Group 1 - The AI industry chain is experiencing significant profitability, particularly in computing power-related stocks, with many companies seeing over 100% growth since April [1] - Vision Technology Co., Ltd. has submitted its prospectus to the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and received its first round of inquiries, with Guotai Junan Securities as the sponsor [2] - The company was founded in October 2016, focusing on the micro-display industry, and has completed a share reform in May 2022 [4] Group 2 - The actual controller of the company is Gu Tie, who holds 61.79% of the voting rights [5] - Gu Tie, born in June 1968, has a background in physics and engineering, previously worked for several companies, and founded Yirui Technology, which went public in 2020 [6][12] - Vision Technology's headquarters is located in Hefei, Anhui Province, with significant investments from Xiaomi, DJI, and other notable firms [6] Group 3 - The company's main product is silicon-based OLED micro-displays, which are crucial for XR devices, and it has achieved mass production of the world's first 12-inch silicon-based OLED production line [8] - The revenue from silicon-based OLED micro-displays is projected to account for 79.70% of the company's main business revenue in 2024 [15] - The company has seen revenue growth in recent years, with projected revenues of 1.9 billion, 2.15 billion, and 2.8 billion yuan for 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively [12] Group 4 - The company has incurred losses of nearly 800 million yuan over three years, with net profits of -247 million, -304 million, and -247 million yuan for 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively [12][13] - The average selling price of silicon-based OLED micro-displays has decreased by 4.56% in 2023 compared to 2022, impacting profit margins [17] - The company’s gross profit margin for silicon-based OLED micro-displays was 21.52% in 2024, higher than that of its competitor BOE [19] Group 5 - Vision Technology's main customers include ByteDance, Lenovo, and others, while its suppliers include major firms like SMIC and Shenzhen Huiniu Technology [20] - The company holds a 35.2% market share in the global silicon-based OLED micro-display market, ranking second globally behind Sony [21][31] - The global market for silicon-based OLED displays is expected to grow significantly, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 34.3% from 2020 to 2024 [27]

Industry Overview - The lens industry in China is expected to maintain a good growth momentum due to rigid demand, scenario refinement, and structural optimization, with a projected CAGR of 6.00% for manufacturer sales and 5.04% for retail sales from 2019 to 2024, reaching sales of 29.75 billion and 53.71 billion yuan by 2029 respectively [1] Company Strategy - The company has a flexible strategy across the industry chain, enhancing competitiveness and market share through deep partnerships with core suppliers like Mitsui Chemicals, which has provided a comprehensive product matrix for nearly 15 years [2] - The company ranks among the top in market share, with new production capacities in Thailand and Japan, and an increasing proportion of high unit price and high gross margin products, which is expected to further boost competitiveness and market share [2] - The company employs a C2M business model to engage directly with consumers, utilizing diversified channels to shorten the path to individual end customers, thereby enhancing profitability [2] Smart Glasses Development - The company is actively developing a second growth curve through smart glasses, with demand for lenses in AI and AR glasses, although AR glasses face technological limitations and have not yet achieved significant sales [3] - The company collaborates with leading tech and consumer electronics firms to develop customized lenses for XR products and has acquired land in Thailand for building a production base for XR product lenses [3] - The company forecasts revenues of 2.328 billion, 2.657 billion, and 2.963 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with net profits of 561 million, 672 million, and 777 million yuan respectively, driven by lens demand growth and strategic partnerships in the smart glasses sector [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the market benchmark [8]. Core Insights - The company reported a solid performance in H1 2025, with revenue reaching 1.084 billion RMB, a year-on-year growth of 11.0%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 273 million RMB, reflecting a 30.7% increase year-on-year [7]. - The company is focusing on optimizing its product structure and enhancing its domestic market presence, with significant growth in standard lens products and a strong emphasis on high-value products [7][8]. - The XR (Extended Reality) business is expanding successfully, with strategic partnerships enhancing growth opportunities, particularly in the smart glasses segment [8]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2023: 1.76 billion RMB, 2024: 2.061 billion RMB, 2025E: 2.403 billion RMB, 2026E: 2.786 billion RMB, and 2027E: 3.233 billion RMB, with growth rates of 13%, 17%, 17%, 16%, and 16% respectively [6]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 327 million RMB in 2023, increasing to 840 million RMB by 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 32%, 31%, 29%, 24%, and 23% [6]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to grow from 0.77 RMB in 2023 to 1.75 RMB in 2027, reflecting the company's improving profitability [6]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company is recognized as a leading manufacturer in the lens industry, with a comprehensive product SKU matrix and strong upstream and downstream partnerships [8]. - The company is actively enhancing its domestic market and proprietary brand initiatives, which are expected to drive new growth momentum [8]. - The smart glasses market is experiencing rapid growth, with the company positioned to leverage its first-mover advantage and strategic collaborations to expand its market share [8].

Group 1 - Samsung has confirmed the launch of a foldable smartphone and XR headset in the second half of this year, expected to be released by the end of the year [1] - The XR headset will feature an Android XR system, Micro OLED or OLEDoS displays with a refresh rate of 90Hz, and will support eye tracking [1] - The device will utilize an external battery pack and will support capabilities such as Gemini, navigation, and translation [1] Group 2 - ByteDance is reportedly advancing a mixed reality (MR) headset project, codenamed "Project P," through its VR subsidiary Pico, directly competing with Meta's flagship MR glasses planned for 2027 [3][5] - The MR glasses being developed by ByteDance show remarkable similarities to Meta's Orion prototype, particularly in their split architecture design, indicating a potential industry trend [3] - Pico is developing a dedicated chip for the MR device to process sensor data and reduce latency between user actions and AR visuals, similar to Apple's Vision Pro [5] Group 3 - The XR market is experiencing a quiet revolution, with traditional all-in-one headsets facing growth bottlenecks, while stylish lightweight devices like Ray-Ban Meta have unexpectedly gained popularity [7] - Pico's strategic shift towards MR reflects its deep insight into the future of smart glasses and demonstrates the company's flexibility and decisiveness in the face of competitive pressure [7] - The company continues to leverage its advantages and lead industry trends as technology and market dynamics evolve [7] Group 4 - WIMI, the first publicly traded holographic AR company, has been actively integrating technology and collaborating within the industry to enhance its competitiveness in the smart glasses sector [9] - WIMI plays a dual role as a "bottom technology enabler" and "industry ecosystem organizer," focusing on hardware optimization and core technology breakthroughs [9] - The company is participating in the "Hundred Glasses War," collaborating with major internet firms, hardware manufacturers, and traditional eyewear companies to build a complete ecosystem from technology development to application [9] Group 5 - The product plans and strategic layouts from major players indicate that the future battle for XR device mass adoption will require affordable products [10] - Lightweight design is set to become an irreversible trend for the next generation of XR devices, marking a potential watershed moment for the XR market [10] - The competition for lightweight XR devices is just beginning, suggesting a significant shift in the industry landscape [10]

Group 1 - Apple's first MR headset, Vision Pro, will officially launch on February 2 [1] - Analyst estimates suggest Vision Pro's shipment volume will be around 500,000 units in 2024, with potential production increasing to 12.6 million units in five years [1] - Vision Pro is expected to face supply shortages in its first year, with user numbers projected to reach 20 million in five years [1] Group 2 - The launch of Vision Pro is anticipated to benefit domestic XR terminal brands and supply chains in China [2] - Vision Pro is expected to help XR products reach a broader audience and accelerate the development of the XR ecosystem [2] - Several listed companies, including Lianyi Zhizao and Luxshare Precision, are likely to participate in the assembly and parts supply for Vision Pro [2]

Core Viewpoint - XREAL is focused on developing innovative AR glasses through self-research in hardware and algorithms, aiming to create a lightweight, modular product that can achieve significant market success [1][4][11]. Group 1: Company Development and Strategy - XREAL has established itself as a leading player in the global AR glasses market, maintaining the top position for three consecutive years with cumulative sales exceeding 600,000 units [4][11]. - The company has chosen a unique approach by investing heavily in self-research for core components like chips and optics, with 65% of parts in flagship products being self-developed or customized [6][7]. - XREAL's collaboration with Google on Project Aura marks it as the only Chinese company partnering with Google in the AR field, enhancing its position in the global market [4][10]. Group 2: Product Innovation and Technology - The newly launched One Pro AR glasses feature the self-developed X1 chip, which addresses critical performance issues such as latency and bandwidth optimization, achieving a remarkable 3 milliseconds of latency [6][7]. - The X1 chip is a 12-nanometer spatial computing chip that represents a significant investment of over 100 million yuan, highlighting XREAL's commitment to innovation in chip technology [7][8]. - XREAL aims to create a product that not only serves as an AR device but also integrates AI capabilities, leveraging Google's AI advancements to enhance user experience [12][19]. Group 3: Market Trends and Challenges - The AR glasses industry is currently in its early stages, with no product yet achieving the status of a blockbuster, indicating that the market is still developing [16][19]. - The recent surge in AI glasses, driven by competitors like Meta and Ray-Ban, is viewed as a temporary trend rather than a sustainable growth phase, with many products lacking maturity in technology and user experience [16][19]. - XREAL emphasizes the need for a robust developer ecosystem and user base to drive the industry forward, suggesting that the current market dynamics are not yet conducive to long-term success [16][19].

Core Insights - XREAL is collaborating with Google to develop Project Aura, the first AR terminal equipped with the AndroidXR system, set to launch in Q1 2024 [2][3][10] - XREAL has established itself as a leader in the AR glasses market, maintaining the top position globally for three consecutive years with over 600,000 units sold [3][4] - The company emphasizes its focus on AR technology rather than following the trend of AI glasses, despite the industry's shift towards AI integration [4][14] Company Overview - XREAL is recognized as a prominent player in the AR glasses sector, having participated in the development, design, and manufacturing of AR glasses for eight years [3][4] - The company has developed its own X1 chip, which enhances performance and reduces latency to 3 milliseconds, significantly improving the user experience [6][7] - XREAL's strategy includes deep self-research and development of key components, with 65% of parts in flagship products being self-developed or customized [6][8] Industry Context - The smart glasses industry in China is experiencing a shift towards AI glasses, but XREAL aims to differentiate itself by focusing on AR technology [4][14] - The market is currently characterized by a lack of a breakout product, with XREAL targeting the development of a potential blockbuster AR glasses product [13][15] - The collaboration with Google is seen as a strategic move to leverage Google's ecosystem and AI capabilities, which could enhance XREAL's product offerings [10][12] Future Outlook - XREAL aims to integrate AI capabilities into its AR glasses, anticipating that advancements in AI will drive the next wave of innovation in the industry [11][12] - The company is cautious about the current trend of "hundred glasses war," viewing it as a temporary phenomenon rather than a sustainable market growth [13][15] - XREAL's long-term vision includes creating a comprehensive ecosystem around its AR products, positioning itself as a key player in the future of personal smart devices [9][14]

Core Viewpoint - 瑞声科技 is positioned as a leader in perception experience solutions, with significant expertise across various business sectors including acoustic devices, touch motors, optics, precision structural components, and XR, which is expected to drive long-term growth for the company [1][4]. Group 1: Optical Business - Recent demand recovery in consumer electronics and smartphones is evident, with a notable trend towards high-end products [2]. - The WLG glass-plastic hybrid lens technology, which 瑞声科技 uniquely possesses, is leading the market and is already applied in multiple smartphone models [2]. - In the VR sector, 瑞声科技 has successfully mass-produced optical modules similar to Apple's Vision Pro, while its single-layer colored waveguide lens offers a lightweight and comfortable experience for AR applications [2]. Group 2: Electromagnetic Drive and Precision Structural Components - The acquisition of 东阳精密 is expected to enhance structural component collaboration and growth [3]. - The demand for tactile feedback in human-computer interaction is increasing, with linear motors, particularly the X-axis linear motor, gaining traction due to their superior performance and lower power consumption [3]. - 瑞声科技 is a leading supplier of folding phone hinges, which is anticipated to benefit from the rising penetration of foldable smartphones [3]. Group 3: Acoustic Business - 瑞声科技 remains a global leader in high-end acoustic components, maintaining a stable market share despite challenges in smartphone demand [3]. - The company's acoustic devices are gradually penetrating mid-range models, which is expected to increase the value per unit [3]. - The acquisition of PSS, a major player in automotive acoustics, allows 瑞声科技 to diversify strategically and leverage PSS's supply chain resources to expand in the global automotive and electric vehicle markets [3]. Group 4: Investment Outlook - 瑞声科技's product offerings, including WLG hybrid lenses, metal frames, and folding phone hinges, are positioned for long-term growth [4]. - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.362 billion, 2.77 billion, and 3.162 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [4]. - A target price of 50.76 HKD is set for 2026, based on a 20x PE ratio, with an initial "recommended" rating [4].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company for the first time, with a target price of HKD 50.76, compared to the current price of HKD 42.64 [3][9]. Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned as a leader in perception experience solutions, with deep expertise across various business sectors including acoustic devices, touch motors, optics, precision components, and XR, which is expected to drive long-term growth [6][8]. - The report highlights significant growth in the optical and automotive acoustic sectors, with a projected revenue increase of 33.4% year-on-year for 2024, driven by strong demand in consumer electronics and innovative product launches [26][27]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has a strong foundation in the acoustic market since its establishment in 1993, and has diversified into optics, motors, MEMS chip design, precision components, and XR technologies, positioning itself for long-term growth [15][17]. - The ownership structure is concentrated, with the founder and family holding over 36% of shares, ensuring stability and continuity in management [20][21]. Optical Business - The optical sector is experiencing a revival in smartphone demand, with a focus on differentiated performance upgrades rather than merely increasing the number of camera modules [41][54]. - The company leads in WLG (wafer-level glass) technology, which is expected to set new trends in smartphone lens design, and has successfully launched products in the XR field [6][8][41]. Electromagnetic Transmission and Precision Components - The company is a leading supplier of linear motors, particularly in the X-axis domain, which is gaining traction in various applications beyond smartphones [8][30]. - The acquisition of Dongyang Precision is anticipated to enhance synergies in the precision components business, contributing to revenue growth [6][8]. Acoustic Business - The company maintains a strong market share in the high-end acoustic sector, with its products increasingly penetrating mid-range devices, which is expected to enhance unit value [8][30]. - The acquisition of PSS is aimed at expanding into the automotive acoustic market, leveraging synergies to capture growth opportunities [8][30]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of CNY 2.36 billion, CNY 2.77 billion, and CNY 3.16 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [2][9]. - The report anticipates a recovery in profit margins due to improved product mix and operational efficiencies, with a gross margin expected to rise to 22.11% in 2024 [31].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative return of over 20% within the next six months [5]. Core Viewpoints - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 1.08 billion, representing an 11.1% year-on-year increase, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 270 million, up 30.7% year-on-year [1]. - The improvement in profitability is attributed to the orderly expansion of both international and domestic businesses, stable sales of high-value-added products, and effective cost reductions from automated production line upgrades [1]. - The company is actively promoting high refractive index and multifunctional lenses, leading to a continuous upgrade in product structure and a notable increase in gross margin [2]. Revenue Breakdown - For the first half of 2025, revenue from standard lenses was 510 million, up 20% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 33.6%, an increase of 2.8 percentage points [2]. - Revenue from functional lenses was 380 million, up 8.8% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 40.6%, also an increase of 2.8 percentage points [2]. - Custom lens revenue was 180 million, down 4.9% year-on-year, but with a gross margin of 61.9%, which increased by 2.4 percentage points [2]. - Total sales volume reached 9.3 million pieces, a 7.5% increase year-on-year, with an average product price of 23.3 yuan, up 3.3% [2]. Regional Performance - Domestic revenue was 360 million, a 19.0% increase year-on-year, with a focus on high-end differentiated products to enhance market share [3]. - Overseas revenue was 730 million, up 7.5% year-on-year, with significant growth in Asia (23% increase) while revenue from the Americas decreased by 2% [3]. - The company is expanding overseas production capacity, with a new customized production line in Japan expected to start in the second half of 2025 [3]. XR Business Development - The company is making steady progress in its XR business, collaborating with both domestic and international technology and consumer electronics companies [4]. - The number of overseas projects is increasing, with some key projects transitioning from product functionality verification to scaling up production [4]. - Domestic collaborations have also progressed, with some key projects already delivering products and receiving positive feedback from end users [4]. Profit Forecast - The report forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 560 million, 670 million, and 790 million respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 35X, 29X, and 25X [5].