Core Viewpoint - Xinhua Wenhxuan (00811.HK) reported a decline in revenue for the six months ending June 30, 2025, primarily due to a downturn in its core educational business segments [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved operating revenue of RMB 5.527 billion, a decrease of 4.50% compared to RMB 5.788 billion in the same period last year [1] - Main business revenue was RMB 5.439 billion, down 4.72% year-on-year, attributed to declines in textbook, educational information technology, and educational equipment sectors [1] - The overall gross margin improved to 39.05%, up from 38.46% in the previous year, reflecting a 0.59 percentage point increase [1] - The gross margin for the main business was 38.34%, an increase of 0.61 percentage points from 37.73% year-on-year, driven by changes in sales structure [1] - Total profit reached RMB 907 million, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.98% [1] - Net profit was RMB 900 million, showing a significant increase of 19.63% compared to the previous year [1]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoint No information provided. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Contracts - The closing prices of BU main contract, BU06, BU09, BU12, and BU03 on August 26 were 3523, 3392, 3548, 3449, and 3404 respectively, with daily changes of 11, 23, 3, 17, and 10, and weekly changes of 50, 70, 49, 72, and 62 [4]. - The trading volume on August 26 was 268305, with a daily increase of 10750 and a weekly increase of 7679; the open - interest was 394850, with a daily decrease of 16637 and a weekly decrease of 37043; the inventory was 29790, with a daily decrease of 1150 and a weekly decrease of 1350 [4]. Market Prices - The market prices in Shandong, East China, South China, North China, and Northeast China on August 26 were 3540, 3720, 3490, 3680, and 3880 respectively. The daily changes were 20, 0, 10, 30, and 0, and the weekly changes were - 40, - 10, - 30, 0, and 0 [4]. - The spot prices of Jingbo (Haiyun) and Luhai (Xinbohai) on August 26 were 3680 and 3680 respectively, with daily changes of 0 and 30, and weekly changes of 10 and 0 [4]. Basis and Calendar Spreads - The basis in Shandong, East China, and South China on August 26 were 17, 197, and - 33 respectively, with daily changes of 9, - 11, and - 1, and weekly changes of - 90, - 60, and - 80 [4]. - The calendar spreads of 03 - 06, 06 - 09, 09 - 12, 12 - 03, and consecutive first - consecutive second on August 26 were 9, - 153, 113, 45, and 26 respectively, with daily changes of - 13, 20, - 14, 7, and - 3, and weekly changes of - 8, 21, - 23, 10, and - 18 [4]. Crack Spreads and Profits - The asphalt Brent crack spread on July 28 was - 1, and on August 18 was 69; the asphalt Marrow profit on July 28 was - 70, and on August 18 was - 5; the ordinary refinery comprehensive profit on July 28 was 448, and on August 18 was 503; the Marrow - type refinery comprehensive profit on July 28 was 711, and on August 18 was 764 [4]. - The import profit from South Korea to East China on August 26 was - 119, with a daily increase of 7 and a weekly increase of 7; the import profit from Singapore to South China on August 26 was - 1044, with a daily increase of 17 and a weekly decrease of 7 [4]. Related Prices - The price of Brent crude oil on August 26 was 68.8, with a daily increase of 1.1 and a weekly increase of 3.0; the gasoline market price in Shandong on August 26 was 7627, with a daily increase of 9 and a weekly decrease of 54; the diesel market price in Shandong on August 26 was 6501, with a daily increase of 25 and a weekly decrease of 17; the residue oil market price in Shandong on August 26 was 3635, with a daily change of 0 and a weekly decrease of 5 [4].

Report Information - Report Title: Asphalt Thick Report [2] - Research Team: Research Center's Energy and Chemicals Team - Report Date: August 26, 2025 [3] Key Data Futures Contract Prices - BU主力合约: 3512 on August 25, up 29 from the previous day and 51 from the previous week [4] - BU06: 3372 on August 25, up 12 from the previous day and 54 from the previous week [4] - BU09: 3545 on August 25, up 29 from the previous day and 48 from the previous week [4] - BU12: 3432 on August 25, up 32 from the previous day and 62 from the previous week [4] - BU03: 3394 on August 25, up 32 from the previous day and 72 from the previous week [4] Trading Volume and Open Interest - Trading volume: 257,555 on August 25, up 46,827 from the previous day and 43,392 from the previous week [4] - Open interest: 411,487 on August 25, down 9,629 from the previous day and 24,832 from the previous week [4] Market Prices - Shandong market price: 3520 on August 25, up 20 from the previous day and down 100 from the previous week [4] - East China market price: 3720 on August 25, unchanged from the previous day and down 10 from the previous week [4] - South China market price: 3480 on August 25, unchanged from the previous day and down 40 from the previous week [4] - North China market price: 3650 on August 25, unchanged from the previous day and down 30 from the previous week [4] - Northeast market price: 3880 on August 25, unchanged from the previous day and the previous week [4] Spot Prices - Jingbo (Haiyun): 3680 on August 25, down 10 from the previous day and up 10 from the previous week [4] - Bihai (Xin Bohai): 3650 on August 25, unchanged from the previous day and down 30 from the previous week [4] Basis and Spread - Shandong - East China basis: -200 on August 25, up 20 from the previous day and down 90 from the previous week [4] - Shandong - Northeast basis: -360 on August 25, up 20 from the previous day and down 100 from the previous week [4] - East China - South China basis: 240 on August 25, unchanged from the previous day and up 30 from the previous week [4] - Shandong basis: 8 on August 25, down 9 from the previous day and down 151 from the previous week [4] - East China basis: 208 on August 25, down 29 from the previous day and down 61 from the previous week [4] - South China basis: -32 on August 25, down 29 from the previous day and down 91 from the previous week [4] - 03 - 06 spread: 22 on August 25, up 20 from the previous day and 18 from the previous week [4] - 06 - 09 spread: -173 on August 25, down 13 from the previous day and up 6 from the previous week [4] - 09 - 12 spread: 113 on August 25, down 7 from the previous day and 14 from the previous week [4] - 12 - 03 spread: 38 on August 25, unchanged from the previous day and down 10 from the previous week [4] - Consecutive first - consecutive second spread: 29 on August 25, down 6 from the previous day and 7 from the previous week [4] Crack Spread and Profit - Asphalt Brent crack spread: Data unavailable after August 15 [4] - Asphalt Mares profit: Data unavailable after August 15 [4] - Ordinary refinery comprehensive profit: 511 on August 15 [4] - Mares - type refinery comprehensive profit: 754 on August 15 [4] - Import profit (South Korea - East China): -126 on August 25, up 3 from the previous day and down 1 from the previous week [4] - Import profit (Singapore - South China): -1061 on August 25, up 4 from the previous day and down 26 from the previous week [4] Related Prices - Brent crude oil: 67.7 on August 25, up 0.1 from the previous day and 1.1 from the previous week [4] - Shandong gasoline market price: 7618 on August 25, down 51 from the previous day and 121 from the previous week [4] - Shandong diesel market price: 6476 on August 25, down 57 from the previous day and 126 from the previous week [4] - Shandong residual oil market price: 3635 on August 25, down 25 from the previous day and 5 from the previous week [4]

Price and Basis - Futures prices have declined while the basis has strengthened, with steel billet prices down by 10 to 3080 yuan. The actual transaction price for rebar in East China is 3170 yuan per ton, with the October futures contract at a discount of 51 yuan to the spot price. Hot-rolled coil is priced at 3400 yuan per ton, with the main contract at a discount of 39 yuan to the spot price [1]. Cost and Profit - On the cost side, coking coal production has seen fluctuations, with overall operating rates and output not recovering significantly. After a decline in inventory, there are signs of a potential accumulation again. Iron ore inventories at ports have slightly increased, while steel production remains high, and seasonal demand for steel is declining. Expectations for a contraction in coking coal supply persist, and while iron ore demand remains high, a slight accumulation is expected, leading to a weaker cost support on a month-on-month basis. As prices weaken, steel profits are declining, with profits ranked from high to low as follows: steel billet > hot-rolled coil > rebar > cold-rolled coil [1]. Supply - From January to July, iron element production increased by 18 million tons, a growth rate of 3.1%. Month-on-month, August production rebounded compared to July, mainly due to a significant increase in daily scrap steel consumption. Current molten iron production is stable at 2.41 million tons, with daily scrap steel consumption at 55800 tons, up by 0.6% month-on-month. The total production of the five major materials increased by 64000 tons to 8.78 million tons. By product type, rebar production decreased by 58000 tons to 2.15 million tons, while hot-rolled coil production increased by 96000 tons to 3.25 million tons. Since July, production of the five major materials has exceeded demand, leading to inventory pressure due to last year's low production base in August [1][2]. Demand - From January to July, the apparent demand for the five major materials remained flat year-on-year (-0.2%), while the production decline was greater than the apparent demand (-1.3%). The increase in iron element production (+3%) is primarily directed towards non-five major materials and steel billets. Domestic demand has decreased year-on-year, while external demand has increased significantly, with direct and indirect steel exports rising. Overall steel demand has increased year-on-year, with average daily production rising and apparent demand remaining flat, while inventory has decreased year-on-year. Month-on-month, the seasonal decline was not significant, and the impact of tariffs on demand was offset by the increase in direct exports. Apparent demand for rebar has decreased, dragging down overall apparent demand. The apparent demand for the five major materials decreased by 22000 tons to 8.53 million tons, with rebar demand down by 5000 tons to 1.95 million tons, while hot-rolled coil demand increased by 6500 tons to 3.21 million tons [2]. Inventory - This week saw a significant accumulation of inventory, primarily among traders, with little increase in steel mill inventories. The inventory of the five major materials increased by 25000 tons to 14.41 million tons, with rebar inventory up by 20000 tons to 6.07 million tons and hot-rolled coil inventory up by 4000 tons to 3.6144 million tons. By product type, rebar supply has increased while demand has decreased, leading to significant inventory accumulation; for sheet materials, both supply and demand are weak, resulting in minimal inventory accumulation [2]. Outlook - Molten iron production remains stable, with weekly data indicating a slight increase in the production of the five major materials and a slowdown in inventory accumulation, alongside a rebound in apparent demand. Data shows signs of a bottoming out, but levels remain within the off-peak season. August demand saw a significant month-on-month decline, primarily due to poor rebar demand, affecting the spread between rebar and hot-rolled coil, which has widened to around 290. The market remains weak, with steel prices declining. There is an expectation for a rebound in demand during the peak season from September to October, and considering the situation of steel demand and coking coal supply, steel prices are expected to maintain a high-level oscillation pattern. A long position is suggested for trading, with October hot-rolled coil and rebar prices referenced at 3350 yuan and 3150 yuan, respectively [3][4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Beichen Real Estate (601588) experienced a decline in overall revenue due to a decrease in the area settled for real estate development, with a total revenue of RMB 30.19 billion, down 11.97% year-on-year [1] - The exhibition (including hotels) and commercial property segments achieved revenue of RMB 14.77 billion, reflecting an increase of 18.32% year-on-year, with a pre-tax profit of RMB 2.012 billion, up 1.59% year-on-year [1] - The company hosted 1,071 various types of exhibition events in self-owned venues and hotels, marking a year-on-year growth of approximately 58.9%, including 18 major exhibition events with a total visitor count of 2.52 million [1] Group 2 - The real estate development segment generated revenue of RMB 14.61 billion (including parking spaces), which represents a year-on-year decline of 29.71% [2] - As of the end of the reporting period, the total financing amount reached RMB 236.9 billion, providing stable financial support for the company's operational development [2] - The company has been optimizing its debt structure and planning financing channels to reduce funding costs, achieving an overall average financing cost reduction to 3.66% [2]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints No core viewpoints are presented in the given content. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Contracts - BU主力合约价格从7月23日的3594降至8月21日的3465，日度变化为11，周度变化为 -38 [4] - BU06价格从3391变为3342，日度变化27，周度变化4 [4] - BU09价格从3594变为3496，日度变化3，周度变化 -38 [4] - BU12价格从3460变为3373，日度变化19，周度变化 -33 [4] - BU03价格从3406变为3340，日度变化20，周度变化0 [4] Trading Volume and Open Interest - 成交量从7月23日的300486变为8月21日的194917，日度变化 -27620，周度变化18196 [4] - 持仓量从459411变为424013，日度变化 -5954，周度变化 -20467 [4] - 合计从42950变为30940，日度变化 -200，周度变化 -1100 [4] Market Prices - 山东市场价从3845变为3510，日度变化 -20，周度变化 -130 [4] - 华东市场价从3780变为3720，日度变化0，周度变化 -10 [4] - 华南市场价从3590变为3490，日度变化 -20，周度变化 -40 [4] - 华北市场价从3730变为3660，日度变化 -10，周度变化 -30 [4] - 东北市场价维持3880，日度和周度变化均为0 [4] Spot Prices - 京博 (海韵) 价格维持3670，日度和周度变化均为0 [4] - 露海(鑫渤海) 价格从3730变为3660，日度变化 -10，周度变化 -30 [4] Basis and Calendar Spreads - 山东 - 华东价差从 -90变为 -210，日度变化 -20，周度变化 -120 [4] - 山东 - 东北价差从 -85变为 -370，日度变化 -20，周度变化 -130 [4] - 华东 - 华南价差从190变为230，日度变化20，周度变化30 [4] - 山东基差从251变为45，日度变化 -31，周度变化 -92 [4] - 华东基差从186变为256，日度变化 -11，周度变化28 [4] - 华南基差从 -4变为25，日度变化 -31，周度变化 -2 [4] - 03 - 06月差从15变为 -2，日度变化 -7，周度变化 -4 [4] - 06 - 09月差从 -203变为 -154，日度变化24，周度变化42 [4] - 09 - 12月差从134变为123，日度变化 -16，周度变化 -5 [4] - 12 - 03月差从54变为33，日度变化 -1，周度变化 -33 [4] - 连一 - 连二月差从36变为42，日度变化 -8，周度变化11 [4] Crack Spreads and Profits - 沥青Brent裂差从30变为74（部分数据缺失） [4] - 沥青马瑞利润从 -42变为 -1（部分数据缺失） [4] - 普通炼厂综合利润从447变为496（部分数据缺失） [4] - 马瑞型炼厂综合利润从724变为762（部分数据缺失） [4] - 进口利润(韩国 - 华东) 从 -52变为 -131，日度变化0，周度变化 -5 [4] - 进口利润（新加坡 - 华南）从 -962变为 -1058，日度变化 -18，周度变化 -31 [4] Related Prices - Brent原油价格从68.6变为66.8，日度变化1.1，周度变化0.0 [4] - 汽油山东市场价从7799变为7655，日度变化7，周度变化 -77 [4] - 柴油山东市场价从6562变为6516，日度变化12，周度变化 -46 [4] - 渣油山东市场价维持3660，日度变化0，周度变化30 [4]

Report Overview - Report Title: Methanol Polyolefin Morning Report - Report Date: August 21, 2025 - Research Team: Energy and Chemicals Team of the Research Center Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - **Methanol**: Port inventories are accumulating significantly due to high imports and current inventories. The domestic supply is expected to return, and traditional demand will enter the peak season. It is necessary to pay attention to whether the demand can support after the domestic supply returns. If the inventory deteriorates significantly, methanol is likely to experience a valuation decline [2]. - **Polyethylene**: The inventory of the two major state - owned oil companies is neutral year - on - year. The upstream two major oil companies are accumulating inventory, while coal - chemical enterprises are reducing inventory. The overall inventory is neutral. The 09 basis is around - 150 in North China and - 100 in East China. The import profit is around - 100 with no further increase for now. In August, the number of maintenance activities decreased month - on - month, and the domestic linear production increased month - on - month. Attention should be paid to the LL - HD conversion and new device commissioning [7]. - **Polypropylene**: The upstream two major oil companies are accumulating inventory, and the middle - stream is reducing inventory. The basis is - 60, the non - standard price difference is neutral, and the import profit is around - 800. Exports have been performing well this year. The supply in June is expected to increase slightly month - on - month, and the downstream orders are average currently. Under the background of over - capacity, the 09 contract is expected to face moderate to excessive pressure. If exports continue to increase or there are more PDH device maintenance activities, the supply pressure can be alleviated to a neutral level [7]. - **PVC**: The basis remains at 09 - 150, and the factory - pickup basis is - 450. The downstream operating rate is seasonally weakening, and the willingness to hold goods at low prices is strong. The inventory reduction of the middle and upstream has slowed down. Attention should be paid to the commissioning and export sustainability from July to August. The current static inventory contradiction is accumulating slowly, and attention should be paid to exports, coal prices, commercial housing sales, terminal orders, and operating rates [7]. Summary by Product Methanol - **Price Data**: From August 14 to August 20, the daily changes in动力煤期货price were 0,江苏现货price increased by 25,华南现货price increased by 10,鲁南折盘面price decreased by 5,西南折盘面price remained unchanged,河北折盘面price decreased by 60,西北折盘面price remained unchanged, CFR中国and CFR东南亚prices remained unchanged,进口利润remained unchanged,主力基差decreased by 5, and盘面MTO利润remained unchanged [2]. - **Market Situation**: Port inventories are high, and the domestic supply is expected to return. Traditional demand will enter the peak season later. It is necessary to focus on the demand - supply balance after the domestic supply returns [2]. Polyethylene - **Price Data**: From August 14 to August 20,东北亚乙烯price remained unchanged,华北LLprice increased by 20,华东LLprice remained unchanged,华东LDprice decreased by 25,华东HDprice decreased by 30, LL美金and LL美湾prices remained unchanged,进口利润remained unchanged,主力期货price increased by 40,基差increased by 10,两油库存remained unchanged, and仓decreased by 40 [7]. - **Market Situation**: The overall inventory is neutral. The 09 basis is different in different regions. The overseas markets in Europe, America, and Southeast Asia are stable. The import profit is around - 100. The non - standard HD injection price is stable, and other price differences are fluctuating. The number of maintenance activities in August decreased month - on - month, and the domestic linear production increased month - on - month [7]. Polypropylene - **Price Data**: From August 14 to August 20,山东丙烯price decreased by 20,东北亚丙烯price remained unchanged,华东PPprice decreased by 40,华北PPprice decreased by 15,山东粉料price decreased by 10,华东共聚price decreased by 28, PP美金and PP美湾prices remained unchanged,出口利润remained unchanged,主力期货price increased by 40,基差remained unchanged,两油库存remained unchanged, and仓单decreased by 100 [7]. - **Market Situation**: The upstream two major oil companies are accumulating inventory, and the middle - stream is reducing inventory. The basis is - 60, the non - standard price difference is neutral, and the import profit is around - 800. Exports have been good. The supply in June is expected to increase slightly month - on - month, and the downstream orders are average [7]. PVC - **Price Data**: From August 14 to August 20,西北电石price remained unchanged,山东烧碱price remained unchanged,电石法 - 华东price decreased by 20,乙烯法 - 华东,电石法 - 华南, and电石法 - 西北prices remained unchanged,进口美金价（CFR中国）remained unchanged,出口利润remained unchanged,西北综合利润remained unchanged,华北综合利润remained unchanged, and基差(高端交割品) remained unchanged [7]. - **Market Situation**: The basis remains stable. The downstream operating rate is seasonally weakening, and the inventory reduction of the middle and upstream has slowed down. Attention should be paid to the commissioning and export sustainability from July to August [7].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The current fundamental market of crude oil is healthy. With low inventories in Cushing, combined with hurricane expectations and Russia - related events, crude oil has upward momentum. However, the seasonal demand weakness in mid - August will limit its upside. A short - term target price of $70.4/barrel for WTI is given, suggesting short - term long positions on dips and stop - profit, and left - side ambush for Russian geopolitical expectations in September and the hurricane supply - disruption season when oil prices slump sharply [2]. - For methanol, coal prices are rising, increasing methanol costs, but coal - to - methanol profits are still at a high level year - on - year. Domestic and overseas production capacity is increasing, leading to high supply pressure. Traditional demand has low profits, and olefin demand is weak. It is recommended to wait and see as the current situation is weak but may improve in the peak season [4]. - Regarding urea, domestic production has started to increase, and although enterprise profits are low, they are expected to bottom out. Supply is relatively loose. Domestic agricultural demand is ending, and overall demand is average. The price range is narrowing, and it is advisable to focus on long - position opportunities on dips [6]. - For rubber, it is expected to oscillate in the short term. A neutral approach is recommended, and partial closing of the long RU2601 and short RU2509 position is suggested [10]. - For PVC, the overall situation is supply - strong and demand - weak with high valuations. The cost of calcium carbide has declined, and the fundamentals are poor. It is recommended to wait and see [10]. - In the case of styrene, the market macro - sentiment is good, and there is still cost support. The BZN spread has room for upward repair, and port inventories are decreasing. The price may follow the cost to oscillate upward [12][13]. - For polyethylene, the market is expecting favorable policies from the Chinese Ministry of Finance in the third quarter, and there is cost support. But inventory pressure and seasonal factors exist. It is recommended to hold short positions [15]. - For polypropylene, Shandong refinery profits have stopped falling and rebounded, and the cost may dominate the market. It is expected to follow crude oil to oscillate stronger [16]. - For PX, the load is high, and downstream PTA has many short - term maintenance. However, due to new PTA installations, PX is expected to continue inventory reduction. There is support for valuation, but the upside is limited in the short term. It is recommended to follow crude oil to go long on dips [18][19]. - For PTA, supply may continue to increase inventory, and the processing fee has limited room. Demand is slightly improving, and it is recommended to follow PX to go long on dips when the peak - season demand improves [20]. - For ethylene glycol, the supply load is decreasing, and downstream load is increasing. Port inventories are decreasing, but the industry is expected to enter an inventory - accumulation cycle. Valuation is relatively high, and there is downward pressure on short - term valuation [21]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Crude Oil - **Market Quotes**: WTI main crude oil futures rose $0.14, or 0.22%, to $63.28; Brent main crude oil futures rose $0.33, or 0.50%, to $66.46; INE main crude oil futures fell 3.70 yuan, or 0.76%, to 482.6 yuan [1]. - **Data**: China's weekly crude oil data shows that crude oil arrival inventory increased by 1.37 million barrels to 207.19 million barrels, a 0.67% increase. Gasoline commercial inventory decreased by 1.81 million barrels to 90.14 million barrels, a 1.97% decrease. Diesel commercial inventory decreased by 0.96 million barrels to 104.59 million barrels, a 0.91% decrease. Total refined oil commercial inventory decreased by 2.77 million barrels to 194.74 million barrels, a 1.40% decrease [1]. Methanol - **Market Quotes**: On August 18, the 01 - contract fell 16 yuan/ton to 2396 yuan/ton, and the spot price fell 23 yuan/ton, with a basis of - 94 [4]. - **Fundamentals**: Coal prices are rising, increasing methanol costs, but coal - to - methanol profits are still high year - on - year. Domestic and overseas production capacity is increasing, leading to high supply pressure. Traditional demand has low profits, and olefin demand is weak [4]. Urea - **Market Quotes**: On August 18, the 01 - contract rose 17 yuan/ton to 1754 yuan/ton, and the spot price rose 30 yuan/ton, with a basis of - 24 [6]. - **Fundamentals**: Domestic production has started to increase, and although enterprise profits are low, they are expected to bottom out. Supply is relatively loose. Domestic agricultural demand is ending, and overall demand is average [6]. Rubber - **Market Quotes**: NR and RU oscillated and consolidated [8]. - **Data**: As of August 14, 2025, the operating load of all - steel tires of Shandong tire enterprises was 63.07%, up 2.09 percentage points from last week and 7.42 percentage points from the same period last year. The operating load of semi - steel tires of domestic tire enterprises was 72.25%, down 2.28 percentage points from last week and 6.41 percentage points from the same period last year. As of August 10, 2025, China's natural rubber social inventory was 127.8 tons, a 0.85% decrease. The total inventory of dark - colored rubber was 79.7 tons, a 0.8% decrease, and the total inventory of light - colored rubber was 48 tons, a 0.8% decrease. RU inventory increased by 1%. As of August 17, 2025, the inventory of natural rubber in Qingdao was 48.54 (- 0.18) tons [9]. - **Analysis of Long and Short Views**: Bulls believe that weather and rubber - forest conditions in Southeast Asia, especially Thailand, may lead to production cuts, the seasonal trend turns upward in the second half of the year, and China's demand is expected to improve. Bears think that macro expectations are uncertain, demand is in the seasonal off - season, and the production - cut amplitude may be lower than expected [12]. PVC - **Market Quotes**: The PVC01 contract fell 43 yuan to 5054 yuan, the spot price of Changzhou SG - 5 was 4800 (- 50) yuan/ton, the basis was - 254 yuan/ton, and the 9 - 1 spread was - 134 (+9) yuan/ton [10]. - **Fundamentals**: The cost of calcium carbide has decreased, the overall operating rate of PVC is 80.3%, up 0.9%. The downstream operating rate is 42.8%, down 0.1%. Factory inventory is 32.7 tons (- 1), and social inventory is 81.2 tons (+3.5). The enterprise's comprehensive profit is at a high level of the year, with high valuation pressure, low maintenance volume, high production, and weak downstream demand. The Indian anti - dumping policy affects exports [10]. Styrene - **Market Quotes**: Spot and futures prices fell, and the basis weakened [12]. - **Analysis**: The market macro - sentiment is good, and there is still cost support. The BZN spread is at a low level in the same period, with large upward - repair space. The supply of pure benzene is still abundant, and the production of styrene is increasing. Port inventories are decreasing significantly. The short - term BZN may be repaired, and the price may follow the cost to oscillate upward [12][13]. Polyethylene - **Market Quotes**: Futures prices fell [15]. - **Analysis**: The market is expecting favorable policies from the Chinese Ministry of Finance in the third quarter, and there is cost support. Inventory pressure from traders is high, and demand is in the seasonal off - season. In August, there is a large production - capacity release plan. It is recommended to hold short positions [15]. Polypropylene - **Market Quotes**: Futures prices fell [16]. - **Analysis**: Shandong refinery profits have stopped falling and rebounded, and the supply of propylene is expected to increase. The downstream operating rate is seasonally oscillating downward. In August, there is a planned production - capacity release of 45 tons. In the context of weak supply and demand, the cost may dominate the market, and it is expected to follow crude oil to oscillate stronger [16]. PX - **Market Quotes**: The PX11 contract rose 72 yuan to 6760 yuan, PX CFR rose 6 dollars to 833 dollars, the basis was 88 yuan (- 27), and the 11 - 1 spread was 36 yuan (+30) [18]. - **Fundamentals**: China's PX load is 84.3%, up 2.3%, and Asia's load is 74.1%, up 0.5%. Some devices have restarted or reduced load. PTA load is 76.4%, up 1.7%. In early August, South Korea's PX exports to China were 11.2 tons, down 0.5 tons year - on - year. Inventories decreased in June. PXN is 255 dollars (+2), and naphtha crack spread is 88 dollars (+7). PX is expected to continue inventory reduction, and there is support for valuation, but the upside is limited in the short term [18][19]. PTA - **Market Quotes**: The PTA01 contract rose 30 yuan to 4746 yuan, the East China spot price rose 10 yuan to 4670 yuan, the basis was - 12 yuan (+1), and the 9 - 1 spread was - 50 yuan (- 10) [20]. - **Fundamentals**: PTA load is 76.4%, up 1.7%. Some devices have stopped or restarted. The downstream load is 89.4%, up 0.6%. Terminal loads are increasing. Social inventory (excluding credit warehouse receipts) on August 8 was 227.3 tons, up 3.3 tons. The spot processing fee fell 19 yuan to 178 yuan, and the futures processing fee rose 2 yuan to 335 yuan. Supply may continue to increase inventory, and the processing fee has limited room. Demand is slightly improving [20]. Ethylene Glycol - **Market Quotes**: The EG09 contract fell 23 yuan to 4346 yuan, the East China spot price fell 21 yuan to 4441 yuan, the basis was 92 yuan (+4), and the 9 - 1 spread was - 46 yuan (- 3) [21]. - **Fundamentals**: The supply load is 66.4%, down 2%. Some devices have restarted or reduced load. The downstream load is 89.4%, up 0.6%. Import arrival forecast is 14.1 tons, and port inventory is 54.7 tons, down 0.6 tons. The cost of ethylene is flat, and the price of coal has risen. The industry is expected to enter an inventory - accumulation cycle, and the valuation is relatively high, with downward pressure on short - term valuation [21].

Report Overview - Report title: "Asphalt Report" [2] - Research team: Research Center's Energy and Chemicals Team [3] - Report date: August 18, 2025 [3] Core Data Summary Futures Contracts - **Prices**: The prices of various BU contracts (BU主力合约, BU06, BU09, BU12, BU03) decreased from July 17 to August 15. For example, the BU主力合约 dropped from 3628 to 3461, a decrease of 167 points [4]. - **Volume and Open Interest**: Both trading volume and open interest declined. Volume decreased from 255,138 on July 17 to 214,163 on August 15, and open interest dropped from 474,048 to 436,319 [4]. - **Inventory**: Futures inventory decreased from 42,950 on July 17 to 31,640 on August 15 [4]. Spot Market - **Prices**: Spot prices in different regions showed varying trends. For instance, the low - end price in the Shandong market decreased from 3570 to 3520, while the low - end price in the North China market increased from 3660 to 3680 [4]. - **Price Spreads**: The price spreads between regions and contracts also changed. For example, the Shandong - East China spread varied from - 100 to - 80, and the 06 - 09 spread changed from - 244 to - 179 [4]. Margins and Spreads - **Margins**: The asphalt Brent spread and asphalt Marrow profit showed significant fluctuations. The asphalt Marrow profit decreased from - 15 to - 53 from August 7 to August 15 [4]. - **Profits**: The comprehensive profit of ordinary refineries fluctuated between 452 and 532, while the import profit (South Korea - East China) decreased from - 154 to - 239 [4]. Related Prices - **Crude Oil and Refined Products**: Brent crude oil prices fluctuated between 65.6 and 68.5, and the prices of gasoline and diesel in the Shandong market also changed slightly [4].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints No information provided. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Contract Data - The BU main contract price decreased from 3623 on 7/16 to 3472 on 8/14, a daily change of -31 and an interval change of -57 [4]. - The trading volume increased from 151,019 on 7/16 to 222,526 on 8/14, with a daily increase of 45,805 and an interval increase of 3,002 [4]. - The open interest decreased from 468,408 on 7/16 to 438,140 on 8/14, a daily decrease of 6,340 and an interval decrease of 17,227 [4]. Spot Market Prices - The low - end price in the Shandong market remained at 3,520 on 8/12 - 8/14, with no daily change and an interval decrease of 10 compared to 7/16 [4]. - The low - end price in the East China market decreased from 3,670 on 7/16 to 3,600 on 8/14, a daily decrease of 50 and an interval decrease of 50 [4]. - The low - end price in the North China market was 3,680 on 8/13 - 8/14, with no daily change and an interval increase of 20 compared to 7/16 [4]. Basis and Spread - The Shandong basis increased from - 63 on 7/16 to 48 on 8/14, a daily increase of 31 and an interval increase of 47 [4]. - The 06 - 09 spread increased from - 235 on 7/16 to - 185 on 8/14, a daily increase of 11 and an interval increase of 0 [4]. Crack Spread and Profit - The asphalt Brent crack spread increased from - 38 on 7/16 to 82 on 8/14, a daily increase of 30 and an interval increase of 36 [4]. - The asphalt Ma Rui profit increased from - 102 on 7/16 to 7 on 8/14, a daily increase of 27 and an interval increase of 33 [4]. - The comprehensive profit of ordinary refineries increased from 446 on 7/16 to 533 on 8/14 [4]. Related Prices - Brent crude oil price decreased from 68.7 on 7/16 to 65.6 on 8/14, a daily decrease of 0.5 and an interval decrease of 0.8 [4]. - The Shandong market price of gasoline decreased from 7,810 on 7/16 to 7,715 on 8/14, a daily decrease of 17 and an interval decrease of 12 [4]. - The Shandong market price of diesel decreased from 6,692 on 7/16 to 6,557 on 8/14, a daily decrease of 5 and an interval decrease of 6 [4].