Company Overview - The company, Qing Shui Yuan, specializes in the research, production, and sales of water treatment agents, which are widely used in industrial circulating water treatment and wastewater treatment [1] - As of August 4, 2025, the stock price of Qing Shui Yuan was reported at 9.33 yuan, reflecting an increase of 1.52% compared to the previous trading day [1] Financial Performance - The trading volume on August 4, 2025, was 57,182 hands, with a transaction amount reaching 0.53 billion yuan [1] - As of July 31, 2025, the number of shareholders for Qing Shui Yuan was 24,100, a decrease of 1,157 shareholders, representing a decline of 4.58% [1] - The average number of circulating shares held by each shareholder increased to 7,296 shares, with an average circulating market value of 65,600 yuan [1] Market Activity - On August 4, 2025, the net outflow of main funds for Qing Shui Yuan was 3.9752 million yuan, accounting for 0.24% of the circulating market value [1] - Over the past five trading days, the cumulative net outflow reached 18.4116 million yuan, representing 1.12% of the circulating market value [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd., is a significant player in the non-ferrous metal mining industry, focusing on various metals including molybdenum, tungsten, cobalt, and copper, with a strong integrated supply chain and notable production capacities in multiple metals [2][6]. Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. was established on December 22, 1999, and listed on October 9, 2012. The company is primarily engaged in the mining, selection, smelting, deep processing, and trading of precious metals [6]. - The company's main revenue sources include refined metal products (58.08%), concentrate products (30.34%), copper (19.65%), cobalt (4.10%), molybdenum (2.96%), phosphorus (1.68%), niobium (1.39%), tungsten (0.86%), and other products [6]. Recent Performance - On August 4, the company's stock rose by 3.12%, with a trading volume of 1.715 billion yuan and a market capitalization of 198.111 billion yuan [1]. - For the first quarter of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 46.006 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.25% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 90.47% to 3.946 billion yuan [7]. Production and Projects - The company is among the top five molybdenum producers globally and the largest tungsten producer, as well as the second-largest cobalt and niobium producer [2]. - The company holds a 30% stake in the 60,000-ton nickel metal wet smelting project in Indonesia, which commenced production in December last year and is currently ramping up capacity [2]. - The NPM copper mine in Australia, in which the company owns an 80% stake, produced 16,000 ounces of gold in 2022, with a production guidance of 25,000 to 27,000 ounces for 2023, representing a year-on-year increase of 56% to 69% [2]. Market Position - The company is the second-largest producer of phosphate fertilizer in Brazil and holds 100% indirect ownership of the CIL phosphate mine, covering the entire phosphate industry chain [2]. - In 2017, the phosphate fertilizer sales reached 1.138 million tons, generating revenue of 2.834 billion yuan, accounting for 11.82% of total revenue [2]. Shareholder Information - As of March 31, 2025, the number of shareholders was 282,600, a decrease of 12.99% from the previous period [7]. - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion yuan in the last three years [8].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd., is a significant player in the non-ferrous metal mining industry, focusing on various metals including molybdenum, tungsten, cobalt, and copper, with a comprehensive integrated industrial chain [2]. Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum is one of the top five molybdenum producers globally and the largest tungsten producer, as well as the second-largest cobalt and niobium producer, and a leading copper producer [2]. - The company is also the second-largest producer of phosphate fertilizer in Brazil, holding 100% indirect equity in the CIL phosphate mine, covering the entire phosphate industry chain [2]. - The company was established on December 22, 1999, and went public on October 9, 2012, with its main business involving the mining, selection, smelting, deep processing, and trading of precious metals [6]. Financial Performance - For the first quarter of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 46.006 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.25% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 90.47% to 3.946 billion yuan [7]. - Cumulative cash dividends since the company's A-share listing amount to 21.562 billion yuan, with 10.576 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [8]. Recent Developments - The company has a 30% stake in the 60,000-ton nickel metal wet smelting project in Indonesia, which began production in December last year and is currently ramping up capacity [2]. - The NPM copper mine in Australia, where the company holds an 80% stake, produced 16,000 ounces of gold in 2022, with a production guidance of 25,000 to 27,000 ounces for 2023, representing a year-on-year increase of 56% to 69% [2]. Market Activity - On July 30, the company's stock rose by 0.97%, with a trading volume of 2.006 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 1.22%, bringing the total market capitalization to 199.823 billion yuan [1].

Group 1 - The PVDF concept sector experienced a decline of 1.65%, ranking among the top declines in concept sectors, with major declines seen in companies like Sanmei Co., Ltd., Juhua Co., Ltd., and Shenzhen New Star [1][2] - Among the PVDF concept stocks, only two stocks saw price increases, with Jinming Precision Machinery rising by 1.46% and ST Lianchuang by 0.59% [1][2] - The main capital outflow from the PVDF concept sector today was 297 million yuan, with 12 stocks experiencing net outflows, and six stocks seeing outflows exceeding 10 million yuan [2][3] Group 2 - Juhua Co., Ltd. had the highest net capital outflow of 123.45 million yuan, followed by Dongyangguang with 99.37 million yuan and Putailai with 22.80 million yuan [2][3] - The stocks with the highest net capital inflow included Haohua Technology, Jinming Precision Machinery, and Sanmei Co., Ltd., with inflows of 23.99 million yuan, 5.89 million yuan, and 3.76 million yuan respectively [2][3] - The trading volume for Juhua Co., Ltd. was 2.10%, while the trading volume for Jinming Precision Machinery was 4.04% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Xinyangfeng Agricultural Technology Co., Ltd., has issued convertible bonds to fund its synthetic ammonia project, which has shown mixed financial performance due to market conditions and operational challenges [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of March 2025, the cumulative conversion amount of the convertible bonds is 67,100 yuan, with the remaining unconverted amount posing a potential debt burden if not converted [2]. - The net proceeds from the convertible bond issuance amount to 991 million yuan, fully allocated to the annual production of 300,000 tons of synthetic ammonia, which has generated cumulative revenue of 2.37 billion yuan and a profit of 156 million yuan by the end of 2024 [2][3]. - The company's revenue for 2022, 2023, and 2024 was 15.96 billion yuan, 15.10 billion yuan, and 15.56 billion yuan respectively, with a notable increase in revenue in the first quarter of 2025 to 4.67 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.98% [7][8]. Business Operations - The company has established a comprehensive industrial chain covering phosphate fertilizers, conventional compound fertilizers, and new compound fertilizers, with a total of 38 subsidiaries as of March 2025 [3][9]. - The company’s production capacity includes 7.98 million tons of compound fertilizers and 300,000 tons of synthetic ammonia, with a focus on optimizing product structure towards higher-margin new compound fertilizers [9][26]. - The company has a stable marketing network with over 6,000 primary distributors and more than 70,000 retail outlets, employing a direct management model to enhance market control [14][26]. Industry Context - The fertilizer industry in China has seen slight growth in nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium fertilizer production, with 2023 and 2024 outputs of 57.14 million tons and 60.06 million tons respectively, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.0% and 8.5% [5]. - The industry faces challenges due to a reduction in fertilizer usage driven by government policies, leading to a supply-demand imbalance [5]. - The company is positioned among the top three in the compound fertilizer and phosphate fertilizer sectors in China, benefiting from scale advantages and a diversified product portfolio [25][26]. Future Prospects - The company plans to expand its production capacity in the phosphate chemical and fine chemical sectors, with significant investments in projects such as a 180,000-ton mining project and a 150,000-ton phosphate iron project [21][22]. - The company’s phosphate resources are substantial, with reserves of 2.431 billion tons and a mining capacity of 900,000 tons, which will enhance its self-sufficiency in raw materials [20][21]. - The company is also exploring new markets and product lines, including lithium battery materials, to diversify its revenue streams and mitigate risks associated with its core fertilizer business [21][25].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][27][32] Core Views - The company reported significant growth in revenue and net profit for Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 5.712 billion yuan (up 15.28% year-on-year) and net profit of 254 million yuan (up 18.99 year-on-year) [1][8] - The company plans to invest in a green chemical new energy materials project in Guigang, Guangxi, to fill the capacity gap in South China, which is expected to enhance profitability and risk resistance [2][26] - The prices of key products such as compound fertilizers, monoammonium phosphate, and yellow phosphorus have increased, contributing to the company's performance, with expectations for a slight price increase trend in Q2 2025 [2][19] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's gross margin and net margin were 11.69% and 4.56%, respectively, both showing year-on-year increases [1][8] - The company’s non-recurring net profit was 250 million yuan, a substantial increase of 61.44% year-on-year [1][8] - The company’s revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 8.53 billion yuan, 9.72 billion yuan, and 11.19 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 0.71 yuan, 0.80 yuan, and 0.93 yuan [3][27] Market Trends - The average market price for chloride-based compound fertilizers was 2,394 yuan/ton in Q1 2025, reflecting a 2.48% increase from the previous quarter [2][19] - The average price for monoammonium phosphate was 3,126 yuan/ton, with a slight increase of 0.94% [2][13] - Yellow phosphorus prices averaged 23,283 yuan/ton in Q1 2025, with a 0.84% increase [2][24] Project Development - The planned project in Guigang will include the construction of various facilities with a total capacity of 1.2 million tons of high-efficiency compound fertilizers, 2 million tons of synthetic ammonia, and other chemical products [2][26] - This project aims to expand the company's production scale and improve its competitive position in the market [2][26] Industry Outlook - The phosphate chemical industry is expected to maintain a high price level due to the scarcity of resources and increasing demand in new sectors [12] - The company has established a complete industrial chain from upstream phosphate resources to downstream nitrogen fertilizers, enhancing its market position [3][27]

证券研究报告| 公司动态点评 2025 年 04 月 18 日 芭田股份（002170.SZ） 2024 年公司盈利大幅改善，小高寨磷矿投产助推业绩增长 | 财务指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 3,244 | 3,313 | 4,530 | 5,397 | 5,845 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 13.6 | 2.1 | 36.7 | 19.1 | 8.3 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 259 | 409 | 1,016 | 1,292 | 1,408 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 114.1 | 57.7 | 148.4 | 27.2 | 9.0 | | ROE（%） | 10.7 | 12.7 | 25.6 | 25.1 | 21.9 | | EPS 最新摊薄（元） | 0.27 | 0.42 | 1.05 | 1.34 | 1.46 | | P/E（倍） | 36.6 | 23.2 | 9.4 | 7.4 | 6.7 | | P/ ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [4][21]. Core Views - The company is expected to see improved profitability in 2024, with a projected revenue of 61.54 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.89%, while net profit is expected to rise by 17.93% to 5.33 billion yuan [1][2]. - The company has successfully optimized cost control, leading to an overall improvement in profitability, with a gross margin of 17.50%, up 2.32 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company benefits from a strong position in the phosphate fertilizer market, supported by domestic policies aimed at stabilizing prices amid global uncertainties [3][8]. Financial Summary - Revenue and Profitability: - 2023 revenue was 69.06 billion yuan, projected to decrease to 61.54 billion yuan in 2024, with a gradual recovery expected in subsequent years [1]. - Net profit for 2024 is projected at 5.33 billion yuan, a 17.93% increase from 2023 [1][11]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to decline from 25.0% in 2023 to 24.6% in 2024 [1]. - Cash Flow and Expenses: - Operating cash flow is expected to increase by 13.93% to 10.75 billion yuan in 2024, driven by higher net profit [2]. - Financial expenses are projected to decrease by 30.52%, while management expenses are expected to rise by 12.38% [2]. - Dividend Policy: - The company plans to maintain a high dividend payout ratio, with a cash dividend of 14 yuan per 10 shares for 2024, amounting to 2.55 billion yuan, which is 47.86% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [3]. Industry Context - The phosphate fertilizer industry is experiencing a favorable environment due to policy support and a reduction in the number of less competitive firms, leading to increased market concentration [3][8]. - The company’s phosphate production capacity is significant, with a total phosphate rock reserve of nearly 800 million tons and a production capacity of 14.5 million tons per year [9][10]. - The company’s main products, including ammonium phosphate and compound fertilizers, have shown production and sales growth, contributing positively to overall performance [8][9].