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小米(01810)短線分析:超賣反彈在即?關鍵位與衍生品策略全攻略
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-13 11:10
Group 1 - Xiaomi's stock price is currently at 51.5 HKD, showing a 1.28% increase, but technical indicators suggest severe overselling with an RSI of 31, indicating a potential for a technical rebound [1] - The stock has fallen below all key moving averages, with MA10 at 52.85 HKD, MA30 at 55.98 HKD, and MA60 at 54.94 HKD, while other indicators like the Williams %R, Stochastic Oscillator, and CCI signal a buying opportunity [1] - Short-term support levels are identified at 48.8 HKD (Support 1) and 45.1 HKD (Support 2), with resistance levels at 53.5 HKD (Resistance 1) and 56 HKD (Resistance 2) [2] Group 2 - Recent derivative products have shown strong performance, with UBS bear certificate 59867 rising by 13% and JPMorgan bear certificate 55706 increasing by 12% during a period when Xiaomi's stock fell by 2.03% [4] - Recommended products for investors anticipating a rebound include Morgan Stanley call option 16583 with a strike price of 59.05 HKD and a leverage of 10.1 times, and Bank of China call option 29957 with a strike price of 59 HKD and a leverage of 9.9 times [7] - For bearish investors, Morgan Stanley put option 14322 and HSBC put option 14333, both with a strike price of 46.45 HKD and competitive premiums, are suggested [7][10]
小米(01810)短線技術分析:超賣反彈行情啟動?關鍵位與衍生品策略全解析
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-13 11:10
Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi's stock price is currently experiencing volatility, with technical indicators suggesting a potential short-term rebound despite being in an oversold condition [1][12]. Technical Analysis - As of August 13, 2025, Xiaomi's stock price is at 52.5 HKD, showing a 1.55% increase. The RSI indicator is at 31, indicating an oversold condition. The stock price has fallen below the 10-day moving average (52.98 HKD) and the 30-day moving average (56.02 HKD), but is supported near the 60-day moving average (54.97 HKD) [1]. - The William and stochastic indicators are signaling a buy, contrasting with the MACD sell signal, suggesting a possible technical rebound in the short term [1]. - Key support levels are identified at 49.7 HKD and 46.4 HKD, while resistance levels are at 54.5 HKD and 57 HKD. A significant market volatility is indicated by an 8% fluctuation over five days [3]. Market Sentiment - Recent trading activity shows a capital inflow of 35 million HKD into Xiaomi's call options over the past five trading days, indicating investor interest in capitalizing on potential rebounds [1]. - The stock has seen fluctuations, with a recent low of 50.1 HKD and a previous high of over 60 HKD, reflecting investor concerns amid competitive pressures in the automotive sector [1]. Derivative Products Performance - Recent recommendations for derivative products have shown strong performance, with certain bull certificates experiencing gains of 30% and 24% in a short period, demonstrating the effectiveness of leveraged products in a rebound scenario [5]. - New recommendations for call options include HSBC's call option with a strike price of 60.65 HKD and a leverage of 7.2 times, suitable for speculative rebound plays [8]. Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to monitor the support level at 49.7 HKD closely. If this level holds, there may be opportunities for gradual accumulation [3]. - For bearish investors, options with lower strike prices and higher leverage are available, providing hedging opportunities against potential declines [8][10].
吉利(00175)多頭格局;是否仍有上升空間?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-12 03:15
| 信號總結 | 賣出信號 中立信號 | 買入信號 | | --- | --- | --- | | 中立 | | O | 回顧近期窩輪表現,8月7日推薦的中銀認購證(28842)在吉利股價上漲2.61%後錄得14%的驚人漲幅,法興認購證(13152)也有12%的亮眼表現。 對於看好吉利汽車後市的投資者,目前市場上有幾檔優質窩輪產品值得留意。中銀認購證(28842)提供6.7倍槓桿,行使價18.52元,其最大優勢在於溢價相 對較低,適合追求成本效益的投資者。法興認購證(13152)則以6.9倍槓桿略勝一籌,行使價18.51元,不僅溢價是全市場最低,其引伸波幅與槓桿水平的搭 配也最為理想,是進取型投資者的首選。牛證方面,瑞銀牛證(57998)和摩通牛證(57284)都是不錯的選擇。瑞銀產品編號57998提供5.4倍槓桿,收回價 16.1元,其溢價水平為同類產品中最低;而摩通57284雖然槓桿略低為5.1倍,收回價16元,但實際槓桿卻是市場最高,且溢價同樣維持在較低水平。 | 15:21 | | 11 ? 15:21 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AL Q C. ( ...
以太4000!一切剛剛開始?或熱鬧將散場?BTC被搶風頭!
Cryptocurrency Exchange Platforms - Bybit is highlighted as a preferred platform for technical analysis [1] - Binance is mentioned as the largest exchange, offering a 40% fee reduction [1] - OKX is noted as an established platform with commission waivers [1] Promotional Offers - Registration and deposit (or reactivation of old accounts) provide a free one-month membership experience [1] Social Media and Support Channels - Customer support is available on Discord via @tiahelper [1] - Twitter: https://xcom/tiabitcoin [1] - Telegram: https://tme/tiaalert [1] Educational Resources - Courses are available at https://wwwtiabtccom [1] Trading and Investment Topics - Mentions various cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin, Solana, ADA, BNB, XRP, DOT, AVAX, LUNA, UNI [1] - Includes trading terminology such as "抄底 (buy the dip)", "做多 (go long)", "做空 (go short)", and "套保 (hedging)" [1] - References technical analysis concepts like Dow Theory, Wave Theory, Fibonacci, Harmonic Patterns, and Gann Theory [1]
中移動短線走勢反覆,如何憑技術分析把握機會?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-08 11:53
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is showing mixed performance, with investors adopting a cautious sentiment, particularly regarding China Mobile's stock amid concerns over the overall growth of the telecommunications industry [1]. Group 1: Company Performance - China Mobile (00941) closed at HKD 85.95, with a slight increase of 0.47% and a trading volume of HKD 1.864 billion, indicating relatively stable fluctuations with a 5-day volatility of 1.9% [1]. - As of 10:17 AM today, China Mobile's stock price rose to HKD 87.1, reflecting a 1.34% increase with a trading volume of HKD 755 million [1]. - There are rumors that China Mobile will increase its investment in 5G base station construction to enhance network coverage quality, providing some support for its stock price [1]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - Multiple technical indicators suggest a "sell" signal with a strength of 11, indicating potential pressure on the medium to long-term trend [3]. - The first support level is at HKD 82.8, with a deeper support level at HKD 79.5; resistance levels are at HKD 89.1 and HKD 92.4, placing the current stock price between support and resistance [3]. - The system assesses a 57% probability of upward movement, indicating some upward momentum despite the technical pressures [3]. Group 3: Derivative Products - For bullish investors, Huatai call option (29531) is recommended with a leverage of 27.4 times and an exercise price of HKD 96.66, offering high cost-effectiveness [5]. - For bearish investors, HSBC put option (19060) has a maximum leverage of 10.2 times with an exercise price of HKD 71.83, presenting a low implied volatility [6]. - The performance of related products shows significant leverage effects, with some options experiencing increases of 6% to 7% shortly after their issuance [3].
8月7日【港股Podcast】恆指、金沙、騰訊、華虹、泡泡瑪特、山東黃金
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-07 12:44
Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) shows strong investor sentiment with a trading volume of 200 billion, stabilizing around 25,000 points, closing at 25,081 points [1] - Investors are advised to consider support levels at 24,481 and 24,200 points when selecting products, with resistance levels at 25,475 and 25,900 points [1] Group 2: Company Analysis - Sands China (01928.HK) has seen its stock price rise, breaking through 20 HKD, with buy signals and resistance levels at 21.7 HKD and 22.3 HKD [4] - Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) experienced volatility, with a trading range between 572 HKD and 560 HKD, and buy signals with resistance at 573 HKD and 603 HKD [7] - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) is on an upward trend, with buy signals and resistance levels at 47.2 HKD and 51.9 HKD, aiming for 50 HKD in the short term [9] - Pop Mart (09992.HK) reached a high of 293.4 HKD, with buy signals and support levels at 259 HKD and 243 HKD [12] - Shandong Gold (01787.HK) has seen a four-day price increase, closing at 28.94 HKD, with strong buy signals and resistance levels at 29.1 HKD and 31.6 HKD [15]
銀河娛樂(00027)午市分析:超買回調風險浮現?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-06 19:53
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current stock performance of Galaxy Entertainment (00027.HK), highlighting its recent price movements, technical indicators, and potential trading strategies for investors. Group 1: Stock Performance and Technical Analysis - Galaxy Entertainment's stock price reached a high of 40.56 HKD, breaking through the upper Bollinger Band, indicating a strong upward trend [1] - The current resistance levels are identified at 41.7 HKD and 42.6 HKD, while the support level is at 38.6 HKD, with a potential drop to 37.5 HKD if this support is breached [3] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 73, indicating an overbought condition, while the MACD still shows a buy signal, suggesting mixed market sentiment [1] - The stock remains above the 10-day moving average (MA10) of 38.48 HKD and the 30-day moving average (MA30) of 37.63 HKD, but there are sell signals from stochastic and Williams indicators, indicating a potential technical adjustment [1] Group 2: Options and Trading Strategies - Investors are encouraged to consider call options if they remain optimistic about the stock's future performance, with specific products like the Barclays call option (14699) and UBS call option (15568) having a strike price of 42.85 HKD, offering leverage of 8.4 times [6] - For those preferring options with price advantages, the Bank of China call option (27666) and UBS call option (15216) have strike prices of 46 HKD, providing higher leverage despite a premium of about 18% [6] - Limited options are available for bearish market views, with UBS put option (17858) and Bank of China put option (18234) having strike prices in the 27-28 HKD range, offering around 7 times leverage [8] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The market sentiment is currently mixed, with bullish indicators present but also signs of potential profit-taking due to overbought conditions [11] - Investors are faced with a decision to either take profits or hold their positions, as the stock price hovers around the 40 HKD mark, with expectations of either a pullback to test support at 38.6 HKD or a breakout above the resistance at 40.9 HKD [11]
快手短期支撐與阻力全解析
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-06 18:50
在週二的專欄【港股Podcast】中,有投資者問到:快手-W (01024.HK):股價逼近上週四提到的80元,目前有阻力還是挑戰85-90元?過夜牛穩陣嗎?Simon: 走勢接近保力加通道的頂部80.73元,全日收79.15元。信號總結為"買入"。數據系統分析的阻力位82.4元和86元。如果投資者想部署牛證過夜,收回價可參 考支持位72.9元和67.1元。建議收回價挨近67-66元的產品,雖然槓桿4-5倍,但始終收回水準比較安全。 快手(01024)在週二的股價上漲2.79%,收報79.15元。今日(6日)股價跌0.02%,報79.1元。技術指標顯示,RSI69接近超買區域,MACD維持買入信號,但 隨機震盪指標發出賣出信號,顯示短期可能面臨技術性調整。股價目前遠高於MA10(75.16元)和MA30(68.4元),短期上升動能強勁,但超買狀態值得警惕。 從關鍵位觀察,73.1元構成重要支撐,更強支撐位於67.2元;上方82.4元為短期阻力,突破後可能挑戰86.3元。保力加通道顯示股價接近上軌,若不能突破上 軌,可能回落至中軌附近。動量指標顯示買盤有所減弱,投資者需密切注意成交量變化。 窩輪產品方面,回顧8 ...
BTC如期反彈!W底形成?多空之間,小心!
朋友們大家好,大家早上中午晚上好 這裡是提阿非羅 現在是2025年8月6日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖,從日線級別來看 我們發現比特幣之前在這邊盤整 然後往下面跌,跌到前面這一帶就止住了 因為它是之前這一帶的高點 然後就出現了一個還不錯的反彈 因為你可以看到 這樣的一根k線 其實是一根看漲吞沒的k線對不對 然後它就反彈到前面 這一帶的低點附近 好像受到了一些阻礙 給人一種感覺 這邊是盤整 然後跌破了這一帶 應該是支撐阻力互換對不對 然後來到這邊一直站不上去 我相信在這種時候 很多人會覺得 現在是背靠著阻力去做空的時機 但是我不會嘗試這樣子去做 因為這一帶如果說重新給它站回去 我會覺得這邊從小級別 因為我們現在看的是日線 可能會出現4小時 或者說一小時級別 比較大的一根陽線 那麼只要是出現了這樣的k線 那麼你可以跟進去 因為它會小小的回落 那麼你這個時候跟進去的話 它之後有可能會漲到更高的地方去 至少是把前面這三個 比較臨近的高點給它拿掉 那目前來說有沒有站上去呢 目前還是沒有站上去 所以我們來看一下小級別它到底在怎麼做 那麼這個是4小時級別 我們可以看到好像嘗試沒有站上去 然後 ...
金蝶國際(00268)技術面超買,漲勢能否持續?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-05 03:04
Core Viewpoint - Kingdee International (00268) has shown strong performance recently, with a significant increase of 4.67% to HKD 18.82, indicating continued capital inflow [1] Price Movement and Technical Analysis - The stock price reached a high of HKD 19 during intraday trading, with a current price of HKD 18.57 as of 9:50 AM [1] - The closing price of HKD 18.82 has surpassed the upper Bollinger Band at HKD 18.6, signaling a "buy" direction [1] - The first resistance level is at HKD 19.7, and if broken, the price may challenge HKD 21.4 [1] - Technical indicators show that the RSI has reached the overbought zone at 70, while MACD maintains a buy signal; however, the stochastic oscillator indicates a sell signal, suggesting potential short-term adjustments [1] - The stock price is significantly above the 10-day moving average (MA10) of HKD 17.25 and the 30-day moving average (MA30) of HKD 16.01, indicating a clear short-term upward trend, but the overbought condition warrants caution [1] Support and Resistance Levels - Key support is at HKD 16.9, with stronger support at HKD 16.2; the upper resistance is at HKD 19.7, which, if surpassed, could lead to a challenge of HKD 21.4 [3] - The Bollinger Bands indicate that the stock price is nearing the upper band, and failure to break through may result in a pullback to the middle band [3] Derivative Instruments - On July 30, Kingdee's stock rose by 7.41%, with related warrants showing significant leverage, such as the warrant 13464, which increased by 24% in a single day [4] - Investors optimistic about Kingdee's future performance may consider high-leverage call warrants, including: - Bank of China warrant 16701: exercise price HKD 22.73, leverage 3.14, suitable for conservative investors [5] - JPMorgan warrant 18077: out-of-the-money by 21.61%, leverage 3.05, suitable for those anticipating a breakout [5] - UBS warrant 18108: leverage 5.44, premium 36.86%, suitable for short-term high-leverage traders [5]