Summary of Military Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The military industry is experiencing significant investment opportunities due to global geopolitical tensions and an arms race, particularly highlighted by China's military equipment performance in the India-Pakistan air conflict, which has increased international recognition of Chinese military products [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments - **Investment Opportunities**: The military sector is expected to benefit from increased order delivery tolerance from institutions, driven by geopolitical tensions and high-end equipment exports [1][2]. - **Market Events**: The upcoming 93rd anniversary military parade is anticipated to boost market activity, alongside the conclusion of the 14th Five-Year Plan and the initiation of the 15th plan, which may lead to expedited orders [3][5]. - **Performance Metrics**: In the first half of 2025, the defense industry index outperformed the broader market, driven by a reversal in industry sentiment and concentrated order issuance [1][10]. - **Valuation Trends**: The military industry's valuation has risen to the 75th percentile, indicating potential for further growth, shifting from EPS-driven to PE-driven factors due to increased global asset allocation demand [8][21]. - **Contract Liabilities**: A 12.7% increase in contract liabilities in Q1 2025 suggests a pre-order phenomenon, indicating future performance improvements [11][9]. Important but Overlooked Content - **Geopolitical Context**: The ongoing geopolitical tensions, including conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, are expected to sustain demand for military equipment, with countries like South Korea and Japan increasing their defense budgets [19][16]. - **Technological Advancements**: The military sector is focusing on new combat capabilities, including unmanned systems and high-speed weapons, which are crucial for future military strategies [7][29]. - **Investment Recommendations**: Key investment areas include military trade exports, military electronics, and ammunition, with specific companies highlighted for their potential [5][30][31]. Future Outlook - The military industry is poised for continued growth, driven by strategic security asset allocation and the global expansion of Chinese military assets, particularly in the arms trade [21][22]. - The upcoming 15th Five-Year Plan is expected to clarify future directions for the military sector, enhancing market confidence and potentially leading to increased order flows [15][13]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the military industry conference call, highlighting the current landscape, investment opportunities, and future trends.

Core Viewpoint - The military industry sector is experiencing a significant surge, driven by geopolitical tensions and increased military spending, particularly in the context of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and Middle Eastern instability [1][2][7]. Group 1: Market Performance - Military concept stocks collectively surged, with the defense and military trade sectors seeing increases of over 4% and nearly 6% respectively [1]. - Nearly 20 military concept stocks, including 成飞集成 (Chengfei Integration) and 中兵红箭 (China North Industries Group), reached their daily limit or increased by over 10% [1][4]. Group 2: Geopolitical Influences - The escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, marked by large-scale attacks from Russian forces, has significantly impacted military stock performance [7]. - In the Middle East, Israel's defense minister indicated plans for regular actions against Iran, while U.S. President Trump threatened potential military action if Iran advances its nuclear capabilities [8]. - NATO's decision to increase military spending to 5% of GDP by 2035 has also drawn global attention and is expected to influence military stock dynamics [10]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - Analysts suggest that the military industry is in a favorable cycle, with military trade being a crucial growth area for military enterprises amid changing global supply and demand dynamics [2][6]. - The domestic demand for military products is expected to rise as the Chinese military transitions to a new phase of modernization, focusing on "intelligent and unmanned" systems [6]. - The upcoming military parade on September 3 is anticipated to boost market sentiment and highlight new domestic military equipment, aligning with the "14th Five-Year Plan" [5].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the recent U.S. military intervention in the Iran conflict, including airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, and the debut of the J-35A fighter jet at the Paris Air Show [3][12] - The report suggests that China's military trade is expected to grow significantly, with current exports accounting for 5.9% of the global military trade market, compared to the U.S. at 43% and Russia at 9.6% [4][14] - The military industry is anticipated to see a turning point in orders as it enters the second half of the "Centenary Military Building Goals," with new technologies and products expected to drive market growth [5][15] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The closing index for the defense industry is 1493.76, with a 52-week high of 1712.48 and a low of 1113.62 [1] Market Performance - The military sector index has decreased by 2.03%, while the overall market indices have also shown declines, indicating a relative underperformance [16] - The top-performing stocks in the military sector this week include Changcheng Military Industry (+37.12%) and Xinguang Optoelectronics (+21.58%) [19] Investment Recommendations - Two main investment themes are suggested: 1. Aerospace and "gap-filling" new focuses, including companies like Feilihua and YF Electronics [5][15] 2. New technologies and products with greater elasticity, including companies like Aerospace Intelligence and Guangdong Hongda [5][15] Valuation Levels - As of June 20, 2025, the military sector's PE-TTM valuation is 105.09, with a PB valuation of 3.30, indicating that 80.21% of the time since January 1, 2014, the PE-TTM valuation has been lower than the current level [21][22] Data Tracking - The report tracks various data points, including private placements and stock incentive plans, highlighting significant fundraising and stock performance metrics for various companies in the sector [25][27]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **defense and military industry** in China, particularly in relation to upcoming military parades and global military spending trends [1][2][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Market Sentiment and Pricing Mechanism**: The pricing of the defense and military sector is significantly influenced by retail investors and speculative funds, with major events like the Zhuhai Airshow acting as catalysts for buying behavior [1][3]. - **Global Military Spending Trends**: Increased military spending by NATO countries may lead to a global arms race, compelling other nations to boost their military budgets, thus impacting international military balance [4]. - **Upcoming Military Parade**: The military parade in September is expected to showcase China's emerging military capabilities and new equipment, enhancing its deterrent power and demonstrating the cost-effectiveness of Chinese military products to international clients [1][5]. - **Performance of Chinese Military Equipment**: Conflicts such as the Russia-Ukraine and India-Pakistan disputes highlight the superior performance of Chinese military equipment, indicating China's rising strength in the global defense sector [1][5]. - **2025 as a Pivotal Year**: The year 2025 is anticipated to be a turning point for the defense industry, marking the culmination of the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a significant increase in weapon orders and expected performance improvements for major companies [6][7]. Additional Important Content - **Investment Directions**: Key investment themes in the defense sector include military trade, restructuring, and new types of weaponry [9][10][11]. - **Restructuring Opportunities**: The integration of major military groups, such as China Shipbuilding and China Heavy Industry, is expected to create investment opportunities [11][25]. - **Focus on New Weaponry**: The industry is shifting towards new generation weaponry, including advanced aircraft and unmanned systems, which are crucial for future military capabilities [12][16][17]. - **Emerging Technologies**: There is a growing emphasis on unmanned systems, underwater operations, hypersonic weapons, and electronic warfare capabilities as key areas for investment [16][17][26]. - **Market Dynamics**: The defense sector is currently experiencing a phase of adjustment, with many stocks at the bottom of their price cycles, but expected to recover as backlogged orders are fulfilled [2][7]. Conclusion - The defense and military industry in China is poised for significant growth driven by geopolitical tensions, upcoming military displays, and strategic investments in new technologies and restructuring efforts. The year 2025 is highlighted as a critical juncture for the sector, with expectations of improved performance and increased military capabilities.

Group 1 - Military aviation stocks experienced a significant rise, with companies like Zhong无人机 up 7%, Chenxi Aviation up over 6%, and Aerospace Rainbow up over 5% [1] - The Iranian President announced the end of a 12-day conflict initiated by Israel, which may impact military dynamics in the region [1] - Oriental Securities predicts sustained growth in military equipment demand in the Middle East, with a potential new arms race as both Europe and the US increase military spending [1] Group 2 - China’s military trade share has been steadily increasing, reaching a record high of 8.4% in 2023, according to SIPRI [2] - The General Aviation ETF Huabao (159231) covers 50 stocks in military and civil aviation sectors, with over 46% of its holdings in state-owned enterprises [2] - The ETF focuses on key areas such as low-altitude economy, large aircraft, military aircraft, commercial aerospace, satellite navigation, and drones, indicating a strategic positioning in the aviation industry [2]

Group 1 - The defense and military industry sector has seen significant growth, with stocks like Guoke Military rising over 12% and several companies hitting the daily limit up [1] - The National Defense Military ETF (512810) experienced a 3% increase during trading, with a transaction volume exceeding 59 million yuan and a turnover rate of 9.55%, leading the market among similar ETFs [1][2] - The ETF's share price was reduced from approximately 120 yuan to around 60 yuan after a split, making it more accessible for investors [3] Group 2 - Advanced fighter jets like J-10CE and J-35 are expected to be strategic assets for China's military trade, enhancing domestic equipment research and development [3] - The military trade sector is anticipated to benefit from a global arms race and industry recovery, with a focus on military trade, military electronics, and consumable ammunition as key investment themes [3] - The National Defense Military ETF (512810) tracks the CSI Military Index and is designed to provide efficient exposure to the defense sector, combining traditional and new military capabilities [3]

Core Viewpoint - The defense and military industry is transitioning from emotion-driven military trade logic to a fundamental strengthening, driven by frequent geopolitical events since 2025 [1] Group 1: Military Trade and Industry Outlook - The India-Pakistan conflict since 2025 has led to a reassessment of military trade value, with military trade expected to break through domestic pricing bottlenecks, providing higher profit margins and boosting sector valuations [1] - In the aerospace equipment sector, a turning point in orders has been established, with a 22% quarter-on-quarter increase in contract liabilities for main aircraft manufacturers in Q1 2025, and a significant improvement in component orders [1] - Military electronics are expected to maintain high order levels throughout the year, indicating strong demand [1] Group 2: Specific Sector Developments - In the aerospace propulsion sector, inventory reduction and price adjustments are nearing completion, with new model production expected to drive demand recovery [1] - In the weaponry sector, long-range artillery and unmanned ground equipment are benefiting from domestic demand recovery and a high level of military trade activity, with core companies projecting significant revenue growth for 2025 [1] - The commercial aerospace sector is entering a critical phase of large-scale deployment, with plans to launch approximately 2,100 satellites in China by 2025, and breakthroughs in reusable rocket technology expected to lower cost barriers [1] Group 3: Domestic Aircraft and ETF Insights - The domestic large aircraft C919 is accelerating its production, with an expected delivery of 20-30 units in 2025, and the process of domestic engine replacement is speeding up [1] - The military ETF (512660) tracks the CSI Military Industry Index (399967), which is compiled by the China Securities Index Co., Ltd., reflecting the overall performance of representative listed companies in the defense and military industry [1] - The CSI Military Industry Index features distinct industry characteristics and cyclical styles, with constituent stocks primarily from high-tech enterprises related to national defense modernization [1]

航空航天ETF天弘（159241）紧密跟踪国证航天指数，该指数国防军工行业权重占比高达96%，或为全市场纯度最高的军工主题ETF，其成分股深度聚焦空 天力量，国产大飞机、无人机等细分领域含量超80%，其中无人机产业链权重更是位居全市场之首。 数据显示，截至2025年6月19日，国证航天航空行业指数(CN5082)前十大权重股分别为光启技术(002625)、中航沈飞(600760)、航发动力(600893)、中航西飞 (000768)、中航机载(600372)、中航成飞(302132)、航天电子(600879)、中航高科(600862)、中国卫星(600118)、中航重机(600765)，前十大权重股合计占比 50.57%。 截至2025年6月20日 13:32，国证航天航空行业指数(CN5082)下跌0.90%。成分股方面涨跌互现，长城军工(601606)领涨10.01%，中船应急(300527)上涨 4.50%，国博电子(688375)上涨2.22%；国睿科技(600562)领跌6.32%，洪都航空(600316)下跌4.94%，天和防务(300397)下跌3.35%。航空航天ETF天弘 (159241)下 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the recent performance of various sectors in the stock market, particularly the banking and military industries, amidst a backdrop of geopolitical tensions affecting oil prices and market adjustments [2][16]. Group 1: Stock Market Performance - As of June 18, the A-share market showed a slight decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.2%, Shenzhen Component down by 0.15%, and the ChiNext Index down by 0.36% [2][3]. - The Hong Kong stock market also experienced declines, with the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, and Hang Seng Tech Index all dropping over 1% [4]. - Despite the overall market downturn, several bank stocks, including CITIC Bank, Beijing Bank, and Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, reached historical highs [5][6]. Group 2: Banking Sector Developments - At the 2025 Lujiazui Forum, significant financial policies were announced by the People's Bank of China, including innovative structural monetary policy tools and support for private equity institutions to issue technology innovation bonds [8]. - The China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission emphasized the ongoing efforts to enhance regulatory frameworks and promote foreign investment in the financial sector [8]. Group 3: Military Industry Insights - The military sector remains strong, with stocks like North China Long March reaching their historical highs [10]. - A report from Zhongyou Securities indicates that China's military trade is expected to see significant growth, driven by new technologies and products aimed at enhancing equipment performance [14]. Group 4: Oil and Gas Sector Activity - The stock of Jixing New Energy surged over 370% amid rising oil prices due to escalating tensions in the Middle East [15][16]. - Jixing New Energy reported a total net income of CAD 272.34 million for Q1 2025, a slight decrease from the previous year, with a loss of CAD 3.576 million [18].

Group 1 - The defense and military industry is transitioning from an emotion-driven military trade logic to a fundamental realization due to frequent geopolitical events [1] - Since 2025, the India-Pakistan conflict has prompted a reassessment of military trade logic, with military trade expected to break through domestic military product pricing bottlenecks, leading to higher profit margins [1] - Domestic demand is entering a new prosperity cycle, with a confirmed turning point in aviation equipment orders, as contracts for main aviation manufacturers increased by 22% quarter-on-quarter in Q1 2025 [1] Group 2 - The missile volume increase is significantly improving component orders, and military electronics orders are expected to remain high throughout the year [1] - The inventory reduction and price adjustments in the aviation engine sector are nearing completion, with new models entering batch production, which will drive the volume of supporting aviation engines [1] - The weaponry and equipment sector, particularly long-range fire and unmanned ground equipment, is benefiting from the recovery of domestic demand and high military trade prosperity, with core companies expected to provide high growth guidance for 2025 [1] Group 3 - The commercial aerospace sector is entering a critical phase of large-scale deployment, with an estimated 2,100 satellites expected to be launched in China by 2025, and breakthroughs in reusable rocket technology are imminent [1] - Overall, the dual drivers of military trade and domestic demand are expected to continuously enhance industry valuations [1] - The military ETF (code: 512660) tracks the CSI Military Industry Index (code: 399967), which reflects the overall performance of military-themed stocks selected from the A-share market [1]