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能源化工期权:能源化工期权策略早报-20260109
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2026-01-09 04:22
能源化工期权 2026-01-09 能源化工期权策略早报 | 李立勤 | 高级投研经 | 从业资格号:F3074095 | 交易咨询号:Z0017896 | 邮箱:lilq@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 理 | | | | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号:F03138607 | 电话:0755-23375252 | 邮箱:huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号:F03090207 | 交易咨询号:Z0016947 | 邮箱:lirj@wkqh.cn | 能源化工期权策略早报概要:能源类:原油、LPG;聚烯烃类期权:聚丙烯、聚氯乙烯、塑料、苯乙烯;聚酯类期 权:对二甲苯、PTA、短纤、瓶片;碱化工类:烧碱、纯碱;其他能源化工类:橡胶等。 策略上:构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1:标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...
金属期权:金属期权策略早报-20260109
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2026-01-09 04:22
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For non - ferrous metals, a neutral volatility strategy for sellers is recommended as they show a bullish upward trend [2]. - For the black - series metals, a strategy of shorting volatility is suitable due to their large - amplitude fluctuations [2]. - For precious metals, a bull - spread combination strategy is suggested as they are rebounding and rising [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The report presents the latest prices, price changes, price change rates, trading volumes, volume changes, open interests, and open interest changes of various metal futures contracts, including copper, aluminum, zinc, etc [3]. 3.2 Option Factors 3.2.1 Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume PCR and open interest PCR of different metal options are provided, which are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market respectively [4]. 3.2.2 Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure points, support points, and their offsets, as well as the maximum open interests of call and put options for different metal options, are given to analyze the pressure and support levels of the option underlyings [5]. 3.2.3 Implied Volatility - The report provides the at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, its change, annual average, call implied volatility, put implied volatility, 20 - day historical volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility for various metal options [6]. 3.3 Strategy and Suggestions 3.3.1 Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: A bull - spread combination strategy for call options is recommended for directional trading; a short - volatility option seller combination strategy is suggested to gain time - value; and a spot hedging strategy of holding long spot, buying put options, and selling out - of - the - money call options is proposed [7]. - **Aluminum**: A bull - spread combination strategy for call options is recommended for direction; a strategy of selling bullish call and put options is suggested to gain time - value and directional returns; and a spot collar strategy is proposed [9]. - **Zinc**: There is no directional strategy; a strategy of selling bullish call and put options is suggested to gain time - value; and a spot collar strategy is proposed [9]. - **Nickel**: There is no directional strategy; a strategy of selling bullish call and put options is suggested to gain time - value; and a spot covered - call strategy is proposed [10]. - **Tin**: There is no directional strategy; a short - volatility strategy is suggested to gain time - value; and a spot collar strategy is proposed [10]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: There is no directional strategy; a strategy of selling bullish call and put options is suggested to gain time - value; and a spot hedging strategy of holding long spot, buying put options, and selling call options is proposed [11]. 3.3.2 Precious Metals - **Silver**: There is no directional strategy; a neutral short - volatility option seller combination strategy is suggested to gain time - value; and a spot hedging strategy of holding long spot, buying put options, and selling out - of - the - money call options is proposed [12]. 3.3.3 Black - Series Metals - **Rebar**: There is no directional strategy; a strategy of selling bearish call and put options is suggested to gain time - value; and a spot covered - call strategy is proposed [13]. - **Iron Ore**: There is no directional strategy; a strategy of selling neutral call and put options is suggested to gain time - value and directional returns; and a spot long - collar strategy is proposed [13]. - **Ferroalloys (Manganese Silicon and Silicon Ferros)**: For manganese silicon, there is no directional strategy; a short - volatility strategy is suggested to gain time - value; and no spot hedging strategy is proposed. For industrial silicon, there is no directional strategy; a short - volatility strategy of selling call and put options is suggested to gain time - value and directional returns; and a spot hedging strategy of holding long spot, buying put options, and selling call options is proposed [14]. - **Glass**: There is no directional strategy; a short - volatility strategy of selling call and put options is suggested to gain time - value; and a spot long - collar strategy is proposed [15].
农产品期权:农产品期权策略早报-20260109
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2026-01-09 04:10
农产品期权 2026-01-09 农产品期权策略早报 策略上:构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1:标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | (%) | (万手) | | (万手) | | | 豆一 | A2603 | 4,326 | -7 | -0.16 | 2.70 | -1.47 | 5.79 | -0.18 | | 豆二 | B2602 | 3,786 | -37 | -0.97 | 1.32 | 0.13 | 1.80 | -0.47 | | 豆粕 | M2603 | 3,098 | -29 | -0.93 | 24.46 | 7.74 | 54.02 | -1.53 | | 菜籽粕 | RM2603 | 2,408 | -37 | -1.51 | 5.18 | 2.49 | 2.64 | -0.46 | | 棕榈油 | P2602 | 8,586 | ...
沪镍不锈钢强势涨停,现货"有价无市"隐现分化
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2026-01-08 03:23
新能源及有色金属日报 | 2026-01-08 目前基本面方面仍然呈现库存较高,供应过剩的状态,但印尼方面利多政策频出,且镍在底部震荡时间较长,近 期易受贵金属、有色方面盈利资金关注,预计仍将保持强势。 沪镍不锈钢强势涨停,现货 "有价无市" 隐现分化 镍品种 市场分析 2026-01-07日沪镍主力合约2601开于143500元/吨,收于147720元/吨,较前一交易日收盘变化8.00%,当日成交量为 1132256(+393922)手,持仓量为132955(1474)手。 期货方面:昨日沪镍主力合约呈现单边暴涨、尾盘封死涨停的极端走势,价格创2024年6月以来新高,日内波动相 对收敛,资金做多情绪达到高潮。近日委内瑞拉局势紧张,引发全球资源供给稳定性恐慌,贵金属及有色板块集 体大幅上涨,叠加印尼政策造成供给端收缩预期,资金涌入前期处于低位的镍品种,引发昨日价格涨停。 镍矿方面:Mysteel方面消息,近期镍矿市场招标落地,市场整体镍矿资源有限,镍矿价格稳中偏强运行。菲律宾 方面,菲律宾Benguet矿山1.25镍矿招标落地至32.5美元,环比上涨。矿山维持看涨心态。印尼方面,2026年1月(一 期)内贸基 ...
黑色建材日报:原料成本推升,钢材强势向上-20260108
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2026-01-08 02:31
黑色建材日报 | 2026-01-08 原料成本推升,钢材强势向上 钢材:原料成本推升,钢材强势向上 市场分析 期现货方面:昨日钢材盘面强劲上涨,全国建材价格普涨20-40元,市场拿货积极性有所提高,全国建材成交12.53 万吨。由于原料价格大幅上涨,推升钢材价格同步上行,市场情绪明显提振。 供需与逻辑:目前建材供需基本面暂无矛盾,保持低产量,低消费,低库存状态,考虑到元旦之后建材将步入冬 储行情,重点关注升贴水变化和钢材冬储情况。板材依旧受制于高库存压制,考虑到元旦后钢厂存在复产情况, 板材库存压力尚存。短期受国际政局影响和低估值补涨,黑色商品表现偏强,然而情绪退坡后仍需考验基本面成 色,后期关注钢厂复产情况。 策略 单边:震荡偏强 跨期:无 跨品种:无 期现:无 期权:无 风险 宏观政策、地产数据、钢材出口、钢厂利润、成本支撑等。 铁矿:宏观情绪改善,铁矿大幅上涨 市场分析 期现货方面:昨日铁矿石期货市场表现强势,受益于黑色板块上行带动,铁矿石2605合约大幅上涨。现货方面, 铁矿石港口现货主流品种报价跟随盘面偏强运行、贸易商报价多随行就市,钢厂采购以刚需为主,目前现货市场 成交冷清。 供需与逻辑:目前铁 ...
金属期权:金属期权策略早报-20260108
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2026-01-08 02:18
金属期权 2026-01-08 金属期权策略早报 | 李立勤 | 高级投研经 理 | 从业资格号:F3074095 | 交易咨询号:Z0017896 | 邮箱:lilq@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号:F03138607 | 电话:0755-23375252 | 邮箱:huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号:F03090207 | 交易咨询号:Z0016947 | 邮箱:lirj@wkqh.cn | 金属期权策略早报概要:(1)有色金属偏多上行,构建卖方中性波动率策略策略;(2)黑色系维持大幅度波动的 行情走势,适合构建做空波动率组合策略;(3)贵金属反弹回暖上升,构建牛市价差组合策略。 表1:标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | (%) | (万手) | ...
农产品期权:农产品期权策略早报-20260108
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2026-01-08 02:13
农产品期权 2026-01-08 农产品期权策略早报 | 李立勤 | 高级投研经 | 从业资格号:F3074095 | 交易咨询号:Z0017896 | 邮箱:lilq@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 理 | | | | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号:F03138607 | 电话:0755-23375252 | 邮箱:huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号:F03090207 | 交易咨询号:Z0016947 | 邮箱:lirj@wkqh.cn | 农产品期权策略早报概要:油料油脂类农产品偏弱震荡,油脂类,农副产品维持震荡行情,软商品白糖小幅震荡, 棉花偏强盘整,谷物类玉米和淀粉偏多窄幅盘整。 策略上:构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1:标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | -- ...
金属期权:金属期权策略早报-20260107
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2026-01-07 05:19
Group 1: Report Summary - Report Title: Metal Options Strategy Morning Report [1] - Report Date: January 7, 2026 - Research Team: Li Liqin, Huang Kehan, Li Renjun [2] Group 2: Investment Ratings - No investment ratings were provided in the report. Group 3: Core Views - For non - ferrous metals, which are trending upwards, a seller's neutral volatility strategy is recommended [2]. - For the black series, which are experiencing significant fluctuations, a short - volatility portfolio strategy is suitable [2]. - For precious metals, which are rebounding, a bull spread portfolio strategy is suggested [2]. Group 4: Market Overview Futures Market - Copper (CU2602) closed at 104,600, up 1,300 (1.26%) with a trading volume of 29.10 million hands and an open interest of 22.36 million hands [3]. - Aluminum (AL2602) closed at 24,695, up 620 (2.58%) with a trading volume of 55.17 million hands and an open interest of 25.31 million hands [3]. - Other metals such as zinc, lead, nickel, etc., also had their respective price changes, trading volumes, and open interest as detailed in the report [3]. Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR: Different metals had varying volume and open - interest PCR values, which are used to describe the strength of the option underlying and potential turning points [4]. - Pressure and Support Levels: Pressure and support levels were identified for each metal option based on the strike prices of the maximum open interest of call and put options [5]. - Implied Volatility: Implied volatility data for each metal option were presented, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and its changes [6]. Group 5: Strategy Recommendations Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: A bull spread strategy for call options, a short - volatility seller's option portfolio strategy, and a spot long - hedging strategy are recommended [7]. - **Aluminum**: A bull spread strategy for call options, a short - volatility option portfolio strategy with a positive delta, and a spot collar strategy are suggested [9]. - **Zinc**: A short - volatility option portfolio strategy with a long - delta and a spot collar strategy are recommended [9]. - **Nickel**: A bull spread strategy for call options, a short - volatility option portfolio strategy with a long - delta, and a spot covered - call strategy are suggested [10]. - **Tin**: A short - volatility strategy and a spot collar strategy are recommended [10]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: A short - volatility option portfolio strategy with a long - delta and a spot long - hedging strategy are suggested [11]. Precious Metals - **Silver**: A short - volatility option seller's portfolio strategy with a neutral delta and a spot hedging strategy are recommended [12]. Black Series - **Rebar**: A short - volatility option portfolio strategy with a short - delta and a spot covered - call strategy are suggested [13]. - **Iron Ore**: A short - volatility option portfolio strategy with a neutral delta and a spot long - collar strategy are recommended [13]. - **Ferroalloys (Manganese Silicon and Silicon Iron)**: Strategies such as short - volatility strategies and spot hedging strategies are recommended according to their respective market conditions [14]. - **Industrial Silicon**: A short - volatility option portfolio strategy with a neutral delta and a spot long - hedging strategy are suggested [14]. - **Glass**: A short - volatility option portfolio strategy and a spot long - collar strategy are recommended [15].
能源化工期权:能源化工期权策略早报-20260107
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2026-01-07 01:59
能源化工期权 2026-01-07 能源化工期权策略早报 | 李立勤 | 高级投研经 | 从业资格号:F3074095 | 交易咨询号:Z0017896 | 邮箱:lilq@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 理 | | | | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号:F03138607 | 电话:0755-23375252 | 邮箱:huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号:F03090207 | 交易咨询号:Z0016947 | 邮箱:lirj@wkqh.cn | 能源化工期权策略早报概要:能源类:原油、LPG;聚烯烃类期权:聚丙烯、聚氯乙烯、塑料、苯乙烯;聚酯类期 权:对二甲苯、PTA、短纤、瓶片;碱化工类:烧碱、纯碱;其他能源化工类:橡胶等。 策略上:构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1:标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...
农产品期权:农产品期权策略早报-20260107
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2026-01-07 01:22
农产品期权 2026-01-07 农产品期权策略早报 | 李立勤 | 高级投研经 | 从业资格号:F3074095 | 交易咨询号:Z0017896 | 邮箱:lilq@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 理 | | | | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号:F03138607 | 电话:0755-23375252 | 邮箱:huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号:F03090207 | 交易咨询号:Z0016947 | 邮箱:lirj@wkqh.cn | 农产品期权策略早报概要:油料油脂类农产品偏弱震荡,油脂类,农副产品维持震荡行情,软商品白糖小幅震荡, 棉花偏强盘整,谷物类玉米和淀粉偏多窄幅盘整。 策略上:构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1:标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | -- ...