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天风证券-南网储能-600995-调峰水电来水增加带动利润增长,参与现货市场收益可期-250910
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-10 11:39
Group 1 - The company reported a revenue of 3.3 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.38% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 832 million yuan, up 32.93% year-on-year, with Q2 net profit at 458 million yuan, increasing by 34.3% [1] - The pumped storage capacity is set to enter the production phase, with the company participating in the spot market, indicating potential revenue growth [1] Group 2 - As of the first half of 2025, the national pumped storage installed capacity reached 61.29 million kilowatts, with an addition of 2.83 million kilowatts [1] - The company has a total pumped storage capacity of 10.28 million kilowatts, with 10 plants under construction totaling 12 million kilowatts [1] - The company’s first phase of the Meixu power station began trading in the electricity spot market in October 2024, with continuous settlement trial operations starting on June 29, 2025 [1] Group 3 - The company’s peak regulation hydropower generation increased to 4.35 billion kilowatt-hours in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 23.3% [1] - The new energy storage capacity reached 654.2 thousand kilowatts and 129.83 million kilowatt-hours by the end of June 2025 [1] - Three new electrochemical energy storage stations were put into operation, including the Yunnan Wenshan Qiubei storage project [1] Group 4 - Increased water inflow contributed to the rise in hydropower generation, while revenue from the Meixu phase one spot market and new energy storage projects also boosted net profit [2] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 1.35 billion, 1.53 billion, and 1.91 billion yuan respectively [2] - Corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected at 27.9, 24.6, and 19.7 times for the respective years [2]
南网储能(600995):调峰水电来水增加带动利润增长,参与现货市场收益可期
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-09-10 09:45
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [5][16]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.3 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.38%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 832 million yuan, an increase of 32.93% year-on-year [1]. - The increase in hydropower generation due to improved water inflow and the participation in the spot market are expected to enhance profitability [2][3]. - The company has a total installed capacity of 10.28 million kilowatts for pumped storage, with ongoing projects expected to contribute to future revenue [2]. - The new energy storage projects have been successfully launched, contributing to the overall profit growth [3]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a hydropower generation of 4.35 billion kilowatt-hours in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 23.3% [3]. - The forecasted net profit for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 1.35 billion, 1.53 billion, and 1.91 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 27.9, 24.6, and 19.7 [4]. - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 5.63 billion yuan in 2023 to 9.38 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 15.34% [4][10]. Market Participation - The company’s pumped storage project in Meizhou has been participating in the electricity spot market since October 2024, with plans to expand its participation [2]. - The transition to continuous settlement in the southern region's electricity spot market is expected to further enhance the company's revenue from electricity sales [2]. New Energy Initiatives - The company has successfully launched three new energy storage projects with a total capacity of 225 MW, contributing to its revenue stream [3]. - The total installed capacity for new energy storage as of June 2025 is 654.2 MW, with a total energy storage capacity of 1,298.3 MWh [3].
南网储能2025年半年度业绩说明会问答实录
Quan Jing Wang· 2025-09-10 03:06
2025年09月05日,南网储能2025年半年度业绩说明会在全景网顺利举行。出席本次业绩说明会的人员有 董事长刘国刚、董事、总经理李定林、独立董事杨璐、副总经理、总会计师高磊、董事会秘书钟林。 根据全景数据后台统计,在今天的交流过程中,来自全国多个省、市地区的投资者共向上市公司提问16 个,公司嘉宾共回答问题16个,答复率100.00%,充分实现了上市公司与投资者的良好互动。 以下为业绩说明会问答实录: 1、问:公司抽水蓄能电站的装机容量已达到千万千瓦比肩国投等水电龙头,请问抽水蓄能电站的盈利 模型是否可以类比水电站?公司的资本支出周期是怎么样的?未来抽水蓄能电站还有多少新增装机空 间?【征集问题】 回答:尊敬的投资者您好。抽水蓄能作为电力系统的重要调节性电源,具有调峰、调频、调压、系统备 用和黑启动等多种功能。与常规水电站的盈利机制不同,目前公司的抽水蓄能电站还是按照《关于进一 步完善抽水蓄能价格形成机制的意见》(发改价格〔2021〕633号) 的要求执行两部制电价,包括容量电 价和电量电价。公司按照工程项目建设周期匹配相应资本性筹资安排,2025年拟安排固定资产投资99亿 元,其中电源基建投资90.89亿 ...
储能行业近况交流
2025-09-07 16:19
储能行业近况交流 20250907 摘要 独立储能项目建设加速,65GWh 进入实质阶段,预计年底并网。内蒙 古收益率领先,4 小时储能电站 EPC 造价约 0.8 元/Wh,容量补偿 0.35 元/度电,现货套利价差超 0.3 元,内部收益率达 13%-18%。 多省份出台容量补偿政策,如河北、山东、广东等,补偿方式和金额各 异,但全国层面已形成规模,为独立储能项目提供支持。内蒙古已发放 超 2 亿元容量补偿,并优选新增投资业主。 江苏省独立储能电站建设放缓,因原有收益模式依赖调峰,但电力现货 市场长周期试运行将取消该模式,市场观望。反映非现货市场省份普遍 情况。 预计 2025 年国内新增储能装机 130GWh,截至 8 月已达 75GWh。内 蒙古和新疆合计贡献约 40GWh,甘肃也有机会完成部分项目,云南锂 电储能市场趋于饱和。 储能发展受益于容量补偿政策和电力现货市场极端价差。山东 2022 年 开始容量补偿,多省跟进。储能电站全年满充满放 300 次,价差 0.3 元 即可回本,满足央企投资要求。 Q&A 国内储能行业近期的发展情况如何? 电池系统价格近期上涨,主流品牌电芯报价从 2 毛 4 升至 ...
明星电力(600101):电水主业稳健增长,电改持续推进下,有望加速拓展综合能源服务
China Post Securities· 2025-09-05 06:26
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [7][58]. Core Insights - The company is a state-controlled enterprise engaged in electricity and water supply, with a comprehensive service network. It has a 100% market share in electricity supply and nearly 90% in water supply within its jurisdiction as of 2025H1 [4][17]. - The company has shown steady long-term growth, with a 10-year CAGR of 8.6% in revenue and 7.9% in net profit from 2014 to 2024 [4][22]. - The ongoing energy reform and integration of generation, transmission, and sales are expected to enhance the company's comprehensive energy services [5][6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The latest closing price is 10.05 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 55 billion yuan and a PE ratio of 26.30 [3]. - The company has a low debt ratio of 27.1%, indicating a stable financial position [3][33]. Business Performance - In 2025H1, the company reported revenues of 1.52 billion yuan and a net profit of 70 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.7% in revenue but a decline of 13.1% in net profit due to reduced water inflow [22]. - The company’s electricity and water sales have shown robust growth, with a CAGR of 12.9% and 5.5% respectively from 2015 to 2024 [50]. Financial Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 3.13 billion, 3.40 billion, and 3.65 billion yuan, with net profits of 210 million, 220 million, and 220 million yuan respectively. The net profit CAGR for this period is estimated at 4.6% [7][57]. - The diluted EPS for the same period is forecasted to be 0.38, 0.39, and 0.41 yuan [7][57]. Valuation - The PE multiples based on the current stock price for 2025-2027 are projected to be 27, 25, and 24 times respectively [7][58]. - The report references comparable companies for valuation, considering the company's active expansion into comprehensive energy services [58].
江苏国信:影响公司能源板块利润的因素包括电价等
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-09-04 06:49
Core Viewpoint - Jiangsu Guoxin highlighted that various factors influence the profitability of its energy sector, including electricity prices, coal prices, weather conditions, unit stability, and market demand [1] Group 1 - The company has a structurally favorable thermal power unit setup [1] - The Shanxi power plant's spot market team possesses mature experience [1] - The company holds a competitive advantage in the electricity spot market [1]
五大发电上半年净利创近十年同期新高,“量价双降”企业怎么办
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-01 23:40
Core Viewpoint - The five major power generation companies in China reported a significant increase in net profits for the first half of the year, reaching a combined net profit of 24.267 billion yuan, the highest in nearly a decade, despite a decline in revenue due to falling electricity prices and generation volumes [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The five major power generation companies achieved a total net profit of 24.267 billion yuan, surpassing the total net profit for the same period in 2024, marking the highest net profit since 2016 [1]. - Among these companies, Huaneng International and Datang Power reported net profit increases of 24.26% and 47.25%, reaching 9.262 billion yuan and 4.579 billion yuan respectively, leading the group [1]. - Only Guodian Power experienced a decline in net profit, attributed to the previous year's transfer of a subsidiary, but its adjusted net profit excluding non-recurring items increased by over 56% to 3.41 billion yuan [1]. Group 2: Cost Factors - The decline in coal prices was a primary factor contributing to the collective profit growth of these companies, with the average price of thermal coal dropping by approximately 22.2% year-on-year to about 685 yuan per ton [2]. - Huaneng International's coal-fired power segment saw a net profit increase of 84% to 7.31 billion yuan, while Datang Power's coal-fired segment nearly doubled, reaching 3.148 billion yuan [2]. - Despite profit growth, the companies faced a nearly 10% decline in revenue, primarily due to reduced electricity generation and falling electricity prices [2]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The implementation of market-based pricing for renewable energy has led to a collective decline in electricity prices and generation volumes, impacting overall revenue for the companies [2][3]. - Guodian Power highlighted the increased volatility and uncertainty in electricity prices due to the expansion of the electricity spot market, which is influenced by real-time supply and demand [3]. - The average on-grid electricity price for Huaneng International decreased by 2.7% to 485.27 yuan per megawatt-hour, which was less than the 9.2% decline in coal prices [3]. Group 4: Strategic Responses - In response to the challenges posed by the entry of renewable energy and the acceleration of the electricity spot market, China Power plans to adjust its trading strategies and enhance asset management to ensure competitive pricing [5]. - Guodian Power emphasized the importance of training and selecting traders, as well as utilizing big data and AI to improve market analysis and forecasting capabilities [5]. - The introduction of capacity pricing for coal-fired power plants has improved profitability and reduced losses, providing a more stable profit structure for these companies [4].
毛利率创新高!南网储能中报业绩亮眼 中报业绩说明会相约9月5日不见不散
Quan Jing Wang· 2025-09-01 12:45
特别地,梅蓄项目正式进入现货市场交易,抽蓄电站盈利能力有望得到进一步改善。券商研报指出:电 力现货市场机制将推动储能从"计划调度"走向"市场竞价",储能具有同时参与电能量市场、辅助服务市 场及容量市场的机会。 南网储能(600995)(600995)披露中报显示,今年上半年公司实现总营业收入33.01亿元,同比增长 13.38%;利润总额达到12.65亿元,同比增长24.92%;实现归母净利润8.32亿元,同比增长32.93%;公 司期间毛利率进一步提升至52.74%,一举创出历年同期新高。 全景网了解到,截至2025年6月底,公司在运抽水蓄能装机规模达1028万千瓦,在建项目共10座、总装 机容量1200万千瓦,其中梅蓄二期、南宁项目计划年内投产,韶关新丰项目完成可研审查,新增临沧云 县项目投资开发权,展现出公司在传统与新兴储能领域的强大布局能力和项目推进效率。 公司2025年半年度利润分配方案拟每10股派现0.52元(含税),中期分红诚意十足。 为便于广大投资者更全面深入了解公司经营情况,公司定于2025年9月5日(星期五)下午15:00-16:00召开 2025年半年度业绩说明会,就投资者关心的问题进行 ...
独立储能参与现货市场进展情况及盈利空间
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that with the implementation of Document No. 136, the independent energy storage capacity leasing model will gradually fade, and independent energy storage will inevitably participate in the electricity market, with spot market price arbitrage becoming a primary source of revenue [2][3]. Group 1: Progress of Spot Market Construction - The national top-level design for electricity market reform has made significant progress, establishing a multi-level, multi-category, multi-functional, and multi-entity electricity market system [4]. - The National Development and Reform Commission and the Energy Administration issued Document No. 394 in April 2025, outlining the timeline for the construction of spot markets in various provinces [4]. - Various provinces are accelerating the construction of electricity spot markets, with several regions transitioning to formal operations in 2023, including Inner Mongolia, Hubei, and Zhejiang [5][7]. Group 2: Independent Energy Storage Profitability - The profitability of energy storage in the spot market largely depends on the peak-valley price difference, influenced by multiple factors such as generation characteristics and market price limits [8][10]. - Different provinces have unique market rules for energy storage participation, with some provinces implementing compensation mechanisms for energy storage due to low price differences in the spot market [11][14]. - The peak-valley price difference has shown an upward trend since 2025, with Shanxi experiencing the largest increase of 43% [10][11]. Group 3: Market Rules and Mechanisms - Provinces are continuously optimizing market rules and trading mechanisms, allowing energy storage to participate as an independent entity in market transactions [8][9]. - The article outlines various operational states of the spot market across provinces, indicating that some regions have implemented continuous settlement trial operations while others are in different stages of market readiness [7][9]. - The article highlights the need for a fair and reasonable market competition environment to ensure that independent energy storage can achieve value returns through diversified participation in energy markets [11].
南网储能(600995):2025年半年报点评:梅蓄一期进入现货市场结算,抽蓄盈利能力提升
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-01 03:02
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a 13.4% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, reaching 3.301 billion yuan, and a 32.9% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, amounting to 832 million yuan, which aligns with market expectations [7] - The increase in revenue and profit is attributed to several factors: improved water supply for peak-shaving hydropower, increased income from the first phase of Meizhou pumped storage entering the spot market, and the commissioning of the Yunnan Qiubei energy storage station [7] - The company has a total installed capacity of 12.9642 million kilowatts as of the first half of 2025, including 10.28 million kilowatts of pumped storage and 654,200 kilowatts of new energy storage [7] - The entry of Meizhou into the spot market is expected to enhance the profitability of pumped storage plants, as the new policy broadens the development space for energy storage [7] - The company maintains profit forecasts of 1.235 billion yuan, 1.394 billion yuan, and 1.517 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 27x, 24x, and 22x [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is 5.63 billion yuan, with a projected increase to 6.67 billion yuan in 2025E, reflecting an 8.08% year-on-year growth [1][8] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to grow from 1.014 billion yuan in 2023A to 1.235 billion yuan in 2025E, representing a 9.61% increase [1][8] - The latest diluted EPS is projected to rise from 0.32 yuan in 2023A to 0.39 yuan in 2025E [1][8] - The company's total assets are forecasted to increase from 50.467 billion yuan in 2024A to 57.814 billion yuan in 2025E [8]