Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Russian President Putin predicts an inflation rate of 7% for Russia this year [1]

巴西经济学家预测2025年通货膨胀率为5.25%，此前预估为5.44%；2026年通货膨胀率为4.50%；此前预 期为4.50%。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the IFO Institute in Germany forecasts an inflation rate of 2.1% for 2025 and 2.0% for 2026 in Germany [1]

Core Viewpoint - Thailand's inflation rate turned negative in May 2025, primarily due to a decline in food and energy prices [1] Group 1: Inflation Data - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for Thailand in May 2025 was 100.40, down from 100.98 in May 2024, resulting in an inflation rate of -0.57% [1] - The main contributors to the negative inflation rate were falling prices of fresh food and energy products, including electricity, ethanol fuel, and gasoline, which decreased in line with global energy price trends [1] Group 2: Future Projections - The Kasikorn Research Center anticipates that Thailand's inflation rate may return to positive territory in June 2025 due to a low base effect from last year's vegetable and fruit price declines [1] - The average inflation rate for the second quarter of 2025 is projected to be -0.2%, indicating that the country has not entered a deflationary state, as prices for goods and services have not broadly decreased [1] Group 3: Economic Outlook - It is expected that Thailand's inflation rate will recover to a low positive value in the second half of 2025, influenced by domestic fuel prices aligning with international crude oil price trends, reduced electricity prices due to government measures, and increased agricultural production leading to lower prices for fresh produce [1] - The Kasikorn Research Center predicts a slowdown in Thailand's economic growth in the latter half of the year, which will further reduce inflationary pressures [1]

智通财经6月9日电，巴西经济学家预计2025年国内生产总值将增长2.18%，而此前预估为增长2.13%； 预测2025年通货膨胀率为5.44%，之前预测为5.46%。 ...

美国圣路易斯联邦储备银行行长阿尔韦托·穆萨莱姆日前接受英国《金融时报》采访时说，美国总统唐 纳德·特朗普的关税政策可能导致美国通货膨胀率持续居高。他警告说，直到今年夏天结束，美国政策 制定者都将面临经济不确定性。穆萨莱姆说，假如美国贸易和财政政策的不确定性能在"7月消散"，美 联储才可能筹备9月降息。（央视新闻） ...

【新华社微特稿】美国圣路易斯联邦储备银行行长阿尔韦托·穆萨莱姆日前接受英国《金融时报》采访 时说，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的关税政策可能导致美国通货膨胀率持续居高。他警告说，直到今年夏 天结束，美国政策制定者都将面临经济不确定性。 《金融时报》6日刊登了上述采访。穆萨莱姆表示，特朗普关税政策可能在"一到两个季度内"推高美国 通胀率，"同样可能发生的一种情况是关税对价格的影响将持续更长时间"。 路透社指出，特朗普政府抬高关税的举措及推出2.4万亿美元联邦预算法案已经造成市场震荡，也促使 美国联邦储备委员会自去年降息后至今按兵不动、保持观望态度。 美联储系统职能相当于美国央行，主要决策机构包括位于首都华盛顿的联邦储备委员会和分管不同联邦 储备区的12家联邦储备银行，包括设于密苏里州的圣路易斯联邦储备银行。穆萨莱姆去年4月2日起担任 该行行长兼首席执行官，此前曾在纽约联邦储备银行任高管。 穆萨莱姆说，假如美国贸易和财政政策的不确定性能在"7月消散"，美联储才可能筹备9月降息。 美联储定于6月中旬召开货币政策会议，预期将发布对美国经济的最新预测数据，但依据其近期表态， 基准利率将保持不变。特朗普1月就任总统以来，已多次 ...

欧洲央行6月5日表示，目前通货膨胀率约为理事会2%的中期目标。欧洲央行预计2025年的通胀率为 2.0%，2026年为1.6%，2027年为2.0%。 ...

欧洲央行称， 通货膨胀率目前处于管理委员会2%的中期目标附近。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Deutsche Bank maintains its expectation for the European Central Bank's terminal interest rate at 1.50%, indicating that the end of the easing cycle may occur sooner than previously anticipated [1] Economic Outlook - Deutsche Bank has raised its GDP growth forecast for the Eurozone in 2025 from 0.5% to 0.8%, citing the resilience of the Eurozone economy despite the impact of US tariffs [1] - The bank expects inflation in 2025 to remain below the ECB's target of 2%, suggesting there is still room for further rate cuts, although the expectation for a terminal rate of 1.50% is weakening [1] Future Projections - Looking ahead, Deutsche Bank predicts that 2026 will be a turning point, with expectations that the ECB will begin raising interest rates again by the end of 2026, increasing the policy rate to 1.75% [1]