新西兰一季度GDP季环比 0.8%，预期 0.7%，前值 0.7%。 ...

has left the room and I do want to bring him in. Um, a couple things are clear here to me, Steve. Number one, um, it seems the Fed chair believes that the tariffs have put both sides of the mandate into question and they're going to have to wait and see on how to deal with all of that.And that Pal himself doesn't seem to be a huge fan of these SCPs either. Um, and he revisited the refrain from the last meeting, throwing back at the reporter who asked him the question, "What would you write? We'll do the bes ...

No change in the Federal Reserve funds rate staying at a net level of four and a quarter to four and a half percent. Some really interesting stuff in the forecast. Let me tell you about the assessment of the economy.First, they're saying the economy continues to expand at a solid pace. Unemployment remains low. Inflation is somewhat elevated.And they talk about the idea that swings in net exports, all that front running is affecting the data. Now, the Fed forecast increase the inflation outlook. They reduce ...

Steve Leeman. Now, no change in the Federal Reserve funds rate, staying at a net level of four and a quarter to four and a half percent. Some really interesting stuff in the forecast.Let me tell you about the assessment of the economy. First, they're saying the economy continues to expand at a solid pace. Unemployment remains low.Inflation is somewhat elevated. And they talk about the idea that swings in net exports, all that front running is affecting the data. Now, the Fed forecast increase the inflation ...

Economic Forecasts - The GDP growth expectations for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at 1.4%, 1.6%, and 1.8% respectively, with a long-term forecast also at 1.8% [2] - The unemployment rate is expected to be 4.5% in 2025 and 2026, slightly decreasing to 4.4% in 2027, with a long-term expectation of 4.2% [2] - PCE inflation is forecasted at 3.0% for 2025, decreasing to 2.4% in 2026 and 2.1% in 2027, with a long-term target of 2.0% [2] - Core PCE inflation is anticipated to be 3.1% in 2025, dropping to 2.4% in 2026 and 2.1% in 2027, with a long-term goal of 2.0% [2] - The federal funds rate is projected to be 3.9% in 2025, 3.6% in 2026, and 3.4% in 2027, with a long-term expectation of 3.0% [2]

June 13, 2025 05:00 AM GMT US Economics Weekly | North America Weakness still lies ahead This week's inflation data showed no clear signs of a tariff push, but we expect higher goods inflation in coming months. Slower core services may give the Fed confidence that the inflation pickup will be transitory. With higher inflation ahead, weaker consumption growth is still in front of us. | M | | | | --- | --- | --- | | | | Idea | | June 13, 2025 05:00 AM GMT | | | | US Economics Weekly North America | Morgan Sta ...

All right, the Fed's two-day policy meeting kicks off today. Senior economics reporter Steve Leeman joins us right now. He's got the CNBC latest Fed survey. Steve, what's it show? Well, Becky, despite and good morning. Despite improvement in the economic outlook, respondents to the Fed survey continue to forecast weaker growth and higher inflation than they did at the beginning of the year and still elevated tariff uncertainty. 100% say the Fed will keep rates unchanged at this meeting. Uh the recession pro ...

Let's just scenario play. Yes, please. What happens if Powell rips in a 100 basis point cut.Right now, I'll tell you. So, one part which is mathematical is the interest on the debt goes down. We save 300 billion.But there's something else that happens which is the Fed does control the front end of the curve. Meaning, how do people borrow money for small amounts of time from one day to about two years. If you make that cheaper, it's a test that's true as time.What happens is people borrow more money. that fu ...

The Fed's latest round of projections released Wednesday will include the muchstudied dot plot. It's a chart updated quarterly that shows each Fed officials prediction about the direction of the central bank's benchmark interest rate. Our next guest, however, is in the camp of no cuts from the Fed for the remainder of the year.We got Kenny Pulcari here, a Slatestone Wealth chief market strategist and host of the Yahoo Finance podcast, Trader Talk. So, each one of those little dots represents a member of the ...

One way or another, you have to bring debt the deficit not only in the United States but other places but I'm focusing on the United States down to from a supply demand point of view down to about 3%. So that's the 3% of GDP that that's an amount that the market I think can digest. Um it will um affect also the supply demand.There are when I say three parts I think when we think of budgets we think of taxes and spending um but also interest has a huge effect. um a 1% change in the interest rate, 100 basis p ...