【侠客岛：#欧洲的盟友变成劫匪#】#欧洲几乎没有后退空间# 侠客岛微信公众号发文：手持星条旗登 上格陵兰岛，身后站着万斯和鲁比奥，旁边指示牌还有一行字："格陵兰岛2026年成为美国领土"。这是 美国总统特朗普20日凌晨发在社交媒体的图片。 当盟友变成劫匪，除了无奈，还能做什么？出路在哪？崔洪建认为，欧洲需改变以往以跨大西洋关系为 基石的内外政策出发点，认清美欧关系无法回到从前，将其视为大国竞争时代正常的国家间关系。只有 这样，才有可能真正构建战略自主，摆脱美国的裹挟与控制。（视频来源：环视频） "欧洲已经一次次经历战略自主的'试金石'。"北京外国语大学欧盟与区域发展研究中心主任崔洪建说， 与以往相比，如今欧洲后退的空间已所剩无几。面对美国的极限施压，欧洲维护成员国主权与领土的调 门很高，但短期内，欧洲缺乏应对此类危机的快速响应机制，决策又需经过复杂程序，行动效率及高强 度政治博弈的能力都远不及美国，军事上更无法抗衡。 ...

"过去几十年，加拿大等国家在所谓的'以规则为基础的国际秩序'下发展。尽管这个所谓国际基于规则 秩序的故事在某种程度上是虚构的：最强大的国家会在方便时为自己开脱，贸易规则被不对称执行，国 际法的适用力度也取决于被告或受害者的身份。这种虚构曾经是有用的。尤其是美国霸权，帮助提供了 公共产品——开放的海上航道、稳定的金融体系、集体安全，以及解决争端的制度框架。但这种交易已 经不再奏效。"卡尼称："我们正处在一场断裂之中，而非过渡"。 "在过去20年中，金融、公共卫生、能源和地缘政治领域接连发生的危机，暴露了高度全球一体化所带 来的风险。而最近，大国开始将经济一体化变成武器，把关税当作杠杆，把金融基础设施当作胁迫工 具，把供应链当作可以被利用的脆弱点。当一体化本身成为你受制于人的根源时，你就不可能继续生活 在'互利共赢'的谎言之中。"卡尼称。 卡尼还表示，以世界贸易组织、联合国为代表的解决问题的制度架构正面临威胁，"若大国为了毫无顾 忌地追求权力与利益，连规则与价值观的表面文章都放弃，交易主义带来的收益将更难获得。" 卡尼表示，各国在此情况下寻求在能源、粮食、关键矿物、金融和供应链上"战略自主"的冲动虽然可以 理解， ...

当地时间1月19日，美国总统特朗普突然威胁要对法国葡萄酒和香槟征收高达200%的关税，这个力度不 小，基本相当于把法国酒挡在了美国市场之外。 消息一传出，外界一片哗然，但还没过24小时，当地时间1月20日，特朗普又晒出了一条来自法国总统 马克龙的私人短信。 短信里不仅称他为"朋友"，还邀请他去巴黎一起吃顿晚饭，顺便谈谈叙利亚、伊朗和格陵兰岛的问题， 这一来一回，把美法之间表面上的"友好"，和背后不断积累的矛盾摆上了台面。 关税变成武器，法国酒成了靶子 重要的是，这不是美国第一次这么做，过去，特朗普政府已经多次用加税来处理国际矛盾，不管是跟中 国、欧盟，还是加拿大，他的逻辑就是经济利益可以拿来换政治让步。 而这一次，法国之所以成为目标，是因为它最近在多个问题上，明显不跟美国一个调子唱，特朗普显然 已经不耐烦了。 加沙、格陵兰岛、短信背后的分歧 这场关税风波的背后，其实是美法在多个地缘政治议题上的长期摩擦，表面上看是贸易问题，实际上是 一场外交立场的较量。 特朗普不久前成立了一个所谓的加沙"和平委员会"，自己当主席，但这个机构还要求所有成员交一笔高 昂的"入会费"，法国方面对此非常抵触，担心这个机构架空联合国的角 ...

（一） 一场以关税施压强买格陵兰岛的荒诞剧，正将二战后建立的跨大西洋同盟推向难以挽回的"危险螺旋"。 当地时间20日凌晨，美国总统特朗普发布的一张图片引起轩然大波——他手拿美国国旗登上格陵兰岛，身后站着美国 副总统万斯和国务卿鲁比奥，旁边指示牌上写着"格陵兰岛2026年成为美国领土"。 而在此之前，特朗普已威胁对丹麦、挪威、瑞典、法国、德国、英国、荷兰和芬兰等国加征关税，直至"完全收购格 陵兰岛"。对此，美国还提供了一个冠冕堂皇的借口，表示唯有完全占领格陵兰，才能拦截高超音速导弹，是"黄金穹 顶"导弹防御计划的必要条件。 实际上，1951年的《格陵兰防御协议》早已赋予美军在当地部署现代防御系统的权力，况且驻岛盟军指挥官明确表 示，过去两年半从未发现所谓的"中俄威胁"。特朗普政府在占据领土上的执念，完全源自于病态的安全观。在最近接 受媒体采访时，特朗普表示吞并格陵兰岛是"在心理上是取得成功所必需的"，而通过租赁和签订条约方式则无法满足 拥有所有权带来的安全感。 格陵兰岛问题上的分歧，预示着美欧之间的战略纽带正在悄然撕裂。 特朗普上任以来多次扬言要得到格陵兰岛，并声称不排除动用武力的可能性。前不久，欧洲多国发起" ...

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing tensions between the U.S. and Europe over Greenland signify a potential unraveling of the post-World War II transatlantic alliance, with the U.S. adopting a more aggressive stance that threatens traditional diplomatic norms [1][2][3] Group 1: U.S. Actions and Statements - President Trump has threatened to impose tariffs on eight European countries until Greenland is "fully acquired" by the U.S., framing this acquisition as essential for missile defense strategies [1] - The U.S. government has suggested that only through complete control of Greenland can it effectively intercept hypersonic missiles, linking this to its "Golden Dome" missile defense initiative [1] - Trump's administration perceives military exercises by European nations in the Arctic as provocative, indicating a significant shift in U.S. foreign policy towards its allies [2] Group 2: European Response - European leaders have reacted strongly against U.S. tariff threats, with UK Prime Minister Starmer calling it "completely wrong" and French President Macron linking the situation to the Ukraine conflict [1][2] - The notion of "strategic autonomy" has gained traction in Europe, as nations seek to strengthen their collective security mechanisms in response to U.S. actions [3] - The EU is reportedly considering imposing counter-tariffs amounting to $108 billion against the U.S., highlighting the escalating economic tensions [3] Group 3: Historical Context and Implications - The U.S.-Europe alliance, established post-World War II through initiatives like the Marshall Plan and the formation of NATO, is now facing its most severe test since its inception [2][3] - The historical dynamic of "America First" versus European collective security is becoming increasingly pronounced, with Europe feeling cornered by U.S. demands [2] - The reliance on outdated colonial mindsets in modern international relations is seen as detrimental, risking deeper entanglement in geopolitical conflicts [3]

2025年7月9日，印度尼西亚雅加达，集装箱码头。此前，美国总统特朗普对印尼加征了32%的关税。IC Photo 对于媒体所作出的报道内容，印尼国防部回应称，"尚未收到此类请求"。 印尼新闻杂志《时代周刊》（TEMPO）网站当地时间1月15日报道称，印尼国防部发言人里科·西拉伊 特（Rico Sirait）表示："迄今为止，尚未就购买海上监视无人机的请求进行任何具体讨论，也未就此问 题做出任何决定。" 西拉伊特称，印尼的目标是加强海上监视能力，而无人机可以用于此目的。"然而，国防设备的采购始 终根据政府的需求、能力和政策进行调整，而不是由外部方的利益决定。"他补充说，印尼国防部目前 正在"调查"相关报道中所提到的信息。 【文/观察者网 熊超然】作为东南亚国家，印度尼西亚在加深与美国的贸易关系、同时维持与中国密切 经济联系方面所作的努力，如今似乎正面临考验。 据香港《南华早报》1月20日报道，一份报告文件披露，美国把降低关税与印尼购买美国制造的海上监 视无人机一事相挂钩，这些无人机用于在南海附近海域执行任务。分析人士指出，这一事态发展凸显了 印尼面临的"平衡困境"，随着对美贸易谈判越来越多地与安全和地缘政治因素 ...

Core Viewpoint - The military exercise "Arctic Endurance" conducted by seven European countries in response to the U.S. government's threats regarding Greenland highlights Europe's reliance on the U.S. and its inability to assert strategic autonomy [1][4][6]. Group 1: Military Response - A military exercise involving 37 soldiers from seven European nations was conducted in Greenland to counter perceived U.S. aggression [1]. - The exercise was criticized by Italy's Defense Minister as merely a "trip," indicating a lack of serious military commitment [1][2]. - Germany's rapid withdrawal of troops after just 44 hours on the island exemplifies the superficial nature of Europe's military response [2]. Group 2: Trade Countermeasures - The EU is considering trade countermeasures, including the activation of a "trade rocket launcher" tool to freeze market access for certain U.S. entities and potentially impose tariffs on $93 billion worth of U.S. goods [2][3]. - A decision on these countermeasures is postponed until February 1, pending the U.S.'s actions regarding tariffs [3]. Group 3: Strategic Autonomy - Europe's response to the Greenland issue has exposed the limitations of its proclaimed "strategic autonomy," as it struggles to maintain unity and effectively respond to U.S. pressures [6]. - The reliance on U.S. military support is evident, with arms sales to European allies projected to rise significantly from $11 billion in 2017-2021 to $68 billion by 2024 [6]. - European nations are hesitant to take actions that might escalate tensions with the U.S., reflecting a self-restraint driven by security dependence [6].

Core Viewpoint - The Canadian Prime Minister announced a significant policy shift by reducing tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles from 100% to 6.1%, allowing 49,000 vehicles to enter the market at a preferential rate, marking the end of nearly two years of high tariffs [1][2]. Group 1: Policy Changes - The decision to allow 49,000 Chinese electric vehicles at a 6.1% Most Favored Nation tariff rate restores trade conditions to pre-trade friction levels [1]. - This policy change signifies a rejection of the previous government's decision to impose a 100% tariff on Chinese electric vehicles, indicating a shift in Canada's approach to trade with China [1][2]. Group 2: Economic Implications - The quota of 49,000 vehicles represents only about 3% of Canada's annual car sales, but the political implications are substantial, signaling Canada's desire to not blindly follow U.S. strategies against China [1][2]. - In 2024, the total trade volume between Canada and China is projected to reach 118 billion CAD, with China being Canada's second-largest trading partner, highlighting the importance of diversifying trade relationships [2][3]. Group 3: Public Sentiment and Support - A poll by Ipsos indicates that 54% of Canadians support strengthening trade ties with China, and 60% favor eliminating tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, reflecting a strong public backing for the government's policy shift [3]. - Over 70% of Canadians are willing to accept "slower economic growth" in exchange for reduced dependence on the U.S., further supporting the government's new trade direction [3]. Group 4: Strategic Positioning - Canada is seeking a new balance between the U.S. and China, moving away from being a mere echo of U.S. policies, as evidenced by the Prime Minister's strategic announcement during his visit to China [2][4]. - The signing of the "China-Canada Economic and Trade Cooperation Roadmap" and the elevation of the bilateral economic committee to a ministerial level are steps taken to enhance the stability of Canada-China relations [4]. Group 5: Broader Implications - Canada's policy shift may serve as a precedent for other Western nations facing similar dilemmas, as it reflects a growing trend of seeking strategic autonomy within the Western alliance [4][5]. - The adjustment in trade policy not only signals a reconfiguration of global power dynamics but also highlights the challenges faced by countries in navigating U.S. unilateralism and the desire for independent foreign policy [5].

Core Viewpoint - The military exercise "Arctic Endurance" conducted by seven European countries in response to the U.S. government's threats regarding Greenland highlights Europe's reliance on the U.S. and its inability to assert strategic autonomy [1][2][7]. Group 1: Military Response - A total of 37 soldiers from seven European nations participated in the "Arctic Endurance" military exercise in Greenland, which was criticized by Italy's Defense Minister as merely a "trip" [1]. - The European Union held an emergency meeting to discuss potential countermeasures against U.S. tariffs, with decisions on implementing retaliatory measures postponed until February 1 [2][4]. Group 2: Economic Measures - One proposed countermeasure is the activation of the "trade rocket launcher," which could restrict market access and investment activities, but it has never been used since its introduction at the end of 2023 [2]. - Another option discussed is to restart a tariff list targeting $93 billion worth of U.S. goods, which had been shelved after a trade agreement was reached in July of the previous year [2]. Group 3: Strategic Autonomy - The situation surrounding Greenland has exposed the limitations of Europe's proclaimed "strategic autonomy," as it struggles to maintain unity and effectively respond to U.S. pressures [7][10]. - European nations, including Italy, have shown reluctance to participate in military actions, indicating a lack of consensus and commitment to collective defense [10]. Group 4: U.S.-Europe Relations - Experts suggest that the U.S. is creating a fundamental rift within NATO by simplifying ally relationships to one of coercion and submission, undermining the alliance's foundational values [4][6]. - The U.S. military threats regarding Greenland have led to a crisis in the transatlantic alliance, with trust and commitments being seriously questioned [6].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the limited military response from seven European countries, which sent 37 soldiers to participate in a military exercise named "Arctic Endurance" in Greenland, highlighting Europe's reliance on the U.S. and the superficiality of its strong rhetoric against American policies [1] Group 1: Military Response - Seven European countries contributed a total of 37 soldiers to form a makeshift platoon for the "Arctic Endurance" military exercise in Greenland [1] - The Italian Defense Minister Crosetto mocked the deployment as merely a "travel" initiative [1] Group 2: Trade Measures - The European Union held an emergency meeting on February 18 to discuss potential trade measures, including the "anti-coercion" trade rocket launcher and the reactivation of tariffs against the U.S., with decisions postponed until at least February 1 [1] Group 3: Strategic Autonomy - International opinion suggests that both the "travel-style troop deployment" and the "observational countermeasures" reflect Europe's inability to break free from dependence on the U.S., leading to a form of "self-restraint" [1] - The article notes a fundamental rift in transatlantic relations, as the U.S. simplifies "allied relationships" to "coercion and submission," rendering Europe's calls for "strategic autonomy" ineffective [1]