.08 billion yuan, with a notable increase in the number of new listings [52][53] - Investment strategies recommend focusing on sectors with high PB and ROE, particularly in automotive and agricultural industries [55][57]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the public utility and environmental sectors [4][22]. Core Insights - The construction of zero-carbon parks is being accelerated, with the release of renewable energy power consumption responsibility weights expected by 2025 [1][17]. - The report highlights the increasing responsibility weights for renewable energy consumption across various provinces, with most provinces expected to exceed 20% by 2025 [17][20]. - The report emphasizes the importance of integrating renewable energy development with energy management systems to achieve carbon neutrality [22][23]. Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.82%, while the public utility index increased by 1.11% and the environmental index by 3.17% [1][24]. - Within the electricity sector, coal-fired power increased by 0.41%, hydropower by 0.42%, and renewable energy generation by 1.05% [1][25]. Important Policies and Events - The National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, and National Energy Administration issued a notice to accelerate the transformation of energy structures in parks and promote energy conservation and carbon reduction [15][16]. - Hainan Province's implementation plan for market-oriented reform of renewable energy grid prices includes a pricing structure for existing projects and competitive bidding for new projects [16] . Investment Strategy - Recommendations include major coal-fired power companies like Huadian International and Shanghai Electric, as well as leading renewable energy firms such as Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy [3][22]. - The report suggests that nuclear power companies like China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power will maintain stable profitability [3][22]. - In the environmental sector, companies like China Everbright Environment and Zhongshan Public Utilities are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [23][22]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts and Investment Ratings - Huadian International: Outperform, with an expected EPS of 0.46 in 2024 and 0.62 in 2025 [8]. - Longyuan Power: Outperform, with an expected EPS of 0.75 in 2024 and 0.85 in 2025 [8]. - China Nuclear Power: Outperform, with an expected EPS of 0.46 in 2024 and 0.50 in 2025 [8]. Industry Dynamics and Company Announcements - The report notes that the water and waste incineration sectors are entering a mature phase, with significant improvements in free cash flow [23]. - The report also highlights the potential for domestic waste oil recycling companies to benefit from the EU's SAF blending policy [23]. Industry Key Data Overview - In May, the industrial power generation increased by 0.5% year-on-year, with a total of 737.8 billion kWh generated [49][60]. - The total electricity consumption in May reached 809.6 billion kWh, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.43% [57][60].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Outperform the Market" [4][64]. Core Insights - The report highlights the release of renewable energy power consumption responsibility weights and the implementation plans in Zhejiang and Hainan provinces [3][35]. - The public utility sector index increased by 1.11% during the week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and the CSI 300 Index [2][12]. - The report suggests a focus on leading companies in the renewable energy sector due to favorable policies and expected improvements in project performance [8][7]. Market Performance - The public utility sector index's PE (TTM) is 17.43, slightly up from 17.38 the previous week, and down from 18.94 a year ago [23][26]. - The public utility sector index's PB (TTM) is 1.75, up from 1.74 the previous week, and down from 1.98 a year ago [26]. - The top-performing stocks for the week include Huayin Power (+40.89%), YN Energy (+25.1%), and Jingyun Tong (+22.32%) [29][30]. Industry Dynamics - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have set binding indicators for renewable energy consumption responsibility weights for 2025 [35]. - The report discusses the establishment of zero-carbon parks and the implementation of green electricity direct connection plans in Yunnan province [36][37]. - Hainan's pricing mechanism for new energy projects has been clarified, with competitive pricing ranges established for onshore and offshore wind projects [37][38]. Key Data Tracking - As of July 11, 2025, the price of Shanxi mixed coal (5500) is 624 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 1.3% [42]. - The trading volume of wind and solar energy certificates totaled 5.4 and 3.65 million respectively during the week [45]. - The national CEA trading volume for the week was 51.5 thousand tons, with an average price of 74.30 CNY/ton [49][51].

Core Viewpoint - The construction of zero-carbon parks is essential for achieving China's dual carbon goals and promoting high-quality economic development, serving as a critical platform for industrial agglomeration and a major source of energy consumption and carbon emissions [1][2][3]. Summary by Sections National Level Significance - Zero-carbon parks are vital for supporting the national "dual carbon" goals and the construction of a beautiful China, addressing high energy consumption and emissions in industrial enterprises, and accelerating the carbon peak and carbon neutrality process [2]. - They serve as experimental fields for low-carbon technology research and application, renewable energy consumption, and power market mechanism reforms, providing replicable practices for national policy formulation [2]. Regional Level Significance - The construction of zero-carbon parks is a key approach to leveraging clean energy advantages and developing green low-carbon industries, promoting the growth of industries such as green hydrogen production and photovoltaic energy [2]. - This initiative compels traditional industries like steel and cement to adopt cleaner energy solutions, maximizing the value of clean energy and fostering new economic growth drivers [2]. Park Level Significance - Zero-carbon parks facilitate the transformation of industrial structures towards high-end, intelligent, and green development, enhancing competitiveness and attracting green enterprises and talent [3]. - They help enterprises address international trade barriers and improve product competitiveness by adopting energy-saving technologies and increasing the use of renewable energy [3]. Challenges and Issues - There is a misunderstanding regarding the concept of zero-carbon parks, with some relying on carbon credit purchases to claim zero-carbon status, which undermines the original intent of reducing emissions at the source [4]. - The carbon accounting system is not yet fully developed, lacking standardized methods for greenhouse gas inventory and insufficient consideration of non-CO2 emissions [4]. - The construction paths for zero-carbon parks are often unclear and lack diversity, with some relying solely on increasing industrial output to reduce carbon intensity [5]. - Incentive mechanisms for promoting zero-carbon park construction are inadequate, primarily relying on fiscal subsidies without sufficient tax incentives or financial support [5]. Strategies and Recommendations - A systematic approach is needed for zero-carbon park construction, focusing on clean energy utilization, low-carbon industry development, and smart carbon management systems [6]. - Accurate carbon accounting should be prioritized, with guidelines established for emissions reporting and comprehensive data collection [6]. - Diverse pathways for carbon reduction should be developed, including renewable energy integration and the promotion of low-carbon technologies [7]. - Tailored strategies should be implemented based on the economic development level and resource endowments of different parks, ensuring targeted measures for carbon reduction [8]. - Evaluation frameworks should be established to ensure the standardization of pilot projects, focusing on carbon emissions reduction and pollution control [9].

Group 1 - President Trump announced a 200% tariff on imported pharmaceuticals and a 50% tariff on copper, effective August 1, 2025 [3] - The U.S. government will provide companies approximately one to one and a half years to adjust before tariffs are implemented [3] - The State Council of China released an opinion on improving the mechanism for efficiently handling key matters, emphasizing inter-departmental collaboration [3] Group 2 - The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs reiterated that there are no winners in a trade war and emphasized the negative impact of protectionism [4] - The People's Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority announced measures to optimize and expand the Bond Connect program [4] - The National Development and Reform Commission and other departments issued a notice to support the construction of zero-carbon parks [5] Group 3 - GAC Fiat Chrysler announced bankruptcy [9] - Huayin Electric's stock turnover rate reached 80.95% over six trading days, significantly higher than the industry average [9] - Juhua Co. expects a net profit increase of 136% to 155% year-on-year for the first half of the year [9]