新能源板块今日午后回暖，截至收盘，中证光伏产业指数上涨0.7%，国证新能源电池指数上涨0.3%，中证新能源指数、中证上海环交所碳中和指数均上涨 0.2%，储能电池ETF（159566）全天净申购近3000万份。Wind数据显示，截至昨日，储能电池ETF（159566）和新能源ETF易方达（516090）月内净流入分 别达6.1亿元和2.2亿元。 中信证券研报表示，2026年电力中长期合约需进行分时段以及带曲线签约，用户侧分时电价将与现货挂钩，不再接受政府规定的峰谷电价，这意味着电力市 场化改革进一步深化。目前，电力系统容量短缺问题仍然显著，已经临近容量不足矛盾加速爆发时点，有望支撑储能长期发展。 UXUZNE ULDULE 27 LED FERS 该指数聚焦储能领域,由 50只业务涉及电池制造、 储能电池逆变器、储能电池 系统集成、电池温控消防等 领域的公司股票组成,有望 受益于未来能源发展机遇。 �日 该指数涨跌 0.3% 光伏ETF易方达 跟踪中证光伏产业指数 该指数聚焦的光伏是代表 性较强的未来能源之一, 由50只产业链上、中、下 游具有代表性的公司股票 组成。 �日 该指数涨跌 0.7% 碳中和ETF ...

该指数聚焦储能领域,由 50只业务涉及电池制造、 储能电池逆变器、储能电池 系统集成、电池温控消防等 领域的公司股票组成,有望 受益于未来能源发展机遇。 新能源板块今日集体上行，截至收盘，国证新能源电池指数上涨1.7%，中证光伏产业指数上涨1.4%，中证新能源指数上涨0.8%，中证上海环交所碳中和指 数上涨0.5%，资金加码，储能电池ETF（159566）全天净申购近2000万份。Wind数据显示，截至昨日，储能电池ETF（159566）月内净流入超5亿元。 中信证券研报表示，2026年电力中长期合约需进行分时段以及带曲线签约，用户侧分时电价将与现货挂钩，不再接受政府规定的峰谷电价，这意味着电力市 场化改革进一步深化。目前，电力系统容量短缺问题仍然显著，已经临近容量不足矛盾加速爆发时点，有望支撑储能长期发展。 1.4% 碳中和ETF易方达 ( NO. 跟踪中证上海环交所碳中和指数 �日 该指数涨跌 1.7% 光伏ETF易方达 跟踪中证光伏产业指数 该指数聚焦的光伏是代表 性较强的未来能源之一, 由50只产业链上、中、下 游具有代表性的公司股票 组成。 �日 该指数涨跌 每日经济新闻 ...

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the new market-oriented pricing for renewable energy projects marks a significant shift from a subsidy-driven growth model to a market-driven approach, posing challenges for the household photovoltaic (PV) sector [1] Group 1: Challenges Facing Household PV - The household PV sector is facing dual structural constraints under the new market-oriented trading environment, which limits its value realization [1] - The grid's capacity is reaching its limits, hindering large-scale development, as many rural distribution networks are overwhelmed by the surge in installed capacity, leading to significant project integration challenges [2] - The decentralized nature of household PV assets makes it difficult to meet market trading requirements, resulting in a revenue dilemma where generated electricity cannot be effectively sold [2] Group 2: Solutions and Innovations - The traditional decentralized development model is inadequate for the new phase, necessitating an innovative approach that balances scale efficiency and grid compatibility, leading to the emergence of the centralized aggregation model [3] - The centralized aggregation model allows for large-scale development of rooftop PV systems at the village level, effectively addressing integration issues and opening new market opportunities [3][4] - This model enhances the bargaining power and market responsiveness of household PV projects by developing them at a megawatt scale, aligning with the technical requirements of market-oriented trading [4] Group 3: Policy Support and Market Trends - National and local policies are strongly supporting the centralized aggregation model, encouraging the development of distributed PV systems through collective village-level integration [4][5] - The centralized aggregation model is seen as a necessary direction for industry development, driven by grid capacity constraints, market demands, and policy support [5] Group 4: Future Prospects - The centralized aggregation model is rapidly gaining traction nationwide, indicating its potential to become a leading force in the market-oriented household PV sector [8] - Companies like Zhengtai Aneng are strategically positioned to leverage this model, potentially expanding into the distributed commercial energy sector and transforming from a household PV leader to a comprehensive energy service provider [8]

插播： 1月8日，中车株洲所、弘正储能、海辰储能、海尔新能源、融和元储、华储电气、天合光能、万帮数字能源、星纪云能、汇能科技等超30家企业 出席【行家说储能开盛年会】，报名欢迎联系行家说储能辛迪 Cindy：15989092696 （微信同号） 近日，行家说储能最新消息，江苏省发改委正式发布《省发展改革委关于促进我省虚拟电厂高质量发展的通知》。 新政明确三大核心任务：构建三级管理体系、推广三类应用领域、完善三级集成平台系统；同时锚定量化发展目标，提出到 2030 年全省虚拟电厂调节能力 力争突破 500 万千瓦，并重点推进首批 100 个虚拟电厂项目落地。 这一政策的出台，既是对国家层面顶层设计的落地承接 ——2025 年 3 月《关于加快推进虚拟电厂发展的指导意见》（357 号文）曾明确，2027 年全国虚 拟电厂调节能力需达 2000 万千瓦以上、2030 年突破 5000 万千瓦；也是继山西、宁夏、上海、广东、重庆等省市相继出台专项规划后，国内虚拟电厂产 业版图扩张的又一重要落子，备受行业瞩目。 根据通知公示数据汇总，100个项目（ 后台回复"江苏虚拟电厂" 查看完整名单 ），涉及总投资103924万元 ...

中信证券研报表示，2026年，发电企业与电力用户双方签订中长期合约时需进行分时段&带曲线签约， 用户侧分时电价将与现货市场交易结果挂钩，不再接受政府规定的峰谷电价，这意味着电力市场化改革 进一步深化。目前政府规定的峰谷价差和时段长度普遍超过现货市场，机制调整后工商业储能盈利模式 受到影响，现货价差较小并且调节需求不足区域的工商业储能盈利或承压。电力系统容量短缺问题仍然 显著，已经临近容量不足矛盾加速爆发时点，有望支撑储能长期发展。 ...

（文章来源：第一财经） 中信证券研报表示，2026年，发电企业与电力用户双方签订中长期合约时需进行分时段&带曲线签约， 用户侧分时电价将与现货市场交易结果挂钩，不再接受政府规定的峰谷电价，这意味着电力市场化改革 进一步深化。目前政府规定的峰谷价差和时段长度普遍超过现货市场，机制调整后工商业储能盈利模式 受到影响，现货价差较小并且调节需求不足区域的工商业储能盈利或承压。电力系统容量短缺问题仍然 显著，已经临近容量不足矛盾加速爆发时点，有望支撑储能长期发展。 ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the global energy storage market, with a focus on high growth opportunities in non-US overseas markets, particularly in Europe and Asia [4][12]. Core Insights - The energy storage market is expected to experience significant growth driven by increasing demand in Europe, Asia, and Africa, alongside the contribution from AIDC (Automated Industrial Data Center) storage [2][12]. - The demand for energy storage is being catalyzed by the tight supply of battery cells, with leading companies experiencing full order books and production schedules extending into Q1 2026 [3][12]. - The report highlights the importance of local manufacturing in response to geopolitical factors and trade policies, with leading companies establishing overseas production facilities to enhance competitive barriers [3][25]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - Key companies to focus on include CATL, EVE Energy, and HIBOR, with recommendations for both front-end and back-end energy storage opportunities [4]. Market Demand and Supply - The global energy storage market saw a significant increase in project planning and bidding, with a total of 534GW/1,430GWh of new projects planned globally as of November 2025, predominantly from Asia [13][18]. - The supply of battery cells remains tight, with a notable increase in production capacity utilization among leading manufacturers, which is expected to gradually ease by Q2 2026 [24][27]. Technological Advancements - The report notes a clear trend towards larger capacity battery cells, with significant advancements in energy density and cycle life, which are crucial for reducing costs and enhancing project economics [29][30]. Regional Market Outlook - The report provides a detailed outlook for various regional markets, emphasizing the unique drivers and challenges in each area, including the impact of local policies and resource availability [12][13].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the utility sector is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - In November, the industrial power generation in China increased by 2.7% year-on-year, while natural gas production rose by 5.7% year-on-year [4] - The report indicates a potential for profit improvement and value reassessment in the power sector due to previous supply-demand tensions [4] - The ongoing market reforms in electricity pricing are expected to lead to a slight increase in electricity prices, benefiting power operators [4] Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of December 19, the utility sector declined by 0.6%, underperforming the broader market [11] - The electricity sector fell by 0.66%, while the gas sector saw a slight increase of 0.11% [12] Electricity Industry Data Tracking - The price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port (Q5500) was 711 CNY/ton as of December 19, down 42 CNY/ton week-on-week [20] - Coal inventory at Qinhuangdao Port decreased to 7.28 million tons, a decline of 20,000 tons week-on-week [26] - The average daily coal consumption for inland power plants was 3.758 million tons, down 166,000 tons/day week-on-week [29] Natural Gas Industry Data Tracking - The LNG ex-factory price index in China was 4,075 CNY/ton as of December 18, down 10.91% year-on-year [55] - Domestic natural gas apparent consumption in October was 34.77 billion cubic meters, a decrease of 1.6% year-on-year [4] - In November, LNG imports reached 6.94 million tons, an increase of 12.8% year-on-year [4] Key Industry News - The report highlights that the industrial power generation maintained growth, with November's output at 779.2 billion kWh, a 2.7% increase year-on-year [4] - The natural gas production in November was 21.9 billion cubic meters, reflecting a stable growth trend [4] Investment Recommendations - For the electricity sector, it is suggested to focus on leading coal power companies such as Guodian Power, Huaneng International, and Huadian International [4] - In the natural gas sector, companies with low-cost long-term gas sources and receiving station assets are recommended, such as Xin'ao Co. and Guanghui Energy [4]

当前，我国光伏发电已进入平价上网时代，但电力市场改革仍在深化过程中。光伏发电具有明显的间歇性和波动性特点，在电力市场化交易中面临着价格波 动的挑战。国家能源局相关负责人表示，要推动光伏发电参与电力现货市场、辅助服务市场，通过价格信号引导光伏电站优化运行方式。据了解，多地已开 展分时电价机制试点，光伏企业需要密切关注各地电力市场规则变化，灵活调整经营策略。 在拓展非电利用途径方面，光伏行业展现出巨大潜力。光伏制氢被视为重要发展方向，利用富余光伏电力电解水制氢，既能解决消纳问题，又能生产清洁能 源载体。数据显示，2025年我国可再生能源制氢量有望达到10-20万吨/年。此外，光伏与农业、渔业、建筑等领域的融合也取得显著成效。"光伏+农业"模式 已在多个省份推广，既提高了土地利用率，又增加了农民收入。在建筑领域，光伏建筑一体化(BIPV)技术日趋成熟，为城市低碳发展提供了新思路。 中国光伏产业近年来发展迅猛，已成为全球可再生能源领域的重要力量。随着"双碳"目标的持续推进，光伏发电装机容量持续攀升，但同时也面临着如何更 好地融入电力市场、提高经济性等挑战。国家能源局近期提出，光伏行业要更好地匹配市场分时价格信号，大力 ...

插播： 1月8日，中车株洲所、弘正储能、海辰储能、海尔新能源、融和元储、华储电气、天合光能、万帮数字能源、星纪云能、汇能科技等超30家企业 出席【行家说储能开盛年会】，报名欢迎联系行家说储能辛迪 Cindy：15989092696 （微信同号） 行 家说储能最新消息，不仅仅是辽宁、四川、陕西取消分时电价，昨日国家发改委、能源局正式官宣：各地要做好峰谷分时电价政策与市场交易电价的衔 接， 原则上直接参与市场用户不再执行政府规定的分时电价。 很多人疑惑：这是不是完全断了工商储能的套利路？ 汇能科技认为 ：把 "直接参与市场用户"解读为"市场化用户"，提出零售侧分时电价取消、现货价格直接向用户传导，这种解读是错误的，也不符合我国电力 市场化稳步改革推进的一贯作风。 评判的依据来源于： 本轮电改核心纲领性文件的配套文件——2015年发布的电改9号文，关于直接交易有明确定义，在《关于有序放开发用电计划的实施意 见》中明确"（三）组织直接交易。组织符合条件的电力用户和发电企业，通过双边交易或多边交易等方式，确定交易电量和交易价格"；以及"（一）用户准 入范围。允许一定电压等级或容量的用户参与直接交易；允许售电公司参与。" ...