Group 1: US Economic Indicators - US non-farm payrolls in May slightly exceeded expectations, but previous two months' data were significantly revised downwards; unemployment rate remains stable, and average hourly earnings were better than expected; bets on Fed rate cuts have decreased [2] - Fed's Harker calls for patience, stating that it is not the time for preemptive measures [2] - Fed Governor Bowman suggests proposing changes to the regulatory ratings for large banks; regulatory agencies will soon announce proposals to enhance the supplementary leverage ratio [2] Group 2: European Central Bank (ECB) Insights - ECB Governing Council member Holzmann expresses differing opinions on this week's interest rate decision, stating that the current nominal neutral rate is around 3% [3] - ECB Governing Council member Vujcic indicates that the current round of rate cuts is nearing its end [4] - ECB Governing Council member Centeno states that interest rates will stabilize around 2% for the foreseeable future [5] Group 3: Other Central Bank Developments - New Zealand's Chief Economist Conway mentions that lower interest rates will promote economic growth in the second half of the year [4] - The Bank of Japan is reportedly considering slowing the pace of its bond purchase reduction [5] - Japanese Prime Minister Kishida states that Japan is gradually entering a phase of rising interest rates [5] - Bank of England member Green notes a short-term rebound in prices, but deflationary trends will continue [5] - ECB Governing Council member Escrivá suggests that the path for the benchmark interest rate may require slight adjustments [5]

Group 1 - The European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde stated that the ECB "almost unanimously" approved the interest rate decision, with one member dissenting [1] - The previous meeting had a unanimous decision [1]

Core Points - Eurozone inflation rate dropped to 1.9% in May, exceeding expectations and falling below the European Central Bank's (ECB) target of 2% [1][2] - Following the inflation data release, yields on Eurozone bonds, including German, Italian, and French bonds, decreased [1] - Economists had anticipated a 2% inflation rate for May, while the previous month's rate was 2.2% [2] Group 1: Inflation Data - Eurozone inflation rate for May was reported at 1.9%, down from 2.2% in April [1][2] - The decline in inflation is significant as it moves closer to the ECB's target of 2% [1] Group 2: Bond Yields - 10-year German bond yield fell by 2.1 basis points to 2.503% [1] - Other bond yields also saw declines, with 10-year Italian bond yield down 1.6 basis points to 3.495% and 10-year French bond yield down 1.3 basis points to 3.174% [1] Group 3: ECB's Monetary Policy - The ECB is expected to consider the latest inflation data in its upcoming interest rate decision [3] - Market pricing indicates a 95% probability of a 25 basis points rate cut by the ECB [3] Group 4: Economic Outlook - The European Commission is advocating for the U.S. to reduce or eliminate tariffs despite potential increases in steel and aluminum tariffs [4] - The OECD projects Eurozone economic growth of 1% in 2025, with inflation expected to reach 2.2% this year [4]

Market Overview - International gold prices opened high and fluctuated, closing at $3,231.59 per ounce after reaching a high of $3,249.78 and a low of $3,206.24 [1] Economic News - Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson stated that the downgrade of the U.S. credit rating by Moody's will be treated as ordinary economic data in monetary policy decisions, emphasizing the focus on achieving maximum employment and price stability [2] - Federal Reserve's Bostic anticipates one rate cut this year, with potential for earlier action if trade negotiations progress positively [2] - The U.S. Treasury is not expected to announce any trade agreements at the upcoming G7 finance ministers' meeting [3] - India is reportedly discussing a three-part trade agreement with the U.S., with a temporary agreement expected before July [4] Geopolitical Situation - U.S. President Trump announced that Russia and Ukraine will "immediately" begin talks to end the conflict following a phone call with President Putin, highlighting the importance of negotiations led by both parties [6] - Both Trump and Putin expressed support for normalizing U.S.-Russia relations and agreed to continue dialogue on various issues, including a potential prisoner exchange [7] - Putin acknowledged the productive nature of the conversation with Trump and expressed readiness for direct dialogue with Ukraine regarding peace negotiations [8] Gold Market Insights - The largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, increased its holdings by 2.3 tons, bringing the total to 921.03 tons [9] - According to CME's FedWatch, there is a 91.4% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates in June, with an 8.6% chance of a 25 basis point cut [9] Technical Analysis - Gold prices are showing a strong oscillating trend, with short-term support around the 3200 level and resistance near 3250 [12] - Day trading strategies suggest cautious trading with a focus on oscillation, recommending entry points around 3200 for long positions and 3250 for short positions [13]

欧洲央行管委兼德国央行行长Nagel：6月份的利率决定将取决于即将公布的数据。 ...

欧洲央行NAGEL表示，6月份 利率决定将取决于后续数据。 ...

英国央行货币政策委员格林：我在做出利率决定时，对于是否降息感到很纠结。 格林投票 格林投票 英国央行货币政策委员格林在上次利率决议中投票支持降息25个基点。 格林投票 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. and U.K. are set to sign a comprehensive trade agreement, which is expected to strengthen their relationship for years to come [3] - The Federal Reserve maintained the benchmark overnight lending rate at 4.25% - 4.5%, consistent with market expectations, while acknowledging that tariffs could delay achieving economic goals [3] - The Bank of England lowered interest rates by 0.25 percentage points due to uncertainties surrounding tariffs and global growth prospects [4] Group 2 - The U.S. Treasury issued a total of $210 billion in bonds, including $85 billion in 4-week and $75 billion in 8-week short-term bonds, along with $25 billion in 30-year bonds [5] - The European Union plans to file a complaint with the World Trade Organization regarding the U.S.'s "reciprocal" tariff policy [4] - Overall, European bond yields increased, with the 10-year German bond yield rising by 2.6 basis points to 2.501% [4]

香港金管局回应美联储利率决定称香港货币市场继续有序运作。 ...

美联储FOMC声明：委员们一致同意此次的利率决定。 ...