Core Viewpoint - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a downturn, with Bitcoin dropping below $88,000 and a general decline across various cryptocurrencies [1][3][4]. Market Performance - Bitcoin's price fell to $88,427, reflecting a 1.94% decrease over 24 hours, while Ethereum is priced at $3,073, down 1.09% [4][3]. - Other cryptocurrencies such as SOL and Dogecoin also saw significant declines, with SOL down 2.36% and Dogecoin down 2.71% [3][4]. Market Liquidation - Over the past 24 hours, more than 115,000 traders were liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $272 million, primarily from long positions [5][6]. - The breakdown of liquidations shows that long positions accounted for $240 million, while short positions were liquidated for $3.648 million [5][6]. Market Sentiment and Predictions - Jeff Park from Bitwise Alpha noted that Bitcoin's recent price stagnation is due to OG holders selling options, which suppresses price and implied volatility [7]. - Standard Chartered has revised its Bitcoin price forecast, now expecting it to reach $150,000 by the end of 2026, down from a previous estimate of $300,000 [7]. - The firm also pushed back the timeline for Bitcoin to reach $500,000 from 2028 to 2030 [7]. ETF and Market Dynamics - Bitcoin ETFs are facing selling pressure, with BlackRock's IBIT experiencing a net outflow of approximately $2.3 billion last month, marking the largest monthly outflow this year [7]. - The market is characterized by "high supply, low volatility," and unless selling pressure from native options decreases or demand for bullish ETF options increases significantly, Bitcoin is likely to remain a trading asset [7]. Federal Reserve Influence - The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in January has decreased to 24.4%, with a 75.6% chance of maintaining current rates [8]. - The potential appointment of new Federal Reserve leadership may also influence market dynamics, as indicated by comments from the White House National Economic Council Director [8].

加密货币行业巨头云集阿布扎比，急寻资金注入以振兴陷入低迷的市场。在比特币自 10 月起失去动 能、行业遭遇意外寒冬之际，从 MicroStrategy 创始人 Michael Saylor 到币安创始人赵长鹏等关键人物纷 纷现身阿联酋首都，希望获得当地深口袋投资者的资金支持。 据华尔街日报周日报道，上周的多场会议中，加密货币高管们在各个会场间奔波，从比特币中东会议到 「巨鲸专属」海滩俱乐部夜宴，再到超级游艇上的香槟派对，他们积极寻求与阿联酋主权财富基金代表 接触。据悉，管理着 3300 亿美元资产的阿联酋主权财富基金代表正在会场中活动。 阿联酋对加密货币的兴趣持续升温。币安上周获得阿布扎比金融监管机构全面批准，可从该地运营全球 交易平台。主权财富基金 Mubadala 的一个部门 11 月披露已将比特币投资增加两倍，建仓价值约 5.18 亿美元，同时通过 ETF 持有另外 5.67 亿美元的比特币头寸。 风投公司 RockawayX 在演示中将阿联酋称为「数字金融的新华尔街」，该公司刚宣布将被阿布扎比投 资者支持的公司收购。然而业内人士提醒，获得阿联酋资金通常需要数年关系建设和本地业务承诺，而 非「空降取钱就 ...

2025年诺贝尔物理学奖花落量子计算领域，三位科学家因"在宏观电路中观测到量子隧穿与能级量子 化"而共同获奖。这一殊荣不仅是对科学家个人成就的肯定，更是将量子计算这一前沿技术推向了公众 视野。随着诺奖效应的扩散，加密货币社区中关于"量子计算将终结加密货币"的讨论也一度升温。本文 试图从量子技术与宏观市场角度讨论，量子计算将如何改变加密货币即将面临的安全威胁范式。 量子计算——迫在眉睫的致命威胁？ 面对周期性的"量子威胁论"，加密市场已形成了相对成熟的共识。一方面，业内人士承认理论风险的存 在——基于椭圆曲线数字签名算法（ECDSA）的加密体系，在足够强大的量子计算机面前确实脆弱。 另一方面，市场对量子威胁的普遍性与阶段性一般保持乐观的态度，而逐渐对威胁本身麻木。这种麻木 态度源于多重因素：一方面，加密市场诞生以来已历经多次"死亡宣告"，社区形成了天然的怀疑精神； 另一方面，诸如"后量子密码学已在研发中""可通过软分叉升级解决"等论调，结合量子计算预计5-10年 的落地时间，为市场提供了心理安全垫。 令人担忧的是，当前加密领域对量子威胁的应对措施呈现出严重的碎片化倾向。少数有远见的项目方开 始在代码中预留升级接 ...

记者丨刘雪莹 编辑丨曾静娇 今年以来，人民币中间价年内涨幅超过1000个基点。 消息面上， 美联储降息预期改变。 据财联社援引CME"美联储观察"最新数据，美联储明年1月降息25个基 点的概率为24.4%，维持利率不变的概率为75.6%。 国内经济有韧性。 12月15日国内最新经济数据出炉，11月份国民经济运行总体平稳，延续稳 中有进发展态势。（ 详情 ） 海外资金加速流入中国。 近期，国际货币基金组织（IMF）、世界银行及多家全球顶尖金融机 构接连发布报告，上调对中国经济增长的预期。尽管面临复杂内外环境，中国经济的韧性与政 策成效获得广泛认可，海外资金对中国市场的关注度与配置兴趣正显著回升。（ 详情 ） （声明：文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作，风险自担。） 12月15日，人民币走强，截至12:00左右，在岸人民币兑美元汇率升至7.05附近，为2024年10 月8日以来的最强水平；离岸人民币击穿7.05，达7.04686。 12月15日，人民币兑美元中间价报7.0656，下调18点。 | W | 美元兑人民币(CFETS) | | | --- | --- | --- | | | USDCNY ...

美股频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> 责任编辑：栎树 12月15日，比特币一路下行，盘中跌破88000美元。除了比特币，以太坊跌1.99%，SOL币跌2.9%，XRP 币跌2.35%，狗狗币跌3.72%，ADA币跌3.63%。 Coinglass数据显示，过去的24小时内，加密货币全网合约爆仓2.7亿美元，爆仓人数为11.57万人。其 中，多单爆仓2.3亿美元，空单爆仓3523.7万美元。最大单笔爆仓单发生在Hyperliquid-ETH，价值485.42 万美元。 ...

分析指出，此次暴跌的核心诱因是 美联储降息预期骤然降温。尽管上周美联储宣布降息，但主席鲍威尔对2026年1月是否继续降息态度模糊，强调政策 将"高度依赖数据"，导致市场对宽松周期的乐观情绪迅速逆转。CME"美联储观察"工具显示，明年1月维持利率不变的概率已升至75.6%，远高于降息预 期。 2025年12月15日，全球加密货币市场遭遇"黑色星期一"——比特币价格盘中一度失守88000美元大关，最低下探至87967.8美元，24小时内跌幅达2.48%。以 太坊、SOL、XRP、狗狗币、ADA等主流币种全线重挫，跌幅普遍在2%至3.7%之间，市场情绪急转直下，恐慌指数飙升。 据Coinglass最新数据，过去24小时内， 全网合约爆仓金额高达2.7亿美元，爆仓人数突破11.57万，其中多头头寸爆仓超2.3亿美元，成为本轮下跌的主要牺牲 品。最大单笔爆仓发生在Hyperliquid平台的以太坊合约，单笔损失达485.42万美元，令人瞠目。 当潮水退去，裸泳者不止一个，而是一群。 （本文基于CNMO、Coinglass及主流财经媒体公开数据整理。加密货币投资风险极高，本文不构成任何投资建议。市场有风险，入市须谨慎。） ...

Group 1 - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a significant downturn, with Bitcoin dropping below $88,000, reflecting a 2.43% decline within 24 hours [1][2] - As of the latest update, Bitcoin is priced at $88,547.7, showing a slight recovery but still down by 1.9% for the day [1] - Other cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum and Solana also reported declines, with Ethereum at $3,073 (down 1.09%) and Solana at $129.9 (down 2.36%) [2][4] Group 2 - Over the past 24 hours, more than 115,000 traders were liquidated in the cryptocurrency market, with a total liquidation amount of $272 million, primarily from long positions [5] - The liquidation breakdown shows that $240 million came from long positions, while $36.48 million was from short positions [5] Group 3 - Jeff Park from Bitwise Alpha indicates that Bitcoin's recent price stagnation is due to OG holders selling options, which suppresses price and implied volatility [6] - Standard Chartered has revised its Bitcoin price forecast, now expecting it to reach $150,000 by the end of 2026, down from a previous estimate of $300,000 [6] - The firm also pushed back the timeline for Bitcoin to hit $500,000 from 2028 to 2030, citing a lack of valuation basis for continued buying [6] Group 4 - The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January has decreased to 24.4%, while the probability of maintaining current rates has increased to 75.6% [7] - The market anticipates a 41.9% chance of a cumulative 25 basis points cut by March, with a 49.8% chance of rates remaining unchanged [7]

Market Overview - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a significant downturn, with Bitcoin dropping below $88,000, reflecting a 2.43% decline within 24 hours [2] - As of the latest update, Bitcoin's price slightly rebounded to $88,547.7, marking a 1.9% decrease for the day [2] - Ethereum (ETH) is priced at $3,073, down 1.09%, while Solana (SOL) has decreased by 2.36% to $129.9 [3][4] Liquidation Data - Over the past 24 hours, more than 115,000 traders have been liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $272 million, including $240 million from long positions and $36.48 million from short positions [4] - The liquidation amounts for different time frames include $2.7 million in the last hour, $90.19 million in the last four hours, and $180 million in the last 12 hours [5] Market Sentiment and Predictions - Jeff Park, head of Bitwise Alpha strategy, indicates that Bitcoin's recent price stagnation is due to OG holders continuously selling options, which suppresses price and implied volatility [6] - Standard Chartered has revised its Bitcoin price forecast, expecting it to reach $150,000 by the end of 2026, down from a previous estimate of $300,000, and delaying the long-term target of $500,000 from 2028 to 2030 [6] - The digital asset treasury (DAT) is reportedly lacking the valuation basis or momentum to continue buying Bitcoin, suggesting a potential end to significant buying pressure [6] ETF and Fund Flows - Bitcoin ETFs are facing selling pressure, with BlackRock's IBIT experiencing a net outflow of approximately $2.3 billion last month, marking the second-largest monthly outflow this year [7] - The expectation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January has significantly diminished, contributing to the sell-off in risk assets [8] Broader Market Impact - The downturn in the cryptocurrency market coincides with a notable decline in stock markets in Japan and South Korea, indicating a broader risk-off sentiment among investors [9]

12月15日，比特币一路下行，盘中跌破88000美元，截至发稿，比特币报87967.8美元，跌幅2.48%。 除了比特币，以太坊跌1.99%，SOL币跌2.9%，XRP币跌2.35%，狗狗币跌3.72%，ADA币跌3.63%。 | | $387.5亿 -1.1% | 3056 | -1.99% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | SOL | | | | = | | 129.3 | -2.9% | | | $71.2亿 +1.4% | | | | | XRP | 1.975 | -2.35% | | | $35.5亿 +4.0% | | | | | НУРЕ | | | | | $16亿 -0.4% | 28.95 | -1.64% | | | BNB | | | | | $13.3亿 -1.7% | 877 | -2.36% | | | DOGE | | | | | $13.1亿 +1.0% | 0.134 | -3.72% | | | ZEC | | | | N | $9.2亿 -10.8% | 404.8 | -8.52% | | | SUI | 1.55 | -3.42% | ...

市场分析普遍认为，美联储降息预期显著降温是本轮抛售的主要诱因。尽管美联储在上周宣布降息，但 主席鲍威尔对2026年1月是否继续降息态度模糊，强调政策将高度依赖后续经济数据，导致市场对宽松 前景信心减弱。CME"美联储观察"工具显示，1月维持利率不变的概率高达75.6%，而到3月仍不降息的 可能性接近50%。 【CNMO科技消息】12月15日，加密货币市场普遍下跌，比特币价格一度跌破88000美元关口，截至发 稿报87967.8美元，跌幅达2.48%。其他主流币种同步走低，以太坊下跌1.99%，SOL币跌2.9%，XRP币 跌2.35%，狗狗币和ADA币跌幅分别达3.72%和3.63%。 据Coinglass数据，过去24小时内，全网加密货币合约爆仓金额达2.7亿美元，涉及11.57万名投资者。其 中多头头寸爆仓2.3亿美元，空头爆仓3523.7万美元。最大单笔爆仓发生在Hyperliquid平台的以太坊合 约，价值485.42万美元。 机构方面，渣打银行大幅下调比特币价格预测。其全球数字资产研究主管杰夫·肯德里克表示，受近期 价格回调影响（自10月高点已跌约27%），该行将2025年底目标价从30万美元下调至 ...