世界银行预测马2026年经济增长率为3.9%。世界银行估计，马今年的经济增长率为 4.2%，但预计明年增速将放缓，增速放缓的主要原因是除旅游业外，大多数经济部门 的增长速度均有所下降。世界银行还预测，马2026年的通货膨胀率将达到4.2%，财政 赤字将扩大至国内生产总值的13%。 （原标题：世界银行预测马2026年经济增长率为3.9%） ...

Core Viewpoint - The Bank of Korea has decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 2.50%, aligning with market expectations and reflecting a cautious approach to monetary policy amid economic uncertainties [2][3]. Group 1: Economic Growth Projections - The Bank of Korea forecasts a GDP growth rate of 1.0% for this year and 1.8% for next year, with domestic demand expected to recover primarily through consumption [7][9]. - Recent surveys indicate an upward revision of growth forecasts, with expectations for this year's growth increasing from 0.9% to 1.0% and next year's from 1.6% to between 1.8% and 1.9% [7][9]. Group 2: Monetary Policy Considerations - The decision to keep the interest rate unchanged is influenced by rising inflation, ongoing economic improvements driven by consumption and exports, and the need to assess domestic and international policy conditions [7][9]. - The Bank of Korea's cautious stance on further monetary easing is attributed to high household debt levels, risks in the real estate market, and recent signs of rising inflation [10]. Group 3: Financial Stability Risks - The monetary policy committee has highlighted the need to be vigilant regarding risks associated with housing prices, household debt, and increased volatility in exchange rates [9][10]. - The depreciation of the Korean won against the US dollar has raised concerns, with local funds increasing overseas investments, potentially triggering actions from the National Pension Service [10].

Core Points - The Algerian government is presenting the 2026 Finance Bill amid a gradual economic recovery, attributed to ongoing reforms and efforts across various sectors [1] - The Finance Minister forecasts an economic growth rate of 4.1% for 2026, increasing to 4.4% in 2027 and further to 4.5% in 2028, considering both domestic and international economic conditions [1] Economic Outlook - The 2026 Finance Bill is positioned within the context of Algeria's economic recovery, emphasizing the government's commitment to encouraging investment and economic diversification [1] - The anticipated growth rates reflect expectations for performance in non-hydrocarbon sectors, indicating a shift in focus for the Algerian economy [1]

Core Insights - Taiwan's Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 1.48% year-on-year in October, with pork prices rising by 9.07% due to reduced supply from African swine fever and hot weather [1][1][1] - The average CPI from January to October this year grew by 1.74% compared to the same period last year, with goods increasing by 1.34% and services by 2.12% [1][1][1] - Taiwan's Economic Research Institute predicts a gradual decline in inflation, estimating a CPI growth rate of approximately 1.66% for 2026 [1][1][1] Price Changes - Prices for eggs, grains and their products, and dining out increased by 6.69%, 3.88%, and 3.56% year-on-year, respectively [1][1][1] - Housing costs saw a year-on-year increase in rent by 2.14% and electricity fees by 5.24% [1][1][1] - In the entertainment and transportation sectors, costs for tour packages, hotel accommodations, train tickets, and vehicle parts and maintenance also rose [1][1][1] Economic Growth Forecast - The Economic Research Institute has significantly revised the economic growth rate for Taiwan in 2025 to 5.94%, driven by strong exports of artificial intelligence products [1][1][1] - The forecast for economic growth in 2026 is set at 2.6% [1][1][1]

Core Insights - The Mauritanian government has adopted a "budget-project" approach for fiscal management, enhancing transparency and accountability in budget execution [1] - The 2026 fiscal revenue is projected to reach 128.79 billion Ouguiya, a 10.11% increase from the revised 2025 budget of 116.96 billion Ouguiya [1] - Fiscal expenditure is expected to be 132.18 billion Ouguiya, reflecting a 10.96% increase from 119.12 billion Ouguiya in 2025 [1] - The national economic growth rate for 2026 is anticipated to be 5.1%, up from 4.1% in 2025, driven by increased natural gas production and investments in infrastructure and social projects [1] - Inflation is projected to be around 2% [1] - The government plans to allocate approximately 7 billion Ouguiya for social development projects, including urban development in Nouakchott, medical equipment procurement, employment support, and improving teacher housing [1] - The government is addressing rising prices by promoting local production, achieving self-sufficiency in rice, and significantly increasing vegetable cultivation [1]

Group 1 - Thailand's foreign tourist arrivals from January 1 to October 26 decreased by 7.25% compared to the same period last year, totaling 26.25 million visitors [1] - Malaysia and China are the largest sources of tourists, with 3.8 million and 3.72 million visitors respectively [1] - The Bank of Thailand revised its forecast for foreign tourist arrivals in 2023 from 35 million to 33 million, down from nearly 40 million in 2019 before the pandemic [1] Group 2 - Thailand's household debt ratio reached 86.8% of GDP as of June, one of the highest in Asia, with total debt amounting to 16.3 trillion THB (approximately 497.71 billion USD) [2] - The Bank of Thailand predicts a 2.2% economic growth rate for this year, with projections of 2.5% in 2025 and 1.6% in 2026 [2] - The government plans to allocate 10 billion THB (approximately 305.34 million USD) to purchase non-performing loans as part of its economic stimulus plan [1]

Core Insights - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects Zambia's GDP growth rate to be 5.8% in 2025 and 6.4% in 2026 [1] - Zambia's inflation rate peaked at approximately 24% in 2021, with a significant decrease expected to 12.3% by October 2025, and is estimated to fall to single digits in 2026 [1] Economic Forecast - GDP growth rate for Zambia is forecasted at 5.8% in 2025 [1] - GDP growth rate is expected to increase to 6.4% in 2026 [1] - Inflation rate peaked at around 24% in 2021 [1] - Inflation rate projected to decline to 12.3% by October 2025 [1] - Inflation rate is estimated to drop to single digits in 2026 [1]

Group 1 - The central bank of Madagascar (BFM) forecasts an economic growth rate of 4.3% for Madagascar in 2025 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Indian economy is positioned as a strong contributor to global growth, surpassing the United States, despite recent critical remarks from former President Trump labeling it a "dying economy" [1][3]. Group 1: Economic Contributions - The Reserve Bank of India Governor, Sanjay Malhotra, stated that India's contribution to global economic growth is approximately 18%, which is higher than the United States' estimated contribution of around 11% [1][3]. - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects India's economic growth rate for the fiscal year 2025-2026 to be 6.4%, compared to the United States' forecast of 1.9% [3]. Group 2: Trade Relations and Responses - Following Trump's announcement of a 25% tariff on Indian goods starting August 1, Modi urged citizens to support local products to mitigate economic impacts amid global uncertainties [3]. - Modi's statements are interpreted as an indirect response to Trump's comments about India's economic dependency on the U.S. market and its classification as a "dying economy" [3].

Core Viewpoint - The economic growth rate of Mongolia for the first half of 2025 is reported at 2.4%, significantly impacted by lower-than-expected performance in the mining sector, which adversely affected related transportation, logistics, and trade industries [1] Group 1: Economic Growth - Mongolia's economic growth rate for the first half of 2025 is 2.4% [1] - The mining sector's output growth was notably below expectations, leading to negative repercussions for transportation, logistics, and trade sectors [1] Group 2: Banking Sector - The overall development of the banking sector in Mongolia is reported to be stable [1] - The top five banks in Mongolia experienced a year-on-year revenue growth of 27% [1] - There was a reduction in the scale of non-performing loans across major banks, alongside a significant increase in loan applications from individuals and businesses [1] - The number of individuals opening Mongolian Tugrik accounts has also increased [1]