关税大限将至，特朗普重大转变。 美东时间7月31日，特朗普宣布，美国与墨西哥的关税协议将延长90天，即墨西哥将继续支付25%的芬太尼 关税、25%的汽车关税以及50%的钢铁、铝和铜关税。而在此之前，特朗普一直强调和多国的"对等关税"定 于8月1日生效。 除了25%的整体关税外，墨西哥商品还面临25%的汽车进口关税以及50%的金属类商品（如钢铁、铝、铜） 关税。特朗普加征的汽车关税和金属关税针对的是所有外国商品。 特朗普此前威胁将墨西哥进口商品的统一关税税率从25%提高至30%，新关税税率原定于周五生效，这一天 也是特朗普所设定的贸易谈判最后期限。 然而，特朗普在当地时间7月31日上午表示，他将暂缓对墨西哥实施任何新的关税措施，原因是他与墨西哥总 统克劳迪娅·辛鲍姆进行了一次"非常成功"的电话会谈。 此外， 特朗普签署了一项行政命令，将对加拿大的关税从25%提高至35%，更高的关税将于2025年8月1日 生效。美国白宫还表示，为逃避加拿大35%的关税而转运的货物将被征收40%的转运关税。 美元兑加元短线 走高。美国股指期货保持下跌。 在关税大限前夕，全球贸易谈判进入白热化阶段。美国白宫表示，特朗普将于周四（美东 ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report focuses on the market conditions of soybeans and soybean meal, with CBOT soybeans falling due to good weather in US soybean - growing areas and weak Chinese demand, and the prices of DCE soybeans and soybean meal showing fluctuations [3] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Prices**: DCE Soybean 2509 closed at 4131 yuan/ton during the day session, down 21 yuan (-0.51%), and 4133 yuan/ton at night, down 4 yuan (-0.10%); DCE Soybean Meal 2509 closed at 3000 yuan/ton during the day session, down 1 yuan (-0.03%), and 3002 yuan/ton at night, down 4 yuan (-0.13%); CBOT Soybean 11 was at 990.25 cents/bushel, down 5.75 cents (-0.58%); CBOT Soybean Meal 12 was at 276.3 dollars/short - ton, up 2.0 dollars (+0.73%) [1] - **Spot Prices**: In Shandong, the price of soybean meal (43%) was 2900 - 2940 yuan/ton, with different basis prices for different months; in East China, the price was 2920 yuan/ton in a certain factory in Lianyungang, up 20 yuan compared to the previous day, and also had different basis prices for different months; in South China, the price was 2900 - 2910 yuan/ton, remaining flat compared to the previous day, with corresponding basis prices for different months [1] - **Main Industry Data**: The trading volume of soybean meal was 41.5 million tons/day on the previous trading day, compared to 29.71 million tons/day two trading days ago; the inventory was 96.1 million tons/week on the previous trading day, compared to 90.83 million tons/week two trading days ago [1] 2. Macro and Industry News - On July 31, CBOT soybeans closed lower, hitting the lowest level since April, due to good weather in US soybean - growing areas and weak Chinese demand. The current weather forecast is extremely bearish for prices. China, the world's largest soybean importer, is still absent from the US soybean market, and there is a deadline for a long - term tariff agreement with the Trump administration on August 12. Trade insiders believe that China's demand for soybeans may weaken later this year [3] 3. Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of soybean meal and soybeans is 0, indicating a neutral trend for the day - session main - contract futures prices on the reporting day [3]

特朗普给予墨西哥90天暂缓加征关税的豁免，以便双方谈判达成一项更广泛的贸易协议。美国财长贝森特在接受CNBC采访时表示，美国认为已具备与中国达成贸易协议的条件，但“尚未完全敲定”，仍需特朗普批准。 ...

7月30日，德国选择党主席魏德尔受访时称，欧盟和冯德莱恩都"被美国骗了"。魏德尔称，欧盟与美国 日前宣布达成的贸易协议是"特朗普的协议"。她表示，美国加征关税损害了欧洲的工业，现在还要掏钱 为支持乌克兰向美购买武器。魏德尔称，这显示了欧洲的软弱，协议根本不符合欧洲民众的意愿。27 日，美欧达成新贸易协议，欧盟委员会主席称，双方同意实行统一的15%关税税率，包括欧盟将对美增 加6000亿美元投资等。 ...

近期，美国宣布与菲律宾达成新的贸易协议，菲律宾对美国开放市场并实施零关税，换取美国对菲律宾 进口商品征收的关税从此前的20%下调到19%。菲律宾专家在接受记者采访时表示，这一政策对菲律宾 极不公平，将损害菲律宾的经济利益。 （文章来源：央视新闻） ...

尽管有贸易协议在手，韩国还是与欧盟和日本一样，面临着15%的关税。在上周日本与美国达成15%的关税税率协议后，韩国面临的压力不断增大，因 为日本是汽车和制造业领域的主要竞争对手。 作者 / 钱 亚 光 编辑 / 黄 大 路 设计 / 柴 文 静 来源 / B L O O M B E R G , K o r e a t i m e s, A u t o m o t i v e n e w s 特朗普于7月30日在其社交媒体平台上发文称："我们已就对韩国的关税达成一致，为15%。美国则无需缴纳关税。" 就在8月1日这一各国必须与美国达成协议的最后期限的前一天，韩国方面也宣布了这一消息。若韩国未能达成协议，将面临更高的关税处罚。若韩国未 达成协议，其需缴纳的关税税率将为25%。 4月份，韩国曾短暂面临25%的关税，之后美国对一些国家暂停征收关税。此次暂停将于本周五到期。新的15%的关税高于许多国家自4月以来所支付的 最低10%的关税。 谈判内容涉及广泛 "我很高兴地宣布，美国已与韩国达成一项全面且完整的贸易协议。协议内容是，韩国将向美国提供 3500 亿美元，用于投资美国拥有和控制的项目，这 些项目将由我进行选定。 ...

Market Overview - The three major U.S. stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 330.30 points (0.74%) at 44,130.98 points, the Nasdaq down 7.23 points (0.03%) at 21,122.45 points, and the S&P 500 down 23.51 points (0.37%) at 6,339.39 points [2] - Figma (FIG.US) had a successful IPO, closing up 250% on its first day at $115.5, resulting in a total market capitalization of $56.3 billion [2] Economic Policies and Trade - President Trump announced new tariffs, including a 15% tariff on goods exported from South Korea in exchange for a $350 billion investment commitment from South Korea [1] - A 25% tariff will be imposed on Indian goods exported to the U.S., with additional penalties threatened if India continues to purchase energy from Russia [1] Company Performance - Apple (AAPL.US) reported a strong quarterly revenue of $94 billion, exceeding expectations, driven by a 13.5% increase in iPhone sales [11] - Amazon (AMZN.US) reported an 18% growth in its cloud business for Q2, generating $30.9 billion, slightly above market expectations [12] Currency and Commodity Markets - The U.S. dollar index rose by 0.15%, closing at 99.968, with fluctuations in exchange rates against major currencies [3] - Crude oil prices fell, with light crude futures down $0.74 to $69.26 per barrel, a decrease of 1.06% [3] Inflation and Monetary Policy - The core PCE price index in the U.S. rose by 0.3% month-over-month and 2.8% year-over-year, slightly above market expectations, complicating the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions [10]

特朗普将在今天（7月31日）签署与关税相关的行政命令。 道指跌84点跌幅0.19%，费城半导体指数维持2.5%的跌幅。 白宫新闻秘书Leavitt宣称，日本和韩国已经"定制"贸易协议。 未达成协议的国家将在（美东时间7月31日）午夜前听到来自美国总统特朗普的关税消息。 ...

特朗普指出，与墨西哥谈判贸易协议比与其他国家更为复杂，因为"边境问题既是挑战也是资产"。 他写道："我们已经同意将当前的协议延长90天。也就是说，在这段期间内，墨西哥将继续支付25%的 芬太尼关税、25%的汽车关税，以及50%的钢铁、铝和铜关税。" 此外，特朗普还表示，墨西哥已"同意立即取消其众多非关税贸易壁垒"，但他并未具体说明所指的是哪 些壁垒。 智通财经APP获悉，美国总统特朗普周四表示，他将在未来90天内暂缓上调针对墨西哥商品的关税，以 为美墨双方争取时间达成新的贸易协议。 近期，特朗普曾威胁将对墨西哥进口商品的统一关税税率从25%上调至30%，以打击所谓的跨境犯罪和 毒品走私行为。墨西哥目前已经面临包括25%的汽车关税以及高达50%的金属商品(如钢铁、铝和铜)关 税。 不过，在与墨西哥总统克劳迪娅·谢因鲍姆(Claudia Sheinbaum)进行了一次"非常成功"的通话后，特朗普 决定暂缓加征关税的计划。 他在社交平台Truth Social上发文称："我们之间的了解和互信越来越深。" 特朗普强调："在接下来的90天内，我们将与墨西哥进行磋商，目标是在这段时间内签署一项贸易协 议，当然也可能需要更 ...

Core Points - Trump agrees to extend the agreement with Mexico for an additional 90 days, during which trade issues will be discussed [1] - Mexico will continue to pay a 25% tariff as part of the ongoing negotiations [1]