农业农村现代化
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和社科院大专家蔡昉聊透“十五五”
21世纪经济报道· 2025-11-18 13:23
Economic Growth and Development Goals - The "15th Five-Year Plan" aims for a reasonable economic growth rate to achieve a per capita GDP at the level of middle-income countries by 2035, requiring an average annual growth rate of approximately 4.8% during this period [6][10] - The plan emphasizes the importance of improving total factor productivity, increasing the resident consumption rate, and ensuring synchronized growth of resident income and economic growth [6][10] Consumption and Income Distribution - The focus on increasing the resident consumption rate is crucial due to the anticipated challenges from negative population growth and aging demographics, which will impact demand [7][10] - The Gini coefficient of 0.465 indicates a need for improved income distribution, with efforts to ensure that low-income groups see faster income growth compared to high-income groups [7][10][12] Middle-Income Group Expansion - Expanding the middle-income group is essential for achieving higher levels of common prosperity and modernization, necessitating coordinated improvements in initial, secondary, and tertiary income distribution [10][12] - The labor market must address structural unemployment, particularly among the elderly and youth, through targeted training and support [10][11] Role of Artificial Intelligence - Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to exacerbate structural employment issues but can also enhance labor productivity, providing solutions to these challenges [15][16] - A systematic governance framework is needed to align AI development with employment priorities, ensuring that AI not only replaces jobs but also enhances worker capabilities [15][16] Urban-Rural Integration and Household Registration Reform - The reform of the household registration system is critical for urbanization, with the potential to convert over 200 million rural residents into urban citizens, thereby stabilizing labor supply and enhancing economic growth [18][19] - The focus should be on improving public services in smaller cities and rural areas to attract and retain residents [19] Agricultural Modernization - China's agricultural labor force still has significant potential for transfer to higher productivity sectors, with current agricultural labor accounting for 22% of the workforce [22][23] - Modern agriculture is characterized by high labor productivity, large operational scales, and the application of advanced technologies, including AI, to enhance efficiency and output [23][24]
21专访|和社科院大专家蔡昉聊透“十五五”:增速、消费、2亿人户籍改革红利与AI未来
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-11-18 08:43
Core Insights - The 14th Five-Year Plan is crucial for achieving the goal of modernizing China's economy and society by 2035, with a key indicator being the per capita GDP reaching the level of middle-income developed countries [1][5] - The plan emphasizes maintaining reasonable economic growth, improving total factor productivity, increasing the consumption rate, and expanding the middle-income group [1][5][6] Economic Growth and Productivity - The average annual growth rate required to reach the per capita GDP target of approximately $25,000 by 2035 is estimated to be around 4.8% [5][6] - Current potential growth rates for China's economy are estimated between 4.5% and 4.8%, with the possibility of increasing if reforms are intensified [5][6] Consumption and Income Distribution - The focus on increasing the consumption rate is driven by the need to address challenges posed by negative population growth and aging demographics, which will impact demand [6][7] - Improving income distribution is essential, with a current Gini coefficient of 0.465 indicating a need for faster income growth among low-income groups to expand the middle-income population [6][7][9] Employment and Labor Market - The labor market requires targeted efforts to address structural unemployment, particularly among the elderly and youth, through vocational training and support [8][9][11] - The rise of new employment forms, including gig economy jobs, necessitates the development of suitable social security systems to protect workers' rights [9][11][12] Urbanization and Household Registration Reform - Urbanization is ongoing, with a significant gap between registered and actual urban populations, indicating potential for economic contributions through household registration reform [15][16] - The reform aims to enhance public services and employment opportunities in cities, thereby attracting rural residents to urban areas [15][16] Agricultural Modernization - The potential for labor transfer from agriculture to higher productivity sectors remains significant, with current agricultural labor accounting for 22% of the workforce [17][18] - Modern agriculture is characterized by high labor productivity, large operational scales, and the application of advanced technologies, including AI [19][20]
权威访谈丨扎实推动经济高质量发展
Yang Guang Wang· 2025-11-17 04:50
央广网北京11月17日消息(记者朱敏)据中央广播电视总台中国之声《新闻和报纸摘要》报 道,"十五五"规划《建议》,把推动高质量发展确定为"十五五"时期经济社会发展的主题。本期《权威 访谈》从扩大高水平对外开放、农业农村现代化建设等方面进行解读。 坚持开放合作、互利共赢是中国式现代化的必然要求。《建议》围绕扩大高水平对外开放,开创合 作共赢新局面作出一系列重要部署,强调以开放促改革促发展,与世界各国共享机遇、共同发展。 商务部政策研究室主任杨正位:下一步,我们的开放要达到"高水平",应体现在市场准入水平高、 贸易投资自由化便利化程度高、双循环良性互动水平高、对改革创新发展的促进作用高,以及人员、信 息往来便利程度越来越高。接下来开放的重点是服务业,争取再创制造业开放的辉煌。四中全会强调了 开创合作共赢新局面,这是应对世界百年变局、营造良好外部环境的必然要求。 农业农村现代化关系中国式现代化全局和成色。《建议》提出"加快农业农村现代化,扎实推进乡 村全面振兴",强调促进城乡融合发展,持续巩固拓展脱贫攻坚成果,推动农村基本具备现代生活条 件,加快建设农业强国。 农业农村部部长韩俊:全会明确了今后一个时期农业农村发展 ...
【权威访谈】扎实推动经济高质量发展
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-11-16 12:07
Core Viewpoint - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes promoting high-quality development as the central theme for economic and social development during this period [1][3]. Group 1: High-Level Opening Up - The plan outlines a series of important deployments to expand high-level opening up, aiming to create a new situation of win-win cooperation [3]. - It emphasizes the necessity of open cooperation and mutual benefit as an inevitable requirement for Chinese-style modernization [3]. Group 2: Agricultural and Rural Modernization - The plan highlights the importance of accelerating agricultural and rural modernization, promoting comprehensive rural revitalization, and ensuring urban-rural integration [5]. - It stresses the need to consolidate and expand the achievements of poverty alleviation and to push for rural areas to meet modern living conditions [5]. - The goal is to build a strong agricultural nation and ensure sustainable and healthy economic development as a key focus for the current and future economic construction [5].
中金 | 深度布局“十五五”:农业农村现代化篇
中金点睛· 2025-11-15 00:07
Core Viewpoint - The modernization of agriculture is driven by technological advancements and brand enhancement, which are essential for the transformation and upgrading of the modern agricultural industry chain [1]. Group 1: Agricultural Production Capacity Enhancement - The key to enhancing agricultural production capacity lies in agricultural technology modernization, with global food production increasing by 379% from 1961 to 2023, where yield growth contributed 75% [2]. - In China, the single crop yield for corn and soybeans in 2023 was only 59% and 57% of the levels in the United States, indicating significant room for improvement [2][4]. - The strategy of "storing grain in the land and technology" is crucial for ensuring food security, emphasizing the importance of land protection and quality improvement [2]. Group 2: Agricultural Technology Modernization - Agricultural technology modernization is vital for improving comprehensive agricultural production capacity, with a focus on seed technology and equipment technology [6]. - The 2025 Central Document No. 1 emphasizes the need for collaborative efforts in agricultural technology and the development of new agricultural productivity [6]. - The seed industry is experiencing a revival driven by strengthened intellectual property protection and technological advancements, with R&D investment by leading listed seed companies increasing from 40 million to 980 million yuan from 2010 to 2024 [7]. Group 3: Smart Agriculture - The continuous increase in policy support for smart agriculture is expected to drive long-term industry development, with land transfer areas rising from 450 million mu in 2015 to 590 million mu in 2023 [10]. - The penetration rate of smart agriculture in China is approximately 9%, compared to about 60% in Europe and the U.S., indicating significant future growth potential [10]. - The 2025 Central Document No. 1 and various action plans highlight the importance of smart agriculture in modern agricultural development [10]. Group 4: Intelligent Agricultural Equipment - The trend of urbanization has led to a decrease in agricultural labor supply, with the number of agricultural workers dropping from 330 million in 2005 to 160 million in 2023, resulting in rising labor costs [11]. - Technological advancements in intelligent agricultural equipment have improved efficiency across various agricultural operations, marking a turning point for "machine substitution" in agriculture [11][14]. - The cost of intelligent agricultural equipment is gradually decreasing, enhancing the competitiveness of machine-based operations over manual labor [11]. Group 5: Brand Agriculture - The high-quality development of the agricultural industry chain requires collaboration between upstream and downstream sectors, with a focus on enhancing the quality of agricultural products and processed foods [14]. - The development of brand agriculture is crucial for upgrading the overall value chain of agricultural products, with examples from kitchen foods and tea demonstrating successful practices [14][15]. - The kitchen food sector benefits from order agriculture, which ensures standardized and large-scale supply, while brand positioning enhances product value [15][19]. Group 6: Tea Industry - The tea industry faces challenges due to non-standardization and high trust costs, making brand positioning and channel layout critical for success [19]. - High-end brand positioning can effectively reduce consumer recognition difficulties and enhance brand value [19]. - The evolution of offline channels in the tea industry aims to strengthen customer experience and brand trust through differentiated services [19].
如何把握“十五五”时期经济高质量发展着力点?权威解读
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-11-14 13:54
Core Viewpoint - The core focus of the article is on the "15th Five-Year Plan" which emphasizes high-quality development as the central theme for China's economic and social development in the upcoming five years, building on the previous "14th Five-Year Plan" [1][2]. Economic Development Strategy - The "15th Five-Year Plan" outlines seven strategic tasks aimed at promoting sustained and healthy economic development, which include building a modern industrial system, enhancing technological self-reliance, and optimizing regional economic layouts [2][3]. - The plan stresses the importance of economic construction as a priority, reflecting the party's long-standing commitment to economic development [3]. Technological Innovation - The plan prioritizes the establishment of a modern industrial system and emphasizes the need for innovation in key technologies to overcome reliance on external sources [4][5]. - It aims to foster new pillar industries, particularly in sectors like renewable energy, aerospace, and advanced materials, to drive economic growth [3][4]. Financial Support and Policy - Financial systems are urged to enhance support for major strategic areas and weak links, with a focus on providing comprehensive financial services for technological innovation [2]. - The government plans to optimize fiscal resource allocation to ensure effective use of funds in high-quality development areas [2][7]. Market and Economic Structure - The plan emphasizes the construction of a strong domestic market and the need to break down barriers to create a unified national market [6][8]. - It calls for the enhancement of the socialist market economy to ensure sustainable high-quality development [6]. Agricultural and Rural Development - The plan highlights the importance of modernizing agriculture and rural areas, ensuring that rural populations benefit from modernization efforts [9]. - It aims to establish mechanisms to prevent poverty and ensure sustainable development in rural regions [9]. Regional Coordination - The plan includes measures to promote regional coordinated development, emphasizing infrastructure connectivity and collaboration across administrative boundaries [10]. - It aims to create a framework for sustainable cooperation among different regions to leverage their respective advantages [10].
山西晋中“十四五”奋力绘就农业农村新画卷
Zhong Guo Fa Zhan Wang· 2025-11-10 11:20
Core Viewpoint - The agricultural and rural development in Jinzhong City has shown a positive trend, contributing significantly to the high-quality economic and social development of the city during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [1] Group 1: Agricultural Economic Performance - In 2024, the primary industry added value reached 15.38 billion yuan, with an annual growth rate of 4.9% [2] - The per capita disposable income of rural residents was 20,669 yuan, with an annual growth rate of 7%, and the urban-rural income ratio decreased from 2.27 to 2.15 [2] - By the third quarter of 2025, the total value and growth rate of the primary industry ranked third in the province, while the total per capita disposable income of rural residents ranked second [2] Group 2: Food Security and Agricultural Technology - Jinzhong City has taken strong measures for food security, with a grain sowing area of 3.7864 million acres in 2024, an increase of 18,600 acres compared to 2020 [2] - The total grain production reached 3.036 billion pounds, an increase of 2.8 million pounds compared to 2020 [2] - The city has built 2.6009 million acres of high-standard farmland, accounting for 59% of the permanent basic farmland, with a major crop seed coverage rate of 99.3% and a comprehensive mechanization rate of 81% [2] Group 3: Poverty Alleviation and Rural Development - Jinzhong City has effectively connected poverty alleviation with rural revitalization, eliminating risks for 7,581 households and 15,497 individuals, achieving a risk elimination rate of 74.9% [3] - The city has maintained a stable employment scale of over 95,000 for the impoverished labor force each year [3] - The agricultural industry has developed a "four pillars and eight clusters" system, with significant increases in the production of vegetables, fruits, and livestock products [3] Group 4: Rural Reform and Governance - The city has implemented the "Million Project" and established 74 boutique demonstration villages and 561 upgraded villages, improving living conditions significantly [4] - The governance efficiency in rural areas has improved, with comprehensive coverage of the "One Agreement and Four Meetings" system [4] - Jinzhong City has pioneered national-level pilot projects for collective asset utilization and rural reform, with 70% of crops under agricultural production management [4] Group 5: Innovation and Agricultural Modernization - The Jinzhong National Agricultural High-tech Zone has achieved significant results, with the introduction of 17 academicians and 739 doctors, and the establishment of 47 provincial-level key engineering laboratories [5] - The city has developed a scale in industrial development, with notable enterprises and projects contributing to the agricultural sector [5] - Jinzhong has hosted the China Rural Revitalization Forum for seven consecutive years, promoting organic dry farming and expanding external exchanges [5] Group 6: Overall Agricultural Strategy - Agriculture is considered the foundation of the nation and the economy, with Jinzhong City prioritizing the resolution of "three rural issues" to promote agricultural modernization and high-quality development [6]
全省巩固拓展脱贫攻坚成果同乡村振兴有效衔接暨当前农业生产工作推进会召开
He Nan Ri Bao· 2025-11-10 06:46
全省巩固拓展脱贫攻坚成果同乡村振兴有效衔接暨当前农业生产工作推进会召开 巩固拓展脱贫攻坚成果 加强农田水利建设 统筹抓好近期"三农"重点工作 刘宁出席并讲话 王凯主持 11月8日下午,全省巩固拓展脱贫攻坚成果同乡村振兴有效衔接暨当前农业生产工作推进会在郑州召 开,安排部署巩固拓展脱贫攻坚成果、农播田管、农田水利和高标准农田建设等工作。省委书记刘宁出 席并讲话,省长王凯主持。 刘宁强调,习近平总书记高度重视"三农"工作,在河南考察时指出"要以城乡融合发展带动乡村全面振 兴,促进城乡共同富裕"。中央"十五五"规划《建议》对"加快农业农村现代化,扎实推进乡村全面振 兴"作出部署,提出一系列重大举措。全省上下要深入学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神和习近平总书 记在河南考察时重要讲话精神,落实全国冬春农田水利暨高标准农田建设视频会议精神,牢牢守住不发 生规模性返贫致贫底线,统筹抓好近期"三农"重点工作,加快推进乡村全面振兴和农业强省建设。 刘宁强调,今年是过渡期最后一年,巩固拓展脱贫攻坚成果容不得丝毫懈怠。要抓好精准监测帮扶,强 化筛查预警,紧盯重点群体落实落细帮扶措施,确保不落一户、不落一人。要抓好基本民生保障,聚焦 ...
巩固拓展脱贫攻坚成果 加强农田水利建设 统筹抓好近期“三农”重点工作
Zheng Zhou Ri Bao· 2025-11-10 01:06
Core Points - The meeting focused on consolidating and expanding poverty alleviation achievements and effectively connecting them with rural revitalization, as well as advancing current agricultural production work [1][2][3] Group 1: Poverty Alleviation and Rural Revitalization - Emphasis on the importance of not being complacent in consolidating and expanding poverty alleviation achievements, especially in the final year of the transition period [2] - Implementation of precise monitoring and assistance measures to ensure no household or individual is left behind [2] - Focus on basic livelihood guarantees, including education, healthcare, housing safety, and drinking water safety, to ensure all eligible individuals receive necessary support [2] Group 2: Agricultural Production and Management - Urgent need to advance autumn and winter agricultural production, with a primary focus on ensuring the sowing of wheat [3] - Accelerating the construction of agricultural water conservancy and high-standard farmland, utilizing the winter-spring period for effective investment and project completion [3] - Multi-faceted approaches to increase farmers' income, including enhancing various income sources such as wages, operational income, property income, and transfer income [3] Group 3: Policy Implementation and Leadership - The necessity of integrating the Party's comprehensive leadership throughout all aspects of agricultural work, ensuring accountability and capability enhancement [3] - A call to avoid formalism and bureaucratism to ensure effective implementation of policies and projects [3]
扎根乡土 服务乡村(记者手记)
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-11-09 22:20
Core Insights - The modernization of agriculture and rural areas is crucial for the overall progress of China's modernization, as highlighted by the 20th Central Committee's emphasis on accelerating agricultural modernization and promoting comprehensive rural revitalization [2] Group 1: Agricultural Development - The contribution rate of agricultural science and technology in China is expected to reach 63.2% by the end of 2024, with the comprehensive mechanization rate of crop planting, harvesting, and processing exceeding 75% [1] - The coverage rate of high-quality crop varieties is projected to surpass 96%, indicating significant advancements in agricultural productivity through technology [1] Group 2: Role of Talent and Innovation - The development of new agricultural productivity relies on the integration of agricultural technology talent, who are encouraged to root themselves in rural areas and contribute to agricultural innovation and application of research results [2] - There is a call for agricultural science and technology professionals to take on the responsibility of enhancing modern agriculture and rural development through innovative practices [2]