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BTC繼續反彈!臨近阻力位,是上是下?關鍵分界!
Cryptocurrency Market Analysis - Bitcoin is experiencing a rebound but has not yet established a higher high, facing resistance at a potential support/resistance flip zone [1] - Ethereum shows signs of a potential upward trend, possibly outperforming Bitcoin in the short term, with decreasing selling volume and a breakout above a descending trendline [1] Trading Strategy - For Bitcoin, the analyst suggests waiting for a clear breakout and retest of the support/resistance level or a false breakdown below a parallel low before considering a long position [1] - For Ethereum, the analyst suggests looking for potential support levels on pullbacks for possible long entries [1] - The analyst advises against joining the current consolidation phase, recommending waiting for a clearer trend to emerge before taking a position [1] Risk Management - The analyst notes that Bitcoin's weekly chart shows signs of weakness, suggesting caution if the price rebounds to the 0.06% to 0.68% Fibonacci retracement level, which could present a shorting opportunity [1] - The analyst highlights the presence of stop-loss orders below parallel lows in Bitcoin, indicating potential for a false breakdown before a significant rally [1]
Stock Of The Day: Breakout For Mohawk Industries?
Benzinga· 2025-08-26 17:11
Core Viewpoint - Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) is currently experiencing quiet trading, but there is anticipation of a potential breakout that could lead to a price increase [1]. Group 1: Trading Dynamics - Traders are assessing whether the current trading situation represents a true breakout or a false breakout, which could lead to a rapid price reversal [1]. - Resistance is defined as a price level where there is significant selling interest, which can push the price lower if sellers overpower buyers [2]. - A breakout occurs when buyers overpower sellers at resistance, leading to a bullish price movement [2]. Group 2: Resistance and Support Levels - The removal of supply from the market, as sellers cancel or complete their orders, may set the stage for a price increase [4]. - A confirmed breakout is indicated when a previous resistance level turns into support, as traders who sold at resistance buy back their shares [5]. - The $114 and $121 levels previously served as resistance before becoming support, leading to subsequent price increases [6]. Group 3: Current Focus - Traders are currently monitoring the $130 level to see if it will also transition from resistance to support, which could signal another upward movement for the stock [7].
8月22日【港股Podcast】恆指、中興通訊、華虹、小米、快手、港交所
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-22 12:58
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is expected to open higher next Monday, with predictions of a rise between 300 to 500 points, aiming to challenge the 26,000 mark [1] - Current resistance level for HSI is at 25,578 points, and if broken, it could test 25,995 points [1] - The closing index is at 25,339 points, which is close to the day's high of 25,349 points, indicating a positive trend [1] Group 2 - ZTE Corporation (00763.HK) shows strong momentum, with a recent price of 36.06 HKD, and a potential resistance at 39.9 HKD and 43 HKD [8] - Investors holding a call option with an exercise price of 40 HKD are seeing a 12% out-of-the-money level based on current prices [8] Group 3 - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) closed at 56 HKD, with a buy signal despite a significant price increase, and resistance at 63.4 HKD [10] - Support levels are identified at 47.1 HKD and 43.1 HKD [10] Group 4 - Xiaomi Group (01810.HK) closed at 52.55 HKD, below the Bollinger channel, indicating a sell signal [17] - Support levels are at 50.8 HKD and 49.2 HKD, with resistance at 54.6 HKD [17] Group 5 - Kuaishou Technology (01024.HK) fluctuated between 69.2 HKD and 75.3 HKD, with a buy signal but not reaching a strong buy position [20] - Support levels are at 70.5 HKD and 67 HKD [20] Group 6 - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388.HK) closed at 448 HKD, with a buy signal and a first resistance level at 456 HKD [28] - Support levels are at 436 HKD and 426 HKD [28]
中興通訊飆升6.6% 強勢突破所有均線!
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-22 03:19
Core Viewpoint - ZTE Corporation (00763) has emerged as a standout stock in the Hong Kong telecommunications equipment sector, with a significant price increase driven by market news and technical analysis [1][3]. Technical Analysis - ZTE's stock price surged to HKD 34.1, marking a 6.59% increase, before closing at HKD 31.36 [1]. - The stock has broken through multiple key technical levels, with the 10-day moving average at HKD 27.42 acting as initial support, while the 30-day and 60-day moving averages are at HKD 26.14 and HKD 24.79, respectively [1]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reached 79, indicating an overbought condition, yet technical indicators still signal a "buy" with a strength of 11 [1]. - The stock's volatility over the past five trading days was 25.4%, suggesting active market sentiment and potential trading opportunities [3]. Support and Resistance Levels - ZTE's first support level is at HKD 28.3, with a second support at HKD 25.6. The first resistance level is at HKD 35.8, and the second resistance is at HKD 37.8 [3]. - A breakthrough above HKD 35.8 could open up new upward potential, while a retreat at resistance would require monitoring of support levels [3]. Market Sentiment and Capital Flow - Increased trading volume indicates significant institutional investment, although there are signs of profit-taking from northbound capital [3]. - The current upward probability is estimated at 52%, reflecting a balance between bullish and bearish forces in the market [3]. Investment Products - Various investment products are available, such as the BOCHK call warrant with an exercise price of HKD 38.93, offering 1.9 times leverage, suitable for short-term investors [4]. - The JPMorgan call warrant has a higher leverage of 3.9 times, targeting more aggressive investors, while another product offers a longer expiration date for medium-term strategies [4].
8月8日【港股Podcast】恆指、中移動、海螺水泥、贛鋒鋰業、美團、洛陽洛陽鉬業
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-08 10:52
Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 24,858 points, with bearish investors indicating a target drop to 24,500 points next week [1] - Technical signals for the index are neutral, with 9 sell signals, 4 buy signals, and 10 neutral signals [1] - Key support and resistance levels are identified at 24,395 points and 25,355 points respectively [1] Group 2: China Mobile (00941.HK) - China Mobile's stock price closed at HKD 89.6, breaking through the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [3] - The stock has resistance levels at HKD 90.1 and HKD 93.4, with a neutral technical analysis signal [3] Group 3: Conch Cement (00914.HK) - Conch Cement's stock price closed at HKD 23.86, showing a significant upward movement and stabilizing above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [6] - The stock has 2 sell signals, 10 buy signals, and 11 neutral signals, with a resistance level at HKD 24.9 [6] Group 4: Ganfeng Lithium (01772.HK) - Ganfeng Lithium's stock price has broken through the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, with a current buy signal [9] - The stock has resistance levels at HKD 30.5 and HKD 32.3, indicating potential to break above HKD 32 [9] Group 5: Meituan-W (03690.HK) - Meituan's stock price closed at HKD 120.8, showing a downward trend from a high of HKD 136.1 [12] - The technical signal is a sell, with 11 sell signals and 1 buy signal, and support levels at HKD 111.6 and HKD 110.7 [12] Group 6: Luoyang Molybdenum (03993.HK) - Luoyang Molybdenum's stock is viewed positively, with a current buy signal and resistance levels at HKD 10.4 and HKD 10.84 [14] - Investors are optimistic about reaching HKD 11 with call options at that strike price [14]
美元兑瑞郎8月7日上涨0.03% 收于0.8064
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-08-08 08:54
昨日,美元兑瑞郎在技术面上呈现出震荡蓄势的态势,布林带带宽收窄,多空力量相对均衡,汇价在关 键阻力位附近受到压制。从日线图来看,美元兑瑞郎布林带整体带宽收窄,显示波动率有所减弱,市场 处于蓄势阶段。当日布林带中轨位于0.7976附近,上轨位于0.8065,下轨在0.7887。汇价在盘中接近布 林带上轨阻力位,但未能有效突破,说明上方阻力较强,若后续能有效突破0.8065,有望进一步打开上 行空间,下一目标可能指向0.8100;下方支撑位留意0.8030与布林中轨,若跌破则可能重新测试0.7871 低点。 美元兑瑞郎8月7日上涨,涨幅达0.03%,在汇市尾市收于0.8064。 ...
快手短期支撐與阻力全解析
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-06 18:50
Core Viewpoint - Kuaishou's stock price is approaching resistance levels, with a current price of 79.15 HKD and potential challenges at 85-90 HKD, while technical indicators suggest a possible short-term adjustment due to overbought conditions [1][10]. Price Movement and Technical Analysis - Kuaishou's stock rose by 2.79% to close at 79.15 HKD, with a slight decline of 0.02% to 79.1 HKD the following day [1]. - Key support levels are identified at 73.1 HKD and 67.2 HKD, while resistance levels are at 82.4 HKD and 86.3 HKD [3]. - The stock is currently above its 10-day moving average (75.16 HKD) and 30-day moving average (68.4 HKD), indicating strong short-term upward momentum [1]. Derivative Products and Leverage - Various derivative products are available, including HSBC's call option with a leverage of 5.5 times and a strike price of 90.29 HKD, which has a relatively low premium [5]. - For bearish investors, UBS's put option with a strike price of 68.83 HKD offers a leverage of 3.2 times, also with a low premium [5]. - High-leverage products such as the HSBC bull certificate with a recovery price of 66 HKD and a leverage of 4.9 times are highlighted for bullish strategies [6]. Market Sentiment and Trading Strategies - The market sentiment indicates a cautious approach due to the stock being in an overbought zone, with traders considering whether to test resistance at 82.4 HKD or retreat to support at 73.1 HKD [10]. - The analysis suggests that investors should monitor volume changes closely as buying momentum appears to be weakening [3].
挂单报告:黄金上方阻力密布 镑美留意一处上行押注
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-08-06 07:04
Group 1: Gold Market - Spot gold decreased by 0.10%, with resistance levels at 3381, 3384, and 3393, while support levels are at 3370, 3366, and 3360. A short position is favored near 3349.5 [1] Group 2: Silver Market - Spot silver increased by 0.18%, with resistance levels at 38.00 and 38.35, while support levels are at 37.68 and 37.42. A long position is favored near 38.24 [2][3] Group 3: Crude Oil Market - Spot crude oil rose by 0.64%, with resistance levels at 66.35, 67.00, and 68.00, while support levels are at 65.00, 64.10, and 63.00. The current spot price is approximately $0.50 higher than WTI crude oil futures [3][5] Group 4: Currency Market - The GBP/USD pair increased by 0.03%, with resistance levels at 1.3315, 1.3340, and 1.3363, while support levels are at 1.3280, 1.3265, and 1.3240. A long position is favored near 1.3323 [9][10] - The USD/JPY pair decreased by 0.03%, with resistance levels at 147.68, 147.93, and 148.18, while support levels are at 147.25, 147.10, and 146.85. A short position is favored near 147.28 [11]
美元兑瑞郎8月4日上涨0.44% 收于0.8074
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-08-05 08:48
Core Viewpoint - The US dollar against the Swiss franc rose by 0.44% on August 4, closing at 0.8074, indicating strong bullish sentiment in the market [1] Market Sentiment - The proportion of bullish positions in the US dollar against the Swiss franc reached 88%, indicating an overbought condition and strong market sentiment towards the dollar [1] - The presence of significant long positions has provided upward momentum for the price, but there is a potential for a pullback if bullish momentum wanes [1] Support and Resistance Levels - A strong support level has formed around the previous low of 0.8000, as the price rebounded after a dip to 0.8023, indicating buying interest at this level [1] - The 0.8100 level serves as a critical resistance point, where upward momentum has weakened, preventing effective breakthroughs, highlighting the resistance's suppressive effect [1]
7月31日【港股Podcast】恆指、快手、金山軟體、泡泡瑪特、中芯、金沙
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-31 21:32
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is experiencing a downward trend, with investors anticipating further declines, particularly around the 24600 level, while some see support at 24700 and are considering bullish options with a recovery price of 24200 [1] - Technical signals for the index are neutral, indicating a 50% probability of either rising or falling as it approaches the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [1] Kuaishou Technology (01024.HK) - The stock price is nearing the upper limit of the Bollinger Bands, with a strong buy signal indicated by 16 buy signals and 1 sell signal [3] - Resistance levels are identified at 81 and 87.1, while support is close to 69.7, aligning with investor expectations around 70 [3] Kingsoft Corporation (03888.HK) - The stock is showing resilience in a declining market, stabilizing above the recent low of 34.7, with a target range of 38-40 [6] - Technical signals suggest a buy, with resistance at 37.9 and support at 33.7 and 32.6 [7] Pop Mart International (09992.HK) - The stock closed at 246, with a sell signal indicated, and primary support identified at 236 [10] - Investors are holding put options with a strike price of 178.78, which may be too far from the current price, leading to lower price sensitivity [10] Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (00981.HK) - The stock opened high but closed at 51.1 after reaching a peak of 52.95, with a recent volatility of 9.2% [13] - Technical signals indicate a buy with 13 buy signals and 4 sell signals, resistance levels at 54.2 and 56.8, and support at 47.2 and 45.2 [13][14] Sands China Ltd. (01928.HK) - The stock closed at 19.04, maintaining position above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [17] - A buy signal is indicated, with resistance at 19.6 and 20, and support at 18.3 and 17.3 [17][20]