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PPI环比转正,谁是拉手?:——2025年10月价格数据点评
EBSCN· 2025-11-09 10:53
Group 1: CPI Insights - In October, the CPI year-on-year increased by 0.2%, up from -0.3% in the previous month, exceeding market expectations of -0.1%[2][4] - The core CPI year-on-year growth rose to 1.2%, compared to 1.0% in the previous month[2][4] - Food prices saw a narrowing year-on-year decline from -4.4% to -2.9%, with a month-on-month increase of 0.3%, surpassing the seasonal average decline of -0.4%[4][5] Group 2: PPI Insights - The PPI year-on-year decline narrowed to -2.1% from -2.3%, while the month-on-month PPI increased by 0.1%, marking the first increase of the year[2][6] - The improvement in PPI is attributed to enhanced industrial supply-demand relationships and rising international metal prices, with copper mining prices increasing by 5.3% month-on-month[6][7] - The prices in the coal mining sector rose by 1.6% month-on-month, indicating a recovery in upstream industries[6][7] Group 3: Future Outlook - CPI is expected to continue its upward trend in Q4, potentially reaching an annual average of 0.7% in 2026, driven by recovering food prices and ongoing consumption policies[8][9] - The PPI's year-on-year decline is anticipated to continue narrowing, although the timeline for a return to positive growth remains uncertain due to slow supply-side adjustments[9][10]
“反内卷”见效?核心CPI涨幅持续半年扩大,但猪肉价格跌跌不休
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-11-09 10:32
Group 1: CPI and Core CPI Trends - In October, the national CPI shifted from a year-on-year decrease of 0.3% in September to an increase of 0.2% [1] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy prices, rose by 1.2% year-on-year, marking the highest increase since March 2024 and the sixth consecutive month of growth [1] - Food prices decreased by 2.9%, with the decline narrowing by 1.5 percentage points compared to the previous month, impacting the CPI by approximately 0.54 percentage points [1] Group 2: Pork Price Dynamics - The price of pork has seen significant year-on-year declines, with decreases of 8.5%, 9.5%, 16.1%, 17.0%, and 16% from June to October [1] - The National Development and Reform Commission reported that pig farming is currently facing a loss of 192.70 yuan per head due to low pork prices [2] - Despite efforts to control production capacity, the actual reduction in breeding sows has been limited, with a total of 40.35 million breeding sows reported as of the end of September, which is 103.5% of the normal holding level [2] Group 3: PPI Trends - The PPI decreased by 2.1% year-on-year in October, continuing a trend of negative growth for 37 consecutive months, although the decline has narrowed by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month [2] - The PPI experienced a month-on-month increase of 0.1% in October, marking the first increase of the year, attributed to improved supply-demand relationships in certain industries and the transmission of international commodity prices [2][3] - Key industries are seeing a reduction in price declines due to ongoing capacity governance and safety regulation efforts, with notable improvements in coal mining and manufacturing sectors [3]
10月物价数据解读:核心通胀稳步回升
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2025-11-09 10:22
CPI Analysis - In October, the CPI increased by 0.2% month-on-month (previous value: 0.1%) and turned from a year-on-year decline of 0.3% to an increase of 0.2%[4] - The core CPI rose by 0.2% month-on-month and 1.2% year-on-year, marking the sixth consecutive month of expansion[4] - The rise in food CPI was primarily driven by weather-related increases in fresh vegetables and fruits, with a year-on-year increase of 4.3%[6] PPI Insights - The PPI increased by 0.1% month-on-month (previous value: flat) and the year-on-year decline narrowed to -2.1% (previous value: -2.3%) in October[16] - Sector analysis shows that coal prices rose due to increased heating demand in northern regions, while non-ferrous metals also saw price increases[18] Future Outlook - The CPI is expected to continue rising in November due to improved tailing factors and the ongoing recovery in core inflation[21] - Key challenges include the pace of pork production capacity reduction and the balance between supply surplus and weak demand, which may pressure oil prices[21] - The M1 money supply growth is rebounding, which could support PPI improvement, but overall economic momentum remains insufficient[21]
CPI由降转涨 PPI降幅收窄——透视10月物价数据
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-11-09 08:51
Core Insights - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.2% year-on-year and month-on-month in October, marking a shift from a 0.3% decline in the previous month [1][2] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 2.1% year-on-year, but the decline narrowed by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month, continuing a trend of narrowing for three consecutive months [1][6] CPI Analysis - The CPI's year-on-year increase of 0.2% is attributed to effective domestic demand policies and the impact of the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays [1] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 1.2% year-on-year, marking the sixth consecutive month of growth [1] - Service prices increased by 0.8%, with a notable rise in accommodation, airfare, and tourism prices due to heightened travel demand during the holidays [2][3] PPI Analysis - The PPI experienced its first month-on-month increase of 0.1% this year, driven by improved supply-demand dynamics in certain industries [5] - Year-on-year, the PPI's decline of 2.1% reflects a narrowing trend, with specific industries like coal mining and photovoltaic equipment manufacturing showing reduced price declines [6] - Prices in sectors such as art and craft manufacturing and sports equipment manufacturing saw significant increases, indicating a positive response to consumption-boosting policies [6]
0.2%、0.1%,上涨!从10月份CPI和PPI数据透视经济发展趋势
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-11-09 06:39
Group 1 - In October, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.2% month-on-month and year-on-year, driven by policies to expand domestic demand and the impact of the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays [1][3] - The CPI's month-on-month increase of 0.2% represents an expansion of 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous month, with significant price increases in accommodation, air tickets, and travel services due to heightened travel demand during the holidays [3] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy prices, rose by 1.2% year-on-year, marking the highest increase since March 2024 and continuing a trend of six consecutive months of growth [3] Group 2 - The Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a month-on-month increase of 0.1%, marking the first rise of the year, influenced by improved supply-demand relationships in certain domestic industries and the transmission of international commodity prices [6] - Key industries such as photovoltaic equipment manufacturing, battery manufacturing, and automotive manufacturing experienced a narrowing of year-on-year price declines, indicating a positive shift in market conditions [6] - The construction of a modern industrial system and the orderly release of consumption potential have led to price increases in industries such as non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing, electronic materials manufacturing, and shipbuilding [6]
CPI同比由降转涨,什么信号?解读来了
券商中国· 2025-11-09 06:21
Core Insights - The article highlights a comprehensive improvement in price data, indicating a steady recovery in domestic consumption demand, particularly in service consumption, with expectations for a moderate increase in CPI in the coming quarter [1][2][3]. CPI Analysis - In October, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.2% month-on-month and year-on-year, with the core CPI (excluding food and energy) increasing by 1.2%, marking the highest growth since March 2024 [1][2]. - Food prices decreased by 2.9%, while energy prices fell by 2.4%, but the decline in both categories narrowed compared to the previous month [2]. - Service prices increased by 0.2%, with significant rises in hotel accommodation (8.6%), airfare (4.5%), and tourism (2.5%), all exceeding seasonal levels [3]. PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a month-on-month increase of 0.1%, the first rise of the year, while the year-on-year decline narrowed to 2.1%, a reduction of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month [4][5]. - Improved supply-demand dynamics led to price increases in several sectors, including coal mining (1.6%) and photovoltaic equipment manufacturing (0.6%) [5]. - The ongoing capacity management and safety regulations in key industries are contributing to a narrowing of the year-on-year price decline, with notable improvements in sectors like coal mining and photovoltaic equipment [5][6].
10月中国CPI同比由降转涨
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-11-09 06:19
从环比看,10月份中国CPI上涨0.2%,涨幅比上月扩大0.1个百分点且略高于季节性水平。其中,服务价 格由上月环比下降0.3%转为上涨0.2%,食品价格环比上涨0.3%。 国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟表示,10月份,食品和能源价格仍处低位,但同比降幅均有收窄。 食品价格同比下降2.9%,降幅比上月收窄1.5个百分点。食品中,猪肉、鸡蛋和鲜菜价格降幅在7.3%— 16.0%之间,均有收窄。能源价格同比下降2.4%,其中汽油价格下降5.5%。 10月份,扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨1.2%,涨幅连续第6个月扩大,为2024年3月以来最 高。 服务价格自3月份起逐步回升,10月份同比上涨0.8%,涨幅比上月扩大0.2个百分点。扣除能源的工业消 费品价格同比上涨2.0%,涨幅连续第6个月扩大,其中金饰品和铂金饰品价格分别上涨50.3%和46.1%。 中新社北京11月9日电 (记者王恩博)中国国家统计局9日公布,随着扩内需等政策措施持续显效,叠加国 庆、中秋长假带动,10月份中国居民消费价格指数(CPI)同比由上月下降0.3%转为上涨0.2%。 展望物价后续走势,国家金融与发展实验室特聘高级研究员庞溟表 ...
国家统计局:10月份我国CPI同比上涨0.2%
Xin Hua She· 2025-11-09 06:19
新华社北京11月9日电 (记者 王雨萧)国家统计局11月9日发布数据显示,10月份,扩内需等政策 措施持续显效,叠加国庆中秋假期带动,全国居民消费价格指数(CPI)环比上涨0.2%,同比上涨 0.2%,扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨1.2%,涨幅连续第6个月扩大。 "CPI环比上涨0.2%,涨幅比上月扩大0.1个百分点且略高于季节性水平。其中,服务价格由上月下 降0.3%转为上涨0.2%,高于季节性水平0.2个百分点,影响CPI环比上涨约0.07个百分点。"董莉娟说。 统计数据显示,食品价格同比下降2.9%,非食品价格上涨0.9%;消费品价格下降0.2%,服务价格 上涨0.8%。1至10月平均,CPI比上年同期下降0.1%。 国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟介绍,CPI同比由上月下降0.3%转为上涨0.2%,其中食品和能 源价格仍处低位,但降幅均有收窄。扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨1.2%,涨幅连续第6个月 扩大,为2024年3月以来最高。 ...
权威数读丨核心CPI涨幅连续第6个月扩大
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-11-09 06:16
国家统计局9日发布数据,10月份,扩内需等政策措施持续显效,叠加国庆、中秋长假带动,居民 消费价格指数同比环比均呈现上涨,核心CPI涨幅连续第6个月扩大。 CPI同比上涨 CPI同比上涨0.2% 核心CPI同比上涨1.2% 涨幅连续第6个月扩大 为2024年3月以来最高 权威数读 / 凯菲亚 1 1 文案/制作:黄南希 【纠错】 【责任编辑:王雪】 新华社 ATS 权威数读 / 策划:令伟家 统筹:曹建礼、何险峰 CPI环比涨幅扩 CPI环比上涨0.2% 涨幅比上月扩大0.1个百分点 国庆中秋双节出行需求较旺 服务价格由降转涨 ...
美股散户不抄底了,国内CPI开始回升,下周A股怎么看?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-09 05:02
Group 1 - The article highlights that this week has been the worst for US tech stocks since April, with retail investors not engaging in bottom-fishing as they did previously [1] - Retail investors have shown a significant decline in interest in "MEME" stocks and recent IPOs, with these stocks dropping 10% from recent highs, indicating weakening buying pressure [1] - The article suggests that US investors are becoming more mature and cautious, contrasting with domestic investors who may underestimate the risks associated with the US stock market [1] Group 2 - The October CPI data shows a 0.2% increase both year-on-year and month-on-month, indicating a potential recovery in consumer prices, although the overall trend remains low [2] - The highest CPI increase over the past year was 0.7%, with most fluctuations between 0.1% and 0.2%, suggesting that consumer prices are not significantly rising [2][3] - The decline in pork prices by 16% and egg prices by 11.6% indicates a reduction in demand, influenced by the weakening of the scale effect previously driven by the real estate sector [3][4] Group 3 - The article emphasizes that the current low CPI fluctuations should not be interpreted as a sign of economic decline, but rather as a characteristic of the economic transition period [5] - The traditional consumption sectors, such as liquor and food and beverage, may face challenges due to the current economic conditions, necessitating innovation and new market strategies [5] - In the A-share market, there is a perception that the index may struggle to reach 4000 points in the short term, with investors focusing more on personal profit rather than index performance [5]