有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/05/14 铜：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/14 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 78160 9584 8.20 三月 77600 9565 8.13 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.24 -370.77 现货出口 512.42 锌：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/14 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 22720 2665 8.52 三月 22185 2693 6.29 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.68 -413.51 铝：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/14 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 20015 2482 8.06 三月 19960 2480 8.05 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.71 -1596.65 镍：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/14 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 124800 15411 8.10 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.29 -3291.29 或储存上的错误、或遭第三人侵入系统篡改或伪造变造资料等，我们均不承担任何责任。 铅：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/14 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 16800 1991 8.41 三月 ...

期货研究院 股指期货日度策略报告 Stock Index Futures Strategy Daily Report 金融衍生品研究中心 | 作者： | 李彦森 | | --- | --- | | 从业资格证号： | F3050205 | | 投资咨询证号： | Z0013871 | | 联系方式： | 010-68518392 | 投资咨询业务资格：京证监许可【2012】75号 成文时间：2025年05月13日星期二 更多精彩内容请关注方正中期官方微信 摘要 【行情复盘】 周一股指上行步伐有所加快，沪指收涨0.82%。期指主力合约也全 面走升。成交持仓方面，四个品种成交持仓均上升，市场情绪有所 好转。 【重要资讯】 行业来看，31个一级行业大多数上涨，行业涨跌差异上升，结合行 业在指数中所占权重看，非银金融对300和50带动最强，电力设备 带动300，国防军工、电子带动500和1000，医药生物是四大指数 主要拖累。资金方面，主要指数资金全面流入。消息面上看，央行 今日公开市场操作净投放流动性430亿元，短端资金成本小幅下降 。消息显示，中美关税谈判取得突破性进展，双方联合声明确认将 4月2日后增量关税降至 ...

跨期套利跟踪 2025/05/12 铜 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -440 -980 -1430 -1770 理论价差 491 881 1279 1678 锌 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -375 -630 -775 -850 理论价差 216 338 459 581 铝 次月-现货月 三月-现货月四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -65 -150 -205 -205 理论价差 209 320 430 540 铅 次月-现货月 三月-现货 月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 60 50 40 60 理论价差 209 313 418 523 镍 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货 月 五月-现货月 价差 -90 10 250 510 锡 5-1 价差 490 理论价差 5366 期现套利跟踪 2025/05/12 铜 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 -295 -735 理论价差 109 478 锌 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 -225 -600 理论价差 5 137 免责声明: 以上内容所依据的信息均来源于交易所、媒体及 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Report's Core View - The report provides cross - market, cross - period, spot - futures, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data for non - ferrous metals including copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, lead, and tin on May 9, 2025 [1][4][5] Summary by Related Catalogs Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: On May 9, 2025, the domestic spot price was 78,450, the LME price was 9,409, and the ratio was 8.33. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.29, with a profit of - 252.05. The profit for spot export was - 332.50. The ratio for the three - month contract was 8.30 [1] - **Zinc**: The domestic spot price was 22,850, the LME price was 2,569, and the ratio was 8.90. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.78, with a profit of 308.41. The ratio for the three - month contract was 6.45 [1] - **Aluminum**: The domestic spot price was 19,620, the LME price was 2,376, and the ratio was 8.26. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.78, with a profit of - 1,237.36. The ratio for the three - month contract was 8.22 [1] - **Nickel**: The domestic spot price was 125,000, the LME price was 15,323, and the ratio was 8.16. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.33, with a profit of - 4,119.54 [1] - **Lead**: The domestic spot price was 16,700, the LME price was 1,934, and the ratio was 8.60. The equilibrium ratio for spot import was 8.98, with a profit of - 745.16. The ratio for the three - month contract was 11.50 [3] Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: On May 9, 2025, the spreads between the next month, three - month, four - month, and five - month contracts and the spot month were - 830, - 1,380, - 1,830, and - 2,240 respectively, while the theoretical spreads were 493, 884, 1,283, and 1,683 respectively [4] - **Zinc**: The spreads were - 500, - 755, - 915, and - 1,000 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 216, 339, 461, and 584 respectively [4] - **Aluminum**: The spreads were - 70, - 170, - 230, and - 235 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 209, 319, 429, and 539 respectively [4] - **Lead**: The spreads were 125, 135, 115, and 110 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 208, 313, 417, and 521 respectively [4] - **Nickel**: The spreads were - 610, - 410, - 210, and 20 respectively [4] - **Tin**: The 5 - 1 spread was - 50, and the theoretical spread was 5,415 [4] Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads between the current - month and next - month contracts and the spot were - 260 and - 1,090 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 126 and 439 respectively [4] - **Zinc**: The spreads were - 175 and - 675 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were - 2 and 131 respectively [4] - **Lead**: The spreads were - 50 and 75 respectively, and the theoretical spreads were 91 and 203 respectively [5] Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - On May 9, 2025, the ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc for the Shanghai (three - continuous) contracts were 3.50, 3.96, 4.57, 0.89, 1.16, and 0.77 respectively. The ratios for the LME (three - continuous) contracts were 3.60, 3.91, 4.85, 0.92, 1.24, and 0.74 respectively [5]

跨期套利跟踪 2025/04/30 铜 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -160 -410 -690 -880 理论价差 491 880 1277 1675 锌 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -240 -465 -605 -675 理论价差 217 340 463 586 铝 次月-现货月 三月-现货月四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -80 -150 -190 -195 理论价差 211 323 435 547 铅 次月-现货月 三月-现货 月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -95 -110 -100 -135 理论价差 210 316 422 528 镍 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货 月 五月-现货月 价差 -340 -200 10 280 锡 5-1 价差 780 理论价差 5402 期现套利跟踪 2025/04/30 铜 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 -255 -415 理论价差 260 668 锌 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 -170 -410 理论价差 77 210 有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 202 ...

二 〇 二 五 年 度 2025 年 4 月 27 日 国债期货周报 | 唐立 | 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0021100 | Tangli@gtht.com | | --- | --- | --- | | 林致远 | 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0021471 | linzhiyuan@gtht.com | | 孙嘉良（联系人） | 从业资格号：F03129093 | sunjialiang@gtht.com | 报告导读： ◼ 摘要： 风险提示： 货币政策力度不及预期、权益市场情绪超预期 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 期货研究 1. 周度聚焦与行情跟踪 国债期货合约周度下行，其中 TS、TF 合约分别下行 0.15%、0.27%，T、TL 合约分别下行 0.21%、 0.03%。 图 1：活跃合约走势 图 2：活跃合约周度涨跌幅 资料来源：Wind，国泰君安期货研究 资料来源：Wind，国泰君安期货研究 100 105 110 115 120 125 TS TF T TL (0.15) (0.27) (0.21) (0.03) -0.3 -0.25 -0.2 -0.15 - ...

金融研究 2025年4月25日 星期五 金融期货早班车 招商期货有限公司 市场表现：4 月 24 日，A 股四大股指多数下跌，其中上证指数上涨 0.03%，报收 3297.29 点；深成 指下跌 0.58%，报收 9878.32 点；创业板指下跌 0.68%，报收 1935.86 点；科创 50 指数下跌 0.92%， 报收 1003.32 点。市场成交 11,389 亿元，较前日减少 1,235 亿元。行业板块方面，美容护理(+1.61%)， 银行(+1.16%)，公用事业(+1.08%)涨幅居前；计算机(-2.36%)，通信(-2.08%)，电子(-1.47%)跌幅居 前。从市场强弱看，IH>IF>IC>IM，个股涨/平/跌数分别为 1,543/175/3,690。沪深两市，机构、主力、 大户、散户全天资金分别净流入-143、-212、7、348 亿元，分别变动-218、-145、+109、+254 亿 元。 敬请阅读末页的重要说明 股指期货 基差：IM、IC、IF、IH 次月合约基差分别为 153.08、127.88、47.56 与 19.56 点，基差年化收益率 分别为-17.01%、-15.01%、 ...

金融研究 2025年4月23日 星期三 股指期货 基差：IM、IC、IF、IH 次月合约基差分别为 179.71、138.21、50.95 与 19.14 点，基差年化收益率 分别为-18.88%、-15.36%、-8.42%与-4.5%，三年期历史分位数分别为 3%、4%、9%及 20%。期- 现价差有所修复，但仍处于较低水平。 交易策略：美国对等关税落地后，股指波动显著增大。短期指数存在超跌的可能，关注关税有无缓和 迹象，以及股市的结构性机会。人民币守住关键关口，指数或能同步企稳。目前指数上下方均有缺口， 短期偏震荡运行，IF 的估值较低，建议逢低布局。 风险提示：美国双边政策不确定性、财政扩张进度不及预期。 市场表现：4 月 22 日，国债期货全线反弹，其中 2 年期国债期货上涨 0.01%，报收 102.4 点，5 年 期国债期货上涨 0.07%，报收 106.17 点，10 年期国债期货上涨 0.17%，报收 108.97 点，30 年期国 债期货上涨 0.5%，报收 119.92 点。 现券：目前活跃合约为 2506 合约，2 年期国债期货 CTD 券为 240024.IB，收益率变动-0.5bp ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints - The report presents cross - market, cross - period, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data for multiple non - ferrous metals including copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, lead, tin on April 21, 2025, providing investors with information for potential arbitrage opportunities [1][3][4] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: Domestic spot price is 76,290, March price is 75,980, LME March price is 9,254, and the ratio is 8.22 [1] - **Zinc**: Domestic spot price is 22,420, March price is 21,920, LME March price is 2,595, and the ratio is 6.51 [1] - **Aluminum**: Domestic spot price is 19,820, March price is 19,625, LME March price is 2,385, and the ratio is 8.25 [1] - **Nickel**: Domestic spot price is 127,200, and the profit of spot import is - 3,917.34 [1] - **Lead**: Domestic spot price is 16,875, March price is 16,835, LME March price is 1,928, and the ratio is 11.43 [2] Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads between different months and the spot month are 270 (next month), 110 (March), - 20 (April), - 70 (May), while the theoretical spreads are 481, 861, 1249, 1637 respectively [3] - **Zinc**: The spreads are - 210, - 340, - 415, - 455, and the theoretical spreads are 214, 335, 455, 575 respectively [3] - **Aluminum**: The spreads are - 35, - 105, - 140, - 150, and the theoretical spreads are 210, 320, 431, 542 respectively [3] - **Lead**: The spreads are 105, 85, 70, 85, and the theoretical spreads are 209, 314, 418, 523 respectively [3] - **Nickel**: The spreads are - 290, - 190, 40, 200 [3] - **Tin**: The 5 - 1 spread is - 1020, and the theoretical spread is 5335 [3] Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: The spreads between the current - month and next - month contracts and the spot are - 425 and - 155 respectively, while the theoretical spreads are 385 and 847 respectively [3] - **Zinc**: The spreads are - 160 and - 370, and the theoretical spreads are 129 and 259 respectively [3] - **Lead**: The spreads are - 125 and - 20, and the theoretical spreads are 155 and 268 respectively [4] Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - The ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, lead/zinc for Shanghai (three - continuous contracts) are 3.47, 3.87, 4.51, 0.90, 1.17, 0.77 respectively [4]

2025年4月7日 星期一 金融研究 （一） 经济数据 高频数据显示，近期经济基本面景气度分化：地产景气度偏弱，进出口板块的景气度稍 许好转。 资料来源：Wind、招商期货 注：基于各模块中观数据与过去五年同期相比的变动（同比的环比），按变动的程度进行打分（-2 到+2），正分代表景气度转好，负分代表景气度转弱，零分代表景气度变化不大（以黑色虚线"基 准"在图中标出）；绝对值越高，景气度变动的程度越大。 招商期货有限公司 | | 市场表现：4 月 日，A 股四大股指有所回调，其中上证指数下跌 0.24%，报收 点；深成指 3 3342.01 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 下跌 1.4%，报收 10365.73 点；创业板指下跌 1.86%，报收 2065.4 点；科创 50 指数下跌 0.46%， | | | | | | | 报收 1018.07 点。市场成交 亿元，较前日增加 1,655 亿元。行业板块方面，农林牧渔(+1.81%)， | | | 11,582 | | | | 公用事业(+1.41%)，食品饮料(+1.28%)涨幅居前 ...