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2025五道口金融论坛|胡晓炼:国际货币体系改变,将更重视加密数字货币
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-05-17 23:06
Group 1 - The future international monetary system will be more diverse and inclusive, with significant adjustments occurring in the current international trade system, allowing Chinese enterprises to seize opportunities despite changes [1][3] - The rebalancing of trade and investment costs now includes factors such as innovation, institutional frameworks, green development, geopolitical considerations, and ideology, leading to greater uncertainty for entrepreneurs while still focusing on maximizing efficiency and effectiveness [3] - Historical experience suggests that a country can only effectively resolve trade imbalances when its internal economic structure is more balanced [3] Group 2 - The rebalancing of currencies will guide the world monetary system towards greater diversity and inclusiveness, despite the current dominance of the US dollar facing challenges such as currency weaponization and the Triffin dilemma [3][4] - The emergence of more currencies in international trade will not only serve trade and investment but also contribute to financial stability, with increased attention on the role of cryptocurrencies in cross-border trade and investment [4] - Chinese enterprises have shown resilience in international markets, transitioning from labor-intensive to technology-driven investments, and are actively participating in local infrastructure development, contributing to economic growth beyond just employment and tax revenue [4]
进出口银行原董事长胡晓炼:我国跨境投资逆势增长,民企是主力军
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-17 13:12
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the future international monetary system will become more diverse and inclusive, influenced by current trade and investment dynamics, particularly tariff issues [3][4][6] - The first key point is the rebalancing of cost-effectiveness in trade and investment, with emerging markets in the "Global South" becoming more attractive due to lower costs and tariffs [3][4] - The second key point highlights that global trade rebalancing will lead to profound adjustments in the internal economic structures of major economies, with historical evidence suggesting that internal economic balance is crucial for resolving trade imbalances [4][5] Group 2 - The third key point discusses how monetary rebalancing will guide the world monetary system towards greater diversity and inclusiveness, addressing issues like the dominance of the US dollar and the "Triffin dilemma" [4][5] - More currencies are expected to join the international monetary system, with increased use of emerging market currencies for trade and investment [5] - There will be a greater emphasis on digital currencies, particularly for cross-border trade and investment, and a potential enhancement of the Special Drawing Rights (SDR) function by the International Monetary Fund [5][6] Group 3 - China's cross-border investment has seen rapid growth, with private enterprises being the main force behind foreign investments, demonstrating resilience and adaptability in changing global conditions [7][8] - From 2014 to 2024, China's direct investment stock is projected to exceed $3 trillion, significantly higher than the previous two decades combined [8] - Chinese enterprises are increasingly engaging in global supply chain construction and are transitioning from labor-intensive industries to advanced technology sectors, aiming to become global multinational corporations [8][9]
特朗普过去24小时都忙了什么?(2025-05-11)
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-11 10:00
1. 称港口业务放缓是好事——连日来,美国多个港口货运量大幅下降,停泊的货船减少。5月8日在被记 者问到这个问题时,美国总统特朗普表示,这意味着美国损失的钱少了。他还认为不做生意的话情况会 更好。所以,放缓是好事,不是坏事。 2. 称"夜不能寐",全球问题比想象中难解决——《华盛顿邮 报》发文披露,对于无法迅速结束俄乌冲突,特朗普私下里坦承自己感到"沮丧"。他上周在佛罗里达州 向一群顶级捐赠者坦言,结束俄乌冲突的努力正让他的挫败感与日俱增,甚至让他夜不能寐。 3. 遭美 法官阻止推进大规模裁员及重组计划——当地时间5月9日晚,一位美国联邦法官裁定,特朗普政府不得 根据今年2月发布的一项行政命令,继续推进对多个联邦机构的大规模裁员或重大重组计划。 4. 邀功促 成印巴停火——特朗普在社交媒体上表示:在美国的斡旋下,经过一个漫长的夜晚,我很高兴地宣布, 印度和巴基斯坦已经同意立即全面停火。祝贺两国运用常识和大智慧取得这一成果。特朗普还称,将大 幅度增加与印度和巴基斯坦的贸易往来。此外,将与印巴双方合作,探讨在"千年之后"是否能够就克什 米尔问题达成解决方案。 5. 支持俄乌30天无条件停火协议——乌方昨日宣布准备 ...
白宫贸易顾问纳瓦罗:市场将度过一个有趣的周末。日本在保护自身市场方面最为聪明。美国将向英国出售更多牛肉、家禽和乳制品。
news flash· 2025-05-09 12:11
日本在保护自身市场方面最为聪明。 美国将向英国出售更多牛肉、家禽和乳制品。 白宫贸易顾问纳瓦罗:市场将度过一个有趣的周末。 ...
特朗普经济顾问Miran:特朗普总统说过贸易可能会造成干扰。美国人在贸易模式上可以很灵活。
news flash· 2025-05-07 19:33
特朗普经济顾问Miran:特朗普总统说过贸易可能会造成干扰。美国人在贸易模式上可以很灵活。 ...
分析师:货币政策从紧将拖累美国经济前景
news flash· 2025-05-07 18:57
金十数据5月8日讯,SignatureFD分析师Tony Welch表示,美联储会议后美债收益率下跌,可能表明投资 者担心紧缩的货币政策将对经济产生影响。目前经济正在放缓,在更长时间内实施较紧的货币政策肯定 会是一个不利因素。特朗普的关税正在影响美联储的想法,因为FOMC的声明"一开始"就提到了贸易。 鲍威尔将在新闻发布会上多次使用"不确定性"这个词。 分析师:货币政策从紧将拖累美国经济前景 ...
5月8日讯,分析师评美联储利率决议:新的声明特别提到了贸易,尽管没有提到关税。声明称:“尽管净出口的波动影响了数据,但最近的指标表明,经济活动继续以稳健的步伐扩张。”
news flash· 2025-05-07 18:10
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's recent statement highlighted trade, indicating that while net exports have fluctuated, recent indicators suggest that economic activity continues to expand at a steady pace [1] Summary by Relevant Sections - **Federal Reserve Statement** - The statement specifically mentioned trade, although it did not address tariffs [1] - It acknowledged the impact of net export volatility on data [1] - Recent indicators point to robust economic activity continuing to expand [1]
2025年伯克希尔股东大会问答直播:巴菲特谈贸易、日本、现金部署
智通财经网· 2025-05-03 14:19
巴菲特补充说,会让贾因来决定伯克希尔未来十年的保险业务。是否用AI将由贾因来选择。 21:43 股东大会第四个问题:全球不确定环境下投资房地产的挑战 投资界的年度盛会——伯克希尔-哈撒韦股东大会在5月2日拉开帷幕,北京时间3日当晚9点,大会问答 环节开始。"股神"巴菲特确定全程参与,携他的CEO接班人——伯克希尔非保险业务的负责人阿贝尔 (Greg Abel)以及保险业务负责人贾因(Ajit Jain)共同回答股东提问。 今年是巴菲特收购伯克希尔公司60周年,也可能是伯克希尔"巴菲特时代"落幕的开始。巴菲特在2月发 布的2024年度股东信中坦言,"要不了多久"阿贝尔就会接班。今年的股东大会问答总时长比去年减少约 一小时,缩短至四个半小时,可能就是为了配合巴菲特的高龄作出妥协。 今年的股东大会被视为史上最重要的一场,可能是巴菲特最后一次全程参与的股东会,投资者要准备为 一个没有巴菲特掌舵的伯克希尔做好准备。 相比往年,投资者将更珍视可能是最后一次巴菲特在伯克希尔平台长时间分享投资理念和经验的机会, 可能更关注伯克希尔管理层的"交班"计划、巴菲特接班人阿贝尔未来在公司的角色和战略方向、巴菲特 描绘的伯克希尔发展蓝 ...