Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a net profit of 388 million yuan for the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 212.7%. The revenue for the same period was 2.798 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.2% [2][3] - The company aims to achieve a total pig output of approximately 3.2 million heads in 2025, with the first half of 2025 showing an output of 1.5395 million heads, which is 44%-48.1% of the annual target [3][5] - The company has maintained a low debt ratio of 26.0% as of June 2025, down 1.8 percentage points from the previous quarter [2][3] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenues of 2.798 billion yuan, with a net profit of 388 million yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 398 million yuan [2] - The company’s total revenue is projected to reach 6.071 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 8.7%. The net profit is expected to be 767 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.7% [8] - The company’s gross profit margin is expected to improve from 20.8% in 2024 to 21.3% in 2025 [8] Cost Management - The total cost of pig farming in Q2 2025 is approximately 12.4 yuan per kilogram, remaining stable compared to Q1 2025 [3][4] - The company has successfully reduced its pig farming costs from 13.9 yuan per kilogram in 2024 to 12.4 yuan per kilogram in Q1 2025 [4] Future Outlook - The company anticipates a steady increase in pig output, projecting 3.2 million heads in 2025, 3.52 million in 2026, and 3.87 million in 2027, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 41%, 10%, and 10% [5] - The company expects to achieve a main business revenue of 6.071 billion yuan in 2025, with net profits projected to reach 767 million yuan [5][8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Jingji Zhinong is actively engaging with investors and analysts to discuss its current operations and future plans in the pig farming industry, highlighting cost management and disease control measures [1] - The overall cost of pig farming for Jingji Zhinong is approximately 13.3 yuan/kg, with expectations for a continued decrease in costs this year [1] - The company aims to achieve a pig output target of around 2.3 million heads this year while maintaining the total number of breeding sows [1] Group 2 - Jingji Zhinong has established a four-color zoning prevention and control system to monitor pig health in response to ongoing challenges in the industry due to severe weather [1] - The company is collaborating with industry experts to research and implement serum acclimatization plans to combat the impact of blue ear disease on pig health [1] - The company has two business models for its IP operations: collaboration with top-tier IPs for product design and promotion, and partnerships with mid-tier IPs to create proprietary products [1] Group 3 - As of June 2025, the company's real estate inventory stands at 590 million yuan, with ongoing efforts to reduce this inventory [1] - The company's asset-liability ratio has decreased compared to the beginning of 2025, indicating a positive trend in financial health [1] - The pig farming operations are running normally, and the company anticipates further improvement in its asset-liability ratio due to healthy capital usage [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 76.463 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 34.46%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 10.530 billion yuan, a staggering increase of 1169.77%. The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 9.32 yuan per 10 shares to all shareholders [5][13] - The revenue from the pig farming segment was 75.446 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 34.68%. The company sold a total of 46.91 million pigs, including 38.394 million market pigs, 8.291 million piglets, and 225,000 breeding pigs. The production costs for pig farming have been decreasing monthly, with the total cost in June 2025 falling below 12.1 yuan/kg [5][15] - The slaughtering business saw a revenue increase of 93.83%, reaching 19.345 billion yuan, with 11.4148 million pigs slaughtered and 1.2736 million tons of fresh and frozen pork sold. The company aims to enhance the operational efficiency and capacity utilization of its slaughterhouses to improve profitability [16] - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 143.491 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 4.02%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 22.436 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 25.47% [17] Financial Data Summary - For the first half of 2025, the gross profit margin was 19.02%, an increase of 11.28 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 14.11%, up by 12.31 percentage points year-on-year. This improvement is attributed to stable market prices for pigs and decreasing farming costs [14] - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 202.527 billion yuan by 2025, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 52.76% [19] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 4.11 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.2 [17]

Core Viewpoint - The significant increase in the performance of Muyuan Foods in the first half of 2025 is attributed to a rise in the number of pigs sold, with a notable growth in both revenue and net profit compared to the previous year [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Muyuan Foods achieved an operating income of 76.463 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.46% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 10.53 billion yuan, reflecting a staggering year-on-year growth of 1169.77% [1] - For Q2 2025, the operating income was 40.4 billion yuan, up 32.1% year-on-year, while the net profit was 6.04 billion yuan, an increase of 88.2% [1] Production and Sales - The total number of pigs sold by Muyuan Foods in the first half of 2025 was 46.91 million, including 38.39 million commodity pigs, 8.29 million piglets, and 225,000 breeding pigs [2] - The company slaughtered 11.4148 million pigs and achieved pork sales of 127.36 thousand tons, with the slaughtering and meat business generating an operating income of 19.345 billion yuan, a 93.83% increase year-on-year [2] Cost Management - The complete cost of pig farming reached 12.1 yuan/kg by June 2025, with the company aiming for an average cost of 12 yuan/kg for the entire year [2] - As of July 2025, the complete cost of pig farming was reported to be approximately 11.8 yuan/kg [2] Asset and Equity Position - As of the end of Q2 2025, the total assets of Muyuan Foods were 186.454 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.6% from the end of the previous year, while the net assets attributable to shareholders increased by 8.9% to 78.442 billion yuan [2] - The asset-liability ratio stood at 56.06%, down 2.62 percentage points from the beginning of the year [2] Business Expansion - Muyuan Foods is actively expanding its meat processing business and sales channels, aiming to optimize its customer and product structure [3] - The company is also focusing on international markets, having established a subsidiary in Vietnam and submitted an application for an H-share listing in Hong Kong [4] Dividend Distribution - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 9.32 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 5.002 billion yuan, which represents 47.5% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 [5] - The founders of Muyuan Foods are expected to receive approximately 1.91 billion yuan and 59 million yuan in dividends, respectively [5] Share Buyback - In the first half of 2025, Muyuan Foods repurchased shares worth 1.11 billion yuan, with total cash dividends and share buybacks amounting to 6.112 billion yuan, accounting for 58.04% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [6] - As of July 31, 2025, the company had repurchased 53.6312 million shares, representing 0.98% of the total share capital, with a total transaction amount of 2.16 billion yuan [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][12]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated significant revenue growth and profitability, with a notable increase in sales volume and a decrease in costs, indicating a high-quality development trajectory [6][5]. - The company is actively managing its breeding stock to align with national production capacity adjustments, which is expected to enhance industry health [6]. - The company is entering a new development phase characterized by improved cash flow, reduced leverage, and increased shareholder returns [6]. Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - For 2025, the company is projected to achieve total revenue of 146.39 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6.1% [5]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 21.42 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 19.8% [5]. - The company aims to reduce its average breeding cost to 12 yuan/kg by 2025, with current costs showing a downward trend [6]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 9.32 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 5 billion yuan, which represents 47.5% of its net profit for the first half of 2025 [6].

Core Viewpoint - The significant increase in the performance of Muyuan Foods in the first half of 2025 is attributed to a rise in the number of pigs sold, with a notable growth in both revenue and net profit compared to the previous year [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 76.46 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 34.46% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 10.53 billion yuan, showing a remarkable growth of 1169.77% compared to the same period last year [2]. - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 10.68 billion yuan, up 1115.32% year-on-year [2]. - The basic earnings per share were 1.96 yuan, an increase of 1206.67% from 0.15 yuan in the previous year [2]. - The diluted earnings per share were 1.91 yuan, reflecting a growth of 1173.33% [2]. - The weighted average return on equity rose to 13.79%, an increase of 12.49 percentage points from 1.30% [2]. Operational Highlights - The total number of pigs sold in the first half of 2025 was 46.91 million, including 38.39 million commodity pigs, 8.29 million piglets, and 225,000 breeding pigs [3]. - The company slaughtered 11.41 million pigs and achieved pork sales of 127.36 thousand tons, with the slaughtering and meat business generating revenue of 19.35 billion yuan, a 93.83% increase year-on-year [3]. - The complete cost of pig farming was reported at 12.1 yuan/kg, with a decrease to below 12 yuan/kg in July 2025 [3][4]. Strategic Developments - Muyuan Foods is actively expanding its meat processing business and sales channels, aiming to optimize its customer and product structure [4]. - The company has initiated international expansion, establishing Muyuan Vietnam Co., Ltd. and applying for a listing of H-shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [6]. Dividend and Share Buyback - The company proposed a cash dividend of 9.32 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 5.002 billion yuan, which accounts for 47.5% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 [7]. - The founders of the company are expected to receive nearly 2 billion yuan from the dividend distribution [7]. - From January to June 2025, the total amount spent on share buybacks was 1.11 billion yuan, with the total cash dividend and share buyback amounting to 6.112 billion yuan, representing 58.04% of the net profit [7][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock performance that will exceed the market index by more than 15% over the next six months [8]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 76.463 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 34.46%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.53 billion yuan, a staggering increase of 1169.77% [2][5]. - The growth in performance is primarily attributed to the rapid expansion of the pig farming and slaughtering businesses, with the company selling 38.394 million pigs, a 32.5% increase year-on-year, and slaughtering 11.4148 million pigs, a 110.8% increase [5]. - The company has a significant cost advantage in pig farming, with the total cost of pig farming in 2024 estimated at around 14 yuan/kg, and a target to reduce this to an average of 12 yuan/kg for the year [5]. - The slaughtering business is also expanding, with the company establishing over 70 service stations across 20 provinces, achieving a capacity utilization rate of 78.72% in the first half of 2025 [5]. Financial Summary - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from 137.947 billion yuan in 2024 to 161.475 billion yuan by 2027, with net profit expected to increase from 17.881 billion yuan in 2024 to 29.773 billion yuan in 2027 [6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 3.60 yuan for 2025 and 4.23 yuan for 2026, reflecting a positive growth trajectory [6].

8月20日，牧原股份发布2025年半年报。当中披露，2025年上半年，公司实现营业收入764.63亿元，较上年同期增加34.46%，其中，屠宰、肉食业务实现营业收入193.45亿元，较上年同期 2025年上半年，公司共销售生猪4691.0万头，其中商品猪3839.4万头（包括向屠宰肉食类子公司合计销售1138.8万头），仔猪829.1万头，种猪22.5万头。公司共计屠宰生猪1141.48万头 公告提到，2025年上半年，公司生产成绩持续改善，生猪养殖成本逐月下降，2025年6月生猪养殖完全成本低于12.1元/kg。后续公司会围绕健康管理、种猪育种、营养配方、智能化应用等方 ...

新希望（000876.SZ）8月18日在投资者互动平台表示，公司二季度正常运营场线的成本也已降至13元左 右，虽然相比同行友商仍存在差距，但同比去年同期，也下降了1.6元。今年到年底还可以再降低几毛 钱。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：牧原的成本已经到12以内了，为何贵公司的成本下降 如此之慢，差距之大。有什么好的措施吗？今年年底预计成本能降低到多少？ ...

文|恒心 来源|博望财经 牧原股份一份净利润预增超1100%的半年报引爆市场。 2025年上半年，牧原股份归母净利润达102亿元–107亿元，同比增幅高达1129.97%–1190.26%。这一数字不仅刷新行业纪录，更颠覆了生猪养殖企业"靠天 吃饭"的周期股标签。 | 项目 | 本报告期 | 上年同期 | | --- | --- | --- | | 净利润 | 盈利:105.00 亿元-110.00 亿元 | 盈利: 10.25 亿元 | | | 比上年同期增长:924.60%-973.39% | | | 归属于上市公司股 | 盈利:102.00 亿元-107.00 亿元 | 盈利: 8.29 亿元 | | 东的净利润 | 比上年同期增长:1,129.97%-1,190.26% | | | 扣除非经常性损益 | 盈利:106.00 亿元-111.00 亿元 | 盈利: 10.78 亿元 | | 后的净利润 | 比上年同期增长:882.95%-929.31% | | | 基本每股收益 | 盈利:1.90元/股-2.00元/股 | 盈利:0.15元/股 | 早在业绩预告披露之前，牧原股份就曾公告赴港上市。据招股书 ...