Core Insights - The company reported strong financial performance in Q3 2025, with revenue reaching 86.489 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.14%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 14.572 billion yuan, up 57.14% [1] - The company achieved a total revenue of 254.2 billion yuan for the first three quarters, reflecting a 10.33% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of 37.864 billion yuan, which is a 55.45% increase [1] - The weighted average return on equity (ROE) was 25.45%, up 5.23 percentage points year-on-year, indicating strong financial health [1] Group 1: Gold Production and Financial Metrics - Gold production exceeded expectations, reaching 65 tons in the first three quarters of 2025, a 20% increase year-on-year, primarily driven by projects in Ghana, Shanxi, Guizhou, and Serbia [2] - The gross margins for gold concentrate and gold ingots were 55.8% and 72.8%, respectively, showing year-on-year increases of 11.22 and 4.71 percentage points [2] - Copper production for the same period was 830,000 tons, a 5.1% year-on-year increase, despite a slight decline due to flooding at the Kamoa-Kakula copper mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo [2] Group 2: Global Diversification and Strategic Growth - The company has implemented a global strategy covering key minerals such as copper, gold, and lithium, showcasing its capability in resource acquisition and integration [3] - Recent acquisitions, including RG Gold Mine and Raygorodok Gold Mine, have not only increased gold reserves but also expanded the company's global influence [3] - The company is strategically entering the lithium sector, which, while currently contributing minimally, is expected to be a significant growth area in the future [3] Group 3: Future Outlook and Valuation - The company has set ambitious production targets for 2025 and beyond, with ongoing expansions at major mines expected to support future output growth [3] - The net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 53 billion, 69.8 billion, and 86.9 billion yuan, respectively, with a target price raised to 43.29 HKD, corresponding to a 16x PE for 2026 [3] - The company maintains a "buy" rating, supported by its clear long-term growth logic and production capacity releases from world-class mines [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report from First Shanghai maintains a "Buy" rating for Zijin Mining (02899) with a target price of HKD 43.29, highlighting the company's clear long-term growth logic and strong financial performance in Q3 2025 [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company's revenue reached CNY 86.489 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8.14%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 14.572 billion, up 57.14% [1] - For the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue amounted to CNY 254.2 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.33%, with a net profit of CNY 37.864 billion [1] Gold Production and Copper Mining - The company's gold production in the first three quarters of 2025 reached 65 tons, representing a 20% year-on-year increase, primarily driven by projects in Ghana, Shanxi, Guizhou, and Serbia [1] - The gross margins for gold concentrate and gold ingots were 55.8% and 72.8%, respectively, showing year-on-year increases of 11.22 and 4.71 percentage points [1] Global Diversification and Risk Management - The company has implemented a global strategy covering key minerals such as copper, gold, and lithium, demonstrating strong capabilities in resource acquisition and integration [1] - Recent acquisitions of RGGold Mine and Raygorodok gold mine have not only increased the company's gold resource reserves but also expanded its global influence [1] - The company has strategically entered the new energy metal sector, particularly in lithium resources, although the lithium business currently contributes less to overall revenue [1]

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. has experienced significant stock price fluctuations, driven primarily by rising copper prices, with a notable increase of 24% in stock price over a few trading days, reaching a historical high of 18 yuan per share [2][4][6]. Company Performance - Since April 9, 2023, Luoyang Molybdenum's stock price has surged by 218%, increasing its market capitalization from 121 billion yuan to a peak of 384 billion yuan, and maintaining a market cap of 357.7 billion yuan as of October 10, 2023 [2][4]. - The company reported a net profit of 8.671 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 60.07% [2][11]. Market Dynamics - The stock price of Luoyang Molybdenum is closely linked to copper prices, which have risen from 9,154 USD/ton to 10,867 USD/ton since April 11, 2023, marking an increase of 18.7% [8]. - The company has strategically positioned itself in the copper and cobalt markets, capitalizing on the growing demand driven by the global energy transition [3][10]. Strategic Initiatives - Luoyang Molybdenum has focused on acquiring high-quality mining resources, including significant stakes in world-class mines, which has established a long-term cost advantage [3][9]. - The company has adopted a "mining + trading" dual-driven model to maximize the value of its mining industry chain [6][10]. Challenges and Future Outlook - Despite strong performance, Luoyang Molybdenum faces challenges related to its dependence on cyclical industries and market volatility, particularly in the context of global supply chain uncertainties [2][4]. - The company is exploring new growth paths to reduce reliance on cyclical profits and ensure sustainable growth [2][10].

Market Performance - The A-share market experienced a rebound on September 29, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.13%, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 1.11%, and the ChiNext Index gaining 1.77% [1][2] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets reached 12,937 billion yuan, a decrease of 880 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] Sector Performance - The new energy sector, particularly lithium battery electrolyte, positive electrodes, and inverters, showed strong performance, with stocks like Wanrun New Energy, Fengshan Group, and Tianji Co. hitting the daily limit [2] - Brokerage stocks saw significant gains, with Guosheng Jin控 hitting the daily limit and reaching a historical high, while Huatai Securities rose over 6% [2] - The non-ferrous metals and gold sectors were also active, with stocks like Boqian New Materials and Wolong New Energy hitting the daily limit [2] Declining Sectors - Education stocks collectively experienced a sharp decline, along with coal and pork sectors showing negative performance [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [5][11][19]. Core Viewpoints - The company has achieved breakthroughs in its lithium extraction project in Tibet and is planning to build a high-end materials industrial park for life sciences, which is expected to enhance its growth potential [4][10][11]. - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 1.247 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.64%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 10.01% to 445 million yuan [1][2]. - The growth in the company's performance is primarily driven by its businesses in life sciences, metal resources, water treatment, and ultra-purification, alongside a decrease in raw material costs [2][4]. Financial Summary - The company projects revenues of 3.067 billion yuan, 3.748 billion yuan, and 4.477 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 970 million yuan, 1.222 billion yuan, and 1.516 billion yuan [11][12]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to remain strong, with figures of 21.1%, 22.1%, and 22.5% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [11][12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.91 yuan, 2.41 yuan, and 2.99 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [11][12]. Business Performance - The company reported a gross margin of 51.26% in the first half of 2025, an increase of 3.78 percentage points year-on-year, indicating improved profitability [2][4]. - The life sciences segment generated revenue of 320 million yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.43% [10]. - The company has completed and is executing 12 lithium extraction projects, with a combined capacity of nearly 100,000 tons of lithium carbonate/hydroxide [4][9].

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum's strong performance in the first half of 2025 is attributed to significant growth in its mining segment, achieving record revenue and profit levels [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 94.773 billion yuan and a net profit of 8.671 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 60.07% [1][2]. - The mining segment's revenue reached a historical high of 39.402 billion yuan, accounting for approximately 42% of total revenue, an increase of 11 and 28 percentage points compared to the same periods in 2024 and 2023, respectively [2]. - Operating costs decreased by 10.96% year-on-year, contributing to improved profitability [3]. - Operating cash flow was 12.009 billion yuan, up 11.40% year-on-year, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 50.15%, down 9.01 percentage points [3]. Product Performance - Copper production reached 353,600 tons, a year-on-year increase of 12.68%, with copper revenue at 25.718 billion yuan, making up about 65% of mining revenue [2]. - Cobalt production was 61,100 tons, with cobalt revenue increasing by 31.94% to 5.728 billion yuan [2]. - Tungsten and molybdenum production also showed positive trends, with tungsten revenue growing by 26.19% to 1.109 billion yuan [2]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively expanding its portfolio in renewable energy metals, with significant investments in copper and cobalt [4]. - A recent acquisition of Lumina Gold for 581 million Canadian dollars (approximately 307.6 million yuan) adds a significant gold resource in Ecuador, with a total resource of 1.376 billion tons [4]. - Ongoing projects in the Democratic Republic of Congo aim to increase copper production to 800,000 to 1 million tons [5]. Market Outlook - The company maintains an optimistic outlook for copper prices, citing limited new production capacity and resilient demand from the energy sector [6]. - Cobalt prices are expected to remain high due to export bans and declining market inventories, with sustained demand anticipated [6]. - Tungsten and molybdenum prices are projected to remain stable and resilient, continuing to stay at historically high levels [6].

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Industrial silicon: Oscillating [5] - Polysilicon: Oscillating [6] - Lithium carbonate: Oscillating and bullish [10] Core Viewpoints of the Report - Supply disruption risks still exist, and new energy metals as a whole continue to be strong. Lithium supply disruptions are expected to push up lithium prices in the short and medium term, and a bullish view on lithium prices is advisable. Silicon prices are showing an oscillating trend, and there is a risk of decline in the long term [1]. - For industrial silicon, coal prices are fluctuating, leading to continuous volatility in silicon prices. For polysilicon, market sentiment is fluctuating, resulting in wide - range price volatility. For lithium carbonate, the battle between bulls and bears continues, and the price is oscillating and correcting [2]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Market Views Industrial Silicon - **Information Analysis**: As of August 19, the spot price of industrial silicon fluctuated. The latest domestic inventory decreased by 0.02% month - on - month. In July 2025, the monthly output increased by 3.2% month - on - month and decreased by 30.6% year - on - year. From January to July, the cumulative output decreased by 20.0% year - on - year. In June, exports increased by 22.8% month - on - month and 11.6% year - on - year. From January to June, cumulative exports decreased by 6.6% year - on - year. In June, domestic photovoltaic new installations decreased by 38.45% year - on - year, and from January to June, cumulative installations increased by 107.07% year - on - year [5]. - **Main Logic**: The supply of industrial silicon continues to rise. In August, the supply pressure may continue to increase. Demand shows some improvement signs, but the inventory is expected to accumulate further [5]. - **Outlook**: Silicon prices will continue to oscillate in the short term, and the resumption of production by large factories will be the key [5]. Polysilicon - **Information Analysis**: The成交 price of N - type re - feedstock ranges from 45,000 to 49,000 yuan/ton, with an average price of 47,400 yuan/ton, a week - on - week increase of 0.42%. The number of polysilicon warehouse receipts increased. In June, exports increased by 5.96% month - on - month and decreased by 39.67% year - on - year. From January to June, cumulative exports decreased by 7.23% year - on - year. In June, imports increased by 40.3% month - on - month. From January to June, cumulative imports decreased by 47.59% year - on - year. From January to June 2025, domestic photovoltaic new installations increased by 107% year - on - year [6]. - **Main Logic**: Macro factors and coal price fluctuations lead to wide - range price oscillations. Supply is expected to increase in August, and demand may weaken in the future [6][8]. - **Outlook**: Anti - cut - throat competition policies have a significant impact on prices, and attention should be paid to policy implementation [8]. Lithium Carbonate - **Information Analysis**: On August 19, the closing price of the lithium carbonate main contract decreased by 1.9%, and the total position decreased by 16,876 lots. The spot price of battery - grade lithium carbonate increased by 1,100 yuan/ton, and the price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate also increased by 1,100 yuan/ton. The average price of lithium spodumene concentrate was 1,045 US dollars/ton. The warehouse receipts increased by 60 tons [9]. - **Main Logic**: The supply shortage caused by mine shutdowns will gradually emerge, but high prices may stimulate supply. The current domestic supply and demand are generally balanced [10]. - **Outlook**: The supply - demand gap caused by shutdowns is expected to keep prices oscillating and bullish [10]. 2. Market Monitoring - The report only lists the headings for industrial silicon, polysilicon, and lithium carbonate under market monitoring but does not provide specific content [11][17][28]. 3. Commodity Index - **Comprehensive Index**: On August 19, 2025, the commodity index was 2,223.20, a decrease of 0.36%; the commodity 20 index was 2,469.40, a decrease of 0.26%; the industrial products index was 2,256.94, a decrease of 0.47% [50]. - **New Energy Commodity Index**: On August 19, 2025, the index was 430.14, with a daily decrease of 0.80%, a 5 - day increase of 1.93%, a 1 - month increase of 7.23%, and a year - to - date increase of 4.30% [52].

Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities issued a report on August 18, giving Huayou Cobalt (603799.SH) a "buy" rating with a target price of 53 yuan, citing strong performance and growth potential in the cobalt and nickel markets [2] Summary by Relevant Categories Performance and Financials - The company's performance is in line with expectations, as indicated by the earnings forecast [2] - The nickel hydrometallurgy project continues to exceed production targets, maintaining stable profit per ton [2] - Cobalt prices have risen since Q2, providing earnings elasticity, with a potential second wave of price increases expected in the second half of the year [2] - Copper is contributing stable profits, while lithium is at breakeven [2] - Q2 shipments of ternary cathodes increased significantly, with an expected annual growth of over 90% [2] - Cautious impairment loss provisions were made in Q2, leading to a decline in operating cash flow [2] Risks - Potential risks include significant fluctuations in upstream raw material prices and lower-than-expected electric vehicle sales [2]

Group 1 - The main contract for lithium carbonate in domestic commodity futures continued to rise, with a 2% increase on August 12, accumulating over 10% in two days [2] - On August 11, CATL announced the suspension of mining operations at its project in Yichun, Jiangxi, after the mining license expired on August 9, leading to a surge in lithium mining stocks [2] - CITIC Futures indicated that the suspension of the mine could create a supply gap of several thousand tons in a single month, given the tight supply-demand balance for lithium carbonate in Q3 [2] Group 2 - The suspension of the Jiangxi lithium mine signifies a notable risk of supply contraction for lithium carbonate, which is expected to drive prices higher in the new energy metals sector [2] - On August 12, shares of several leading companies in the lithium mining sector experienced varying degrees of decline, with CATL's stock dropping by 0.16% by the end of the trading day [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange (GFE) is seeking public opinion on the upcoming launch of platinum and palladium futures and options contracts, addressing the urgent hedging needs of industry players due to significant price volatility in recent years [1][2][6]. Group 1: Futures and Options Launch - GFE has announced the public consultation for platinum and palladium futures and options contracts, with a deadline for feedback set for August 7, 2025 [5]. - Platinum and palladium futures will have no alternative delivery products and will implement a brand delivery system, requiring delivery products to be registered brands published by the exchange [4][11]. - The trading codes for platinum and palladium futures are "PT" and "PD," respectively, with a contract size of 1000 grams per lot and a minimum price fluctuation of 0.05 yuan per gram [13]. Group 2: Market Context and Demand - Platinum and palladium are crucial raw materials in the new energy sector, particularly in fiberglass and hydrogen energy applications, and are considered scarce resources globally [6]. - The demand for hedging in the industry has become urgent due to significant fluctuations in the spot prices of platinum and palladium in recent years [6]. - GFE has previously launched futures for industrial silicon, polysilicon, and lithium carbonate, indicating a focus on supporting green and low-carbon development [7][10]. Group 3: Delivery and Trading Rules - The delivery method for platinum and palladium futures will follow established practices in the futures market, including physical delivery and various delivery options [13]. - The quality standards for delivery will be based on national and international standards, with specific indicators for purity and impurity levels [13]. - The holding limits for positions will vary based on the trading volume, with specific limits set for both platinum and palladium contracts [14].