JUST IN: 🇺🇸 September rate cut probabilities spike to 90%. https://t.co/SbCSPNqzAq ...

the three-month moving average, healthc care has actually created on average 68,000 jobs. The total payroll is 35,000. Meaning it's created 200% of the uh of of the jobs.Meaning you have a service economy, not you think about is healthcare interest rate sensitive, it's demographically sensitive. So you don't really I mean you think the interests sensitive parts of the economy are under some pressure. Lower income who are the borrowers in this economy are having a tough time.So would I have cut. Yes, I would ...

You do think the setup is largely about September and how they line that up. And you point out that some of the data has been reassuring. Some of it does point to maybe some below potential growth, right.Yeah. Look, um, we know what's happening this week, right. The Fed is not going to cut.They're going to stick to the wait and see through the summer approach, make the decision in September. Though the two Trump appointees, Waller and Bowman, will, I think, descent in favor of an immediate cut. So yeah, the ...

Let's start perhaps with the data side of things. Is there going to be a market fallout. It doesn't appear as though right now, but there is going to be a ripple effect and can we trust the data going forward.So, I think the next few days after you're seeing a considerable degree of surprise on Friday, you you very likely will see some market reaction. You're not going to solve this overnight because this is a revision off of several months of data. and the markets were caught by surprise in an environment ...

💥BREAKING:THERE'S NOW 89.1% CHANCE OF A RATE CUT IN SEPTEMBER. 🚀 https://t.co/IQXWiMUdXq ...

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Chile’s economic activity unexpectedly fell for the second straight month in June on a plunge in mining, as the central bank signals that it will gradually reduce its interest rate over coming quarters https://t.co/acgoEETsaz ...

U.S. equities were mixed at midday with the market reacting to a strong report on the U.S. economy while awaiting the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. https://t.co/63C2GXDA87 ...

uh bring in Charles Schwab's Kevin Gordon, High Tower Adviserss Stephanie Link and former Federal Reserve Governor Frederick Michigan. Um Stephanie and Fred uh Frederick are both CNBC contributors. And we are going to hear from uh from Steve Leeman who was in the room in just a moment.And Professor Michigan, I'd love your takeaway on on Pal's comments there. I mean, he he seemed to withhold any uh any indication that he's leaning toward a cut in September and in fact at one point said, "Hey, we're already l ...

Uh thanks thanks Chel. Um there's a lot of lean in the markets uh and not to mention uh out of the administration for a rate cut now in September. Uh is that uh expectation unrealistic at this point.So as you know today we decided to leave our policy rate where it's been which where I would characterize as modestly restrictive. Um inflation is running a bit above 2% as I mentioned even excluding tariff effects. The labor market's solid, historically low unemployment, financial conditions are accommodative, ...