【重要资讯】 1、国家主席习近平在上海考察时强调，上海承担着建设国际科技创新中心的历史使命,要抢抓机遇,以服务国家战略为牵引,不断增强 科技创新策源功能和高端产业引领功能,加快建成具有全球影响力的科技创新高地。 2、近日，国家发展改革委已印发通知，会同财政部及时向地方追加下达今年第二批810亿元超长期特别国债资金，继续大力支持消费品 以旧换新。 3、印尼政府在上周末宣布,提高对镍、煤炭、铜、黄金等矿产的特许权使用费税率。其中,镍的税率增幅最大,从原定固定的10%上调 至14%至19%不等,具体税率取决于镍的市场价格。 4、美国总统特朗普20日签署公告，允许对进口汽车零部件、在美国组装汽车的汽车生产商进行一定程度的补偿。补偿金额最高可达汽车 零售价格的3.75%. 这一补偿上限在第二年将降至汽车零售价格的2.5%。 宏源期货煤焦日报 | | | | | | | | | | | | 2025/4/30 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 焦炭盘面 | | | | | 焦煤盘面 | | | | 基 ...

证券代码： 000600 证券简称：建投能源 的净利润是 5.3 亿元，同比增长 181.59%。 2025 年第一季度，公司控股运营发电企业完成发电量 129.58 亿千瓦时，同比降低 7.23%；售热量 4,017.89 万吉焦，同 比降低 3.48%。发电机组平均利用小时数 1,059 小时，同比降低 101 小时。平均上网结算电价 433.65 元/兆瓦时（含税），同比 降低 1.39%。平均综合标煤单价 775.12 元/吨，同比降低 11.43%。 一季度，公司实现主营业务收入实现 65.75 亿元，同比下降 5.84%，归母净利润 4.43 亿元，同比增长 75.94%。 河北建投能源投资股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 问：公司 2025 年一季度发电量同比小幅下降的原因？ 主要两方面原因，一是 2024 年冬季极寒天气用电需求相对 旺盛，同比基数高；二是 2025 年一季度河北区域社会用电量增 速放缓及新能源上网电量增加综合影响。 问：河北南部电网长协电量签的情况 编号：2025-04 2025 年年度双边协商电力直接交易工作已完成，根据河北 电力交易中心的交易公告公布的成交电量，成交电量占 ...

Market Overview - On April 29, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.05%, the Shenzhen Component Index also fell by 0.05%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.13%[3]. - The trading volume on April 30 was 1.04 trillion CNY, a decrease of approximately 40 billion CNY compared to the previous trading day[1]. Sector Performance - Industries such as beauty care, machinery, media, and light industry saw significant gains, while public utilities, oil, coal, and social services experienced notable declines[1]. - The majority of sectors showed limited upward movement, indicating a weak market structure with most sectors declining over the past five days[1]. Capital Flow - On April 29, net inflows into the Shanghai Stock Exchange were 4.695 billion CNY, while net inflows into the Shenzhen Stock Exchange were 4.105 billion CNY[4]. - The top three sectors for capital inflow were IT services, general equipment, and automotive parts, while the top three sectors for outflow were electricity, securities, and liquor[4]. Policy and Economic Measures - The National Development and Reform Commission announced an additional 81 billion CNY in special long-term bonds to support the consumption upgrade program[5]. - The construction of the electricity spot market is set to accelerate, with specific deadlines for various regions to transition to formal operations by 2025 and 2026[6][7]. Industry Insights - Canalys predicts that by 2025, the penetration rate of L2 and above functionalities in the Chinese market will reach 62%, a significant increase from 2024[12]. - The issuance of new funds has surpassed 300 billion CNY this year, with nearly half allocated to equity funds, indicating a recovery in the active equity fund issuance market[15].

Morning session notice 早盘提示 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2025 年 4 月 30 日星期三 研究员：纪晓云 从业资格：F3066027 交易咨询资格：Z0011402 联系方式：010-56711796 | 板块 | 品种 | 多（空） | 推荐理由 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 【行情复盘】 | | | | | Jm2509 合约收于 932.0，环比上一交易日收盘下跌 1.58%。J2509 合约收于 1553.0，环 | | | | | 比上一交易日收盘下跌 0.58%。昨日夜盘，Jm2509 合约收于 920.0，环比日盘收盘下跌 | | | | | 1.29%，J2509 合约收于 1542.5，环比日盘收盘下跌 0.68%。 | | | | | 【重要资讯】 | | | | | 1、美国总统特朗普 29 日签署公告，允许对进口汽车零部件、在美国组装汽车的汽车生 | | | | | 产商进行一定程度的补偿。补偿金额最高可达汽车零售价格的 3.75%，这一补偿上限在 ...

插播 ：拒绝鱼龙混杂， 让优质项目脱颖而出！"2024-2025用户侧储能项目TOP10榜单"征集进行中。点击 "阅读原文" 进行申报 行家说储能最新消息， 4月29日，国家发展改革委办公厅、国家能源局综合司发布 了 《关于全面加快电力现货市场建设工作的通知 (发改办体改 〔2025〕394号)》，文件明确了20省电力现货市场运行时间表 ， 要求 2025 年底前基本实现电力现货市场全覆盖并全面开展连续结算运行 。 | 地区 | 电力现货市场运行 时间 | | --- | --- | | 湖北 省 | 2025年6月底前转入正式运行 | | 浙江 省 | 2025年底前转入正式运行 | | 福建、四川、辽宁、重庆、湖南、宁 夏、江苏、河北南网、江西、河南、上 海、吉林、黑龙江、新疆、蒙东、青海 | 2025年底前启动现货市场连续结算试运 行 | | 安徽 省 、陕西 省 | 力争在 2026年6月底前转入正式运行 | 2 0省电力现货市场运行时间表 来源：国家发改委官网；行家说储能绘制 行家说储能认为，这一重磅文件 对储能产业影响深远，主要体现在以下几个方面： 1. 储 能参与电力现货市场的机会扩大 ，储能价 ...

国家发展改革委、国家能源局印发《电力辅助服务市场基本规则》。 市场建设要充分考虑各地合理诉求，加快形成工作合力，更好促进资源大范围优化配置。 广发证券发布研报称，3月全社会用电增速回升至4.8%，火电电量降幅收窄，清洁能源贡献度提升。当 前电力板块基本面持续改善，煤价下行叠加容量电价机制优化，火电企业盈利修复确定性增强，水电及 绿电亦具备结构性机会。建议关注三大投资组合：(1)稳健防御型水电及区域能源;(2)弹性火电标的;3)政 策驱动的绿电进攻组合。 国盛证券发布研报称，电力逆周期属性凸显，风格切换与基本面支撑共振，重视布局机会。该行认为， 电力央企的集体增持行动，彰显股东信心。在短期市场波动下市场风格偏好向下，电力逆周期属性凸 显。 其中提出，国家能源局派出机构会同省级价格、能源主管部门要根据《规则》和发改价格〔2024〕196 号文件等有关规定，及时组织市场运营机构制修订辅助服务市场实施细则，维护统一的公平竞争制度， 确保与《规则》要求一致。 电力现货市场连续运行的地区，要完善现货市场规则，适当放宽市场限价，引导实现调峰功能，调峰及 顶峰、调峰容量等具有类似功能的市场不再运行。 国家发展改革委办公厅、国 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price not specified [5][18]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 6.17 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.67%, and a net profit of 1.13 billion yuan, up 11.1% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, the company expects a revenue of 1.56 billion yuan, a 17.5% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 370 million yuan, up 31.1% year-on-year [1][4]. - The company’s pumped storage capacity reached 10.28 million kilowatts by the end of 2024, accounting for 17.5% of the national installed capacity. There are 9 pumped storage stations under construction with a total capacity of 10.8 million kilowatts [2][4]. - The company’s hydropower generation increased by 57% in 2024, leading to a 55.5% rise in revenue. The new energy storage capacity reached 654.2 MW/1,298.3 MWh by the end of 2024 [4]. Financial Data and Forecast - The company’s financial projections indicate a net profit of 1.16 billion yuan for 2025, 1.44 billion yuan for 2026, and 1.59 billion yuan for 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 26.4, 21.1, and 19.2 respectively [4][11]. - The revenue for 2025 is projected to be 7.64 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 23.72% compared to 2024 [12][13]. - The company’s EBITDA for 2024 is estimated at 4.08 billion yuan, with a net profit margin of 18.25% [12][13].

随着AI爆发，大模型的参数量、数据中心的规模都呈现几何式增长，这背后，需要庞大的电力来 驱动计算、存储以及冷却系统。 电力，日益演变为制约AI发展的达摩克里斯之剑。 有数据显示，2023年，美国数据中心停机的原因中，52%是由于电力供给不足所致。这一数字在 2020年还仅为37%。 埃隆·马斯克、萨姆·奥尔特曼、黄仁勋等科技大佬都曾对电力紧缺表达过担忧。一时间，储备电 力粮草成为科技巨头们的必修课。而由于化石能源并不符合全球碳中和的宏大叙事，科技大厂纷 纷投向清洁能源。 但其中，地热、核电、风能等受制于地域限制、建设周期长等因素，"光伏+储能" 极有可能成为 解决AI电力问题的最佳方案。 AI的尽头是电力。 向ChatGPT发起提问，当手指在键盘上敲下Enter键，就如同开启了一个庞大的多米诺骨牌，其背 后调动的资源数以亿计。 "我们在创造历史。" 2024年10月18日，美国能源部长詹妮弗·格兰霍姆出席该国历史上最大的光伏项目 "猎户座太阳能 带" 的开幕式时，发出了这样的感叹。 这个由日本软银旗下SB Energy建设的超级光伏电站，合计能产出875MW的清洁能源，几乎相当 于一个典型核电设施的规模。而其 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the critical role of electricity supply in the development of AI technologies, highlighting the increasing energy demands of data centers and the potential of solar energy combined with storage solutions as a viable answer to these challenges [1][12][25]. Group 1: Electricity Demand and AI - The opening of the "Orion Solar Belt" project, the largest solar photovoltaic project in the U.S., aims to address the growing electricity needs of AI and data centers, with 875MW of clean energy production [1]. - AI technologies, such as ChatGPT, consume significantly more electricity than traditional services, with each response requiring about 2.9 watt-hours, which is nearly ten times that of a Google search [2][5]. - The energy consumption of AI models is escalating, with GPT-3 requiring 1287 MWh for a single training session, enough to power 3000 Tesla cars for 200,000 miles [8]. Group 2: Current Energy Infrastructure Challenges - The U.S. energy infrastructure is aging, with 70% of transformers over 25 years old, leading to vulnerabilities in electricity supply [19][22]. - Historical blackouts, such as the 2003 event affecting 50 million people, illustrate the fragility of the current power grid [14][15]. - The U.S. data center electricity consumption has surged from 58 TWh in 2014 to 176 TWh in 2023, projected to reach 325-580 TWh by 2028 [9]. Group 3: Renewable Energy Solutions - Solar energy combined with storage is viewed as the most feasible solution for powering data centers, with a cost of 0.35 yuan/kWh for a 100MW data center using solar and storage [26]. - The global renewable energy sector is expected to see a significant increase, with an estimated 580 GW of new solar and wind capacity added in 2024, five times the capacity in 2015 [27]. - The need for energy storage solutions is critical, as current storage capacity lags significantly behind renewable generation, with only 11.9% of storage capacity compared to solar and wind installations [27]. Group 4: Future of Energy Storage - The energy storage market is projected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting a demand for over 1 TWh of storage by 2030 in China alone [28]. - The economic viability of energy storage projects is currently challenged, with many projects showing negative returns on investment due to high costs and low utilization rates [31]. - The establishment of a robust electricity spot market is essential for improving the economic feasibility of energy storage, allowing for better price discovery and utilization of storage resources [41][45]. Group 5: Industry Dynamics and Competition - The storage industry is experiencing rapid growth, with a significant increase in registered companies, indicating a potential oversupply and intense competition [53][54]. - The industry faces challenges such as price wars and quality concerns, with calls for a focus on safety and technological innovation rather than just cost-cutting [54][55]. - Future competition in the storage sector will hinge on technological advancements, capital management, and global market strategies, as companies strive for leadership in the renewable energy landscape [55].

全面加快建设电力现货市场，疆电外送促绿电消纳 2025 年 03 月 16 日 ➢ 本周（20250310-20250314）电力板块行情：本周电力板块走势优于大盘。 截至 2025 年 03 月 14 日，本周公用事业板块收于 2287.91 点，上涨 49.11 点， 涨幅 2.19%；电力子板块收于 3042.41 点，上涨 65.87 点，上涨 2.21%，沪深 300 本周上涨 1.59%，公用事业走势优于大盘。公用事业（电力）板块涨跌幅在 申万 31 个一级板块中排第 21 位。从电力子板块来看：本周光伏发电上涨 4.68%， 热力服务上涨 3.80%，电能综合服务上涨 3.57%，火力发电上涨 3.39%，风力 发电上涨 2.09%，水力发电上涨 0.88%。 ➢ 本周专题：各大电力央企，也是"沙戈荒"大基地的投资主力，其中华电集 团规划超 80GW，华能集团规划 28.5GW，国家能源集团规划超 31GW，三峡 集团规划超 35GW。2025 年《政府工作报告》中提到：推进"疆电外送"第三、 第四通道、"西气东输"四线等跨区域能源调配工程，提升能源供应保障能力。加 快建设"沙戈荒"新能源基地和 ...