10月13日，国务院新闻办公室就2025年前三季度进出口情况举行新闻发布会。 文/北京青年报记者 董鑫 编辑/马晓晴 （北京青年报客户端） 今年前三季度，我国货物贸易进出口总值33.61万亿元，同比增长4%。其中，出口19.95万亿元，增长 7.1%，连续8个季度保持了增长。 对于后续出口形势，海关总署副署长王军表示，当前，经济全球化进程遭遇"逆风逆流"，多个国际组织 指出全球经济前景面临重大风险，贸易政策的不确定性成为制约世界经济发展的主要因素。但经济全球 化是不可阻挡的历史潮流，维护全球产业链供应链韧性和稳定符合世界各国的共同利益。 "我国是维护全球产供链稳定畅通的重要力量，国内存量和增量政策持续发力显效，广大外贸企业继续 以高质量的供给适配国际市场的需求，这些都将为我国出口不断注入新的动能。"王军说。 ...

Core Viewpoint - China's foreign trade exports have effectively responded to various pressures and challenges this year, maintaining a good growth momentum with a growth rate exceeding 7% in the first three quarters, marking eight consecutive quarters of growth [1] Group 1: Factors Driving Growth - The completeness of China's industrial system has laid a solid foundation for growth, with China's industrial product export share remaining the highest globally since 2008, accounting for nearly 20% in recent years. Manufacturing exports have continued to grow for eight consecutive years, with a 7.1% increase in the first three quarters, particularly in specialized equipment manufacturing, automotive manufacturing, and instrumentation, all showing double-digit growth [1] - The improvement in innovation levels has stimulated growth potential, with high-tech product exports reaching 3.75 trillion yuan, an increase of 11.9%, contributing over 30% to overall export growth. Notably, the export of ships and marine engineering equipment grew by 25.5%. Recent exports include a liquefied natural gas production platform valued at nearly 15 billion yuan, capable of supporting the gas needs of a city with a population of ten million. The share of self-owned brands in exports of electric vehicles and agricultural machinery has increased to 59.5% and 40.2%, respectively, compared to the same period last year [2] - Adapting to market demand has expanded growth space, with many companies actively providing personalized and customized solutions. For instance, a split air conditioning system that can be flexibly installed has led to over 20% growth in air conditioning exports to Europe. Additionally, solar street lights that track sunlight in real-time have been developed for tropical, rainy regions, significantly improving power generation efficiency. Approximately 80% of trade partners have seen export growth in the first three quarters [2] Group 2: Global Economic Context - The current process of economic globalization faces headwinds, with multiple international organizations indicating significant risks to the global economic outlook. Uncertainties in trade policies are major constraints on global economic development. However, economic globalization is an unstoppable historical trend, and maintaining the resilience and stability of global industrial and supply chains aligns with the common interests of all countries. China plays a crucial role in maintaining the stability and smooth operation of global supply chains, with ongoing domestic policies effectively supporting foreign trade enterprises to meet international market demands, injecting new momentum into China's exports [3]

Core Viewpoint - In the first three quarters, approximately 80% of China's trade partners experienced export growth, despite facing significant global economic risks and uncertainties in trade policies [1] Group 1: Economic Context - The global economic landscape is currently challenged by adverse trends, with multiple international organizations highlighting major risks to economic prospects [1] - Economic globalization is described as an unstoppable historical trend, emphasizing the importance of maintaining resilient and stable global industrial and supply chains [1] Group 2: China's Role - China is positioned as a crucial player in maintaining the stability and smooth operation of global supply chains [1] - Domestic policies aimed at both existing and new economic activities are showing positive effects, contributing to the ongoing strength of exports [1] Group 3: Trade Performance - A significant number of foreign trade enterprises in China continue to provide high-quality supplies that align with international market demands, injecting new momentum into exports [1]

Group 1 - The forum "Path to Prosperity: The Future of Free Zones and Trade" was held in Haikou, focusing on the role of free zones in promoting innovation, sustainable development, and cross-border cooperation in the context of significant global economic changes [2] - Participants emphasized that free zones are key nodes in the global trade landscape, capable of turning challenges into catalysts for optimizing resource allocation, facilitating trade, attracting investment, and promoting innovation [2] - The "Hainan experience" was frequently mentioned, showcasing how Hainan Free Trade Port has achieved integration across diverse economic sectors such as manufacturing, logistics, and tourism, demonstrating resilience and sustainable development [2] Group 2 - The forum included in-depth discussions on supply chain resilience, digital transformation, infrastructure, and international cooperation, sharing practical explorations from various free zones worldwide [2]

Core Insights - The establishment of Hainan Free Trade Port (FTP) signifies a new era of institutional openness and has global implications amidst a shifting world economic landscape [2][4] - Hainan FTP is expected to attract a significant influx of international capital and enterprises, enhancing its status as a highland of reform and opening up [5][7] Group 1: Historical Significance - Hainan FTP represents a higher standard of openness and reform, marking a new historical starting point in China's economic development [2][4] - The initiative is seen as a response to global economic challenges and a commitment to defending economic globalization [2][4] Group 2: Attractiveness for Enterprises - The financial innovations and special financial arrangements in Hainan, such as the establishment of the EF account system, are designed to facilitate investment and trade [5][6] - The potential for "ten thousand enterprises" to move to Hainan is anticipated due to its higher standards of openness and integration into global industrial chains [2][4] Group 3: Financial Innovation - Hainan's issuance of RMB bonds in Hong Kong exemplifies its financial facilitation and serves as a model for local government financing [7][8] - The role of Hainan in the Belt and Road Initiative is emphasized, with expectations for the RMB to be used as a financing tool for infrastructure projects [8] Group 4: Service Industry Development - Hainan aims to enhance its service industry standards by attracting advanced education and healthcare services, addressing the existing trade deficit in service sectors [9][10] - The establishment of international medical and educational institutions in Hainan is expected to increase its appeal for domestic and international students and patients [9][10] Group 5: Economic Benefits for Residents - The development of Hainan FTP is projected to improve the living standards and income levels of local residents, contributing to overall economic growth [10]

Core Insights - The Hainan Free Trade Port will officially start its full island closure operation on December 18, 2025, marking a significant milestone in China's economic reform and opening-up strategy [1][4]. Group 1: Historical Significance - The establishment of the Hainan Free Trade Port represents a new historical starting point for China's higher standard of opening up and reform, reflecting a shift towards institutional openness [4]. - The current global economic landscape is undergoing profound adjustments, and the development of the Hainan Free Trade Port is seen as a response to these challenges, emphasizing the importance of defending economic globalization [4]. Group 2: Attractiveness for Enterprises - Hainan's appeal lies in its reputation as a pioneering region for innovation and experimentation, with expectations of attracting not just tens of thousands but potentially many more enterprises due to its higher standards of openness [5]. - The Free Trade Account system in Hainan facilitates financial convenience, which is crucial for attracting more businesses to the region [7]. Group 3: Financial Innovation - Hainan's issuance of RMB bonds in Hong Kong signifies its financial innovation and serves as a model for local government financing, enhancing its attractiveness to international capital [10]. - The financial policies being implemented in Hainan are designed to improve the investment environment, making it easier for international capital to enter the market [10][11]. Group 4: Service Industry Development - Hainan is focusing on high-standard openings in education and healthcare, aiming to reduce service trade deficits and improve the quality of China's service industry [13]. - The development of international medical tourism and educational institutions in Hainan is expected to attract more domestic and international students and patients, enhancing the region's global standing [13]. Group 5: Economic Benefits for Residents - The economic development driven by the Hainan Free Trade Port is anticipated to improve the living standards and income levels of local residents, benefiting the broader population [14].

Core Points - China's commitment to high-level openness and sharing development opportunities with the world remains unchanged, emphasizing a win-win approach in economic globalization [2][3] - China has been a significant contributor to global economic growth, maintaining a contribution rate of around 30% [3] - The country has established itself as a leader in global supply chain stability, particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic, ensuring the resilience of its manufacturing sector [4] - The Belt and Road Initiative has evolved into the largest international cooperation platform, enhancing connectivity and economic collaboration across multiple regions [5] - China's market presents vast opportunities for global investment, with significant import and consumption figures, and a commitment to reducing trade barriers [6] Group 1 - China's role as a beneficiary and contributor to economic globalization is highlighted, with a focus on multilateralism and the importance of the WTO [3] - The country has maintained a stable supply chain during global disruptions, showcasing its manufacturing capabilities and commitment to global economic recovery [4] - The Belt and Road Initiative has led to the completion of major infrastructure projects, enhancing international trade and cooperation [5] Group 2 - China's market size and growth potential are emphasized, with substantial annual consumption and import figures, creating opportunities for international businesses [6] - The country has implemented zero-tariff policies for the least developed countries, promoting inclusive trade practices [6] - Continuous efforts to improve the business environment and expand foreign investment access are noted, particularly in manufacturing and service sectors [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes China's unwavering commitment to high-level openness and sharing development opportunities with the world, promoting economic globalization towards a more open, inclusive, and balanced direction [1] Group 2 - China has been a significant contributor to global economic growth, maintaining a contribution rate of around 30% to world economic growth, especially during crises like the Asian financial crisis and the 2008 financial crisis [2] - The country stands as a defender and promoter of true multilateralism, supporting the multilateral trading system centered around the WTO and advocating for reforms in global economic governance [2] Group 3 - China has ensured the resilience and stability of global industrial and supply chains, particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic, significantly aiding global economic recovery [3] - Over the past decade, China has established the largest and most complete new energy industrial chain, leading to a more than 60% reduction in the average cost of wind power and over 80% for photovoltaic power generation [3] Group 4 - The Belt and Road Initiative has evolved into the largest international cooperation platform, with significant projects completed, including the China-Laos Railway and the Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway [4] - The China-Europe Railway Express has operated over 110,000 trains, revitalizing trade routes and enhancing connectivity [4] Group 5 - China is committed to expanding high-level foreign openness, creating vast opportunities for global development, with nearly 50 trillion yuan in annual consumption and over 20 trillion yuan in imports [5] - The country has implemented zero-tariff treatment for 100% of products from the least developed countries that have diplomatic relations with China, and the China International Import Expo has seen a cumulative intended transaction amount exceeding 500 billion USD [5]

Group 1 - The core issue of the article revolves around the impact of the US Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes on global wealth, particularly how these hikes can lead to economic challenges for countries heavily reliant on foreign investment [1][3] - The mechanism of wealth extraction through US interest rate hikes creates economic bubbles in countries like Argentina, which are then burst when funds are withdrawn, leading to significant economic downturns [3][5] - Countries such as Turkey, Poland, and Indonesia have also faced similar economic shocks due to their dependence on foreign capital and lack of vigilance towards US financial policies [5] Group 2 - China has managed to mitigate the negative effects of US interest rate hikes by maintaining a complete industrial chain and controlling key manufacturing sectors since the 1980s [5][9] - In response to US rate hikes, China has reduced its holdings of US Treasury bonds, which has contributed to a decline in bond prices and put pressure on the US dollar [8] - China's strong political and economic stability, along with substantial foreign exchange reserves, provides a buffer against external shocks, differentiating it from other nations [9] Group 3 - The current round of US interest rate hikes faces unique challenges, with less significant impacts on employment growth and dollar appreciation compared to previous cycles, compounded by external factors like the pandemic and geopolitical tensions [8][11] - If the US fails to control inflation effectively, it may lead to a new economic crisis, prompting extreme measures that could introduce uncertainty into the global economy [11] - China must prepare strategies to safeguard its assets and respond to potential financial crises arising from the US economic situation [11]

Core Insights - Chinese companies are sending a large number of workers to Europe for high-end battery factory construction, with CATL planning to send 2,000 workers, highlighting Europe's shortcomings in this sector [2] - The automotive industry is a pillar of the EU economy, with four of the world's ten most profitable car companies based in Europe, yet traditional automakers face immense pressure in the transition to electric vehicles due to late entry and insufficient investment [3] - There is a significant reliance on China for core electric vehicle technologies, which could be dangerous if Europe continues to resist cooperation with Chinese firms and follows a confrontational strategy against China [3] - The EU has made several strategic missteps in recent years, including over-reliance on the US regarding the Ukraine issue and a lack of clear judgment in its China policy, which has hindered cooperation and worsened economic prospects [3][5] - Internal reflection within the EU is occurring, with leaders like Hungary's Prime Minister criticizing past policies and advocating for stronger cooperation with China as a necessary choice for the EU's future [5] - The EU is now striving to strengthen ties with Chinese companies to attract investment and technology, aiming to address industrial development gaps and regain direction in the competition for energy transition [6]