Core Viewpoint - International oil prices have increased, with WTI crude oil rising by 1.00% to $60.761 per barrel and Brent crude oil increasing by 0.94% to $64.713 per barrel [1] Group 1 - WTI crude oil price is reported at $60.761 per barrel [1] - Brent crude oil price is reported at $64.713 per barrel [1] - The percentage increase for WTI crude oil is 1.00% [1] - The percentage increase for Brent crude oil is 0.94% [1]

Core Viewpoint - A Chevron oil refinery in El Segundo, California, experienced a sudden explosion and fire, raising concerns about air quality and potential impacts on fuel supply in the region [1][3]. Group 1: Incident Details - The explosion occurred on October 2, 2023, and was visible from several kilometers away, with reports indicating the shock felt was comparable to a small earthquake [1]. - Emergency response teams have arrived at the scene, and the fire has been contained to a specific area of the refinery [3]. - There are currently no reports of injuries, and local authorities have advised residents to stay indoors while monitoring air quality [3]. Group 2: Refinery Operations - The El Segundo refinery, established in 1911, covers over 5 square kilometers and has a processing capacity of 269,000 barrels of crude oil per day, accounting for over 16% of California's total refining capacity [3]. - The refinery supplies more than 40% of the aviation fuel and over 20% of the gasoline for the Southern California region [3]. Group 3: Market Impact - Following the incident, both ICE Brent crude and NYMEX WTI crude oil prices have seen an increase of approximately 0.9% [4].

Core Viewpoint - International oil prices collectively declined, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil and Brent crude oil both experiencing notable drops in their respective futures contracts [1] Group 1 - WTI crude oil main contract fell by 0.91%, closing at $61.8 per barrel [1] - Brent crude oil main contract decreased by 0.95%, ending at $65.4 per barrel [1]

截至当天收盘，纽约商品交易所11月交货的轻质原油期货价格上涨74美分，收于每桶65.72美元，涨幅 为1.14%；11月交货的伦敦布伦特原油期货价格上涨71美分，收于每桶70.13美元，涨幅为1.02%。 国际油价26日上涨。 ...

【纠错】 【责任编辑:冯粒】 截至当天收盘，纽约商品交易所11月交货的轻质原油期货价格上涨74美分，收于每桶65.72美元，涨幅 为1.14%；11月交货的伦敦布伦特原油期货价格上涨71美分，收于每桶70.13美元，涨幅为1.02%。 新华社纽约9月26日电 国际油价26日上涨。 ...

Core Viewpoint - International oil prices experienced narrow fluctuations, with U.S. crude oil and Brent crude oil both closing higher on September 25 [1] Group 1: Oil Price Movements - U.S. crude oil main contract rose by 0.35%, closing at $65.22 per barrel [1] - Brent crude oil main contract increased by 0.42%, closing at $68.75 per barrel [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating - L, PP are rated neutral; L01 - L05 and PP01 - PP05 are recommended for reverse spreads; no recommendation for cross - variety trading [3] Core View - For PE, the supply side has seen a more - than - expected return due to the restart of many previously shut - down plants. The demand side has a slight improvement in pre - holiday stocking, but the demand follow - up is slow. The cost side is supported by rising international oil prices, yet the PE trend is still suppressed by the supply side [2] - For PP, the supply pressure remains high despite the decline in overall PP start - up rate. The demand side is in a seasonally improving period, but the recovery is slow. The cost side has a slight rebound in international oil prices. In the short term, PP demand improves but is limited by supply, and low profits restrict its downside [2] Summary by Directory Market News and Important Data - **Price and Basis**: L main contract closed at 7,142 yuan/ton (+37); PP main contract closed at 6,877 yuan/ton (+35). LL North China spot was 7,080 yuan/ton (+10), LL East China spot was 7,110 yuan/ton (+0), PP East China spot was 6,730 yuan/ton (+0). LL North China basis was - 62 yuan/ton (-27), LL East China basis was - 32 yuan/ton (-37), PP East China basis was - 147 yuan/ton (-35) [1] - **Upstream Supply**: PE start - up rate was 80.4% (+2.3%), PP start - up rate was 74.9% (-1.9%) [1] - **Production Profit**: PE oil - based production profit was 177.5 yuan/ton (-139.0), PP oil - based production profit was - 442.5 yuan/ton (-139.0), PDH - based PP production profit was - 267.8 yuan/ton (-8.2) [1] - **Imports and Exports**: LL import profit was - 148.9 yuan/ton (-57.6), PP import profit was - 528.9 yuan/ton (+2.4), PP export profit was 34.9 US dollars/ton (-0.3) [1] - **Downstream Demand**: PE downstream agricultural film start - up rate was 26.8% (+2.6%), PE downstream packaging film start - up rate was 51.8% (+0.5%), PP downstream plastic weaving start - up rate was 43.6% (+0.5%), PP downstream BOPP film start - up rate was 61.4% (-0.1%) [1] Market Analysis - **PE**: Supply side has more plants restarting than planned to shut down; demand side has a slight improvement in pre - holiday stocking but slow follow - up; cost side is supported by rising oil prices, yet the trend is suppressed by supply [2] - **PP**: Supply side has increased supply pressure despite more plants likely to restart; demand side is in a seasonally improving period but with slow recovery; cost side has a slight rebound in oil prices and strong propane. Short - term demand improves but is limited by supply, and low profits restrict downside [2] Strategy - **Single - sided**: L, PP are neutral [3] - **Inter - period**: L01 - L05 reverse spread; PP01 - PP05 reverse spread [3] - **Cross - variety**: No recommendation [3]

国际油价24日上涨。 截至当天收盘，纽约商品交易所11月交货的轻质原油期货价格上涨1.58美元，收于每桶64.99美元，涨幅 为2.49%；11月交货的伦敦布伦特原油期货价格上涨1.68美元，收于每桶69.31美元，涨幅为2.48%。 ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，9月24日，国际油价涨幅扩大，WTI原油涨2.04%，报64.211美元/桶；布伦特原油涨 1.87%，报68.222美元/桶。 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Core Viewpoints - Driven by the rise in international oil prices, EB2511 fluctuated strongly and closed around 6928. The production and capacity utilization rate of styrene decreased due to the continuous shutdown of an 800,000 - tonne device of Guangdong Petrochemical and the new maintenance of two 1.2 - million - tonne devices of Zhejiang Petrochemical last week. The downstream operating rates fluctuated slightly. Factory and East China port inventories decreased month - on - month, while South China port inventory increased. The non - integrated cost of styrene increased month - on - month due to the rise in pure benzene and ethylene prices. Large domestic devices are taking turns for maintenance, and this maintenance cycle may last for several months. The 800,000 - tonne device of Guangdong Petrochemical will restart this week, and a 620,000 - tonne device of Zhenhai Liande plans to shut down, so production and capacity utilization may rise periodically. The commissioning of new devices is postponed to October, and the supply pressure of styrene in September shows a downward trend. The load of EPS, PS, and ABS devices is expected to be slightly adjusted this week. Inventory has returned to the destocking cycle, but the current inventory pressure is still high. In terms of cost, the global crude oil supply - demand is weak, but the US sanctions on some oil - producing countries may be upgraded, and international oil prices rose significantly yesterday. In the short term, EB2511 is expected to fluctuate with oil prices, and technically, attention should be paid to the support of the lower Bollinger Band around 6845 and the pressure of the 10 - day moving average around 7034 [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - Futures trading volume (active: trading volume) of styrene (EB) was 6928 lots; the closing price of the active contract was 245,568 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month increase of 11,208 yuan/ton. The long positions of the top 20 holders were 411,907 lots, and the net long positions were - 29,310 lots with a month - on - month increase of 135 lots. The short positions of the top 20 holders were 441,217 lots. The total number of warehouse receipts was 905 lots. The closing price of the November contract was 6928 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month increase of 58 yuan/ton. The futures open interest (active: trading volume) was 399,631 lots [2]. 3.2 Spot Market - The spot price of styrene was 7130 yuan/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 48 yuan/ton. The FOB South Korea intermediate price was 855 US dollars/ton, with a month - on - month decrease of 11 US dollars/ton. CFR China intermediate price was 865 US dollars/ton. The mainstream prices in Northeast, South, North, and East China were 6800 yuan/ton (unchanged), 7075 yuan/ton (unchanged), 6820 yuan/ton (a month - on - month decrease of 30 yuan/ton), and 6870 yuan/ton (a month - on - month decrease of 100 yuan/ton) respectively [2]. 3.3 Upstream Situation - The CFR Northeast Asia intermediate price of ethylene was 846 US dollars/ton, the CFR Southeast Asia intermediate price was 841 US dollars/ton, the CIF Northwest Europe intermediate price was 745.5 US dollars/ton (a month - on - month decrease of 3 US dollars/ton), and the FD US Gulf price was 457 US dollars/ton (a month - on - month decrease of 6 US dollars/ton). The FOB price of pure benzene in the US Gulf was 248 US cents/gallon, the CIF price in Taiwan was 722.17 US dollars/ton (unchanged), the FOB price in Rotterdam was 657 US dollars/ton (a month - on - month decrease of 8 US dollars/ton). The market prices of pure benzene in South, East, and North China were 5900 yuan/ton (unchanged), 5840 yuan/ton (unchanged), and 5950 yuan/ton (unchanged) respectively [2]. 3.4 Industry Situation - The overall styrene operating rate was 73.44%, with a month - on - month decrease of 1.54%. The national styrene inventory was 216,283 tons, with a month - on - month decrease of 3994 tons. The total inventory in the East China main port was 186,500 tons, and the trade inventory was 98,500 tons with a month - on - month increase of 20,500 tons [2]. 3.5 Downstream Situation - The operating rates of EPS, ABS, PS, UPR, and styrene - butadiene rubber were 61.74% (a month - on - month increase of 0.72%), 69.8% (a month - on - month decrease of 0.2%), 61.2% (a month - on - month decrease of 0.7%), 34% (unchanged), and 70.43% (a month - on - month increase of 0.86%) respectively [2]. 3.6 Industry News - From September 12th to 18th, the weekly styrene output decreased by 2.03% month - on - month to 346,800 tons, and the weekly capacity utilization rate decreased by 1.54% month - on - month to 73.44%. The consumption of downstream EPS, PS, and ABS increased by 0.14% month - on - month to 278,300 tons. As of September 18th, the styrene factory inventory decreased by 1.81% month - on - month to 216,300 tons; as of September 22nd, the East China port inventory increased by 17.30% month - on - month to 186,500 tons, and the South China port inventory decreased by 37.61% month - on - month to 13,600 tons. As of September 17th, the non - integrated cost of styrene was 7548 yuan/ton, and the non - integrated profit was - 368 yuan/ton [2].