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日本三季度GDP萎缩幅度下修至2.3%,为高市早苗大规模刺激计划提供依据
智通财经网· 2025-12-08 02:48
政府估计,假设措施在该期间内生效,该计划将在三年内平均每年将全国GDP提高约1.4个百分点。减 轻通胀对家庭的冲击对高市至关重要,她的前任们被赶下台,部分原因正是民众对生活成本持续上涨的 不满情绪日益高涨。 经济学家Taro Kimura表示,"日本第三季度更大幅度的经济下滑将加强首相高市早苗加大财政刺激力度 的理由,但不会阻止日本央行在12月18日至19日的会议上加息。日本央行可能会忽略GDP数据的疲软, 判断住房建设和出口的下降将是暂时的。我们认为复苏并未遭受重大挫折。" 与此同时,隔夜指数掉期目前显示,在行长植田和男上周强烈暗示借贷成本即将上升之后,央行本月加 息的可能性约为90%。植田和男明确表示,将在即将召开的会议上考虑加息,其措辞呼应了他在1月份 上次加息前使用的说法。据知情人士透露,日本央行官员准备在下周加息,前提是期间经济和金融市场 没有受到重大冲击。 智通财经APP获悉,日本政府在一份修订报告中证实,截至9月的三个月内日本经济出现萎缩,这为上 个月首相高市早苗宣布的刺激计划提供了一定依据。修正数据显示,第三季度日本国内生产总值(GDP) 年化环比下降2.3%,原因是企业支出和住房投资均弱于初 ...
Inequality in Nepal and the Gen Z revolution #shorts #genz #nepal #nepalprotest
Bloomberg Television· 2025-12-08 01:00
Economic Overview - Nepal's 31 million inhabitants have an average annual income of less than $2,000 [1] - Nepal's GDP is approximately $40 billion per year [1] - Nepal's GDP has grown at an average annual rate of over 4% in the last 10 years [2] - Nepal experienced 4.2% economic growth in the last decade [2] Inequality Trends - Nepal's Gini coefficient has fallen over the past two decades, suggesting a shrinking gap between rich and poor [2] Social Perceptions - There's a changing perception of wealth, highlighted by discussions around "Nepo babies" and the experiences of affluent individuals [3]
美国经济:降息迹象渐显-US Economics Weekly -It's beginning to look a lot like a rate cut
2025-12-08 00:41
December 5, 2025 07:00 AM GMT US Economics Weekly | North America It's beginning to look a lot like a rate cut We now expect a 25bp cut at the Dec Fed meeting, followed by two more 25bp cuts in Jan and Apr. The cut will likely be accompanied by messaging of a higher bar for cuts moving forward. Initial Black Friday reporting was better than feared, but we still expect slower real spending growth in 4Q. M Exhibit 1: We expect cuts in Dec, Jan, and Apr to a terminal target range of 3.0- 3.25% Key Takeaways | ...
日本第三季度经济收缩幅度扩大
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 00:40
Group 1 - The Japanese economy contracted more than initially reported for the July to September quarter, with a revised annual GDP decline of 2.3%, exceeding economists' expectations of a 2.0% drop and the initial estimate of 1.8% [1] - On a quarterly basis, GDP fell by 0.6%, compared to economists' forecast of a 0.5% decline and an initial estimate of a 0.4% decrease [1] - Private consumption, which accounts for over half of Japan's economy, saw a slight month-on-month increase of 0.2% in October, higher than the initial estimate of 0.1% [1] Group 2 - Capital expenditure, an indicator of private demand, decreased by 0.2% quarter-on-quarter in the third quarter, contrasting with the initial estimate of a 1.0% increase [1]
Consumer spending points to strong third-quarter GDP. U.S. economy still has momentum.
MarketWatch· 2025-12-05 15:16
Core Insights - Consumer spending increased in September, indicating a likely strong economic growth in the third quarter [1] Group 1 - The rise in consumer spending is expected to be a precursor to robust economic growth [1]
Economic growth has slowed to unacceptable levels, says author Jim Paulsen
CNBC Television· 2025-12-04 21:46
Although the overall market is flat today, some momentum names staging a strong comeback such as quantum computing stocks and the Buzz ETF. So, are investors once again willing to take on riskier parts of the markets. Joining me now is Paulson Perspectives author Jim Pollson and Ariel Investments vice chairman Charlie Babrinskoy.Guys, welcome. Jim, you're concerned about economic growth here. What what's the impact potentially in the markets.Yeah, I I think that um I think the economy is fairly weak awardly ...
X @Investopedia
Investopedia· 2025-12-04 08:00
Learn which countries are among the top 25 economies in the world. The United States has had the largest GDP for over a century, but China's has grown rapidly. https://t.co/h9MBmZDOBd ...
经济数据变成了目的:美国新增就业人数虚增了2倍,GDP夸大了28%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-04 05:16
Group 1 - Economic data, originally a tool for understanding the economy and formulating macro policies, has become a goal in itself, primarily aimed at boosting GDP [1] - The majority of economic statistical indicators, including GDP, were invented post-World War II, rooted in Keynesian macroeconomic theory [1] - Historical economic systems, such as China's self-sufficient agrarian economy, did not generate GDP as it is understood today, since GDP relies on market transactions [2] Group 2 - Recent adjustments to U.S. non-farm payroll data revealed a downward revision of 910,000 jobs, indicating a significant discrepancy in employment statistics [4] - The U.S. GDP grew from $21.1 trillion in 2020 to $29.7 trillion in 2024, a 41% increase, while China's GDP rose from $14.7 trillion to $18.9 trillion, a 29% increase, leading to a decrease in China's global GDP share [5] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the U.S. increased by a cumulative 23% from 2020 to 2024, compared to only 6% in China, necessitating adjustments to GDP comparisons between the two countries [7] Group 3 - Real GDP growth, which excludes price changes, is a more accurate measure of economic performance, revealing that from 2020 to 2024, the U.S. actual GDP was approximately $23.8 trillion while China's was about $18.3 trillion, indicating a 7 percentage point increase in China's GDP share [8][10] - The article suggests that the manipulation of economic data serves to maintain public confidence and uphold national prestige, particularly in the context of U.S. economic statistics post-pandemic [10]
Tariffs not to blame for jobs number, says U.S. Commerce Sec. Lutnick
CNBC Television· 2025-12-03 15:41
Economic Data & Analysis - The US Commerce Secretary suggests that the Democratic shutdown, rather than tariffs, negatively impacted private sector job numbers and small businesses [3] - Deportation policies are also cited as a factor suppressing private job numbers, with an expectation of rebalancing and regrowth [4] - The US Commerce Secretary anticipates a superb GDP growth exceeding 4% next year, driven by construction projects [4] - The US Commerce Secretary claims prices remain stable unless tariffs exceed 15%, with suppliers and distributors absorbing the costs [6] - Inflation is reported to be below 3% [6] Trade & Tariffs - The report suggests tariffs are not the primary cause of economic concerns [3][6][7] - Some businesses are struggling with tariffs, higher costs, and uncertainty [5] - Factory activity shrank in November, with tariffs cited as a reason in a manufacturing report [5] Future Outlook - The US Commerce Secretary predicts significant growth in factory construction and AI building next year [7] - Plans to reduce the price of power in America are expected to further stimulate the economy [8]