（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，11月26日，美油主力合约收跌1.24%，报58.11美元/桶；布伦特原油主力合约跌1.2%，报 61.97美元/桶。 ...

【资讯导读】 ·特朗普签署AI行政令推动联邦数据驱动创新 ·美国GDP预估发布因政府停摆取消 ·欧盟批准2026年预算：聚焦国防、移民与竞争力 ·欧洲央行在最新《金融稳定评估》中警告，稳定币正分流欧元区零售存款，若遭遇"挤兑"，可能危及 全球金融稳定。报告指出，其实际用途多集中于加密资产交易，而非设计初衷的支付与储值。 【市场资讯】 ·美国经济分析局取消原定10月30日发布的第三季度GDP预估值，原因系联邦政府停摆。备受美联储关 注的PCE价格指数及个人收入与支出报告，现定于当地时间12月5日上午10点发布。 ·美国总统特朗普签署行政命令，加速人工智能发展，要求构建国家级AI平台，整合并开放联邦科学数 据集以促进技术突破。 ·美国商务部长卢特尼克称，欧盟必须修改数字法规，美方才会下调钢铝关税；欧盟则坚决回应，科技 与税收规则不在贸易谈判范畴内。 ·美联储理事沃勒表示，疲软的劳动力市场数据支持12月降息。他警告称，会后密集发布的延迟经济报 告可能使明年1月的政策决定更加复杂。 ·欧盟理事会24日通过2026年财政预算，总额1928亿欧元，支出上限1901亿欧元。预算重点投向国防、 移民管控和经济竞争力，并预留7 ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，11月20日，美油主力合约收跌0.83%，报58.76美元/桶；布伦特原油主力合约跌0.63%，报 63.11美元/桶。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the decline in international precious metal futures, particularly gold and silver, due to changing market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions [1] - COMEX gold futures fell by 2.62% to $4084.4 per ounce, while COMEX silver futures dropped by 5.21% to $50.4 per ounce, despite both metals experiencing weekly gains of 1.86% and 4.69% respectively [1] - The market's optimism for a Federal Reserve rate cut has diminished, influenced by cautious statements from Fed officials regarding lowering borrowing costs, which typically reduces the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold [1] Group 2 - Crude oil prices saw an increase, with the main contract for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rising by 2.15% to $59.95 per barrel, and Brent crude increasing by 1.97% to $64.25 per barrel, reflecting a weekly gain of 0.18% and 0.97% respectively [1] - Geopolitical events, such as Ukraine's attack on a significant Russian oil port and Iran's seizure of a tanker near the Strait of Hormuz, have contributed to a new geopolitical premium in oil prices [1]

Market Overview - The majority of European and American stock markets closed lower on November 14, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.65% at 47147.48 points, the S&P 500 down 0.05% at 6734.11 points, and the Nasdaq up 0.13% at 22900.59 points [1][2] - For the week, the Dow Jones increased by 0.34%, the S&P 500 by 0.08%, while the Nasdaq decreased by 0.45% [1] Chinese Concept Stocks - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell by 1.61%, while the Wind Chinese Concept Technology Leaders Index dropped by 2.28% [2] - Popular Chinese concept stocks mostly declined, with notable drops including Futu Holdings down over 7%, Gaotu Group down over 5%, and Xpeng Motors down over 5% [4] Oracle Corporation - Oracle's stock fell nearly 7% this week, reflecting growing concerns over AI themes and high valuations in tech stocks [5] - The company has committed to investing thousands of billions in chip purchases and data center construction to fulfill agreements with OpenAI, leading to a nearly 30% drop in stock price over the past month [5][6] - Barclays downgraded Oracle's debt rating to "underweight," warning that its credit rating could fall to BBB-, just above junk status, and highlighted the risk of exhausting cash reserves by November 2026 [6][7] Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - Market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December have decreased significantly, with the probability dropping from 67% to below 50% [8] - Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmieding expressed concerns that further rate cuts could entrench high inflation rather than support the labor market [8] Commodity Prices - International gold prices fell over 2%, with COMEX gold futures down 2.62% to $4084.4 per ounce, while silver futures dropped 5.21% to $50.4 per ounce [9] - The decline in gold prices is attributed to reduced optimism regarding Fed rate cuts, as rising interest rates diminish the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold [9] - Crude oil prices saw an increase, with West Texas Intermediate rising 2.15% to $59.95 per barrel, influenced by geopolitical tensions [9]

Market Overview - The three major U.S. stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.65% at 47147.48 points, the S&P 500 down 0.05% at 6734.11 points, and the Nasdaq up 0.13% at 22900.59 points. For the week, the Dow Jones rose 0.34%, the S&P 500 rose 0.08%, while the Nasdaq fell 0.45% [1][2]. European Market Performance - European indices closed lower across the board, with the German DAX down 0.65% at 23860.62 points, the French CAC40 down 0.76% at 8170.09 points, and the UK FTSE 100 down 1.11% at 9698.37 points. For the week, the DAX rose 1.34%, the CAC40 rose 2.77%, and the FTSE 100 rose 0.16% [2]. Chinese Concept Stocks - Most popular Chinese concept stocks declined, with Futu Holdings down over 7%, Gaotu Group down over 5%, Xpeng Motors down over 5%, JD Group down over 4%, Baidu down nearly 4%, Alibaba down nearly 4%, and Tiger Brokers down about 4%. However, Canadian Solar rose over 17%, WuXi AppTec rose over 10%, and Daqo New Energy rose nearly 6% [4]. Oracle's Financial Concerns - Concerns regarding AI investments have escalated, particularly with Oracle's significant stock drop, which highlights the high valuations of tech stocks and the risks associated with massive debt financing and rapidly increasing AI capital expenditures. Oracle's stock rebounded slightly, closing up 2.44%, but it has cumulatively dropped 6.85% for the week [5][6]. - Oracle's stock has fallen nearly 30% in the past month, erasing over $250 billion in market value since its partnership announcement with OpenAI. Barclays downgraded Oracle's debt rating to "underweight," warning that its credit rating could be downgraded to BBB-, just one step above junk status. The report also indicated that Oracle's interest-bearing debt has doubled over the past decade to $111.6 billion, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 500%, significantly higher than Amazon's 50% and Microsoft's 30% [5][6]. Federal Reserve Interest Rate Outlook - Expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December have decreased significantly, with the probability of a 25 basis point cut dropping from 67% to below 50%. Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmieding expressed concerns that further rate cuts could entrench high inflation rather than support the labor market [8]. Gold and Oil Market Movements - International gold prices fell over 2%, with COMEX gold futures down 2.62% at $4084.4 per ounce, while silver futures dropped 5.21% at $50.4 per ounce. The decline in gold prices is attributed to the market's cooling expectations for a Fed rate cut, as rising interest rates diminish the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold [10]. - Crude oil prices saw an increase, with the main contract for U.S. oil rising 2.15% to $59.95 per barrel, and Brent crude rising 1.97% to $64.25 per barrel, influenced by geopolitical tensions such as attacks on oil ports and the seizure of a tanker by Iran [11].

Group 1 - The core point of the news is the increase in oil prices, with WTI crude oil rising by 0.19% to $58.6 per barrel and Brent crude oil increasing by 0.29% to $62.89 per barrel [1] Group 2 - WTI crude oil's closing price is reported at $58.6 per barrel [1] - Brent crude oil's closing price is reported at $62.89 per barrel [1]

Report Summary 1. Overnight Night Market Trends - **Crude Oil**: The main contract of US crude oil closed down 4.19% at $58.48 per barrel, and the main contract of Brent crude oil fell 3.74% to $62.72 per barrel [5]. - **Precious Metals**: International precious metal futures generally closed higher. COMEX gold futures rose 2.07% to $4201.4 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures rose 4.90% to $53.23 per ounce [6]. - **Base Metals in London**: Most London base metals rose. LME tin rose 2.15% to $37405.00 per ton, LME lead rose 1.38% to $2092.00 per ton, LME copper rose 0.65% to $10897.00 per ton, LME aluminum rose 0.40% to $2886.00 per ton, LME zinc rose 0.18% to $3072.00 per ton, and LME nickel fell 0.29% to $15010.00 per ton [6]. - **Domestic Futures**: As of the close at 23:00 on November 12, domestic futures main contracts mostly fell. Low-sulfur fuel oil (LU) fell more than 3%, fuel oil fell more than 2%, caustic soda and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) fell more than 1%. In terms of gains, pure benzene rose more than 1%, and styrene (EB) rose nearly 1% [6]. 2. Important News Macro News - **Russia-Ukraine Negotiations**: Russia is ready to resume negotiations with Ukraine in Istanbul, according to a Russian diplomat [9]. - **Photovoltaic Rumor**: Jingao Technology clarified that the rumor about the "collapse of the storage platform" is false, and the company is not involved in the platform [9]. - **Fed's Interest Rate**: Nomura Securities expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged in December, as recent indicators show the resilience of the US job market [9]. - **New Energy Policy**: The National Energy Administration issued a guidance on promoting the integrated development of new energy, including multi - field development and infrastructure construction [10]. - **Capital Market**: China Securities Regulatory Commission official said to improve the long - term investment environment and enhance the stability of the capital market [10]. - **Mining Rights**: Ningde Times may need to pay 177 million yuan for mining rights in Jiangxi [12]. - **Hamas - Israel Ceasefire**: Hamas said the previous ceasefire agreement with Israel was a "preliminary agreement" [12]. - **Fed's Divergence**: There are internal differences within the Fed, which casts a shadow over the path of interest rate cuts [13]. - **US Economic Data**: Due to the government shutdown, key economic reports in October may not be released [14]. Energy and Chemical Futures - **LNG Supply**: Russia's LNG supply to Spain dropped significantly in October, ranking fifth [16]. - **Oil Inventory in UAE**: As of the week of November 12, the total refined oil inventory in Fujairah Port, UAE increased, with different changes in different fractions [16]. - **Energy Demand Forecast**: The IEA said global oil and gas demand may continue to grow until 2050 [16]. - **Japanese Oil Inventory**: Japan's commercial crude oil inventory decreased, while gasoline and kerosene inventories increased in the week of November 8. The refinery's average operating rate decreased [18]. - **US Oil Drilling**: The Trump administration plans to open the California coast for oil drilling, which has been condemned [18]. - **China's Chemical Inventory**: As of November 12, China's butadiene - styrene rubber inventory increased, asphalt refinery capacity utilization decreased, and methanol port inventory increased [19]. - **Malaysian Rubber**: Malaysia's natural rubber production decreased by 14.8% in September compared to August [20]. - **OPEC Forecast**: OPEC maintained its global crude oil demand growth forecast for 2025 and 2026, and its production decreased in October [20]. - **EIA Forecast**: EIA slightly adjusted its crude oil price forecast for 2025 [20]. Metal Futures - **Silver Company's Maintenance**: Hunan Baoshan Non - ferrous Metal Mining Co., Ltd. will conduct a 20 - day maintenance from November 11, which will not affect the annual production plan [23]. - **Copper Price Forecast**: Citi expects copper prices to rise in 2026 [24]. - **Copper Rod Production**: China's recycled copper rod production decreased in October [24]. - **Platinum Conference**: The 2025 China Platinum Group Metals Market Annual Conference will be held in Hainan in December [24]. Black - Series Futures - **Building Materials and Hot - Rolled Coils**: As of the week of November 12, the production and inventory of building materials and hot - rolled coils in China changed. Building material production and inventory decreased, while hot - rolled coil production increased and inventory decreased [26]. - **Coking Coal Auction**: The auction prices of coking coal in Linfen fluctuated on November 12, with a 14.5% non - successful bid rate [26]. - **Pollution Response**: Handan launched a level - II emergency response to heavy pollution weather [28]. - **Iron Ore Project**: The Simandou iron ore project in Guinea was officially put into production, with a total investment of over $20 billion [28]. Agricultural Futures - **Palm Oil Export**: Malaysia's palm oil exports from November 1 - 10 decreased by 49.53% compared to the same period last month [30]. - **Palm Oil Production**: Malaysia's 2025 crude palm oil production is expected to reach a record 20 million tons, up 3.4% year - on - year [31]. - **Argentine Soybean Sales**: Argentine farmers' soybean sales in the 24/25 and 25/26 seasons continued, with different purchase volumes from local oil mills and export industries [31]. - **Agricultural Product Prices**: The "Agricultural Product Wholesale Price 200 Index" and the "Vegetable Basket" product wholesale price index decreased slightly on November 12, and the average pork price decreased by 1.2% [31]. 3. Financial Market Finance - **Stock Market Conference**: At the Shanghai Stock Exchange International Investors Conference, officials said to reform the capital market, optimize the structure of listed companies, and attract foreign investment. Foreign investors' holdings of A - shares have increased [34]. - **A - Share Market**: A - shares fluctuated. The photovoltaic industry chain declined, while bank and insurance sectors strengthened. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.07% to 4000.14 points, and the trading volume was 1.96 trillion yuan [35]. - **Hong Kong Stock Market**: The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index rose 0.85% to 26922.73 points. Southbound funds had a net purchase of nearly HK$43 billion [35]. - **Stock Ratings**: Since the end of October, brokers have adjusted the ratings of A - share stocks, with 23 upgrades and 40 downgrades [37]. - **Fund Issuance**: The number of newly issued funds this year reached a three - year high, with a trend of "strong equity, weak bond" [37]. - **Company Earnings**: Hon Hai's Q3 revenue met expectations, and its net profit increased by 30% quarter - on - quarter. The company expects AI server revenue to surge in Q4 and will disclose cooperation with OpenAI [38]. Industry - **Automobile Standard**: The Ministry of Public Security solicited opinions on the national standard for motor vehicle safety, including speed - limit requirements and battery safety for new energy vehicles [39]. - **Drug Procurement**: The 11th batch of national drug procurement results were announced, covering 55 drugs [39]. - **Industrial Projects**: The market and industry regulators launched "ten key projects" to support new productive forces, and the World Power Battery Conference had 180 signed projects worth 86.13 billion yuan [41]. - **New Energy Vehicle Factory**: China's first electric vertical take - off and landing vehicle factory with a "tens of thousands - level" production capacity has entered the trial - production stage [42]. - **Storage Market**: After the sharp rise in NAND flash memory prices, some storage manufacturers plan to raise prices [42]. Overseas - **US Government Shutdown**: The US House of Representatives will vote on a temporary appropriation bill, which may end the government shutdown [43]. - **US Tariffs**: The US Treasury Secretary said the government will announce "substantial" tariff news and may provide tax rebates to low - income families [45]. - **Fed's Chair Candidate**: A candidate for the Fed chair position hopes for a larger interest rate cut in December [45]. - **Fed's Divergence**: Different Fed officials have different views on interest rate cuts [45]. - **Japan's Economy**: Japan plans to increase spending to support its economy [45]. - **French Economy**: The French central bank may raise GDP growth forecasts [46]. - **Indian CPI**: India's October CPI rose 0.25% year - on - year, lower than expected [47]. International Stock Markets - **US Stock Market**: US stocks closed mixed. The Dow rose 0.68%, the S&P 500 rose 0.06%, and the Nasdaq fell 0.26%. Most Chinese concept stocks fell [48]. - **European Stock Market**: European stocks rose across the board, driven by the easing of the US government shutdown risk and the increasing expectation of a Fed rate cut in December [50]. - **Stock Market Outlook**: Goldman Sachs said the high valuation of US stocks will limit future returns, while emerging markets may have higher returns [50]. - **Company Plans**: Luckin Coffee is planning to return to the US stock market, and Korean investors' holdings of US stocks reached a record high [51]. - **Indian Market Reform**: The Indian Securities and Exchange Board plans reforms to attract foreign investors [52]. Commodities - **Crude Oil**: Oil prices fell due to OPEC's demand forecast cut, increased US API crude oil inventory, and concerns about supply surplus [53]. - **Precious Metals**: Precious metal prices rose as investors turned to safe - haven assets because of the approaching end of the US government shutdown and geopolitical risks [52]. - **Base Metals**: Most London base metals rose [55]. - **Energy Forecasts**: EIA adjusted its crude oil price forecast for 2025 and 2026. The IEA said global oil and gas demand may grow until 2050, and OPEC expects the oil market to balance in 2026 [55][56]. - **Iron Ore Project**: The Simandou iron ore project was put into production, with large reserves and high - grade iron [56]. Bonds - **Domestic Bonds**: The domestic bond market warmed up, with most interest - rate bond yields falling and bond futures rising. The central bank conducted reverse - repurchase operations and increased liquidity [58]. - **Russian Bonds**: Russia plans to issue RMB - denominated sovereign bonds [58]. - **US Bonds**: The US Treasury Secretary said to maintain the scale of US Treasury auctions and consider increasing long - term bond issuance [58]. - **Global Bond Market**: The global bond issuance scale exceeded $6 trillion this year, and the US investment - grade bond issuance scale is close to the historical high [58]. Foreign Exchange - **Renminbi**: The on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose on Wednesday, and the central parity rate was also adjusted up [61]. - **Yen**: The Japanese finance minister warned of potential intervention as the yen approached a key level against the US dollar [61]. - **Dollar Index**: The US dollar index fell slightly, and non - US currencies had different performances [61]. 4. Upcoming Economic Data and Events - **Economic Data**: A series of economic data from different countries will be released, including unemployment rates, GDP, and inflation data [63]. - **Events**: There are central bank meetings, corporate earnings announcements, and industry conferences scheduled [65].

Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones up 0.68% at 48,254.82 points, the S&P 500 up 0.06% at 6,850.92 points, and the Nasdaq down 0.26% at 23,406.46 points [1] - Major tech stocks showed mixed results, with AMD rising 9%, while Oracle and Tesla fell over 3% and 2% respectively [1] - Most popular Chinese stocks declined, with XPeng, NIO, iQIYI, and Baidu dropping over 2%, and Li Auto, Alibaba, and JD.com falling over 1% [1] - European stock indices all closed higher, with Germany's DAX up 1.22% at 24,381.46 points, France's CAC40 up 1.04% at 8,241.24 points, and the UK's FTSE 100 up 0.12% at 9,911.42 points [1] Commodity Prices - U.S. oil futures fell 4.19% to $58.48 per barrel, while Brent crude oil futures dropped 3.74% to $62.72 per barrel [1] - International precious metal futures generally rose, with COMEX gold futures up 2.07% at $4,201.40 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 4.90% at $53.23 per ounce [1] - Most London base metals increased, with LME tin up 2.15% at $37,405.00 per ton, LME lead up 1.38% at $2,092.00 per ton, and LME copper up 0.65% at $10,897.00 per ton [1] Bond Market - U.S. Treasury yields were mixed, with the 2-year yield up 1.67 basis points at 3.568%, the 3-year yield up 2.39 basis points at 3.558%, and the 5-year yield up 1.04 basis points at 3.672%, while the 10-year yield remained flat at 4.067% and the 30-year yield fell 0.29 basis points to 4.665% [1] - European bond yields mostly declined, with the UK 10-year yield up 1.1 basis points at 4.397%, while France's 10-year yield fell 4.7 basis points to 3.375%, Germany's 10-year yield down 1.5 basis points to 2.642%, Italy's down 2.9 basis points to 3.369%, and Spain's down 2.4 basis points to 3.138% [1]

Core Viewpoint - International oil prices experienced a significant decline, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent crude oil prices dropping sharply on November 12 [1] Group 1: Price Movements - WTI crude oil main contract fell by 4.19%, closing at $58.48 per barrel [1] - Brent crude oil main contract decreased by 3.74%, ending at $62.72 per barrel [1]