随着贷款总额增加，工行、建行、农行、中行、交行和邮储银行六家 大型商业银行 （以下统称 "六大行"）近五年不良贷款 余额也持续上升 。 2024 年末工商银行不良贷款余额达到了 3794.58 亿元 ，建设银行和农业银行不良贷款余额也超过 3000 亿元 ，中国银行达到 2687.81 亿元 ，交通银行超过 1000 亿元 ，邮储银行也达到了 803.19 亿元 。 由于分母扩大， 六大行整体不良贷款率维持稳定 。除邮储银行外，其他 五家大型商业银行近五年 不良贷款率持续下降 ，与 2020 年末相比，五家大型商业银行 2024 年末不良贷款率均大幅下降（ 下降 幅度超过 20 个 BP ）。邮储银行 2024 年末不良贷款率比 2020 年末增加了 2 个 BP ，但近五年均控制 在 0.9% 以下， 整体不良贷款率在六大行中始终保持最优 。 | 银行名称 | 2020年末 | 2021 年末 | 2022年末 | 2023年末 | 2024 年末 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 工商银行 | 1.58% | 1.42% | 1. 38% | 1.36% ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 6.30 CNY, maintaining the current rating [6]. Core Views - The company has shown a steady improvement in profitability and asset quality, with a year-on-year increase in net profit of 2.56% for 2024 [2][4]. - The net interest income has seen a decline of 3.77% year-on-year, but the non-interest income has increased by 15.87%, indicating a shift in revenue structure [2][10]. - The average yield on interest-earning assets has decreased to 3.34%, while the cost of interest-bearing liabilities has improved to 2.12%, supporting the stability of net interest margins [14][15]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company achieved a revenue of approximately 630.1 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.16% [2][4]. - The net interest income for 2024 was 448.9 billion CNY, with a year-on-year decrease of 3.77% [2][10]. - Non-interest income reached 181.2 billion CNY, showing a significant growth of 15.87% year-on-year [2][10]. - The company's net profit for 2024 was 237.8 billion CNY, with a year-on-year increase of 2.56% [2][4]. Asset and Liability Management - As of the end of 2024, the total interest-earning assets amounted to 33.91 trillion CNY, growing by 3.4% from the first half of 2024 and 4.7% year-on-year [3][21]. - The interest-bearing liabilities reached 30.3 trillion CNY, marking a year-on-year growth of 4.8% [21][25]. - The structure of interest-bearing liabilities is primarily composed of deposits (78.8%), existing bonds (6.8%), interbank liabilities (10.8%), and borrowings from the central bank (3.7%) [21][25]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio slightly increased to 1.25% by the end of 2024, down 2 basis points from the previous year [27][30]. - The loan provision coverage ratio stands at 200.6%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 8.9 percentage points [29][30]. - The overdue loan ratio recorded at 1.19%, indicating a slight increase from the previous half-year [27][30].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company achieved an operating income of 821.8 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 2.5%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 365.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.5% [3][4] - The weighted average return on equity (ROE) was 9.88%, down 0.78 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company continues to expand its balance sheet with a strong focus on key areas of credit support, with interest-earning assets growing by 8.6% year-on-year [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue, pre-provision operating profit (PPOP), and net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 showed year-on-year growth rates of -2.5%, -4.2%, and 0.5% respectively, indicating a stabilization in operational performance [4] - The net interest income decreased by 2.7% year-on-year, while non-interest income fell by 1.9% [4][10] - The company’s loan growth for 2024 was 2.29 trillion, with significant increases in loans to key sectors such as manufacturing and green development [6] Asset Quality and Capital Adequacy - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio was 1.34%, a slight decrease from the previous quarter, indicating stable asset quality [11] - The provision coverage ratio was 214.9%, reflecting a solid buffer against potential loan losses [11][29] - The core tier one capital adequacy ratio stood at 14.1%, showing a healthy capital position [11][27] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report projects earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 1.05, 1.08, and 1.11 respectively, with a current price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.63 for 2025 [12][30] - The company’s cash dividend payout ratio remains stable at 31.3%, with a current dividend yield of 4.5% [12]

Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang Commercial Bank reported a slight increase in net profit for 2024, with a net profit of 15.186 billion RMB, up 0.92% year-on-year, and a significant increase in fair value changes net income by 1095.92% [1][2]. Financial Performance - The bank achieved an operating income of 67.65 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 6.19% [2]. - Total profit amounted to 17.579 billion RMB, reflecting a 0.50% increase compared to the previous year [2]. - The net interest income was 45.157 billion RMB, down 4.99% year-on-year, with interest income at 110.697 billion RMB, up 0.40% [2][3]. - Non-interest net income reached 22.493 billion RMB, a 39.05% increase, driven by strong performance in trading financial assets [3]. Asset and Liability Overview - As of the end of 2024, total assets were 3,325.539 billion RMB, up 5.78% from the previous year [4]. - Total liabilities increased by 5.70% to 3,122.796 billion RMB [4]. - The bank's loan and advance total was 1,857.116 billion RMB, an increase of 8.21% [4]. Asset Quality - Non-performing loans (NPL) stood at 25.494 billion RMB, an increase of 8.98 billion RMB, with an NPL ratio of 1.38%, down 0.06 percentage points [5][6]. - The provision coverage ratio was 178.67%, a decrease of 3.93 percentage points [6]. Capital Adequacy - The capital adequacy ratio was 12.61%, up 0.42 percentage points from the previous year [7]. - The core tier 1 capital adequacy ratio increased to 8.38%, reflecting a 0.16 percentage point rise [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of Postal Savings Bank, with current prices at 5.33 CNY and 5.09 HKD respectively [1]. Core Insights - The bank reported a revenue of 348.8 billion CNY for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.8%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 86.5 billion CNY, up 0.2% year-on-year [2][3]. - The bank's return on equity (ROE) was 9.84%, down 1.01 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Financial Performance - Revenue growth improved by 1.7 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, with net interest income increasing by 1.5% year-on-year and non-interest income rising by 3.2% [3]. - The bank's net interest margin (NIM) for 2024 was 1.87%, narrowing by 2 basis points from the previous quarter and 14 basis points year-on-year [6][7]. - Non-interest income accounted for 18% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 3.2% [7]. Loan and Deposit Growth - By the end of 2024, interest-earning assets and loans grew by 7.9% and 9.4% year-on-year, respectively [4]. - The bank's total deposits increased by 9.5% year-on-year, with retail deposits making up 89.1% of total deposits [5]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio was 0.9%, up 4 basis points from the previous quarter, but still below the industry average [8]. - The bank's provision coverage ratio was 286.2%, down 15.7 percentage points from the previous quarter [8]. Capital Adequacy - By the end of 2024, the bank's core tier 1 capital adequacy ratio was 9.56%, up 14 basis points from the previous quarter [9]. - The risk-weighted assets (RWA) grew by 5.3% year-on-year, indicating a stable capital position [9]. Cost Management - The bank plans to reduce its savings agency fees, which is expected to lower overall business and management expenses by 3.5 billion CNY [10][11]. Earnings Forecast - The report projects earnings per share (EPS) of 0.87 CNY for 2024, with a stable cash dividend payout ratio of 30% [12][33].

21世纪经济报道记者 郭聪聪 北京报道 3 月 27 日，中信银行于北京举办 2024 年度业绩发布会。中信银行董事长方合英在业绩会上表示，中信 银行经营业绩在2024年实现"双增双优双稳"。 非利息净收入也表现突出，实现 669.67 亿元，较上年增长 7.39%，连续 5 年保持正增长，非息占比持 续提升，同比提高 1.05 个百分点，占比达 31.34%。 中信银行董事长方合英在业绩会上表示，中信银行2024年核心指标表现亮眼，净息差连续3年跑赢大 市，非息收入连续 5 年正增长，净利润连续3年增长，分红水平 5年内稳步提高；同时从结构上看，中 信银行"三驾齐驱" 格局更加成型，整体来看表现出较强的韧性与稳定性。 不良与拨备指标实现"双稳" 中信银行在资产质量管控方面同样成果显著，不良与拨备指标实现 "双稳"显示出其质量管控能力。 截至报告期末，中信银行不良贷款余额为 664.85 亿元，较上年末增加 16.85 亿元，增幅 2.60%；不良贷 款率为 1.16%，相比上年末下降0.02 个百分点，已实现连续六年下降。与此同时，拨备覆盖率较上年末 提升 1.84 个百分点，达 209.43%，连续四年呈 ...

2025 年 3 月 27 日 公司研究 经营业绩稳中有进，资产质量保持稳健 ——中国银行（601988.SH）2024 年年报点评 增持（维持） 当前价：5.48 元 作者 分析师：王一峰 执业证书编号：S0930519050002 010-57378038 wangyf@ebscn.com 分析师：董文欣 执业证书编号：S0930521090001 010-57378035 dongwx@ebscn.com | 市场数据 | | | --- | --- | | 总股本(亿股) | 2,943.88 | | 总市值(亿元)： | 16,132.45 | | 一年最低/最高(元)： | 4.05/5.6 | | 近 3 月换手率： | 8.72% | 股价相对走势 要点 事件： 3 月 26 日，中国银行发布 2024 年年度报告，全年实现营业收入 6301 亿，同比 增长 1.2%，归母净利润 2378 亿，同比增长 2.6%。加权平均净资产收益率 9.5%， 同比下降 0.62pct。 点评： 盈利增速较前三季度提升 2.1pct，经营业绩稳中有进。中行 2024 年营收、PPOP、 归母净利润同比增速分 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company achieved an operating income of 337.5 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 0.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 148.4 billion, an increase of 1.2% year-on-year [3] - Retail business continues to play a stabilizing role in performance, contributing over 50% to revenue and pre-tax profit [4] - The company’s net interest income decreased by 1.6% year-on-year, while non-interest income grew by 1.4% [4] - The company’s loan growth was 5.8% year-on-year, with corporate and retail loans increasing by 10.1% and 6% respectively [5] - The company’s NIM (Net Interest Margin) for 2024 was 1.98%, slightly down from the previous year [7] Financial Performance Summary - The company’s total assets reached 12.15 trillion, with a capital adequacy ratio of 19.05% [11][34] - The report forecasts EPS of 6.05, 6.33, and 6.64 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/B ratios of 0.94, 0.86, and 0.79 [12][34] - The company’s non-interest income showed a slight increase of 1.4%, with net other non-interest income growing by 34.1% [9] - The report indicates a slight increase in the non-performing loan ratio to 0.95% [10] Dividend Policy - The company’s dividend payout ratio increased by 0.3 percentage points to 35.3% for 2024, with plans for a mid-year dividend in 2025 [11] Asset Quality - The company maintains a high provision coverage ratio of 412% and a loan-to-deposit ratio of 3.92% [10][34]

招商银行年报出炉，拟分红超500亿元，同时还公布 一份中期分红计划 3月25日晚间，招商银行（600036）发布2024年业绩报告。2024年招商银行净利润为1483.91亿元， 同比增长1.22%；营业收入3374.88亿元，同比下降0.48%；总资产达到12.15万亿元，较上年末增长 10.19%。 2024年，招行集团口径下营业收入为3374.88亿元，同比下降0.48%，较2024年三季度末进一步收 窄。拆解收入来看，招行净利息收益率1.98%，净利息收入为2112.77亿元，全年降幅较前三季度缩窄至 1.58%。此外，非利息净收入方面，招商银行克服减费让利等影响，实现全年增速转正，同比增长 1.41%至1262.11亿元。 资产质量方面，招行风险仍控制在比较低的水平，集团口径下，不良贷款率为0.95%，与上年末持 平，连续4年保持在1%以下；信用成本0.65%，同比下降9个基点；拨备覆盖率为411.98%，贷款拨备率 为3.92%，风险抵补能力保持强健。房地产领域风险管控方面，截至报告期末，银行口径下房地产业不 良贷款率4.74%，较上年末下降0.27个百分点。 利润分配方面，招商银行发布的《202 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2024, Banco Macro's net income totaled ARS 102.2 billion, a 4% increase or ARS 3.5 billion higher than Q3 2024 [4] - The annualized return on average equity was ARS 7.5 and the return on average assets was ARS 2.4 [5] - For fiscal year 2024, net income was ARS 325.1 billion, a 70% decrease compared to fiscal year 2023 [5] - Total comprehensive income for fiscal year 2024 was ARS 227.7 billion, down 83% from fiscal year 2023 [5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net interest income in Q4 2024 was ARS 532.6 billion, a 13% decrease or ARS 82.2 billion lower than Q3 2024 [8] - Provision for loan losses in Q4 2024 totaled ARS 37.5 billion, a 50% increase or ARS 12.7 billion higher than Q3 2024 [6] - Net fee income in Q4 2024 was ARS 139.9 billion, a 6% increase or ARS 7.6 billion higher than Q3 2024 [12] - Income from financial assets and liabilities at fair value totaled ARS 134.9 billion in Q4 2024, a 21% increase compared to Q3 2024 [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total financial loans reached ARS 5.8 trillion, an 18% increase or ARS 884.1 billion quarter on quarter and a 45% increase year on year [18] - Private sector deposits increased by 2% quarter on quarter, while public sector deposits decreased by 40% [20] - The nonperforming loans ratio reached 1.28%, with a coverage ratio of 158.81% [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The bank aims to utilize its excess capital of ARS 2.8 trillion effectively, with a capital adequacy ratio of 32.4% [22] - The strategy includes increasing lending to the private sector, with an expected loan growth of 60% in real terms for 2025 [28] - The bank anticipates a decrease in the securities portfolio from 27% to around 20% of total assets by the end of 2025 [38] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management expects GDP growth of 5.5% in 2025, with inflation projected at 25% [26] - The return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to range from 12% to 15% in 2025, recovering from a challenging 2024 [28] - Cost of risk in 2025 is expected to be above 2%, potentially reaching 2.5% due to increased lending [30] Other Important Information - The effective income tax rate for fiscal year 2024 was 9.2%, significantly lower than the previous year's 32.7% [17] - The bank's liquidity remains strong, with a liquid assets to certain deposits ratio of 79% [22] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the macro expectations for interest rates, inflation, GDP growth, and FX for this year? - Management expects a GDP decline of 2% in 2024, with a growth forecast of 5.5% for 2025 and inflation around 25% [26][27] Question: What are the ROE expectations for this year and the drivers for earnings growth? - ROE is forecasted to be between 12% and 15% in 2025, driven by increased lending and improved economic conditions [28][29] Question: Can you elaborate on asset quality and cost of risk for 2025? - The cost of risk is expected to be above 2%, with a potential increase in nonperforming loans due to higher lending [30] Question: How do you expect the weight of securities to evolve in 2025? - The securities portfolio is expected to decrease to around 20% of total assets by the end of 2025, with loan growth primarily funded by deposit growth [38] Question: What is the strategy to compete for deposits in 2025? - The bank anticipates competition for deposits, with expected growth in peso deposits and a potential increase in interest rates [51] Question: Are there any upcoming management changes at the bank? - Management changes are anticipated, particularly regarding the new CEO, with announcements expected soon [59]