Core Viewpoint - The private equity sector in the A-share market has experienced explosive growth in dividends since 2025, with a total of 1,658 dividend distributions amounting to 17.34 billion yuan, a 236.59% increase compared to the previous year [1] Summary by Category Dividend Performance - In 2025, private equity products implemented dividends 1,658 times, totaling 17.34 billion yuan, compared to 5.15 billion yuan in the same period last year [1] - Stock strategy private equity products dominated the dividend distribution with 984 distributions, amounting to 13.22 billion yuan, representing 76.24% of the total [1] - Multi-asset strategies showed flexibility with 232 distributions totaling 1.50 billion yuan, accounting for 8.66% of the total [1] Strategy Analysis - Futures and derivatives strategies benefited from the commodity market's trends, with 204 distributions totaling 1.21 billion yuan, making up 6.97% of the total [2] - Bond strategies maintained stability with 171 distributions totaling 1.05 billion yuan, representing 6.06% [2] - Fund of funds had a smaller scale with 67 distributions totaling 0.36 billion yuan, accounting for 2.06% [2] Management Mode - There is a notable divergence in dividend performance between subjective and quantitative private equity products, with non-quantitative products achieving 1,101 distributions totaling 11.47 billion yuan, which is 66.15% of the total [2] - Quantitative products, despite strong performance, only distributed 5.87 billion yuan, accounting for 33.85% [2] Scale of Private Equity Institutions - Large-scale private equity (over 5 billion yuan) had 233 distributions totaling 7.18 billion yuan, representing 41.41% [3] - Small-scale private equity (0-1 billion yuan) had the highest number of distributions at 1,059, totaling 6.47 billion yuan, accounting for 37.31% [3] - Medium-scale private equity (1-5 billion yuan) had 366 distributions totaling 3.69 billion yuan, representing 21.29% [3] Market Insights - The explosive growth in private equity dividends is attributed to structural opportunities in the capital market and the professional development of the private equity industry [3] - The A-share market has been supported by policy dividends and industrial upgrades, leading to significant structural opportunities in core sectors and quality stocks [3]

Core Insights - Despite the ongoing fluctuations in the A-share market since November, the enthusiasm for private equity product registration remains high, with a significant increase in the number of registered products [1][3] Group 1: Private Equity Product Registration - A total of 1,285 private equity securities products were registered in November, marking a 29.28% increase from 994 products in the previous month [1] - The stock strategy continues to dominate, with 849 products registered, accounting for 66.07% of the total [1] - Multi-asset strategies saw 193 products registered, representing 15.02% of the total, while futures and derivatives strategies accounted for 121 products, or 9.42% [1] Group 2: Quantitative Private Equity Products - Quantitative private equity products performed exceptionally well, with 565 products registered in November, making up 43.97% of the total [2] - Within quantitative strategies, stock strategies led with 402 products, while futures and derivatives strategies had 80 products registered [2] - The quantitative long strategy was particularly notable, with 310 products registered, representing 54.87% of quantitative products [2] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Factors - The high registration enthusiasm is driven by optimistic market expectations, as private equity institutions believe equity asset valuations are now reasonable, and economic stabilization is underway [3] - The continuous decline in risk-free interest rates has diminished the appeal of traditional fixed-income products, prompting investors to reallocate assets towards higher-yielding private equity securities [3] - The overall performance of private equity securities products has been strong this year, especially in quantitative strategies, with over 90% of products showing positive returns, boosting confidence among channels and high-net-worth clients [3]

Group 1 - The private equity market in China is experiencing a surge in product registrations, with November seeing a 29.28% increase compared to the previous month, totaling 1,285 registered private equity securities products, marking the second-highest monthly registration this year [1] - Equity strategies remain the dominant focus for private equity firms, with 849 equity strategy products registered in November, accounting for 66.07% of total registrations, indicating strong investor interest despite recent adjustments in the A-share market [1] - Multi-asset strategies and futures and derivatives strategies are also maintaining high levels of activity, with 193 multi-asset strategy products registered, representing 15.02% of the total [1] Group 2 - Quantitative private equity products are particularly noteworthy, with 565 products registered in November, making up 43.97% of total registrations; equity strategies dominate this category as well, with 402 products registered [2] - A total of 719 private equity firms registered products in November, with 49 firms registering five or more products, highlighting a strong enthusiasm for product registration, especially among leading quantitative firms [2] - Century Frontier leads in product registrations with 20 products, followed by Starstone Investment with 15, and Mingchao Investment, Shanghai Xiaoyong Private Equity, and Tiansuan Quantitative each with 12 products [2] Group 3 - The A-share market has seen fluctuations around the 3,900-point mark, but long-term trends remain positive according to DWSQ, which believes that current adjustments do not alter the medium to long-term bullish outlook for A-shares [3] - Support for market risk appetite is expected from policy and liquidity environments, with expectations of the Federal Reserve entering a rate-cutting phase and overall liquidity in the A-share market remaining ample [3] - Corporate earnings are showing signs of stabilization, with the technology and advanced manufacturing sectors expected to contribute positively to market opportunities due to external demand and technological upgrades [3]

部分混合类理财短期业绩爆发 【导读】混合类理财产品业绩亮眼，年内最高单位净值增长率接近36% 中国基金报记者 李树超 张玲 今年以来，混合类理财产品业绩亮眼，短期业绩爆发，最高单位净值增长率接近36%。 业内人士表示，随着权益市场回暖，细分板块结构性机会增多，混合类理财产品业绩爆发。 在存款利率持续下调的大背景下，混合类理财产品仍有较大发展空间，建议理财机构不断加 强权益投研能力建设，做好多元配置与产品创新，更好满足市场差异化投资需求。 编辑：张洁 Wind数据显示，截至11月27日，超九成混合类理财产品今年以来单位净值增长率为正，11 只产品单位净值增长率超20%，最高达35.97%。 该类产品短期业绩也呈现爆发势头。普益理财数据显示，截至2025年三季度末，混合类理财 产品近7日、近1个月平均年化收益率分别为13.21%、6.62%，较上季度分别上升112.44个 百分点、35.32个百分点，收益弹性显著提升。 中国邮政储蓄银行研究员娄飞鹏表示，年内混合类理财业绩表现突出的原因有权益市场回 暖、策略精细化运作、资产配置多元化等。部分产品短期业绩爆发式增长，主要驱动因素是 对特定市场板块阶段性机会的精准捕捉 ...

Core Insights - Multi-asset strategy private equity products have gained popularity in 2023, with 1,400 products registered from January to October, second only to stock strategy products [1] - The appeal of multi-asset strategies is attributed to significant global asset price fluctuations expected in 2024-2025, evolving investor demands for risk-return matching, and the search for absolute returns by long-term funds [1][8] Performance Overview - As of November 14, multi-asset strategy products have an average annual return of 20.37%, ranking just below stock strategies, with a slightly higher Sharpe ratio and lower volatility and drawdown [2][3] - The performance metrics for various strategies are as follows: - Stock Strategy: 29.54% average return, 93.14% positive return ratio, 35.96% volatility [3] - Multi-Asset Strategy: 20.37% average return, 91.73% positive return ratio, 25.84% volatility [3] - Composite Fund: 18.98% average return, 96.34% positive return ratio, 39.15% volatility [3] - Futures and Options: 13.79% average return, 82.49% positive return ratio, 48.73% volatility [3] - Bond Strategy: 8.46% average return, 92.10% positive return ratio, 11.76% volatility [3] Sub-strategy Performance - Among sub-strategies, macro strategies outperform in average return, positive return ratio, and Sharpe ratio [4] - Macro Strategy: 25.09% average return, 97% positive return ratio, 25.48% volatility [5] - Composite Strategy: 21.14% average return, 90.93% positive return ratio, 1.63 Sharpe ratio [7] - Arbitrage Strategy: 8.87% average return, 89.95% positive return ratio, lowest volatility and drawdown [7] Market Dynamics - The macro strategy focuses on dynamic allocation across major asset classes based on global macroeconomic analysis [6] - Bridgewater's "All Weather Strategy" exemplifies macro strategies, aiming for stable performance across different economic environments [6] - Local macro strategy firms like Honghu and Banxia are emerging as key players in the market [7] Challenges and Considerations - Successfully implementing multi-asset strategies requires more than just combining different assets; it necessitates creating a synergistic portfolio [8] - The complexity of the Chinese market, with significant differences in Sharpe ratios and economic cycles, demands experienced management and a tailored methodology [8] - A robust IT system covering research, trading, risk control, and operations is essential for distinguishing the capabilities of multi-asset strategy private equity firms [8]

Core Insights - Multi-asset strategy products have gained popularity in recent years, with 1,400 products registered from January to October 2025, second only to stock strategy products [2] - The average annual return for multi-asset strategies is 20.37%, with a Sharpe ratio of 1.65, indicating stable performance compared to other strategies [3][4] Performance Overview - The average returns and performance metrics for various private equity strategies are as follows: - Stock Strategy: 29.54% return, 93.14% positive return ratio, Sharpe ratio of 1.56, volatility of 35.96%, and drawdown of 11.20% [3] - Multi-Asset Strategy: 20.37% return, 91.73% positive return ratio, Sharpe ratio of 1.65, volatility of 25.84%, and drawdown of 7.41% [3] - Composite Fund: 18.98% return, 96.34% positive return ratio, Sharpe ratio of 1.89, volatility of 15.61%, and drawdown of 6.62% [3] - Futures and Derivatives Strategy: 13.79% return, 82.49% positive return ratio, Sharpe ratio of 1.11, volatility of 48.73%, and drawdown of 8.06% [3] - Bond Strategy: 8.46% return, 92.10% positive return ratio, Sharpe ratio of 1.93, volatility of 11.76%, and drawdown of 3.21% [3] Reasons for Increased Attention - Single asset strategies face limitations in risk resistance, prompting managers to seek new alpha across asset classes [4] - In a low-interest-rate environment and under new asset management regulations, high-net-worth clients and managers need to balance net value fluctuations with absolute returns, which multi-asset strategies can provide [4] - The proliferation of tools such as risk parity, machine learning factors, and cross-asset real-time risk control platforms has enabled managers to effectively expand and reconstruct their research and investment systems [4] Sub-Strategy Performance - Among sub-strategies, macro strategies exhibit the highest average returns, positive return ratios, and Sharpe ratios [5][6] - Arbitrage strategies show lower volatility and drawdown compared to macro and composite strategies, indicating more stable performance [5]

股债定价各有独立逻辑，定价的结果或均偏向止盈。 投资要点： 市 场 策 略 周 报 股弱债不强，意味着什么 [Table_Authors] 唐元懋(分析师) 本报告导读： 证 券 研 究 报 告 | | 0755-23976753 | | --- | --- | | | tangyuanmao@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880524040002 | | | 杜润琛(研究助理) | | | 021-38031034 | | | durunchen@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880123090079 | | | 孙越(分析师) | | | 021-38031033 | | | sunyue6@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525080004 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 区间震荡行情延续 2025.11.22 美元流动性收紧何时缓解 2025.11.18 大行短端买入力度减弱 2025.11.18 本轮移仓有何特征和机会 20251117 2025.11.17 大行融出回落，存单发行提升，6M 期限最多 2025.11.17 请务必阅读正文之后 ...

Core Insights - In October 2023, A-shares experienced a high-level fluctuation, with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly rising by 1.85%, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index fell by 1.1% and 1.56% respectively [2] - A total of 2,448 private equity products reached historical highs in net value, accounting for approximately 48.60% of private equity products established for over one year [2][3] - Among these products, 1,367 were non-quantitative, while 1,081 were quantitative [2] - The majority of products employed stock strategies, with 1,344 products (approximately 54.9%), followed by multi-asset strategies (397), futures and derivatives strategies (383), bond strategies (224), and combination fund products (100) [2] Product Types - Non-quantitative products accounted for 1,367, while quantitative products made up 1,081 [2] - Stock strategy products were the most prevalent, with 1,344 products, followed by multi-asset strategies (397), futures and derivatives strategies (383), bond strategies (224), and combination fund products (100) [2] Company Size - The largest number of products came from private equity firms with assets under 500 million, totaling 864 products (35% of the total) [3] - There were 430 products from firms with over 10 billion in assets [3] High-Performing Private Equity Firms - A total of 42 private equity firms had all their products reach historical highs in October, with 20 being subjective private equity firms, 14 quantitative, and 8 combining both strategies [4][5] - Among these, five firms with over 10 billion in assets included Ningbo Huanfang Quantitative, Century Frontier, Jiukun Investment, Qilin Investment, and Honghu Private Equity [5] Notable Products - The "Double Ten Fund" category, which includes products established for over 10 years with annualized returns exceeding 10%, had 18 products, with 13 being subjective long products [9] - Notable high-performing products included those from Beijing Xiyue Private Equity, which topped the subjective long product category, and Jiukun Investment, which had 18 products with significant returns [19][27] Strategy Performance - In the futures and derivatives strategy category, 197 products reached historical highs, with the top five products coming from Yizu Investment and Chiying Private Equity [20] - The multi-asset strategy category had 245 products, with the top performers being from Lu Yuan Private Equity and Hai Sheng Fund [24][27]

Core Viewpoint - Since 2025, global gold assets have maintained a strong market driven by three main factors: a phase of declining real interest rates, persistent geopolitical risks and uncertainty in U.S. domestic policies, and continued buying by global central banks, particularly from emerging economies [2][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The decline in global real interest rates is influenced by the U.S. fiscal deficit and long-term debt structure, making it difficult for real rates to rise further, while persistent inflation enhances long-term demand for gold [2]. - Geopolitical risks, including conflicts in the Middle East and deteriorating security in Europe, along with uncertainties following the Trump administration's policies, have structurally increased demand for safe-haven assets like gold [2]. - Central banks remain the largest buyers of gold, with emerging market central banks continuing to purchase gold, providing long-term support for gold prices [3]. Group 2: Policy Impact - Recent tax policy adjustments in China regarding gold transactions mark a significant structural change in the gold market, effective from November 1, 2025, to December 31, 2027, affecting standard gold transactions [5][6]. - The new tax policies aim to clarify the tax burden and usage of gold, impacting costs for off-exchange gold, price differentials, retail premiums, and the structure of futures and ETFs, rather than directly altering domestic gold prices [6]. - Gold ETFs are expected to be the most affected by the new policies, as the attractiveness of physical gold for secondary sales diminishes, while virtual gold instruments like paper gold and ETFs remain unaffected by the VAT adjustments [10]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - The high beta sensitivity of gold assets to macroeconomic trends makes them a preferred choice for quantitative CTA, multi-asset strategies, and discretionary long strategies [5]. - The stricter regulations on gold withdrawal and usage declarations may lead to a decrease in arbitrage scale in futures, potentially increasing price volatility and enhancing the correlation of futures with international gold prices during trending markets [10].

Core Insights - The A-share market has shown a slow upward trend this year, supported by policy measures in the bond market, which has seen a recovery in the latter half of the year. The commodity futures market has displayed significant differentiation, with stock index futures and precious metals performing particularly well [1] Summary by Category Private Fund Performance - As of the end of October, 91.33% of the 10,969 private funds achieved positive returns, with an average return rate of 24.32%. The top 5% of funds recorded an impressive return rate of 72.03% [1] Strategy Types - Equity strategies led the five major strategies with an average return rate of 29.52%, and 92.73% of these products generated positive returns. Among 6,931 products, 6,427 were profitable, with the top 5% achieving a return of 82.48%, significantly higher than other strategies [1] - Multi-asset strategies ranked second with an average return rate of 19.71% and a positive return product ratio of 91.61%. This strategy effectively captured the equity market's upward momentum while diversifying risks through bonds and commodities [1] - Combination funds demonstrated strong profitability stability, with 96.85% of products yielding positive returns. Out of 476 products, only 15 reported losses, although the average return rate of 17.86% was slightly lower than that of multi-asset strategies [1]