智通财经APP获悉，周四，美联储理事库克的律师团队向最高法院提交文件，强烈要求驳回总统特朗普 要求立即解雇她的申请。库克律师在文件中指出，特朗普的举动将"从根本上破坏美联储董事会的独立 性"，并警告这一先例将对美联储制度构成长期威胁。 特朗普随后向最高法院提出申请，请求解除下级法院阻止其解雇库克的裁定。 "与总统几乎无限制的权力主张不同，总统解雇美联储理事的行为必须有实质性约束，否则任何总统都 可以基于任意指控罢免任何理事，"文件指出，"这并非国会在设计美联储时所设想的制度。" 周四早些时候，美国过去35年来的主要经济政策制定者，包括所有在世的美联储前主席，敦促最高法院 允许美联储理事库克继续任职。该团体提交的文件警告称，在库克的法律挑战仍在进行的情况下允许她 被免职，将标志着国会90年前建立的保障行政部门独立性的保障措施受到破坏性侵蚀。 分析人士指出，此案不仅关系到库克个人命运，更是对美联储独立性的重大考验。特朗普近月来不断抱 怨美联储降息行动不够迅速，并公开施压要求更大幅度降息。就在上周，美联储刚刚宣布今年首次降息 25个基点，库克也参与了此次决策。 在该文件上签名的人士引用的研究表明，央行在设定利率时不 ...

【原油】纽约商品交易所11月交货的轻质原油期货价格下跌1美分，收于每桶64.98美元，跌幅为 0.02%；11月交货的伦敦布伦特原油期货价格上涨11美分，收于每桶69.42美元，涨幅为0.16%。 【加密货币】比特币跌超3%，报109421.3美元；以太坊跌超6%，报3903.01美元。 【贵金属】现货黄金涨超0.3%，收报3749.04美元。 【外汇】衡量美元对六种主要货币的美元指数当天上涨0.7%，在汇市尾市收于98.554。截至纽约汇市尾 市，1欧元兑换1.1653美元，低于前一交易日的1.1737美元；1英镑兑换1.3335美元，低于前一交易日的 1.3449美元。1美元兑换149.89日元，高于前一交易日的148.84日元；1美元兑换0.8004瑞士法郎，高于前 一交易日的0.7954瑞士法郎；1美元兑换1.3943加元，高于前一交易日的1.3904加元；1美元兑换9.4766瑞 典克朗，高于前一交易日的9.4078瑞典克朗。 美国二季度经济强劲增长 消费者支出和企业设备支出仍具韧性。美国第二季度经济以近两年来最快的 速度增长，美国政府还上调了此前对消费者支出的估计。美国周四发布的报告显示，经通胀调 ...

Core Viewpoint - A coalition of former U.S. Federal Reserve chairs, Treasury Secretaries, and economists urges the Supreme Court not to allow President Trump to dismiss Fed Governor Lisa Cook, warning that such an action could jeopardize the health of the U.S. economy and undermine the independence of the Federal Reserve, potentially leading to increased inflation [1][2][3]. Group 1: Concerns Over Fed Independence - The coalition argues that allowing Trump to dismiss Cook during her legal challenge would weaken public trust in the Fed and disrupt its efforts to stabilize prices, increase employment, and regulate long-term interest rates [1][2]. - Economists have reached a consensus that greater independence for central banks correlates with lower and more stable inflation without increasing unemployment, thus supporting the Fed's dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment [1][3]. Group 2: Historical Context and Warnings - The document references former Fed Chair Arthur Burns, who faced political pressure from President Nixon in the 1970s, leading to a period of high inflation and economic instability due to a lack of independence [2][3]. - The former officials emphasize that a non-independent central bank tends to pursue short-term gains, which can result in long-term economic damage [3]. Group 3: Legal Proceedings and Implications - Cook's legal team argues that Trump's request to dismiss her before the conclusion of the lawsuit would severely undermine the Fed's independence and could create chaos in financial markets [8][10]. - The Supreme Court's decision will hinge on whether Trump has "just cause" under the Federal Reserve Act to dismiss Cook, with her lawyers asserting that the allegations against her are unsubstantiated and politically motivated [9][11]. Group 4: Support from High-Profile Officials - The coalition includes prominent figures from both political parties, such as former Fed Chairs Alan Greenspan, Ben Bernanke, and Janet Yellen, as well as former Treasury Secretaries like Robert Rubin and Larry Summers [4][6]. - Alan Blinder, a former Fed Vice Chair, noted that there is a strong bipartisan consensus against undermining the Fed's independence, warning that if Trump can dismiss Cook, he could do so to any Fed official, eroding the institution's credibility [6].

来源：滚动播报 城堡投资创始人Ken Griffin：总统应该让美联储来做他们的工作。 ...

美国过去35年来的主要经济政策制定者，包括所有在世的美联储前主席，敦促最高法院允许美联储理事 库克继续任职。法庭之友意见书警告称，在库克的法律挑战仍在进行的情况下允许她被免职，将标志着 国会90年前建立的保障行政部门独立性的保障措施受到破坏性侵蚀。在该意见书上签名的人士引用的研 究表明，央行在设定利率时不考虑短期政治因素，可以降低通胀，降低长期利率。这份简报由美联储前 主席格林斯潘、伯南克和耶伦签署。18位签名者还包括以下共和党和民主党政府的总统顾问，以及来自 不同意识形态的主要经济学家：前财长罗伯特·鲁宾和劳伦斯·萨默斯、前经济顾问委员会主席格伦·哈伯 德和格雷格·曼昆等。（格隆汇） ...

钛媒体App 9月25日消息，美联储理事古尔斯比称，如果美联储失去独立性，通胀将会"卷土重来"。 （广角观察） ...

古尔斯比：美联储保持独立性至关重要。 来源：滚动播报 ...

Group 1 - The core issue behind the political crisis surrounding the Federal Reserve is whether it can "manipulate" interest rates and the implications of a steepening U.S. Treasury yield curve [1][5] - The market is optimistic about the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts in the short term, influenced by Trump's potential nominations for a "dovish" shadow chairman [2][20] - The Federal Reserve can "set" but not "manipulate" policy interest rates, as interest rates are endogenous and influenced by macroeconomic factors [3][45] Group 2 - The U.S. government's fiscal and debt situation is in a "quasi-war state," necessitating fiscal consolidation to manage rising deficits and leverage ratios [7] - Sustainable fiscal consolidation can be achieved through economic growth or budget cuts, each with different political costs [7] - A decrease in the basic fiscal deficit rate by 1 percentage point could lead to a decline in the 10-year Treasury yield by 12-35 basis points [5][7] Group 3 - The Federal Reserve's long-term ability to manipulate the yield curve is limited, and the trend of rising yield premiums on U.S. Treasuries is likely to continue [4] - The market tends to price in overly "dovish" expectations during rate hike cycles and overly "hawkish" expectations during rate cut cycles [4] - The transition from "loose fiscal + loose monetary" to "tight fiscal + loose monetary" policies is crucial for the Federal Reserve's future rate cut space [5][20]

100到150个基点是什么概念？相当于半年内连降四五次，这幅度搁往年得是经济崩了才会用的猛药。可现在美国核心通胀还挂 在2.9%，离美联储2%的目标还差一截，鲍威尔上周刚说"要平衡通胀和就业风险"，转头就被贝森特架在了火上。 贝森特急的不是经济，是特朗普那"3-3-3"经济目标，要到2028年搞3%GDP增长，光靠放松管制不够，得靠降息放水才容易出 效果。 9月24日，美国财长贝森特突然放话，直指美联储主席鲍威尔本该释放降息100到150个基点的信号！这消息一出市场就像被投 了颗炸弹，水花四溅。 这事儿最反常的地方在于，美国财长和美联储主席历来都是"面和心不和"也得装客气，哪有这么明着指着鼻子催降息的？ 要知道贝森特可不是普通政客，这位前索罗斯基金首席投资官，是特朗普一手提拔的"自己人"，他这话里藏的可不只是经济主 张。 更要命的是美联储的独立性。贝森特前几天还写文章呼吁"全面审查美联储"，说人家政策失误多，现在又公开逼宫降息，明眼 人都看得出是想把央行绑上政治战车。 鲍威尔之前嘴硬说"坚定保独立"，可面对财长这波攻势，下次议息会怕是很难硬气起来。 这哪是催降息，分明是政治之手伸进了货币政策的盘子。短期市场或 ...

Group 1 - Citigroup's strategists have exited a bet that long-term U.S. Treasuries would underperform short-term Treasuries amid increasing attacks on the Federal Reserve, indicating a reduction in concerns over the central bank's independence [1][3] - The initial recommendation was based on expectations that President Trump's tax and spending policies would inflate government debt, putting pressure on longer-term debt [1][3] - The strategists noted that supply concerns for long-term Treasuries have eased since the trade was initiated in May, and the recent FOMC meeting has marginally reduced worries about the Fed's independence [3] Group 2 - The recent FOMC meeting resulted in a 25 basis point rate cut, with a near-unanimous consensus that surprised some market participants [3] - The only dissenting vote came from a Trump-appointed governor who favored a larger cut, while other previously dovish members aligned with the majority this time [3] - The strategists observed that past easing cycles during soft landing scenarios have been relatively shallow, limiting the potential for a steepening of the yield curve [3]