Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government expresses strong dissatisfaction and firm opposition to the G7 countries' criticism of Hong Kong's law enforcement actions against individuals involved in illegal election activities, labeling it as "transnational repression" [1] Group 1: Government Response - The Chinese government asserts that the actions taken by the Hong Kong police under the National Security Law are in accordance with international law and customary practices, deeming them reasonable, legal, and necessary [1] - The statement highlights that accusations from certain countries regarding "transnational repression" are unfounded and reveal hypocrisy and double standards [1] Group 2: Support for Law Enforcement - The central government of China firmly supports the Hong Kong police in their law enforcement actions against individuals and organizations that undermine national security, emphasizing the importance of maintaining long-term stability in Hong Kong [1] - The Chinese government urges foreign nations and organizations to cease their support for anti-China elements in Hong Kong and to stop interfering in China's internal affairs [1]

Group 1: Recent Diplomatic Dynamics - The Trump administration has been active in diplomacy, particularly regarding the Russia-Ukraine conflict, aiming to facilitate a ceasefire without European involvement [3] - The U.S. has adopted a hardline stance on global tariff policies, imposing tariffs on major trade partners like India and the EU, indicating significant trade tensions [4] Group 2: Insights from U.S.-China Negotiations - U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent revealed intense negotiations over sovereignty issues, with China asserting its right to purchase Russian oil and maintain its own security needs [5] - The Chinese delegation demonstrated preparedness and flexibility in discussions about tariff exemptions and energy cooperation, indicating a strong negotiating position [5] Group 3: Underlying Motivations for Trump's Shift - The Trump administration faces dual pressures from the Russia-Ukraine situation and U.S.-China trade negotiations, prompting a reassessment of its hardline tariff strategies [7] - Domestic inflation and upcoming midterm elections are influencing the Trump administration to reconsider the effectiveness of its trade policies with China [7] Group 4: Future Implications of U.S.-China Relations - Structural conflicts between the U.S. and China remain unresolved, with potential for temporary agreements on tariffs and energy procurement, but long-term competition is expected to escalate [9] - The evolving global power dynamics are reflected in the shifting alliances and the impact of U.S. unilateralism on its relationships with allies [9][11]

这种制裁的荒诞性在于，美国与俄罗斯的直接贸易额已萎缩至战前的5%，所谓对俄关税更像是对第三方的隔山打 牛。英国《独立报》犀利指出，这本质是用美国市场准入权要挟他国站队。更讽刺的是，特朗普团队一面推动制 裁，一面修改法案为自己保留取消或推迟制裁的绝对权力——所谓希望不必实施，不过是给霸权裹上一层协商的 糖衣。 印度首当其冲。莫迪政府陷入两难：俄乌冲突后，印度从俄进口石油量暴增7倍，占其总进口量的45%。若按美国 要求替换俄油，仅运输成本就将增加20%以上，这将直接冲击印度经济（印度GDP增速已因高油价承压）。印度 商工部官员私下坦言：我们理解和平的重要性，但能源安全是发展的底线。" 华盛顿的白宫椭圆办公室里，特朗普将一张写有50天通牒的文件推到镜头前时，全球贸易圈的神经瞬间紧绷。这 份以推动俄乌和谈为名的制裁方案，本质是美国用市场准入权当筹码，向全球主要经济体发起的一场选边站胁迫 ——要么停止与俄贸易，要么接受美国市场的关门惩罚。 所谓二级制裁，是美国精心设计的连坐机制：任何继续购买俄罗斯石油的国家，其对美出口商品可能面临最高 100%的关税。美国驻北约大使惠特克的表态直白得近乎露骨：这不是制裁俄罗斯，而是对印 ...

Group 1 - The core issue revolves around the U.S. Treasury Secretary's remarks regarding China's oil purchases from Russia and Iran, which are seen as a point of contention in U.S.-China trade negotiations [1][3] - The U.S. aims to weaken the economic power of Russia and Iran by pressuring China to halt its energy purchases, viewing China's actions as undermining the effectiveness of sanctions [3][6] - China has firmly rejected U.S. interference in its energy trade, asserting that its relations with Russia and Iran are diplomatic matters and not subject to U.S. negotiation [3][4] Group 2 - China's recent diplomatic engagement with Iran and Russia indicates its commitment to maintaining normal trade relations despite U.S. threats, emphasizing its stance on international fairness and justice [4][8] - The U.S. domestic response to its hardline energy policies includes warnings from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce about potential WTO disputes and disruptions in domestic energy supply chains [6] - China's energy strategy focuses on diversifying its import sources and reducing reliance on U.S. dollar transactions, with over 70% of its energy consumption coming from imported oil [6][8]

Group 1 - NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte warned that Brazil, China, and India could face severe "secondary sanctions" if they continue trading with Russia, urging these countries to reassess their cooperation with Russia [1][3] - Rutte emphasized the potential serious consequences for Brazil, India, and China, suggesting they should communicate with Putin regarding the importance of peace negotiations [3] - The context of Rutte's comments includes a recent announcement by U.S. President Trump about new sanctions against Russia, which could impose a 100% secondary tariff on countries purchasing Russian exports if a peace agreement is not reached within 50 days [3] Group 2 - India has significantly increased its purchase of Russian oil, which now constitutes one-third of its total imports, potentially facing challenges if new Western sanctions are implemented [3] - The Indian government is exploring alternative supply channels in the Middle East to mitigate the impact of potential sanctions, despite these options being more expensive [3] - China's Foreign Ministry reiterated its stance that dialogue and negotiation are the only viable solutions to the Ukraine crisis, opposing unilateral sanctions and coercive measures [4]

Core Viewpoint - NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg warned that countries like Brazil, China, and India could face severe "secondary sanctions" if they continue trade with Russia [1] Group 1: NATO's Position - NATO emphasizes the potential consequences for countries engaging in trade with Russia, indicating a shift in geopolitical dynamics [1] - The warning reflects NATO's broader strategy to isolate Russia economically amid ongoing tensions [1] Group 2: China's Response - China's Foreign Ministry reiterated its stance that dialogue and negotiation are the only viable solutions to the Ukraine crisis, opposing unilateral sanctions and "long-arm jurisdiction" [1] - The Chinese government advocates for creating a conducive environment for political resolution and encourages constructive actions towards peace talks [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government emphasizes that there are no winners in a trade war and that coercion and pressure cannot resolve issues, advocating for dialogue and negotiation as the only viable solution to crises [1] Group 1 - The Chinese stance is that dialogue and negotiation are essential for resolving crises, particularly in the context of the Ukraine situation [1] - The Chinese government firmly opposes any illegal unilateral sanctions and extraterritorial jurisdiction [1] - The call is made for all parties to create a conducive atmosphere for political resolution of the Ukraine crisis and to engage in actions that promote peace talks [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent shift in Trump's stance towards Russia, from seeking business cooperation to threatening 100% tariffs, raises questions about the changing international landscape and the effectiveness of such sanctions [1][3]. Group 1: Trump's Tariff Threat - Trump announced a plan involving weapon aid to Ukraine and a threat of 100% tariffs on Russia if a peace agreement is not reached within 50 days [1]. - The bilateral trade volume between the US and Russia is only $3.5 billion in 2024, making the tariff threat less impactful for Russia, which is already under heavy sanctions [1][3]. - Trump's reliance on tariffs as a tool for international intervention reflects his background as a businessman, but the effectiveness of this approach is uncertain given the current geopolitical complexities [3]. Group 2: Impact on International Relations - The proposed tariffs may primarily affect countries that trade with Russia, such as China and India, potentially leading to broader trade implications [3]. - Trump's actions appear to be a political maneuver to gain support domestically and from European allies, rather than a straightforward economic strategy [3][6]. - The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict is more complex than the tariff threats suggest, with Russia's strategic goals remaining clear despite international sanctions [4]. Group 3: Domestic and International Reactions - There is growing discontent among the Ukrainian populace regarding the prolonged conflict, which could complicate any increased military aid from the US [6]. - Russia's response indicates a lack of fear towards Trump's threats, suggesting they are prepared for continued pressure from the US [6][8]. - The situation highlights the limitations of sanctions and military aid in resolving deep-rooted geopolitical conflicts, emphasizing that true outcomes will depend on the evolving battlefield dynamics [6][8].

今日俄罗斯记者提问，美国共和党联邦参议员格雷厄姆威胁包括中国在内的国家称，如果继续与俄罗斯进 行贸易，这些国家将面临500%的关税。中方如何应对这种威胁？ 证券时报各平台所有原创内容，未经书面授权，任何单位及个人不得转载。我社保留追 究相关 行 为主体 法律责任的权利。 15日，外交部发言人林剑主持例行记者会。 林剑对此回应说，中方在乌克兰危机问题上的立场一贯明确，我们始终认为对话谈判是解决乌克兰危机的 唯一可行出路。中方坚决反对任何非法单边制裁和长臂管辖。关税战没有赢家，胁迫施压解决不了问题。 希望各方能为推动乌克兰危机政治解决进一步营造氛围、积累条件，多做有益于劝和促谈的事。 综合自：央视新闻 责编：叶舒筠 校对： 杨舒欣 版权声明 点击关键字可查看 潜望系列深度报道丨 股事会专栏 丨 投资小红书 丨 e公司调查 丨 时报会客厅 丨 十大明星私募访谈 丨 A股，尾盘突变！ 丨 特朗普威胁对俄征收100%关税 外交部回应 丨 利好刺激，这一板块大涨！ 丨 黄仁勋：将开始向中国市场销售H20芯片 丨 ↑5.3%！重磅经济数据出炉！ 丨 关税突发！特朗普 最新表态！ 丨 100%关税！特朗普威胁俄罗斯！ 丨 利 ...

据北京日报，7月15日，外交部发言人林剑主持例行记者会。 今日俄罗斯记者提问， 美国共和党联邦参议员格雷厄姆威胁包括中国在内的国家称，如果继 续与俄罗斯进行能源贸易，将面临500%的关税。 请问中方如何回应？ 林剑表示，中方在乌克兰危机问题上的立场一贯明确。我们始终认为，对话谈判是解决乌克兰 危机的唯一可行出路。中方坚决反对任何非法单边制裁和"长臂管辖"。关税战没有赢家，胁迫 施压解决不了问题。希望各方能为推动乌克兰危机政治解决进一步营造氛围、积累条件，多做 有益于劝和促谈的事。 今日俄罗斯记者补充提问，俄罗斯外长拉夫罗夫正在中国访问。请问发言人能否介绍拉夫罗夫 外长访华相关情况？外交部对俄罗斯外长此次访问有何评论？ 林剑回应，关于习近平主席会见拉夫罗夫外长以及中俄外长会见的情况，中方已经发布了消 息。中俄在各层级都保持着密切、顺畅的沟通，这有利于及时落实两国元首达成的共识，促进 各自的发展振兴，共同应对动荡变革世界带来的挑战。 ...