Core Viewpoint - The company Jinlongyu reported a net profit increase of over 60% year-on-year for the first half of 2023, marking its best semi-annual performance in nearly three years [1] Financial Performance - Jinlongyu's net profit for the first half of 2023 reached 1.755 billion yuan, the highest level for the same period in 2023 [1] - The company's gross profit margins for kitchen foods, feed raw materials, and oil technology businesses increased by 0.8 and 3.25 percentage points year-on-year, with the latter showing an increase of over three times compared to the same period last year [1] Market Conditions - Despite the strong performance in the semi-annual report, there are concerns about a sequential decline in performance for the second quarter [1] - The company noted that the recovery in demand for consumer products such as flour and rice was below expectations, compounded by price fluctuations in raw materials [1] Investor Sentiment - The report raises questions about whether it can restore investor confidence and whether there is sufficient momentum for valuation recovery after five consecutive years of stock price decline [1]

Group 1: US Market Dynamics - The US stock market experienced a significant rally, with the Nasdaq index rising over 6.7% from April 23 to 25, driven by strong performances from tech giants like Tesla, Nvidia, Microsoft, and Google [1] - Tesla's stock surged nearly 25% in a week following CEO Elon Musk's announcement to focus more on company operations and the US government's easing of autonomous driving regulations [1] - The Federal Reserve officials indicated potential interest rate cuts, with Cleveland Fed President Mester suggesting cuts could begin in June, which fueled market expectations for a more accommodative monetary policy [1] Group 2: Trade Policy Concerns - The uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariff policies remains a significant concern, with conflicting statements about potential tariff rollbacks creating market volatility [3] - Despite hints from Trump about possibly retracting some tariffs, the US Commerce Department denied any progress in negotiations, leading to a decline in consumer confidence as prices for goods on platforms like Temu and Shein rose by 20% to 100% due to tariffs [3] - Analysts warn that persistent high tariffs could exacerbate inflation and slow economic growth, potentially prompting the Fed to implement more aggressive rate cuts [3] Group 3: A-Share Market Outlook - The A-share market is experiencing a narrow trading range characterized by upward pressure and downward support, with significant resistance at the trading volume zone from April 7 [3][4] - Despite a slight increase in margin trading balances, there is a net outflow from equity ETFs, indicating some investors are taking profits amid the rebound [3] - UBS analysts predict a potential recovery in A-share earnings, with the CSI 300 index expected to see a 6% growth in earnings per share, supported by increased fiscal policies and continued inflow from individual investors [4] Group 4: Sector Performance and Investment Strategies - A-share sectors benefiting from clear domestic policy direction, such as large financials and self-sufficient industries, are expected to lead the market, while export-dependent sectors face risks from US tariff policies [7] - The current influx of retail investors into the A-share market is notable, with 3.9 million new accounts opened in October 2024, significantly higher than the average [8] - The market is likely to open higher on Monday, but the ability to break through resistance levels will depend on trading volume; sectors aligned with policy support and earnings recovery should be prioritized for investment [11]