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中邮证券:给予联美控股增持评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-05-06 14:27
Core Viewpoint - The report indicates that Lianmei Holdings (600167) is expected to face a decline in net profit due to impairment losses, but maintains a stable dividend policy, leading to an "Accumulate" rating from Zhongyou Securities [1][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 3.51 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 660 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 23.3% [1]. - For Q4 2024, revenue was 1.21 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.3% and a year-on-year increase of 248.3%. Net profit for the same period was 150 million yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 26.8% and a year-on-year increase of 390.4% [1]. - In Q1 2025, revenue was 1.70 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.1%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 620 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.6% [1]. Profitability and Costs - In Q1 2025, the company's gross margin and net margin were 49.3% and 37.0%, respectively, reflecting increases of 4.6 percentage points and 3.2 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company experienced an overall increase of 1.6 percentage points in expense ratios, with sales expense ratio at 1.1%, R&D expense ratio at 0.2%, management expense ratio at 2.2%, and financial expense ratio at -1.0% [2]. Cash Flow and Dividends - In 2024, the company generated a net cash flow from operating activities of 1.30 billion yuan, with cash on hand amounting to 7.48 billion yuan [2]. - Total cash dividends, special dividends, and buyback amounts for 2024 were 440 million yuan, 270 million yuan, and 190 million yuan, respectively, totaling 910 million yuan, resulting in a dividend yield of 6.8% based on the closing price on April 30, 2025 [2]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 3.74 billion yuan, 4.03 billion yuan, and 4.40 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits of 780 million yuan, 860 million yuan, and 960 million yuan for the same years [3]. - Corresponding price-to-earnings ratios (PE) are expected to be 17, 15, and 14 times for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3].
What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About Planet Fitness (PLNT) Q1 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-05-06 14:20
Core Viewpoint - Planet Fitness is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.62 per share, a 17% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $280.69 million, reflecting a 13.2% year-over-year growth [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.4% in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [2]. - Revisions to earnings estimates are significant indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts estimate 'Revenue- National advertising fund' to be $21.55 million, an 8.9% increase year-over-year [5]. - 'Revenue- Franchise' is expected to reach $93.64 million, indicating an 11.2% year-over-year change [5]. - The 'Revenue- Equipment segment' is projected at $26.26 million, reflecting a 21.5% increase from the previous year [5]. - 'Revenue- Corporate-owned stores segment' is anticipated to be $135.97 million, showing an 11.1% year-over-year change [6]. Same-store Sales and Store Metrics - The average prediction for 'Same-store sales' is 5.4%, down from 6.2% reported in the same quarter last year [6]. - The consensus for 'Total Stores - End of period' is 2,747, up from 2,599 a year ago [6]. - 'EOP Franchise Stores' are projected to reach 2,467, compared to 2,341 reported in the same quarter last year [7]. - 'EOP Corporate Stores' is expected to be 281, up from 258 year-over-year [7]. - 'Corporate-owned same store sales' is estimated at 5.0%, down from 6.2% in the previous year [7]. New Store Openings - Analysts forecast 'Total Stores - New stores opened' to be 23, down from 25 reported in the same quarter last year [8]. - 'Franchisee-owned same store sales' is expected to be 5.4%, compared to 6.3% in the same quarter last year [8]. - 'Total Stores - Beginning of period' is projected to be 2,722, up from 2,575 year-over-year [8]. Stock Performance - Planet Fitness shares have increased by 6.6% in the past month, compared to an 11.5% increase in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [9].
These Analysts Lower Their Forecasts On Henry Schein Following Q1 Results
Benzinga· 2025-05-06 13:36
Core Insights - Henry Schein Inc. reported mixed financial results for the first quarter, with adjusted EPS of $1.15, a 4.5% increase year over year, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.11. However, sales of $3.17 billion fell short of the consensus of $3.23 billion [1] - The company affirmed its 2025 adjusted EPS guidance of $4.80-$4.94, slightly above the consensus of $4.86, and anticipates sales growth of approximately 2%-4% over 2024, projecting sales between $12.43 billion and $13.18 billion, compared to a consensus of $13 billion [2] - Henry Schein expects its 2025 adjusted EBITDA to grow in the mid-single digits compared to 2024, with guidance assuming stable foreign currency exchange rates and no new tariffs [3] Analyst Ratings - Barrington Research analyst Michael Petusky maintained an Outperform rating on Henry Schein but reduced the price target from $90 to $86 [8] - Wells Fargo analyst Vik Chopra also maintained an Equal-Weight rating while lowering the price target from $80 to $75 [8]
东材科技(601208):2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:25Q1业绩同环比增加,多基地产能建设稳步推进
EBSCN· 2025-05-05 15:21
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [6][4]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 4.47 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.6%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 181 million yuan, a decrease of 44.54% [1][2]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.13 billion yuan, up 23.23% year-on-year but down 7.37% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 92 million yuan, reflecting an 81.16% increase year-on-year [1][2]. - The decline in 2024's net profit was primarily due to prolonged losses in the sales prices of epoxy resin and photovoltaic backplane films, alongside increased market penetration of dual-glass components [2]. - The company is expanding its production capacity across multiple bases, with significant projects expected to come online in late 2025 and early 2026 [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s revenue for 2024 was 4.47 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 19.6%. The net profit for the same year was 181 million yuan, down 44.54% [5][4]. - For Q1 2025, the revenue was 1.13 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 23.23% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 7.37%. The net profit was 92 million yuan, up 81.16% year-on-year [1][2]. Capacity Expansion - The company has a strong multi-base layout with ongoing capacity construction, including projects in Mianyang, Chengdu, Jiangsu, and Shandong, expected to be operational between late 2025 and early 2026 [3]. Profitability Forecast - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted downwards, with expected net profits of 416 million yuan, 509 million yuan, and 612 million yuan respectively [4][5]. - The company is focusing on high-value products such as high-voltage electrical polypropylene films and ultra-thin electronic polypropylene films, which are expected to enhance brand competitiveness and overall profitability [2].
Countdown to CF (CF) Q1 Earnings: A Look at Estimates Beyond Revenue and EPS
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 14:21
Core Viewpoint - CF Industries is expected to report a quarterly earnings per share (EPS) of $1.47, marking a 42.7% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $1.52 billion, reflecting a 3.5% increase compared to the same period last year [1] Earnings Projections - Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 7.8%, indicating a reassessment by analysts [2] - Changes in earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price movements [3] Key Metrics Estimates - The consensus estimate for 'Net Sales - Ammonia' is $407.44 million, showing a year-over-year increase of 1.4% [4] - 'Net Sales - Granular Urea' is expected to be $428.96 million, reflecting a 5.4% increase year-over-year [5] - 'Net Sales - UAN (urea ammonium nitrate)' is projected at $414.59 million, indicating a decrease of 2.5% year-over-year [5] - 'Net Sales - AN (ammonium nitrate)' is estimated to reach $113.40 million, showing a slight decline of 0.5% from the prior-year quarter [5] Sales Volume and Pricing - The estimated 'Average selling price per product ton - Ammonia' is $443.05, compared to $438 in the previous year [6] - 'Sales volume by product - UAN' is expected to be 1,653.83 KTon, up from 1,611 KTon year-over-year [6] - 'Sales volume by product - Granular Urea' is projected at 1,128.25 KTon, an increase from 1,092 KTon in the prior year [6] - 'Sales volume by product - Ammonia' is forecasted to be 914.12 KTon, slightly down from 918 KTon year-over-year [7] - Total 'Tons of product sold' is expected to reach 4,786.64 KTon, up from 4,524 KTon in the same quarter last year [7] Average Selling Prices - The average selling price per product ton for 'UAN' is estimated at $248.76, down from $264 in the previous year [8] - The average selling price for 'Granular Urea' is projected to be $380.58, compared to $373 year-over-year [8] - The average selling price for 'AN' is expected to be $282.22, down from $292 in the same quarter last year [9] Stock Performance - Over the past month, CF shares have increased by 10.3%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which recorded a return of 0.4% [9]
Exploring Analyst Estimates for Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) Q1 Earnings, Beyond Revenue and EPS
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 14:21
In its upcoming report, Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) is predicted by Wall Street analysts to post quarterly earnings of $1.75 per share, reflecting an increase of 3.6% compared to the same period last year. Revenues are forecasted to be $1.44 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 9%.Over the last 30 days, there has been a downward revision of 1.7% in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter, leading to its current level. This signifies the covering analysts' collective reconsideration of their init ...
Ahead of Monster Beverage (MNST) Q1 Earnings: Get Ready With Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 14:21
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street analysts expect Monster Beverage to report a quarterly earnings per share (EPS) of $0.46, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 9.5%, with revenues projected at $1.98 billion, a 4.3% increase compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 1% in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by covering analysts [2]. - Revisions to earnings estimates are crucial indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock, with empirical research showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts project 'Net Sales- Alcohol Brands' to reach $50.18 million, indicating a year-over-year decline of 10.5% [5]. - 'Net Sales- Strategic Brands' are expected to be $101.81 million, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 6.1% [5]. - 'Net Sales- Monster Energy Drinks' are forecasted to reach $1.80 billion, showing a year-over-year increase of 4% [5]. - 'Net Sales- Other' is projected at $5.95 million, indicating a year-over-year increase of 7.5% [6]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Monster Beverage have returned +5.2%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which changed by +0.4% [7]. - Currently, Monster Beverage holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting its performance may align with the overall market in the near future [7].
通策医疗:2024年报及2025一季报点评:业绩符合预期,Q1业绩增速环比改善-20250505
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-05 10:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 and Q1 2025 met expectations, with a sequential improvement in Q1 growth rates [7] - The company achieved total revenue of 2.874 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 0.96%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 501.43 million yuan, up 0.20% year-on-year [7] - The growth in revenue and profit is driven by stable performance in various business segments, particularly in the implant and comprehensive repair sectors, while orthodontics showed signs of recovery [7] Financial Summary - Revenue and Profit Forecasts: - Total revenue is projected to grow from 2.874 billion yuan in 2024 to 3.152 billion yuan in 2025, representing a growth rate of 9.68% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 501.43 million yuan in 2024 to 561.89 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 12.06% [1] - Earnings Per Share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 1.12 yuan in 2024 to 1.26 yuan in 2025 [1] - The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 35.80 in 2024 to 31.95 in 2025 [1] Business Performance - The company reported a total outpatient volume of 3.5334 million visits in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.37% [7] - The breakdown of revenue by business segment for 2024 includes: - Implant business revenue of 530 million yuan, up 10.6% year-on-year - Orthodontics revenue of 470 million yuan, down 5.05% year-on-year - Pediatric business revenue of 500 million yuan, up 0.29% year-on-year - Repair business revenue of 460 million yuan, up 1.53% year-on-year - Comprehensive business revenue of 770 million yuan, up 1.27% year-on-year [7] Profitability Metrics - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 38.5%, with a net profit margin of 19.91% [7] - In Q1 2025, the gross margin improved to 44.21%, while the net profit margin increased to 29.02% [7] - The management expense ratio showed a significant decrease, contributing to the overall stability in expense ratios [7]
通策医疗(600763):2024年报及2025一季报点评:业绩符合预期,Q1业绩增速环比改善
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-05 09:04
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 and Q1 2025 met expectations, with a sequential improvement in Q1 growth rates [7] - The company achieved total revenue of 2.874 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 0.96%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 501.43 million yuan, up 0.20% year-on-year [7] - The report highlights steady growth in the company's implant, repair, and comprehensive services, with orthodontics showing signs of recovery [7] - The gross margin remained stable in 2024, while the net profit margin improved in Q1 2025 [7] - The profit forecast for 2025-2026 has been adjusted downwards due to changes in the macro consumption and industry environment, with expected net profits of 562 million yuan and 633 million yuan respectively [7] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2.874 billion yuan in 2024, 3.152 billion yuan in 2025, 3.499 billion yuan in 2026, and 3.904 billion yuan in 2027 [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 501.43 million yuan in 2024, 561.89 million yuan in 2025, 633.14 million yuan in 2026, and 716.43 million yuan in 2027 [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 1.12 yuan in 2024, 1.26 yuan in 2025, 1.42 yuan in 2026, and 1.60 yuan in 2027 [1] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 35.80 in 2024 to 25.05 in 2027 [1] Business Segment Performance - The company reported a total outpatient volume of 3.5334 million visits in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.37% [7] - Revenue from the implant business reached 530 million yuan, up 10.6% year-on-year, while orthodontics revenue was 470 million yuan, down 5.05% [7] - The pediatric business generated 500 million yuan, up 0.29%, and the repair business brought in 460 million yuan, up 1.53% [7] - Comprehensive business revenue was 770 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.27% [7]
珀莱雅(603605):一季度盈利超预期,新兴品牌快速增长
Orient Securities· 2025-05-05 08:21
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 112.46 CNY [3][7]. Core Insights - The company reported better-than-expected earnings in Q1, with significant growth from emerging brands [1]. - Revenue and net profit for 2024 are projected to be 10.778 billion CNY and 1.552 billion CNY, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 21% and 30% [6]. - The company is expected to continue expanding its brand portfolio and market share in various segments, including men's skincare and medical post-operative recovery [6]. Financial Forecasts - The adjusted earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025-2027 are 4.56 CNY, 5.36 CNY, and 6.06 CNY, respectively [2][7]. - The company's revenue is forecasted to grow from 8.905 billion CNY in 2023 to 15.577 billion CNY in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10.7% [2][10]. - The gross margin is expected to improve from 69.9% in 2023 to 73.0% in 2027, indicating enhanced profitability [2][10]. Brand Performance - The main brand and the Cai Tang brand showed stable performance, while emerging brands like OR and Yuan Se Bo Ta experienced rapid growth, with revenue increases of 71.1% and 138.4%, respectively [6]. - Online sales channels grew by 23.7% in 2024, while offline channels saw a decline of 13.6% [6]. Market Position - The company has demonstrated resilience in a challenging consumer environment, maintaining strong performance across its brand matrix [6]. - The report highlights the company's ability to adapt and thrive despite market pressures, positioning it well for future growth [6].